NQ - trading session no.244:00pm - 4:26pm
not enough volume in the market today, unfortunate
PnL: -2 RR
Weekly PnL: +4.5 RR
Volume
EURJPYWell, Here we go to a new Trading Style.
Adaptability is key :)
We have an order block here which is interesting. I would close trade if 1 hr Closes below that Order block.
Welcome!!!
BB set up for a move higher pre-earnings LONGBB on the 15 minute chart has earnings in three weeks. Price has been meandering sideways
for two weeks after some significant volatility in mid-May. I believe it is now due for a change
of phase/cycle as the earnings approach. I will place a long trade here targeting initially 3.10
just below a significant level to the left being the consolidations before and after the
volatility of mid-May. These is the likely level where traders will again make trades in BB.
The upcoming earnings should add some extra volatility into the price action which could
translate into profit.
Tesla (TSLA): Trend Reversal or Just a Blip?Today, we are analyzing Tesla on the daily chart. After surviving the stronger sell-off at the 78.6% retracement level and avoiding the stop loss, we have witnessed a bullish divergence, which led to a significant upward push.
Starting from the end of Wave (1), Tesla left this wave with a breakout gap downward. This breakout gap has not been closed yet, and we continuously saw lower lows and lower highs, indicating a clear downtrend. Recently, the first higher high has formed, which is a strong indication of a trend reversal.
We believe Tesla might trade back towards the breakout gap, potentially testing it briefly before moving upwards towards the Point of Control. Between the levels of $190 and $230, trading volume has been low, and we don't expect this to change significantly. Therefore, a quick rise to around $260 is possible.
The key question now is whether the breakout gap will be tested. We maintain our view that Wave (2) concluded at approximately $139, and we should be on the way up. If the price falls below $139, a quick retrace to around $100 is likely.
$BTC retest 0.5 fib level. Breaking?Hey there guyys!
Some update for BTC, we retested the 0.5 fib level in the 4th correctional wave.
But, according to volumes and my expectations to see full ABC corrections seems like we can test also 0.618 and from this level I will check the enter point. Also, there is summer, could also happen that we can go lower, so don't forget to use SL.
Your thoughts?
IMPORTANT! Always follow RM strategy. Don't take more than 5% risk. Happy trades!
ETHBTC. Should we look for buying opportunities?On the weekly time frame (TF), there has been a sideways movement since May 2021. The seller's vector 11-12 interacted with the lower boundary of the range at 0.049081 several times. After the first interaction in January 2024, the buyer performed well with a single weekly candle (January 8th), forming a buyer's zone (blue rectangle on the chart). A similar situation is happening now, with the weekly candle on May 20th also showing a good spread and volume, creating another buyer's zone (blue rectangle on the chart, with the upper boundary at 0.05206). Since the seller's vector has reached all its targets within the range, the current buyer's vector is 12-13. The potential target is 0.085621 (~50%), and it seems reasonable to look for buying opportunities. However, the question remains whether the buyer's activity will develop further or if the price will update the local minimum again (0.04473).
It is reasonable to look for buying opportunities on the weekly time frame from the buyer's zone (upper edge – 0.05206), with the idea of realizing the buyer's vector 12-13. The first potential targets are 0.06117 and 0.06257, with an ambitious target of 0.085621.
Let's examine the lower time frames to determine where else it is reasonable to look for buying opportunities.
Daily Time Frame
On the daily time frame, there was a seller's trend. The last seller's impulse started from the level 0.05249 and ended at the level 0.04473. Then, there was a buyer's impulse, and now the price is above 0.05249, indicating that the seller's trend has stopped. The key candle of the buyer's impulse (the highest volume in the impulse, marked as "KC" on the chart) is at the end of the impulse.
Buying opportunities can be considered if the buyer defends the levels at 0.05332 (the key candle of the impulse) and 0.05249 (the price of the last seller's impulse started from), with the idea of initiating a long trend and breaking above 0.05744. It would be cool, during the seller's attack on the level 0.05249, the price moves into the buyer's zone on the weekly TF (0.05206 or below), and then the buyer brings the price back above 0.05249 and defends this level.
If the price falls below 0.05249 and the seller defends this level, it is likely that the price will move towards the local minimum (0.04473).
4-Hour Time Frame
The price has formed a sideways movement. The buyer's vector 6-7 has reached its targets. The current seller's vector 7-8 has a potential target of 0.05322 (see the 0.05322 level on the daily TF above). The lower boundary of the range is 0.0525, which coincides with the 0.05249 level on the daily TF.
It makes sense to look for buying opportunities on the 4-hour TF if the buyer defends the levels at 0.05322 or 0.0525, based on the idea of the buyer's vector 8-9 within the range.
Sales can also be considered from the seller's defense of the 0.05622 or 0.05744 levels, based on the idea of the realization of the 7-8 vector within the range.
Magic Panda says DownIn line with my previous trade record, this is just a public record of some predictions. They mirror my live trades for the moment. This idea is published more for discussion of how it goes than a thesis of why.
