Force motors a strong stockThis is what a strong stock looks like in volatile market. Quick bounce to new high ground after a short pullback.
Due to market pressure stock briefly crossed all time highs but came back in the same day of breakout.
But now as the geopolitical situation improved stock quickly bounced back to all time highs with high relative volume. This shows the strength in stock and kind of support to stock.
Keep watching NSE:FORCEMOT
Volume
DIS is already at $96.… Don’t miss the train!🚨 🎢✨Disney (DIS) is pushing up and showing strength — are you watching this move? 👀 We’ve been eyeing entry levels between $91 and $81, but with the price at $96.30, this setup is heating up faster than expected! 🔥
Sometimes the perfect dip doesn’t come — and waiting too long can mean watching the rocket 🚀 from the sidelines. If you’re still tracking DIS, this might be your sign to stay alert and have your strategy ready. 🎯
Potential targets? Still aiming for that juicy $100–$120 range if momentum continues! 📈💰
Let’s see how it plays out — keep your plan tight and emotions out. Are you in, or still waiting? 😎👇
📌 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and consider speaking with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
ZARJPY - (3 hours chart, OANDA) - Long Position; Short-term.ZARJPY - South African Rand / Japanese Yen (3 hours chart, OANDA) - Long Position; Short-term research idea.
Risk assessment: Medium {volume & support structure integrity risk}
Risk/Reward ratio ~ 1.9
Current Market Price (CMP) ~ 8.084
Entry limit ~ 8.050 on May 12, 2025
1. Target limit ~ 8.160 (+1.37%; +0.110 points)
2. Target limit ~ 8.250 (+2.48%; +0.200 points)
Stop order limit ~ 7.945 (-1.30%; -0.105 points)
Disclaimer: Investments in securities markets are subject to market risks. All information presented in this group is strictly for reference and personal study purposes only and is not a recommendation and/or a solicitation to act upon under any interpretation of the letter.
LEGEND:
{curly brackets} = observations
= important updates
(parentheses) = information
~ tilde/approximation = variable value
-hyphen = fixed value
NASDAQ - continue with the UptrendOn NASDAQ , it's nice to see a strong buying reaction at the price of 20150.
There's a significant accumulation of contracts in this area, indicating strong buyer interest. I believe that buyers who entered at this level will defend their long positions. If the price returns to this area, strong buyers will likely push the market up again.
(FVG) - Fair Value GAP and high volume cluster are the main reasons for my decision to go long on this trade.
Happy trading
Dale
ES - Day Trading Analysis With Volume ProfileOn ES , it's nice to see a strong buying reaction at the price of 5684.
There's a significant accumulation of contracts in this area, indicating strong buyer interest. I believe that buyers who entered at this level will defend their long positions. If the price returns to this area, strong buyers will likely push the market up again.
(FVG) - Fair Value GAP and high volume cluster are the main reasons for my decision to go long on this trade.
Happy trading
Dale
Technical Breakdown on US 100 | 1H TimeframeTechnical Breakdown on US 100 Cash CFD (1H) using Volume Profile, Gann, and CVD + ADX
1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused)
a) Volume Profile Insights:
Value Area High (VAH): 20,500
Value Area Low (VAL): 20,000 (approx. based on volume shading)
Point of Control (POC): 20,062.08
High-volume nodes: Dense around 20,050–20,100 – indicative of value acceptance.
Low-volume gaps: Sharp price movement through 20,150–20,250 – price could revisit here swiftly.
b) Liquidity Zones:
Stop Cluster Zones:
Order Absorption Zones:
c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows:
Swing High Volume Spike: Near 20,500 – rejection occurred with CVD flattening.
Swing Low Volume Spike: 20,000 – strong reversal point, indicates buyer interest.
d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis:
Trend Direction: Uptrend currently, but potential divergence forming.
