Volume
Boeing is still flying. BAPretty strong evidence for continuation of upward price action o this one. We are certainly waiting on a RSX momentum divergence to form here, hopefully in the upwards of 1.0 Fibonacci extension of the immediately previous move. Markets are very fluid, and as such percentage probabilities vary with time passing. What looks right today, may not look so tomorrow.
Bitcoin and altcoin overview (February 07-08)The Bitcoin scenario has remained almost unchanged. We are still expecting a resurgence of buying activity. Selling pressure remains weak, and absorption is visible in the cumulative delta.
We are considering a long position either on a test of the nearest buyer's zone below or after a breakout of the trendline followed by a retest.
Sell Zone:
📍 $107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies)
Buy Zones:
📍 $95,000–$93,000 (volume anomalies)
📍 $89,000–$86,300 (accumulated volumes)
As for altcoins, we currently don’t see any clear setups.
Betting on Cool Down at Thermo Fischer. TMOIt's not a perfect butterfly, but I am willing to take a shot given the wealth of evidence in the background from our algorithmic indicators. MIDAS cross line plus resistant vWAP and US, which also crossed 4-5 candles ago, plus cross on VZO and heralding cross on Stoch/RSI. BB %PCT is about to flip also. Highly, highly suggestive picture.
Bearish on Salesforce. CRMA very nice confluence here as well. The most glaring is the green MIDAS line cross on the background of downgoing vWAP, US lines, which are above the candlesticks. Looking below, the picture adds more confidence in crossing of the midline for both VZO and Ehlers Stoch/RSI indicators. Price action alone is very bearish. Good luck out there.
Bitcoin and altcoin overview (February 06-07)Yesterday, Bitcoin's scenarios remained unchanged. We failed to break the newly formed local low, meaning we can still expect consolidation above the $99,200–$98,000 local buy zone and a potential upward movement from current levels.
An alternative scenario remains a move toward a stronger buyer volume zone below, followed by the formation of a reversal structure for a long position.
Sell Zone:
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies).
Buy Zones:
$95,000–$93,000 (volume anomalies).
$89,000–$86,300 (accumulated volumes).
Interesting Altcoins:
VVV is showing weakness during the upward move, with formed volumes not positioning as buyer volumes.
We are considering a short position either through a false breakout of the local high or after breaking below the $5.3–$4.83 volume zone, followed by a retest from the opposite side.
Additionally, the SWARM setup described yesterday remains relevant.
$SPY February 6, 2025AMEX:SPY February 6, 2025
15 Minutes.
Yesterday we had 604 levels.
Today for the rise 598.58 to 604.36 holding 602 levels we can expect 605-606 levels as initial target.
Once 606 is held i expect 609-610 levels tomorrow or by Friday.
AMEX:SPY is above all moving averages.
At the moment uptrend intact as long AMEX:SPY above 598 levels being the last LL.
Not for shorting today as per chart at the moment.
The top of channel is around 610 levels for the day on time.
Gold. Daily and hourly TFHey traders and investors!
On the daily timeframe, another buyer's impulse, which has not yet been completed (waiting for a short bar). Three bars with increased volume are at the bottom of the impulse, below 2,806. The last two daily bars have decreasing volume.
On the hourly timeframe, the price has formed a sideways range. The current seller's vector is 5-6, with a potential target of 2,859.975.
Buying Strategies
Buying (long) setups should be considered from the lower levels of the range at 2,859.975 – 2,858.
On the daily timeframe, given the current situation, buying opportunities can be looked for below the close of the last bar with increased volume – 2,814.710
Selling Strategies
Looking for selling (short) setups is risky, but if desired, it is reasonable to do so from the upper levels of the hourly range at 2,873.340 - 2,882. Alternatively, below 2,858, when the seller breaks out of the range downward and confirms this breakout.
I wish you profitable trades!
BTCUSDT. Daily and Hourly TFHey traders and investors!
On the daily timeframe, the price is in the middle of the range. The current seller's vector is 13-14, with a potential target of 91,231.
On the hourly timeframe, the price is below the lower boundary of the range. The current buyer's vector is 8-9, with a potential target of 100,777.
Selling Strategies
Selling (short) setups should be considered from the upper levels of the range:
- For the hourly timeframe: 100,777 and 102,500. Alternatively, below 96,150, when the seller breaks out of the range downward and confirms this breakout.
- For the daily timeframe: 102,500 – 109,588.
Buying Strategies
Buying (long) setups should be considered from the lower levels of the range:
- On the hourly timeframe, the price is currently in this zone. However, the lower boundary of the hourly range has been traded through. Looking for buy setups below 99,149 is risky, while above 99,149, the risk-reward ratio may not be favorable until the potential target is reached (100,777).
