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(BTC) bitcoin "volume"The volume measures of now versus the past are at a height that is as high as when Bitcoin was at a previous all time high years ago. The main difference now versus then in case people have already forgotten is the fact that the halving means a difference in value for mining and the capacity to hold blocks, mine block, transact blocks. The current volumes are high as they ever were in the past with a decrease in mining value and an increase in large in flows from ETF transactions with holdings being done through Coinbase to afford outsiders that want to use bitcoin to invest without being the physical holder of the BTC. The price of Bitcoin falling due to such high volumes is less likely when taking into consideratipn where the volume came into play in the first place and the halving change values. Will there be people that will use Bitcoin to transact during the Olympics to keep their transactions private internationally? How likely is the usage of Bitcoin in the real world coming? The sooner the realization of Bitcoin as a transactional digital currency internationally is understood the stronger the usage. You will have to make your own mind about whether the volume can go higher in the pink dot range and if the value of Bitcoin in your own mind is going to continue to increase, remain neutral thus allowing the pink dots to slowly decrease in height, or physically decrease in share value per BTC.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by CryptocurrencyBlot
SNDL a MJ penny stock in reversal from trend down LONGSNDL is shown on a weekly chart with a volume profile and VWAP band lines anchored back three years. Perhaps due to recent news of potential federal legalization or other catalysts SNDL is now above its pivot low. The EMA cloud ( periods 7, 21 and 42) is now green as lines converged into a zero slope and are now rising. Price is now approaching the first lower band line and will thus enter the fair value zone above the undervalued zone. A reasonable target is 7.0 where the POC line of the volume profile is confluent with the black mean VWAP line. The is more than 100% upside and will not occur quickly. Price may get spikes with marijuana-related news along the way. A sign the trade is going bad is if both the faster green RSI line and the slower black RSI line both go below the 50 level. The stop loss will be at 1.86 below the EMA cloud. Accordingly. the risk is $0.50 per risk. If only $100 is to be risked the trade can be 200 shares. Risk is off when price rises to $2.85 and the stop-loss is adjusted to the entry price. Beyond $3.00, the stop loss can be adjusted to a trailing 10-15% or the ATR. I see the last weekly candle as a Doji and so consolidation and price consensus making for a best entry.
NASDAQ:SNDLLong
by AwesomeAvani
MNTS- Momentus secures federal contract LONGMNTS is now contracted with the Pentagon and NASA for space exploration work including satellites and a space station pages.optimallivingdynamics.com Traders and investors reacted in the past day or two. MNTS is currently priced at about 99.9 % of its ATH of about $1250 three years ago. Accordingly, it is a penny stock with a potential 1000X upside. That is to say $ 1000 could become $1 M. 135 million shares traded in the past day. Revenue increased 4X quarter to quarter. The Price X Volime Trend had and impressive pop I will take a speculative long trade here for a long duration swing trade to see if MNTS can launch higher.
NASDAQ:MNTSLong
by AwesomeAvani
4
CAT blue chip industrial LONGCAT on the daily chart has trended down more or less since the last earnings beat 6-7 weeks ago. It has now found support at the 0.5 and 0.612 Fibonacci levels confluent with the mean VWAP anchored back 6 months. The Bollinger Band Trend shows a narrow band with for the first time this year. The Relative Trend Index is negative but about to go neutral. I see this as opportunity to take a long trade well ahead of the next earnings. I assume CAT may have solid earnings in the current quarter as its equipment production is purchased by those in the construction industry making expenditures for residential as well as road construction and repair. The Chris Moody RSI indicator shows both lines inflecting in bullish divergence which supports a long trade.
NYSE:CATLong
by AwesomeAvani
GE is GEAerospace a buy 5% below its ATH? - LONGGE is now priced at 5% below its recent ATH. The daily chart shows it to be on a VWAP breakout over two standard deviations above the mean anchored VWAP originating in 2 and a half years ago. Price has dipped and pulled back to the midline of the Bollinger Bands and buying volatility is fading as can be seen on the indicators. I see this as a safe point to add to my GE long positions of shares and call options. Having trimmed some of those positions 4 weeks ago, I will add the same amount back in along with 20% extra. When earnings are upcoming in August I will again look for a pivot high from which to trim again.