ADX Strength:
CVD Confirmation:
2. Support & Resistance Levels
a) Volume-Based Levels:
Support:
Resistance:
b) Gann-Based Levels:
Recent Confirmed High: 20,506
Recent Confirmed Low: 20,000
Retracements:
3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure
a) Trend: Short-term Bullish, but with early signs of divergence (based on projected price/CVD path)
Confirmed by breakout above POC with rising CVD initially.
b) Notable Patterns:
Ascending Channel Breakout: Strong push above upper boundary on momentum.
Volume Gap Fill Potential: Price may return to 20,250 or lower on exhaustion.
POC Retest Scenario: High probability of price testing 20,062 if strength fades.
4. Trade Setup & Risk Management
a) Bullish Entry (If uptrend sustains):
Entry Zone: 20,250–20,300 (channel midpoint or pullback after breakout)
Targets:
Stop-Loss (SL): 20,150 (below volume gap midpoint)
RR: Minimum 1:2
b) Bearish Entry (If divergence confirms):
Entry Zone: 20,500–20,525 (fakeout/stop hunt zone)
Target:
Stop-Loss (SL): 20,600
RR: Minimum 1:2
c) Position Sizing: Risk 1–2% of capital per trade.
CHFZAR - Swiss Franc / S A Rand (Daily chart, OANDA) - LongCHFZAR - Swiss Franc / South African Rand (Daily chart, OANDA) - Long Position; Mid-term research idea.
Risk assessment: Medium {Volatility risk}
Risk/Reward ratio ~ 5
Current Market Price (CMP) ~ 21.81000
Entry limit ~ 21.65000 on May 12, 2025
Target limit ~ 22.65000 (+4.62%)
Stop order limit ~ 21.45000 (-0.92%)
Disclaimer: Investments in securities markets are subject to market risks. All information presented in this group is strictly for reference and personal study purposes only and is not a recommendation and/or a solicitation to act upon under any interpretation of the letter.
LEGEND:
{curly brackets} = observations
= important updates
(parentheses) = information
~ tilde/approximation = variable value
-hyphen = fixed value
Technical Breakdown on Gold Spot / USD (XAU/USD) | 1H TimeframeTechnical Breakdown on Gold Spot / USD (XAU/USD) – 1H Timeframe using Volume Profile, Gann, and CVD + ADX
1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused)
a) Volume Profile Insights:
Value Area High (VAH): 3,382.24
Value Area Low (VAL): 3,275.00 (approximate visual level)
Point of Control (POC): 3,338.10
High-Volume Nodes: Concentrated around 3,338–3,350 (volume acceptance zone).
Low-Volume Gaps: Sharp drop region near 3,310 to 3,295 indicates a lack of market interest – prone to fast moves.
b) Liquidity Zones:
Stop Cluster Zones:
Order Absorption Zones:
c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows:
Swing High (Volume Spike): Near 3,381–3,382 (sharp rejection, bearish orderflow).
Swing Low (Volume Spike): 3,272–3,275 zone, likely buyer absorption.
d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis:
Trend Direction: Downtrend (recent bearish pressure from CVD with price).
ADX Strength:
CVD Confirmation:
2. Support & Resistance Levels
a) Volume-Based Levels:
Support:
Resistance:
b) Gann-Based Levels:
Recent Confirmed High: 3,382
Recent Confirmed Low: 3,272
Retracements from High to Low:
3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure
a) Trend: Bearish-Ranging Hybrid
Confirmed by low ADX (weak trend) but bearish pressure from CVD + lower highs.
b) Notable Patterns:
Bearish Flag: Price consolidating inside a descending channel after a breakdown.
POC Retest Failure: Indicates inability to reclaim value area – bearish bias.
Projection Path: Shows two outcomes – further drift down vs. range reclaim, with downside currently dominant.
4. Trade Setup & Risk Management
a) Bearish Entry (CVD + ADX confirm downtrend):
Entry Zone: 3,325–3,330 (POC rejection zone)
Target:
Stop-Loss (SL): 3,345 (above 1/3 Gann level and rejection wick)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): Minimum 1:2
b) Bullish Entry (only if reclaim confirmed above POC):
Entry Zone: 3,340–3,345 (on confirmed reclaim with bullish CVD crossover)
Targets:
Stop-Loss (SL): 3,325 (below reclaim point)
RR: 1:2 minimum
c) Position Sizing: Risk 1–2% of capital per trade.