- On the daily timeframe, key levels to consider for buying are 91,231 – 89,256.
I wish you profitable trades!
Bitcoin: on the verge of a breakthrough or reversal?Bitcoin's global trend is still going up, but the current consolidation phase is making us wonder: will we see a new all-time high, or is the market getting ready for a correction? Let's take a look at the situation using technical and fundamental analysis.
1. Current Situation: consolidation after growth
The daily chart of BINANCE:BTCUSDT shows that after the rapid growth since October 2024, the price reached the area of 106,000 USDT, but could not stay above it. Bitcoin is now consolidating in the range of 95,000 - 106,000 USDT, indicating a redistribution of liquidity.
The global trend remains bullish — lows and highs continue to rise.
Accumulation phase — high volatility in the range may be preparation for a new move.
Volumes are declining — indicating either a decline in buyer interest or a lull before momentum.
However, current movements show that the market has encountered resistance and is not showing clear strength.
2. Signs of a weakening trend
Even though the global trend is bullish, the current dynamics of BTC are a bit concerning:
Lack of a confident breakdown of 106,000 USDT - BTC tested this level, but each time it rolled back down.
False upside breakouts with sharp pullbacks - this could indicate some bullish weakness.
Decreasing volumes on bounces are a sign of less activity from buyers.
If BTC consolidates below 95,000 USDT, it might signal a potential reversal and the start of a deeper correction.
3. Priority scenario: high probability of correction
Right now, it looks like BTC might be facing a bit of a slowdown at the 100,000 - 105,000 USDT levels. This could potentially lead to a slight dip, but nothing to worry about just yet.
If we see a bit of a pullback below 95,000 USDT, it might be a sign that things are heading towards the 88,000 - 90,000 USDT range.
And, just a heads up, there's a chance that some institutional profit-taking might be adding a bit of pressure.
It's also important to note that a rise in open interest in futures without spot market support is a worrying signal.
4. What could change the scenario?
If BTC breaks 105,000 USDT with strong volume and then consolidates above that level, it could mean more upside for us.
5. Here are some fundamental factors that might point to a correction:
The Fed isn't cutting rates yet, which is keeping the growth of risky assets in check.
Large players are focusing on maximizing their profits, and there are signs of selling on hayahs.
There's a lack of drivers for impulsive growth, so the market is waiting for new triggers.
6. Here's an alternative bullish scenario:
If BTC holds above 95,000 USDT and breaks through 105,000 USDT with volumes, it could open up the path to 110,000 - 115,000 USDT. So, what does this all mean? Well, it's important to stay cautious and watch the market closely. BTC is currently in a range between 95,000 and 105,000 USDT, but there aren't any strong bullish signals yet.
The current dynamics suggest that growth might be a bit slower, and there's a chance we could see a slight dip. My recommendation? Keep an eye on how BTC reacts at 95,000 USDT. If it doesn't hold, it might be a good idea to wait and see if it tests the 88,000 USDT level.
📢 And don't worry, subscribers! Stay tuned for all the latest updates on BTC and other assets. 🚀
Bitcoin and altcoin overview (February 05-06)Yesterday, Bitcoin reacted to the $99,200–$98,000 zone, but the reaction was insufficient for a full-fledged resumption of buying.
At the moment, on the 4H timeframe, we have not yet consolidated below this buy zone. The cumulative delta shows absorption of selling pressure.
We are considering two scenarios for a potential rebound:
Break and consolidation above the volume zone with a local trend shift, followed by a long entry on the retest (this scenario is marked on the chart).
Testing a more significant volume zone below.
Sell Zone:
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies).
Buy Zones:
$99,200–$98,000 (aggressive volume push).
$95,000–$93,000 (volume anomalies).
$89,000–$86,300 (accumulated volumes).
Interesting Altcoins:
SWARM is showing early signs of a trend reversal with strong movement potential. If the $0.042–$0.037 zone is tested and reacts accordingly, we enter a long position.
AUMAS - Positive corelation with GOLD price movement ?AUMAS - Current price : RM0.890
AUMAS is bullish as the share price is above 50-day EMA. Note that the price breakout ICHIMOKU CLOUD on 31 JANUARY 2025 with high trading volume.
Gold future price surge to new high due to uncertainty and weak global sentiment. AUMAS is engages in gold mining business in Malaysia. The share price have a positive corelation with gold price movement. As such, i expect the share price may move higher in the upcoming session.
ENTRY PRICE : RM0.890
TARGET : RM0.980 (+10%)
STOP LOSS : RM0.820 (-7%)
Notes : The company was formerly known as Bahvest Resources Berhad and changed its name to AuMas Resources Berhad in December 2024. AuMas Resources Berhad was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Tawau, Malaysia.
EURJPY Potential Longs - Short & Long Term (Technical Analysis)Technical Outlook:
Looking at previous price movement, we see it's been trending up since August 2024, with the last reaccumulation phase ending in early 2024. We recently saw a demand chain, but the last push couldn't quite hit new highs. Supply then took over, driving the price back down to a daily demand level. At this point, we've seen some strong bullish reactions on the lower timeframes, which is interesting and here's why -
Potential Scenarios & Probabilities:
Scenario 1 (High Probability) – Demand should regain control, leading to a bullish breakout.
Scenario 2 (Medium Probability) - Price could range within the ascending channel for a while.
Scenario 3 (Low Probability) – The bulls might disengage, resulting in a bearish break and continuation thereafter.
Trading Considerations:
Price is currently in a discounted zone within the ascending channel (158.000 – 168.000) . We can look for trading opportunities within this range, focusing on strong supply and demand areas, anticipating the eventual bullish breakout. A long position closer to the bottom of the range could turn into a swing trade. If you're trading inside the range on lower time frames, it's smart to keep an eye on volume, overbought/oversold levels, and relative currency strength.
Final Notes:
With the price moving sideways for a good six months, range trading is definitely a possibility. But the real goal is to catch that bullish breakout when it happens, and it looks like it's getting close. As always, manage your risk carefully, and don't hesitate to take the trade when the setup is right – assuming you've got a solid plan and a clear target in mind.
OANDA:EURJPY
Bitcoin and altcoin overview (February 04-05)Yesterday, our Bitcoin scenario played out immediately, with buying resuming without forming a sideways range.
By now, the $100,000–$103,000 sell zone has been tested, and we’ve seen a seller reaction. Currently, we are in the local buyer zone at $99,200–$98,000 (initiative volumes), from which we may see a reaction and continuation of the uptrend.
The overall picture looks bullish—selling from the zone has been relatively weak, and cumulative delta shows absorption of selling pressure. Additionally, all significant volumes are now positioned lower.
Sell Zone:
🔴 $107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies)
Buy Zones:
🟢 $99,200–$98,000 (initiative volumes)
🟢 $95,000–$93,000 (volume anomalies)
🟢 $89,000–$86,300 (accumulated volumes)
Interesting Altcoins:
For ACH , we have broken the trend. If the volume zone at $0.355–$0.33 is tested and responds accordingly, we will open a long position.
CL Trade Idea: Key Levels & Strategies Amid VolatilityNYMEX:CL1!
With Trade War 2.0 unfolding, managing risk in futures trading is more crucial than ever. One way to mitigate risk is by utilizing micro CME contracts , allowing for more precise risk management during volatile market conditions. Additionally, you can participate in the CME and TradingView paper trading competition, giving you the opportunity to test your skills in The Leap without risking real money.
Crude Oil Futures:
It’s the start of a new month. We saw our last week’s idea “scenario 1” partially play out before prices pulled back higher towards our neutral LIS.
As mentioned above, it is our opinion that current situations and macro news may result in heightened volatility, so it is important to trade what you see and not what you think.
Do not get fixated on your view on the market. Be ready to shift and adapt as the markets evolve on the hard right edge.
Instead of recapping and presenting a macro update today, we will shift our focus on the charts. Looking purely at price, time, volume, and key levels to create a plan for the week.
Key Levels to Watch
Key levels represent areas of interest and zones of active market participation. The more significant a key level, the closer we monitor it for potential reactions and trade setups in alignment with our trading plan.
Micro Composite Value Area High (mCVAH) January 2025 : 76.00
January 2025 mid- range: 74.96
February Monthly Open: 74.14
Micro Composite Value Area Low (mCVAL) January 2025 : 71.82
Yearly Open: 70.52
2024 Mid- Range: 70.40
Scenario 1: Rejection confirmation at January 2025 Mid
Price has attempted to push above January 2025 mid and was rejected. This was a key level of interest to validate longs in our last week’s trade plan. Rejection of this level and price now below monthly open. There is room for prices to shift lower towards mcVAL Jan 2025 and test of key bull support at yearly open and 2024 mid range.
Scenario 2: mcVAL 2025 to act as intermediate support
If we see this level hold, in our opinion, Crude oil may be establishing a new range capped within mcVAH and mcVAL Jan 2025 until we see a break of either side. That said, intra day volatility may increase with headline news impacting prices.
As always it is paramount to manage your risk as losses are an inherent part of trading.
What are you focusing on amid all the headline news? We'd love to hear your thoughts!