NYSE:GE
by AwesomeAvani
MBLY manufactures autonomous driving components LONGMobileye Global Inc. (MBLY) operates in the Automotive - Original Equipment sector1. The company specializes in developing and deploying advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) and autonomous driving technologies and solutions worldwide They offer a range of products, including safety features for real-time detection of road users, cloud-enhanced driver assist solutions, and self-driving systems for various road types MBLY on a 180 minute chart shows up and down trending in the past 3-4 months. A support level is identified in the $24-25 range. Price is currently rising above support with an increase in relative volume similar to that of late February and Early March. The Awesome oscillator is green and positive at this time. The volume profile shows a low volume overhead demonstrating little volume resistance to an overhead move higher. I will take a long trade here seeking those targets in the upcoming 1-2 months. I have identified targets of 41 and 45 based on pivots in 2023. I will take a long trade here
NASDAQ:MBLY
by AwesomeAvani
2
NIO: Great Investment, or a Flop?My attention has for the moment been directed towards NIO thanks to Morgan Stanley’s recent purchase of 10M shares, raising their investment value by 55% to over 28M shares, whilst simultaneously setting a near 100% upside 1Y price target to $10 per share. Ahead of NIO’s June 6 earnings report for 1Q2024, I thought it best to take it upon myself to review the company’s past reports, consumer sentiment, competition, and upcoming industry opportunities, in the anticipation that the all time high (ATH) of about $67 may be broken not so far in the future — quite possibly in the next two to three years. Indeed, that sort of prediction may appear at first to be the lament of an investor who readily entered the stock near its ATH, but in fact I have neither open nor closed positions in NIO stock or options at the time of publishing. That is to say: this is an independent evaluation intended to lay out NIO’s potential to become a high-value company, alongside factors that might stand against such an increase. What is NIO, and What Differentiates Them? As stated in their Annual Report 2023 , published April 2024, NIO is “a pioneer and a leading company in the premium smart electric vehicle market. We design, develop, manufacture, and sell premium smart electric vehicles, driving innovations in next-generation technologies in assisted and intelligent driving, digital technologies, electric powertrains and batteries. We differentiate ourselves through our continuous technological breakthroughs and innovations, such as our industry-leading battery swapping technologies, Battery as a Service, or BaaS, as well as our proprietary NIO assisted and intelligent driving and its subscription services.” Compared to most other Chinese EV companies, NIO distinguishes itself primarily through two factors: high-end models and battery swapping. High-End Models NIO focuses on the premium segment of the EV market, offering luxury features and cutting-edge technology. Their vehicles are known in China for their performance, design, and advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS). Models cater to consumers looking for high-quality, technologically advanced vehicles. This positioning allows NIO to target a market with higher profit margins and less price sensitivity compared to the mass market. However, this also effectively sets an upper limit on the demand, as most lower-class and low middle-class would not be able to purchase NIO even if they are willing. It is also worth noting that in Chinese culture, names are seen as of great importance; NIO’s Chinese name is pronounced wèi lái, which means Blue Sky Coming , and it is seen as almost auspicious and rather chic. The same pronunciation of the characters can also be used to mean “future” when written in a different manner. Trading View prevents using multiple languages, hence the lack of Chinese characters. Battery Swapping and Battery as a Service (BaaS) NIO's battery-swapping technology is a significant differentiator: instead of traditional charging methods, NIO offers battery-swapping stations where depleted batteries can be exchanged for fully charged ones in a matter of minutes, replaced by robots without a need for human intervention. This innovation addresses two of the primary concerns of EV owners — charging time and charger availability (for those without private chargers). The BaaS model further enhances this by allowing customers to lease batteries instead of purchasing them with the car, reducing the upfront cost of the vehicle by about $10K and offering flexibility to upgrade to newer battery technologies as they become available. This service model is unique and provides NIO with a recurring revenue stream, similar to a subscription service. The standard 75kWh battery costs $100 per month and the long-range 100kWh one cost $230 per month (respectively reduced by 31% and 35% in March). Do note that the costs accrued from building battery swap station and chargers increases relatively linearly — a good sign as long as revenue continues to increase exponentially. As of May 29, 2024, there are 2,427 recorded swap stations in China, 802 of which are along highways. While there are fewer swap stations in Europe, these are located in larger cities where most NIO Europe users are concentrated. Cooperations with other EV companies are in the works to develop cars which can utilize NIO’s existing battery swap station. Today, NIO has the following partners on battery swapping: GAC Group, FAW Group, Changan Automobile, Geely Group, JAC Group, Chery Automobile, and Lotus Technology. If these collaborations ever come into fruition, NIO would undoubtedly have higher profits from the numerous non-NIO vehicles using their swapping services. Besides, as of November 2023, about 80% of the power from NIO chargers is used by other brands, with BYD and TSLA vehicles being the foremost at 19.4% and 12.3%, respectively. Safety I would like to leave this note on safety, since much attention has lately been drawn to the issue of Chinese EVs catching fire. According to Wikipedia , NIO only had 3 fires recorded by 2021, one of which was caused by a collision; an article in 2023 states two more fires had occurred due to collisions, bringing the estimated total to five for a company that has now sold over 515K EVs as of May 31, 2024. It is suggested that those looking to invest in Chinese EV companies compare their rates of fire per hundred thousand cars sold. For NIO, this number seems extremely low, at under 1 fire per 100K — unless there remains other data my investigation did not uncover. Stock Performance and Sentiment NIO's stock has historically been highly volatile, reflecting both the rapid growth potential and inherent risks associated with the EV industry. I have identified a possible supertrend buy signal on the 5Y chart in the case that the stock price closes above the $6.56 mark at the end of any week. If this happens, it could signify a robust upward momentum, potentially attracting a wave of new investors and boosting market confidence. This possibility is supported by an upwards slope in on-balance volume (OBV) since mid-April — a momentum indicator for volume showing crowd sentiment. Please refer to the chart for supertrend and OBV. The green box indicates the possible buy zone if the supertrend is confirmed, and the arrows on the graph seek to provide a rough guide for how price might move. Overall, market sentiment is mixed, with many investors predicting for an uptrend and others unsure of when NIO will become profitable. Consumer sentiment towards NIO remains generally positive, particularly among tech-savvy and environmentally conscious consumers. The company’s focus on high-end models with advanced features has carved out a niche in the premium EV market. Their NIO house idea further sets them apart from competitors, offering a place where users. These strategies positions NIO well against competitors like Tesla, which also targets the high-end segment, and differentiates it from other Chinese EV manufacturers that compete primarily on price. Competition and Industry Landscape NIO operates in a highly competitive landscape with numerous players vying for market share. Tesla remains a formidable competitor globally and within China, leveraging its brand recognition and extensive Supercharger network. Other Chinese manufacturers like BYD and XPeng also pose significant competition, each with their own strengths in battery technology, manufacturing scale, and market strategies. It seems unlikely NIO will ever have the chance to expand to the United States of America. However, the rest of the Americas might hold some potential for future expansion. At the moment, it might be best for NIO to solidify their position in the Chinese markets and to gain more loyal customers across Europe. Recent Events and Announcements NIO Energy, a key subsidiary focusing on charging infrastructure, battery swapping, and energy storage, recently secured a substantial investment of $207 million. This capital influx is earmarked primarily for research and development (R&D), as well as to support manufacturing and operational costs. Such investments are crucial for NIO’s ongoing technological advancements and