BTC - Ready for a breakout?Hey traders and investors!
On the 10-day chart, an intriguing situation is unfolding.
Sellers tested the Key Candle of the previous accumulation breakout — level 89,256, and the buyer’s initiative resumed.
Then, a manipulation (false breakout) occurred at the 89,256 test level. Volumes reveal the narrative: sellers sold off at high volumes, while buyers absorbed on declining volumes.
Now, a buyer zone has formed below, with the upper boundary at 99,475.
Just a few steps away from the ATH. A pullback is always possible, but for now, there are no signs of weakness (even a pullback to 89,256 wouldn't disrupt the bullish structure).
Now, the main question:
💡 How far up? +30,000?
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA).
Wishing you profitable trades!
Imbalance, FVG & Short Trend Flag Strategy / Estrategia basada..*************************
* ENGLISH VERSION *
*************************
This analysis blends institutional structure with price action to identify high-probability zones on AMZN.
🔍 Setup Structure:
Imbalance breaks PH/L of the trend: Confirmation of institutional strength breaking a Previous High or Low, creating a liquidity imbalance.
Short Trend Flags: A corrective flag pattern within the impulse move, signaling continuation until the Fair Value Gap (FVG) is filled.
FVG Closure: Validates key zones where price must return to restore market balance.
IFVG: Institutional Fair Value Gap that also needs to be closed, showing deeper order flow activity.
Key Resistance & Support Zones: Act as liquidity magnets where price often reacts.
9:30am Opening Candle Against the Trend: This candle acts as a liquidity trap and potential reversal trigger.
🧠 Technical Notes:
FVG and IFVG used as targets and reaction zones.
Confirmation through opening volume and candlestick behavior.
Flags serve as entry triggers in trend direction.
🎯 Perfect for scalpers and day traders who trade clean structure with multi-layered confirmations (structure + liquidity + reaction).
*************************
* SPANISH VERSION *
*************************
Este análisis combina estructuras institucionales con acción del precio para identificar zonas de alta probabilidad en AMZN.
🔍 Estructura del Setup:
Imbalance rompe PH/L de la tendencia: Confirmación de fuerza institucional al romper un Previous High/Low, generando desequilibrio de liquidez.
Short Trend Flags: Patrón correctivo dentro del impulso que sirve como señal de continuación hasta cerrar el FVG (Fair Value Gap).
Cierre de FVG: Validación de zonas de interés donde el precio debe retornar para balancear el mercado.
IFVG: Imbalance Fair Value Gap que también necesita ser cerrado, indicando profundidad institucional.
Zonas clave de resistencia y soporte: Actúan como imanes de liquidez donde el precio suele reaccionar.
Apertura 9:30am contra la tendencia: Vela que actúa como trampa de liquidez y posible gatillo para reversión.
🧠 Notas Técnicas:
Uso de FVG y IFVG como targets y zonas de reacción.
Confirmación con el volumen de apertura y comportamiento de las velas.
Flags como patrón de entrada para seguir la dirección dominante.
🎯 Ideal para scalpers y day traders que siguen estructuras limpias con validaciones múltiples (estructura + liquidez + reacción).
Ripple: Potential for Growth!Hey traders and investors!
🚀 Many crypto assets have reached their local targets.
I can’t predict what will happen next, but I can track how new candles shift the probability of continued growth or decline.
Ripple has strong growth potential.
Both the weekly and daily timeframes show sideways ranges (marked by black lines), with the buyer’s initiative active.
Decision candles (IKC)* on both timeframes interacted with the lower boundary of the buyer’s initiative.
A buyer zone has formed on the weekly timeframe near the lower boundary — marked by a blue rectangle on the chart.
With targets aligning on both timeframes, there’s 25% to first target.
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA).
* