Volume
USDCHF - How To Break Down A Target ZoneA trading lesson on how to identify & breakdown profit taking areas. In this video I show you how I start with a broad zone and then proceed to break it down to a specific price point using structure analysis, Fibonacci tools & the anchored volume profile indicator.
We also look at a bullish opportunity on the USDCHF showing you what needs to happen in order for me to get involved.
I hope you guys find value in the video and if you have questions or comments, please leave them below.
Best of luck in the markets this week.
Akil
Trading opportunity. ETH, BNB, NEAR, RNDRHi traders and investors!
I have chosen 4 assets on which to look for purchases.
The price of each asset formed a sideways trend on the daily TF and is now at the lower boundaries of these sideways (above the lower boundaries).
ETHUSDT. Current buyer vector 10-11 on the daily TF. Potential target – 3977.
On the hourly timeframe, the price has formed a sideways trend and now the buyer is attacking the upper boundary of the sideways trend. You can search for purchases:
after the launch of a long trend on the hourly timeframe (the buyer protects the exit from the sideways trend on the hourly timeframe and the formation of a new buyer impulse)
from protection by the buyer of the lower boundary of the sideways trend 2822 -2810.
BNBUSDT. Current buyer vector 10-11 on the daily TF. Potential target – 645.2
On the hourly time frame, the price has formed a sideways trend and now the price is near the upper boundary of the sideways pattern. You can search for purchases:
after the launch of a long trend on the hourly timeframe (the buyer protects the exit from the sideways trend on the hourly timeframe and the formation of a new buyer impulse)
from protection by the buyer of the lower boundary of the sideways trend 471 - 454.
NEARUSDT. Current buyer vector 5-6 on the daily TF. Potential target – 6.89
There is a short trend on the hourly timeframe. It is advisable to look for purchases when the buyer overcomes the beginning of the last impulse of the seller 5.003, protects this level, and forms a new impulse.
RNDRUSDT. Current buyer vector 8-9 on the daily TF. Potential target – 11.88
There is a short trend on the hourly timeframe. It is advisable to look for purchases when the buyer overcomes the beginning of the last impulse of the seller 8.273, protects this level, and forms a new impulse.
Volume Spread Analysis (VSA): Volume and Price DynamicsVolume Spread Analysis (VSA): Understanding Market Intentions through Volume and Price Dynamics.
█ Simple Explanation:
Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) is a trading technique that identifies key market patterns and trends by analyzing the relationship between volume and price spread, revealing traders' actions and market behavior.
Essentials in Volume Spread Analysis (VSA):
Laws.
VSA Indicator.
Signs of Strength.
Signs of Weakness.
Note that while the provided examples are excellent for illustrating the points, they are unlikely to play out perfectly in most scenarios.
█ Laws
Three basic laws forming the foundation of Volume Spread Analysis (VSA).
The Law of Supply and Demand
This law states that supply and demand balance each other over time. High demand and low supply lead to rising prices until demand falls to a level where supply can meet it. Conversely, low demand and high supply cause prices to fall until demand increases enough to absorb the excess supply.
The Law of Cause and Effect
This law assumes that a 'cause' will result in an 'effect' proportional to the 'cause'. A strong 'cause' will lead to a strong trend (effect), while a weak 'cause' will lead to a weak trend.
The Law of Effort vs Result
This law asserts that the result should reflect the effort exerted. In trading terms, a large volume should result in a significant price move (spread). If the spread is small, the volume should also be small. Any deviation from this pattern is considered an anomaly.
█ VSA Indicator
This indicator simplifies the identification of Volume and Spread Levels. It provides options to display volume and/or spread bars. An enhanced version of the indicator auto-scales both volume and spread for optimal chart presentation, reloading every time the chart is moved.
Levels: Representing the levels of both volume and spread using the terminalogy of low, normal, high, and ultra.
Indicator Version 1: Display volume and/or spread bars. When both are displayed, the spread bars are shown in a fixed quantity.
Indicator Version 2: Display both volume and spread bars, with the spread bars scaled to the volume bars.
█ Signs of Strength
Indicates that the market is likely to experience bullish behavior.
Down Thrust: Indicates strong buying interest at lower prices, suggesting a potential upward reversal.
Selling Climax: Signifies a reversal point as panic selling exhausts and smart money starts accumulating.
Bear Effort No Result: A large downward price move without strong selling effort (volume) indicates an anomaly where the result doesn't match the effort, suggesting the down move may be unsustained.
No Effort Bear Result: Strong selling effort (volume) fails to push prices down indicating an anomaly where the result doesn't match the effort, suggesting a potential lack of downward momentum.
Inverse Down Thrust: Shows buyers overpowering sellers, likely leading to a bullish market reversal.
Failed Selling Climax: Failed selling effort suggests strong buying support and a possible upward trend reversal.