expansion of its service network, enhancing its competitive edge in the fast-evolving EV market. Furthermore, NIO announced its record-breaking May deliveries of “20,544 vehicles, increasing by 233.8% year-over-year. NIO delivered 66,217 vehicles year-to-date in 2024, increasing by 51.0% year-over-year.” Having broken their July 2023 highs in deliveries, it appears more and more likely that once NIO ameliorates their cost-managing, their profits will see a formidable increase. Anticipation is building around NIO’s upcoming earnings report for Q1 2024, scheduled for release on June 6. Previous quarterly reports have shown mixed results, with strong revenue growth but persistent challenges in achieving consistent profitability. Industry Opportunities and Challenges The EV industry is poised for substantial growth, driven by increasing environmental regulations, government incentives, and a global shift towards sustainable transportation. For NIO, opportunities lie in expanding its market share, both domestically and internationally, and further innovating in battery technology and autonomous driving. However, the company faces several challenges. Supply chain constraints, rising raw material costs, and geopolitical tensions can impact production and profitability. Additionally, NIO must continuously innovate to stay ahead of the competition, particularly in battery technology and autonomous driving capabilities. Conclusion: Great Investment or a Flop? NIO presents a compelling investment opportunity with its innovative technologies, strong brand positioning, and significant growth potential in the premium EV market. The company’s strategic focus on battery swapping and BaaS provides a unique value proposition that could drive recurring revenue and customer loyalty. However, potential investors should also consider the risks. The EV market is highly competitive and rapidly evolving, with substantial operational and regulatory challenges. NIO’s financial performance has been inconsistent, and achieving sustained profitability remains a key hurdle that NIO will hopefully be able to resolve by end of year 2024. In conclusion, while NIO has the potential to become a high-value company and possibly exceed its previous all-time high of $67 per share in the next few years, it also faces significant risks that could impede its growth. Investors should weigh these factors carefully and consider their own risk tolerance and investment horizon before making a decision. Once the June 6 earnings report is released, I will make an update to further scrutinize earnings and revenue growth. At the moment, it seems a small long position in NIO at the current price would be fitting (low theoretical downside risk at just over $5 per share), although it might be best to wait for supertrend and OBV confirmation before making a hefty commitment. Omni out. Feel free to ask any questions or provide suggestions. This is not financial advice.
NYSE:NIOLong
by OmniscientInvestor
12
SPCE this penny stock could launch from the support area LONGSPCE has lots of potential but sometimes gets bogged down with "technical difficulties" It is burning cash just less than the analysts have predicted. As such it is a risky trade. Best probabilities for success on a long trade is to buy as low as possible and hope that is its now putting in a reliable double bottom on a six month trend down. On the 30 minute chart I have marked upside targets on the volume profile not shown . I am expecting 100-150% in this swing long trade which may last 4-8 months.
NYSE:SPCELong
by AwesomeAvani
DKNG flushed and then went dry LONGDKNG is a solid large cap with great price action. Today it drained 5% and then put on the stopper. Price reversed and stabilized in the afternoon session. The fall was to below the second lower VWAP band in deep undervalued territory. I see this as a chance to pick up DNKG at a 10-15% discount for a long trade. The dual time frame crossover of the faster line over the slower line is reassuring bullish divergence enough for me to look for the best entry on the lower time frame chart.
NASDAQ:DKNGLong
by AwesomeAvani
5
PINS - this social media company making a comeback LONGPINS on the weekly chart hit the ATH during the COVID era and then faded in a one-year trend down until summer 2022. It has now reversed and is slowly trending up. The Price Volume Trend indicator shows the reversal as starting July 29, 2022 with a correction in May 2023. I see this as a safe swing trade targeting 50 and 65 as drawn by black horizontals. They are the levels of a neckline of the H & S at the ATH and a small pivot in October 2021. These are roughly 20% and 50% profit at those two take profit levels.
