AMC pumps price and volume into fair value zone LONGAMC is on a 4H chart with a set of VWAP bands overlaid In the past two trading sessions price
and volume have pumps and so also the PV Trend indicator. There is no fundamental
footprint on this move. it is a pure meme much like a similar move of GME. I will go long
here hoping to ride the momentum and capture profit. I will set a stop loss fo 10% n
recognition of the volatilit The final target is the $ 120 range pivots of April and
August 202. The initial target is the $35 range of the ranging zone of August 2023. Upon
reaching the first target I will cut the position to 50% for the leg higher. I will cut the position
if momentum fades especially if the volume fades with it. This will be interesting at the least
and highly profitable at the very most.
Volume
DELL moves higher in continuation LONGDELL on the weekly chart shows its bullish trend which accelerated this past March as shown
on the Prive Volume Trend. The relative volume indicator shows some spiking blue volume
bars of buying volume = 3 of the 13 weeks in the past quarter. I see this as a long swing trade
or even an investment to hold at an easy to get into price compared with SMCI. DELL may be
a bit overbought and overextended but I am convinced it is for good reasons and that a trade
here will pay profit over time. The dip of 5% in the past trading day provides a good entry.
The level defense patternI use the concept of a level being defended by either a buyer or a seller to find potential buying or selling opportunities. This is a specific pattern that can be identified on a chart. Let's consider one variant of this pattern. In this variant, the defense of a level by a buyer looks as follows: a buyer's candle closes above the level. Then, a seller's candle or candles interact with the level, followed by the appearance of a buyer's candle, which needs to be evaluated. If it meets the criteria, entry points can be identified.
Let's look at a concrete example. The pattern developed over 10 hours.
On the chart, blue-shaded areas represent 2-hour buyer's candles, and red-shaded areas represent 2-hour seller's candles. After the buyer pushed the price back above the 6.733 level, they attempted to resume from the 6.7571 level, the volume of the buyer's candle (632K) was less than that of the seller's candle (1.274M).
Then, the seller attacked the 6.733 level with increased volume (709K) but could not push the price below this level. Note where POC of the volume profile for the 2-hour seller's attack candle is: below 6.7571. The high of the attack candle is at 6.8166.
The next buyer's candle had increased volume (792K). Notice where the buyer's movement started in this candle: from the POC of the volume profile of the seller's attack candle.
Now entry points can be identified. In this example, the entry points are visible on the 1-minute time frame. The chart shows two entry points. Note how volumes are distributed at these points and the resulting buyer's zones (blue rectangles on the chart).
The first entry point is the defense of the breakout from the range by the buyer, which was formed in the previous 2-hour candle (RPL on the chart, 6.7784).
The second entry point is the defense of the high of the attacking 2-hour seller's candle by the buyer (6.8166 level).
Can SNAP slo-mo bounce from an earnings fall? LONGSNAP had a mild top and bottom line beat with last week's earnings and
the price fall. Given SNAP's mediocre social media interface, I think the
earnings were decent but I suppose most traders felt otherwise looking
for more. Technically on the 1H chart, price is sitting at support at the
bottom of the fair value zone. PVT and the Gaussian Awesome Oscillator
are flat line trendlines. Reversion to the mean says SNAP will rise from
current market price. I will go long. If price can rise and get to 11.5,
the volume profile's volume void suggests it could easily cross over the
mean VWAP into the 12.5 range for another leg higher. If you want my
ideas of targets and a stop loss, please comment.
CCLD CareCloud an IT/AI pennystock rising LONGCCLD is shown on a daily chart with the only indicator being a volume profile. Horizontal lines
are drawn from some prominent pivots. As a microcap CCLD has more volatility than the big
name IT/AI stock. It also has upside as it is currently priced at 15% of the all time highs in 2021.
The initial target is 3.5 based on the low volume consolidations of the whole year of 2019
and May 22 to May 23. A higher target is 7.0 which corresponds to a volume void to be filled.
This is a risky but potentially highly rewarding long trade. Buying when price has risen from
extremely oversold into the high volume area of the long-ranged volume profile helps diminish
that risk.
MGNX a biotechnology penny stock LONGMacrogenenics sold-off 75% from a moderately bad earnings miss 2 weeks ago. It will be a slow
and gradual recovery in the 10 -12 weeks until the next earnings unless a favorable catalyst
appears. 5 patients died in a clinical study about the same time as earnings were due. This was
a news catalyst amplifying the earnings miss. What is unclear is the total number of patients
being studied, how many who died got the developmental drug and how many got the placebo.