BTC - Just Thinking about Volume and Price relation As my other active posts recently have been about the downward trend and BTC finding liquidity before a trend reversal and the second strong upward momentum of this market cycle.
I surmised that the smart money wanted to test the bull market support moving average, 200ema on daily. ~84,500 - 82,500 .
A large Fair Value Gap (FVG) on the Weekly Chart was created from the rapid price increase due to speculators and other investors FOMO'ing in on the rising assset.
Large orders were left unfilled due to areas of support and resistance, trend and moving averages which are usually oscillated through during price movement while market trend leads the direction, speculators drive price increases and smart money attempts to drive price down to areas where they can profit, selling into the momentum during speculator price drives.
I'm just thinking out loud here and really I only post these little updates while im interested in something and like to document it. I could be all wrong with how I am seeing this and perhaps if anyone ever does read this and can share some insight into price/volume relationships with the smart money institutional investors and whales I would be interested to heart their thoughts.
However to continue , I see a discrepancy , Large Selling Volume, Negative Delta and it appears that there are some blocks where Sell volume cuts upward momentum abruptly and consistently
The Chart should Show the areas that I am referring , I would be interested to hear what others think
SOLUSDT: Long or Trap? Breaking Down the Setup
🔥 ** BINANCE:SOLUSDT.P ** is bouncing off the support zone, showing strength from the bulls! After a sharp dump, price held a key level and is now pushing up. The big question — is this a true reversal or just a "bearish retest" before another drop?
---
🔑 **Key Levels:**
**Support:**
**171.06 USDT** — strong demand zone.
**160.23 USDT** — critical level, breaking below could trigger more downside.
**Resistance:**
**199.55 USDT** — local resistance; breaking above could accelerate movement.
**272.53 USDT** — key target for profit-taking.
**295.16 USDT** — strong supply zone; breaking above opens the door to 300 USDT+.
---
🚀 **Trading Strategy:**
**Entry Point:**
- Long from **171.06 USDT** with volume confirmation.
- Conservative entry after a breakout of **199.55 USDT**.
**Stop-Loss:**
- Below **160.23 USDT** to avoid stop hunts.
**Take-Profit Targets:**
**198.45 USDT** — first target to reduce risk.
**272.53 USDT** — primary target for the bullish move.
**295.16 USDT** — extended target if the uptrend continues.
---
📈 **Technical Analysis:**
Increasing volume on the bounce signals strong buyer interest.
A breakout above **199.55 USDT** confirms bullish momentum.
If price drops below **171.06 USDT**, expect a potential retest of **160.23 USDT**.
---
💡 **Conclusion:**
SOLUSDT.P is showing bullish reversal signs, but without breaking **199.55 USDT**, we can't confirm a full trend shift yet. Is this just a retest before another sell-off or the start of a new uptrend? Let’s discuss! 🚀💬
Market overview
WHAT HAPPENED?
Last week, bitcoin reached the key volume zone of $103,000-$105,600. The pushing volumes from the buyer were absorbed by the seller, which led to a reversal. As a result, our scenario for further decline was realized.
WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT?
At the moment, important buyer zones have been tested, which resulted in a powerful volume reaction, as well as a large number of liquidations, which indicates a possible stop of the downward movement.
Now we should expect a phase change to a sideways movement, and then a test of sell zones located above current prices.
Sell Zones:
$100,000–$103,000 (accumulated volume)
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies)
Buy Zone:
$89,000–$86,300 (accumulated volumes)
IMPORTANT DATES
As for the macroeconomic events of this week:
• Monday, February 3, 10:00 (UTC) — publication of the consumer price index in the Eurozone for January;
• Monday, February 3, 14:45 (UTC) — publication of the index of business activity in the US manufacturing sector for January;
• Monday, February 3, 15:00 (UTC) — ISM's index of business activity in the US manufacturing sector for January is published;
• Tuesday, February 4, 15:00 (UTC) — announcement of the number of open vacancies in the US labor market in December;
• Wednesday, February 5, 13:15 (UTC) — publication of changes in the number of people employed in the US non-agricultural sector in January;
• Wednesday, February 5, 14:45 (UTC) — publication of the index of business activity in the US services sector for January;
• Wednesday, February 5, 15:00 (UTC) — ISM Purchasing Managers' Index for the non-manufacturing sector of the United States for January;
• Thursday, February 6, 12:00 (UTC) — announcement of the UK interest rate decision;
• Thursday, February 6, 13:30 (UTC) — publication of the number of initial applications for US unemployment benefits;
• Friday, February 7, 13:30 (UTC) — publication of the average hourly wages, changes in the number of people employed in the non-agricultural sector and the US unemployment rate in January.
*This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience.
#analytics