NYSE:PINSLong
by AwesomeAvani
NotCoin 1hIf the bulls break the resistance line to the upside, the first take profit is the $0.03 resistance, everything is clear on the chart for your trades. Indicators: MACD : neutral (transactions at the middle level) RSI : neutral (in the seller's section) Bitcoin dictates the market, but until today NotCoin transactions are separated from the market, the herd trades emotionally (buying and selling), capital management is the first step in the success of transactions ;)
by Saeed-sheikh
Ethereum & Bitcoin - NFP Market Thought With the NFP data coming in hot for the USD, which is unfavorable for all assets trading against it, we are closely monitoring both Bitcoin and Ethereum. We anticipate a sweep of the lows to clear out some liquidity before the uptrend continues. For Bitcoin, we believe the current weekly VWAP or the current weekly VAL, supported by the pwVAH, should hold BTC. There might be a liquidation around 70k after a drop followed by a V-shaped recovery. Regarding Ethereum, we've been ranging since the start of June between the March VAH and the pmVAH. Given the sharp rise in the last week, it seems likely we'll retest the March VWAP or even the cluster around 3.4k, which we consider the "worst-case" scenario in the near term. To turn bullish, we need to reclaim the March VAH and hold it as support. If this happens, ETH and altcoins should have the momentum to surge, pushing ETH to 4k relatively quickly.
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by stromm_by_wmc
1
Are we expecting more bullish in Gold?This has already built an hourly top at a strong H4 level. Gold could be breaking above with that dynamic, we also have order volume below, which we do not know if gold is still interested in. At least the last order block should be reached by tonight or beginning of next week, even if gold wants to break further above. It could also be reversing until CAD and USD News and climb back up afterwards. If it corrects, we could see a new floor at the H4 zone around 2348.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Heaven10
VTYX- a risky biotechnology penny stock LONGVTRX is on a 120 minute chart, currently trading at 90% off its ATH and 50% above its absolute long term support level. Price tried to cross above the long term mean VWAP 3 months ago but was rejected. I anticipate that in time it will try to so so again. From 3.3 to a target of 9 would be a move in the neighborhood of 300%. I will take a small position long trade here. This will be highly volatile. I will place a 25% stop loss to give VTRX room to roam for a couple of earnings periods. Once the price rises 25% I will convert to a trailing stop loss of 25% and make the then risk free trade low maintenance.
NASDAQ:VTYXLong
by AwesomeAvani
(NVDA) nVidia "so close"Custom indicator to track volume against median levels diverting levels of highs and lows. Basically the indicator looks to measure something that offers a view of the direction of shares and whether the shares are pulling or pushing against the price of the stock, or crypto. In this case nVidia is running eerily close to the zero hline. The split is coming up and there will be 10x more shares. Even though the stock split shows definite signs of continued growth and future gains in mcap the timing is correlated as such. The image is on the week length because I couldn't fit the entire image one the day length of time with my computer. The purple line falls as the price gains. The purple line works against the movement of the graph chart in any sense of the word.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by CryptocurrencyBlot
Gold continue with the UptrendOn Gold, it's nice to see a strong buying reaction at the price of 2375. There's a significant accumulation of contracts in this area, indicating strong buyer interest. I believe that buyers who entered at this level will defend their long positions. If the price returns to this area, strong buyers will likely push the market up again. The S/R zone from the past and high volume cluster are the main reasons for my decision to go long on this trade. Happy trading Dale
COMEX:GC1!
by Trader_Dale
2
MRNA Taking Profit, Watching for a add LONG after a pullback.MRNA has been on fire since the earnings beat 4 weeks ago and has added 60% to its market cap in the past three months. It compares well with NVAX which as a prior penny stock has more volatility and upside potential. In general vaccine stocks are performing well as COVID RSV and influenza vaccines are active in research are Viral Hepatitis vaccine enhancements and the drive for an HIV vaccine. MRNA is strong and perhaps becoming overbought. The mass index indicator has topped and maybe falling to the trigger line. I will take a one- third partial off my position here and wait for a pullback with reversal to add back into the position at a lower price. The tandem of MRNA and NVAX has been very profitable for me. Careful in trade management will help me keep it that way.
NASDAQ:MRNALong
by AwesomeAvani