Bull Outside Reversal: Indicates strong buying reversing a downtrend, confirmed by higher close.
End of Falling Market: Signifies strong buying absorbs panic selling at new lows, likely leading to stabilized price or reversal.
Pseudo Down Thrust: Suggests weakening of the downward momentum with a potential upward continuation if broken above high.
No Supply: Indicates a lack of selling interest at lower prices, potentially setting up for a price rise.
█ Signs of Weakness
Indicates that the market is likely to experience bearish behavior.
Up Thrust: Indicates sellers overpowering buyers during a price rise, suggesting a potential downward reversal.
Buying Climax: Represents peak buying, typically at price highs, with potential for reversal as sellers take control.
No Effort Bull Result: A large upward price move without strong buying pressure (volume) indicates an anomaly where the result doesn't match the effort, suggesting the up move may be unsustained.
Bull Effort No Result: Strong buying (volume) fails to drive prices higher indicates an anomaly where the result doesn't match the effort, suggesting a potential lack of upward momentum.
Inverse Up Thrust: Increased selling pressure during an uptrend suggests a possible shift to a downtrend.
Failed Buying Climax: High buying volume fails to sustain higher prices, indicating a potential reversal to downtrend.
Bear Outside Reversal: Strong selling pressure reversing an uptrend, signaling a potential downtrend.
End of Rising Market: Indicates buying saturation at market peaks, suggesting a possible reversal as demand exhausts.
Pseudo Down Thrust: Indicates weakening upward momentum with potential for downward continuation if broken below low.
No Demand: Indicates reduced buying interest at higher prices, possibly leading to a price decline.
$CITY (Manchester City)Manchester City Token looks very promising from the current prices.
I expect it -if the bullish scenario is confirmed- to reach up to $10 : $20
The best action right now is to buy it. With the ATL (the red line) as a stop-loss.
-There's a small chance of a final drop to $1.5 (in yellow), before the expected bullish scenario.
go long - swing pick- this stock shows signficant delivery percentage value
- possible chances for accumulation
- may perform good in upcoming days
- this stock is picked after market close based on delivery qty data.
- follow this stock for next 5 days , if entry not triggered with in 5 days , ignore pick
- line marked in chart is the day it showed huge delivery percentage.i consider it as signal candle.i marked its high and low
entry
- go long with 1:1.5 RR
- take entry if 15min close crosses the line , ignore entry if it made gap ups
- i prefer entry with in 5 days , if not triggered ignore this pick
sl
- candle close below signal candle's low
target
- keep 1.5 times of sl.
Bitcoin Roadmap==>>4-hour Time FrameBitcoin made the corrections I had expected in previous posts .
Bitcoin is currently moving in the Support zone($63,410-$62,280) .
According to the good news from the crypto market , we should expect an increase in Bitcoin at least until the end of July, when the annual Bitcoin conference is in a few days.
According to the Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin seems to be completing wave 4 . If the upper line of the descending channel breaks, we can confirm its end .
I expect Bitcoin to rise to at least the Resistance zone($68,000-$66,170) .
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 4-hour time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Gold (XAUUSD): New All-Time High - Double Top or Further Surge?Gold has reached a new all-time high, creating either a double top or peaking at a maximum of $2,487. The price turned within a very narrow range between $2,472 and $2,487, which was remarkably precise.
The precise turnaround within the small range indicates significant resistance at this level. Our primary scenario anticipates a pullback towards $2,200 before the trend resumes upward. This level is crucial for confirming a long-term bullish trend. Alternatively, if the price does not pull back and instead rejects at the Point-of-Control, we may see a continued upward movement.
Should the price break above $2,487, we will cancel our long limit order as the bearish pullback scenario would be invalidated.
LCID Anchored VWAP based swing trade LONGLCID on the 15 minute chart is shown with two sets of anchored VWAP lines overlaid being set
at the pivot low of April 22 and the pivot high of May 6th. LCID completed a trend down today
which began on May 6th. Price has reversed and is breaking up through VWAP band lines on the
chart. The faster green RSI line has crossed over the 50 level in the past trading session. Price
is now about to cross over the longer mean black VWAP line. I am taking a long trade here
targeting 2.88 for 25% of the position, 3.10 for 50% of the position and the reminder for a
runner position to extend for the uppermost band lines. The first two targets are based on the
intermediate VWAP lines as well as the upper and lower boundaries of a standard Fibonacci
retracement. The stop loss will be raised incrementally from its initial setting of
2.74 at the top on the EMA cloud. As the trend down took a few weeks. I am expecting a 2-3
week long trade following a projected trend up.
Chainlink Targets $25After a long accumulation phase, we are again backtesting the last major support where we saw previous buyers step in.
There's a higher probability we increase in price from here and target the 0.618 & weekly level above. A sweep of the lows before a move up is also possible.
Calculate Your Risk/Reward so you don't lose more than 1% of your account per trade.
Every day the charts provide new information. You have to adjust or get REKT.
Love it or hate it, hit that thumbs up and share your thoughts below!
This is not financial advice. This is for educational purposes only.
SQQQ leveraged inverse QQQ LongSQQQ on the 15 minute chart has trended down into a reversal at the end of the last trading
session. A snapshot of the 3 minute chart inlaid shows a reversal about 14:45 EDT 75 minutes
before market close. I took a long trade of shares and call options striking $10.00 for June 14th
at that point. I am expecting a 5% quick return on the shares and far more on the options.
The relative volatility indictor is helpful to further pinpoint the reversal for best entry.
(red to green) The set of Hull Moving Averages ( 14 and 35) also serves to signal "death" and
"golden" crosses which serve to further aid trade entry accuracy. The relative volume indicator
( of veryfid) also helps in that regard. It has extreme volume spikes in black. OF particular
interest, the last 15 minutes of the trading week has a volume spike of buying in SQQQ.
This comforts me to know that other traders saw what I saw. I am fortunate that I saw it
about 45 minutes before them and got a better price. This demonstrates the value of indicators
and knowing how to apply and interpret them. Trading is not as complicated as the pundits
and the fee for services and trading room coaches will have you to believe to make you
financially dependent on their "guidance and assistance".
Netflix (NFLX) - Preparing for the Next Upward MoveBack in March, we anticipated the target zone for Netflix to be between the 38.2% and 61.8% Fibonacci levels. This zone was reached in April, marking the end for Wave 4 perfectly.
Since then, the overarching Wave (1) has likely been completed. We expect a significant correction before another upward move, with the anticipated pullback range between 35% to 50%. Despite the expected correction, we maintain a bullish outlook for Netflix, anticipating higher prices in the longer term.
Once we confirm the pullback and identify precise entry and exit points, we will issue a detailed market report.
go long - swing pick- this stock shows signficant delivery percentage value
- possible chances for accumulation
- may perform good in upcoming days
- this stock is picked after market close based on delivery qty data.
- follow this stock for next 5 days , if entry not triggered with in 5 days , ignore pick
- line marked in chart is the day it showed huge delivery percentage.i consider it as signal candle.i marked its high and low
entry
- go long with 1:1.5 RR
- take entry if 15min close crosses the line , ignore entry if it made gap ups
- i prefer entry with in 5 days , if not triggered ignore this pick
sl
- candle close below signal candle's low
target
- keep 1.5 times of sl.
go long - swing pick- this stock shows signficant delivery percentage value
- possible chances for accumulation
- may perform good in upcoming days
- this stock is picked after market close based on delivery qty data.
- follow this stock for next 5 days , if entry not triggered with in 5 days , ignore pick
- line marked in chart is the day it showed huge delivery percentage.i consider it as signal candle.i marked its high and low
entry
- go long with 1:1.5 RR
- take entry if 15min close crosses the line , ignore entry if it made gap ups
- i prefer entry with in 5 days , if not triggered ignore this pick
sl
- candle close below signal candle's low
target
- keep 1.5 times of sl.
go long - swing pick- this stock shows signficant delivery percentage value
- possible chances for accumulation
- may perform good in upcoming days
- this stock is picked after market close based on delivery qty data.
- follow this stock for next 5 days , if entry not triggered with in 5 days , ignore pick
- line marked in chart is the day it showed huge delivery percentage.it means , i consider it as signal candle.i marked its high and low
entry
- go long with 1:1.5 RR
- take entry if 15min close crosses the line , ignore entry if it made gap ups
- i prefer entry with in 5 days , if not triggered ignore this pick
sl
- candle close below signal candle's low
target
- keep 1.5 times of sl.
07/17 SPY ATR Levels and RangeCurrent ATR showing at 4.50 increasing ever so slightly from last week and so far increase for this week.
if we lopse these levels look for 554.19 Needing to seriously defend this level this could be a possible bounce area, if not we find the high 550.20 level for a bounce.
Preferable to keep within this quarter I would like to see a bounce at 554.19 to push up thru -to 558.70 (Last weeks low)
If we open above 559.12 we could find some resistence at 559.63 range (this weeks low) if the want to take it higher, they may form a channel between 559.63 to 562.11/34/563.67 (564.69) for yesterdays close, after hours high and premarket high.
Whatever the possibilities are, I am looking for price action and volume.
SUI Looks strong but might pull backStrong move up after reclaiming the value area lows.
I would wait for the POC/Daily Level to be flipped into support or wait for a retest of the value area low (blue Line) for a long and target the weekly (Orange Line) above.
Calculate Your Risk/Reward so you don't lose more than 1% of your account per trade.
Every day the charts provide new information. You have to adjust or get REKT.
Love it or hate it, hit that thumbs up and share your thoughts below!
This is not financial advice. This is for educational purposes only.