Two deaths were deemed to be unrelated to that drug possibly because they did not receive
it. No matter, the investigation continues. I suspect the clinical trial is at least suspended
and could get terminated. MGNX has six other drugs in development. None are past Phase 3
and so none are revenue producing. MGRX could fail financially or clinical but then again it
could recover. If fialing it could sell-off its intellectual property and clinical trials data or
look for a rich uncle looking to get in to the cancer drug market. Only time will tell.
I see this as a very risky long trade targeting fib levels. I will devote a small capital position
here anticipating anything from a 200-250% return to hitting a 25% stop loss and calling it
finished. IF MGNX can move up I will make sure the stop loss is raised and diminshed a bit.
Those without risk appetite and a pinch of greed should take a pass on this one. Another piece
of bad news could be catastrophic while on the other hand clearance of liability by the FDA and
resumption of the clinical trial would be quite uplifting. It could be a coin flip.
(COIN) coinbase "up and down -- volume" The custom indicator I created shows a pattern I'm not used to seeing on cryptocurrency. Stocks are quite different especially right now and with Coinbase. The consistent up and down pattern of volume in such short time frames shows the varied differences between cryptocurrency traders and stock traders.
NZD/USD Day Trading Analysis With Volume ProfileOn NZD/USD, it's nice to see a strong buying reaction at the price of 0.61650.
There's a significant accumulation of contracts in this area, indicating strong buyer interest. I believe that buyers who entered at this level will defend their long positions. If the price returns to this area, strong buyers will likely push the market up again.
The S/R zone from the past and high volume cluster are the main reasons for my decision to go long on this trade.
Happy trading
Dale
UNG Natural Gas ETF now rising from its reversal LONG (XNGUSD )UNG on a 120-minute chart has reversed from a long trend down which started in mid -January.
This was a steep trend down from the start into mid- March where the trend angle lessened in
a period of relative consolidation until May 1st where the reversal occurred. This is a falling
wedge breakout with the trendlines of the wedge in thick red and thick green for resistance
and support respectively. The VWAP band lines have been downsloping. Price is breaking through
the lower band lines and heading toward the mean anchored VWAP line. Price is now above
a EMA 100 Keltner Channel which is now trending up.
I will take long trades here of both shares and call options. The targets are marked with
black horizontal lines from pivots in Jnauary. The are in the levels of 21 and 26 for now.
I would not be surprised if UNG moves up and targets the highs of last October at 30 in the
upcoming months. Many utility companies this summer will be burning gas to generate
electricity needed for air conditioning and demand should be rising.
FFIE in a rising channel breakout ( RIP FSR) LONGFFIE is rising in a Keltner channel with a moving average channel superimposed. On this
15 minute chart, FFIE went from a low volume trend down to a reversal with volume on the
morning onf April 8th with the continuation into April 9th. This is a volatile penny stock.
Long trades are taken when price crosses through the moving average channel especially
if there is a corresponding volume spike.
The exit when price touches or crosses the upper boundary of the Keltner channel. I
have added the ATR stop loss indicator to manage the stop loss and its advancement up as price
rises. The trend up is now 35% but could easily continue higher. I will take a long trade
here with about a 5% stop- loss targeting 0.1184 and 0.1234 as recent pivots to the left.
BTC in Elliot Waves Pattern. Bullish flag breakout soon?Hello guyzzz!
New week, new market update!
We are still in the same 3-month bullish flag. Adding Elliott Waves and a red rectangle here, if we reach it, will be the best option to open long positions.
Also, it seems like we're trying to retest the resistance line of the flag for the second time. If we don't reach the box, I think I will open a position around $66,000-$67,000 because, according to seasonal analysis, we are really close to the middle of the month, and the breakout can happen soon.
For sure, I suppose the movement will not be very active due to low volumes and the summer season, so be careful, use SL, and follow RM strategy!
Share your market vision in the comments 👇👀
Trading opportunity. What to buy?In the crypto market, the largest assets are currently experiencing similar situations.
On the charts, we can see that six assets have formed sideways trends. Prices for all six assets are currently at the bottom of these sideways trends. For four assets, the price temporarily dropped below the lower boundary of the sideways trend, where liquidity from sellers was collected, but then returned to the sideways trend. The prices of five assets, excluding BNB, are in zones where it makes sense to consider buying. The most interesting potential is with DOGE and AVAX.
One possible strategy to consider is buying four assets that you like the most.