XAUUSD Swing TrendXAUUSD Swing Trend
Down Trend in my 3 Trends Analysis
Open a Sell position when the price reaches the FVG zone and make a Reversal Pattern which is close to the Cancel Minor Trend line which is a short Stop Loss point and is also a significant line from the POC of Volume Normal Distribution above.
Still looking down And the downward momentum will look better when the price drops below 2280.
The target is to drop in the area of 2200 - 2150 which is the lower support zone.
Things to be careful about: Time Cycle, the latest low was exactly 21 days, so this set of downtrends should break the Low to head down for 34 days, according to the Fibonacci proportion.
Trade with faith in your beliefs and follow your own plan.
C.Goii SuperTrader
Bitcoin is Ready to Attack the Resistance zone!!!Bitcoin started to rise above the Support line after the Consumer Price Index (CPI) announcement.
Currently, Bitcoin has managed to go above the Support zone($69,340_$69,000) and 100_SMA(4-hour TF) again and break the Resistance line .
According to the Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin seems to have succeeded in completing wave 4, and we should wait for Bitcoin to attack the Resistance zone($70,890_$70,140) .
I expect Bitcoin to go up to at least $70,600(Cumulative Short Positions Liquidation) .
Note: An important point you should always remember is capital management and lack of greed.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Adobe (ADBE): Earnings Report to Trigger Major Move?With Adobe's earnings report due tomorrow, we have analyzed the weekly chart to get a clearer picture. We started our count in November 2018, identifying the sub-waves 1 and 2 leading up to the primary Wave (1). This Wave (1), like the preceding sub-waves, experienced a very rapid sell-off. Such quick declines are unusual for Wave 2s, but in this chart, it repeats frequently, confirming our interpretation despite being atypical.
We have now identified the sub-wave 1 of the overarching Wave (3). This range and its midpoint have been well respected, and we are currently at the midpoint.
Two scenarios could unfold:
• Negative Earnings Report : If the earnings report disappoints, the price could fall into the Weekly Order Block Cluster around the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level, approximately $350. This would likely result in a significant pullback within the range.
• Positive Earnings Report : If the earnings report is strong, the price could shoot up, creating a breakout gap. After this initial surge, we might see a retrace back towards the midpoint of the range before continuing upwards to potentially make a new high above $700.
Given the uncertainty, we are not placing any entries at this time. We will wait to see how the earnings report affects the price action and then consider potential positions based on the developments.
Broadcom (AVGO): Set for a New High or Due for a Pullback?Since the COVID-19 low in March 2020 at $155, Broadcom has seen an incredible surge, similar to Nvidia's performance. The stock has skyrocketed by an astounding 840% since that low. This massive run-up makes the analysis challenging, but we've identified the Wave (1) and Wave (2) structures of this upward movement.
The internal wave structure is not clear, making it difficult to analyze further. Broadcom has had only one sideways range between $780 and $922. Otherwise, the stock has been moving parabolically upwards.
A significant trendline, initially touched at Wave (1), has been broken five or six times, with the seventh touch holding as support. Given the upcoming earnings report, we believe Broadcom could rise to the $1,600 to $1,800 range, with a maximum potential target of $2,300 or higher.
Realistically and statistically, we anticipate a pullback for Wave (3) between the 227.2% and 261.8% levels. However, it's also possible that Broadcom continues its upward trajectory without interruption, similar to Nvidia.
Today's earnings report will be crucial in determining the next move for Broadcom. We will be watching closely to see if the stock continues its parabolic rise or if we get the pullback.
NQ - trading session no.234:00pm - 5:00pm
good session today
- price action was very good today (trendy and not too choppy)
- also many good trades today
PnL: +3 RR
GME new bullish momentum LONGGME on a weekly chart has clear the chop zone on that indicator and is now above the POC
line of the long -term volume profile indicating that bullish momentum is greater than bearish
momentum. I will take a long trade here targeting the pivot highs of 2022 for three quarters
of the trade and the base of the high pivots of 2021 for the reminder. 21.7 below the POC
line will be the initial stop loss to be moved to break even upon a price rise of 10% from the
entry and then changed to a trailing loss of 10% upon another 10% price rise. I believe that
GME is heavily shorted; Accordingly, a short squeeze could add to the push higher.
BTC Technical Analysis. "Our greatest glory is not in never falling, but in rising every time we fall"
Dear Analysts and Traders,
I would like to share my latest look at the BTC price chart. First of all, I would like to point out that I am not a person who received a targeted education. I am a self-taught person who places particular emphasis on the use of Technical Analysis as the main component of the decision-making process. This is due to my approach, which assumes that the chart, although difficult to read, allows for the interpretation of the hidden intentions of "smart money". I would like to emphasize that the following words only illustrate my point of view, which does not have to be right, and that the publication is absolutely not investment or educational advice within the meaning of any law regulating these issues. I'm just going to talk about things I don't know anything about. In the analysis, I will use my own indicator, which is publicly available. The average value of the indicator is obtained from all visible data on the chart.
Background
In the graph showing the period from aprox. November 2022, I see a strong upward trend, which has been broken several times by the accumulation structure. The price stops around $74k, which means the price has increased by about 370%. In the more recent past, I notice a price formation resembling a double top on the chart.
Situational analysis
I analyze the chart using three volume profiles, elements of Elliot's theory and harmonic structures.
In my opinion, the most important element of the chart is the horizontal structure, which I consider to be the probable distribution. I think so because I see several indications in the chart that suggest so. The first is a structure referring to Wyckoff's theory and VSA elements. The trend and structure are in the upper part almost from the ruler, there are distribution signals that are stronger than accumulation ones, which I marked with colored arrows. In my opinion, the Bitcoin price chart represents Phase B of distribution. I see demand exhaustion near possible Uphtrust. I marked events consistent with Wyckoff's methodology in white letters.
There is a Volume Reversal Pattern between the last two highs.
The earliest profile shows a POC equal to my proposed price level, which would be the D vertex of a potential harmonic structure - the bullish bat. Looking at the second chronological volume profile, I see supply signals crossing the upper limit of the trading rank created by the profile from below. On the third, most important profile, I see a High Volume Node equal to the VOP of the first profile and also the D point of the bat. From the Elliot theory side, I believe that the price is stuck at the end of the fifth wave and I should expect a correction. I also pay attention to the time dimension. The time to cover the distance between extremes during an impulse is equal to the time between the next such event. Considering the time zone according to the Fibbonaci numbers and the impulse wave, I see a comparable distance between the X-A and B-C-D vertices.
Interpretation
Given the number of signals suggesting the significance of aprox. $43k, I think there is a high probability that this analysis will come true. Thinking about the volume ratio between accumulation and distribution, I dare say that it is possible for this accumulation to be the initial support in a Wyckoff higher-level structure.
I am very glad that this analysis was created because, especially if implemented, it will be a broad synthesis of various Technical Analysis methods to study market behavior.
Whoever reached the end of my thoughts, I thank you and I hope that the time to explore my thoughts was not wasted.
Fruitful trades and flawless analyses!
CatTheTrader
Solana to tap around $150 before sending to new ATHThis wedge pattern is a strong bullish signal for Solana, in my opinion. It's in a slight downward trend currently, but I do believe considering the high volume support around the $150 zone, that it will tap there and then eventually soar to new all-time highs.
SHIB - Shytoshi's Monthly MountainShib's long term outlook levels. Volume Profile. Value area high/low. Full range 618 and more local monthly 618. This is one of those charts you look back on a year later and wonder why you didn't do better....except you are seeing it now. Happy trading.
NQ - trading session no.224:00pm - 5:00pm
good session today
- look out for key lvls! When price is consolidating --> even more lvls!!!
- try not to get a bullish or bearish bias when were in a consolidation (higher timeframe)
- trust your gut! worked out well today
PnL: +2 RR
Downtrend reversal to fill the thin volume I expect a Downtrend reversal to fill the thin volume, aligning with the major trend.
There's excess on the Day Before volume, which forms a B-shape.
COT:
LONG Commercial: 641294
SHORT Commercial: 896707
NQ - trading session no.214:00pm - 5:00pm
- dont trade after your fkn session dummy
- dont try to miss any trades alright???
PnL: +1.5 RR (atleast I cut the risk in half tho)
AUD/CAD Day Trading AnalysisOn AUD/CAD, it's nice to see a strong sell-off from the price of 0.91130. It's also encouraging to observe a strong volume area where a lot of contracts are accumulated.
I believe that sellers from this area will defend their short positions. When the price returns to this area, strong sellers will push the market down again.
The downtrend combined with First VWAP standard deviation of the week are my main reasons for this short trade.
Happy trading,
Dale
NZD/USD Day Trading Analysis With Volume ProfileOn NZD/USD it's nice to see a strong sell-off from the price of 0.61890. It's also encouraging to observe a strong volume area where a lot of contracts are accumulated.
I believe that sellers from this area will defend their short positions. When the price returns to this area, strong sellers will push the market down again.
The downtrend combined with the strong volume area are my main reasons for this short trade.
Happy trading,
Dale
Futures Gold Day Trading analysisOn Gold , it's nice to see a strong sell-off from the price of 2351. It's also encouraging to observe a strong volume area where a lot of contracts are accumulated.
I believe that sellers from this area will defend their short positions. When the price returns to this area, strong sellers will push the market down again.
The downtrend combined with the strong volume area along with the strong S/R area from the past are my main reasons for this short trade.
Happy trading,
Dale
Possible XAUUSD reversal to fill the thin volumeIf we manage to break through High Volume Area R1, then going through R2 and further will be more feasible, volume-wise.
Last 4 trading days, Point Of Control has gone through higher highs, indicating an upside momentum.
The DB (Day Before) was closed aggressively lower. However it left a think volume trace behind and POC is higher too.
Fundamentally, political instability in Europe, with shocking results in European Election and snap elections announcement from Macron in France could be a catalyst for Gold bulls.