CAD/CHF Day Trading analysis On CAD/CHF , it's nice to see a strong sell-off from the price of 0.66540. It's also encouraging to observe a strong volume area where a lot of contracts are accumulated.
I believe that sellers from this area will defend their short positions. When the price returns to this area, strong sellers will push the market down again.
The downtrend combined with the strong volume area along with the strong S/R area from the past are my main reasons for this short trade.
Happy trading,
Dale
EUR/CHF continue with the DowntrendOn EUR/CHF , it's nice to see a strong sell-off from the price of 0.98600. It's also encouraging to observe a strong volume area where a lot of contracts are accumulated.
I believe that sellers from this area will defend their short positions. When the price returns to this area, strong sellers will push the market down again.
The downtrend combined with the strong volume area along with the strong S/R area from the past are my main reasons for this short trade.
Happy trading,
Dale
EUR/USD Day Trading Analysis With Volume ProfileOn EUR/USD , it's nice to see a strong buying reaction at the price of 1.08240.
There's a significant accumulation of contracts in this area, indicating strong buyer interest. I believe that buyers who entered at this level will defend their long positions. If the price returns to this area, strong buyers will likely push the market up again.
Strong uptrend and high volume cluster are the main reasons for my decision to go long on this trade.
Happy trading
Dale
BNBUSDT. Trading opportunityOn the daily timeframe, the price has formed a sideways movement and reached the mandatory target of the seller's vector 7-8. The next relevant buyer's vector 8-9 has a potential target of $634. The price is currently in the middle of the sideways range on the daily timeframe.
On the hourly timeframe, the price has also formed a sideways movement. The short seller's vector 11-12 broke below the lower boundary of the sideways range at $574 and collected sellers' liquidity. Pay attention to the key volume of the last vector 11-12: the candle with the highest volume in the vector is at the bottom (marked as 'KC' on the chart). Then the buyer absorbed this volume and returned the price to the sideways range, forming a new buyer zone at the boundary of the sideways range (the blue rectangle on the chart, upper boundary at $575.5). The key volume (largest) in the emerging buyer's vector is also at the bottom (the candle on the chart is marked as 'tKC'). This setup increases the probability of realizing the buyer's vector 12-13 with a potential target on the hourly timeframe of $600.
Idea: Look for purchases as the realization of the buyer's vector 12-13 on the hourly timeframe and the buyer's vector 8-9 on the daily timeframe. The target on the hourly timeframe is $600.
The preferred option is to look for purchases from the defense by the buyer of the buyer zone at the lower boundary of the sideways range.
TONUSDT. Trading opportunityOn the daily timeframe, the price formed a sideways movement and hit the mandatory target of the buyer's vector 4-5 (7.2755 was reached). Currently, the price is in a seller's context. The next relevant seller's vector 5-6 has a potential target of 5.18. Yesterday, the seller showed a weak reaction on the daily timeframe (spread, volume, and the tail of the bearish candle), and the tail of this candle tested the volume key candle (on the "rKC" chart) of the buyer's vector 4-5, from which a strong buyer reaction started on the hourly timeframe: 3 buyer candles with good spread from the level of 6.5615.
On the hourly timeframe, the price also formed a sideways movement. The bearish seller's vector 9-10 reached the mandatory target. The next relevant buyer's vector 10-11 has a potential target of 7.2232. A liquidity pool of sellers formed below points 4 and 10 of the sideways movement, at 6.5615.
A weak seller on the daily timeframe may overcome a strong buyer on the hourly timeframe. Sales may be considered:
Option 1: Implementation idea of the seller's vector 5-6 on the daily timeframe: if the price breaks the lower boundary of the sideways movement on the hourly timeframe (6.5615) and defends this breakout. An ambitious potential target is 5.18.
Option 2: Implementation idea of the seller's vector 11-12 on the hourly timeframe. After the implementation of the buyer's vector 10-11 and the defense by the seller of the level 7.2232. The potential target is the opposite boundary of the sideways movement.
Buy entries can also be sought from the implementation idea of the buyer's vector 10-11 on the hourly timeframe.
Option 1: The most interesting option. If the buyer gathers liquidity from the seller below 6.5615, returns the price to the sideways movement on the hourly timeframe, and defends the level 6.5615. Possible targets are 7.2232, 7.45, and 7.675.
Option 2: Upon the defense by the buyer of the level 6.8125, a buying opportunity can be sought. Possible targets are 7.2232, 7.45, and 7.675.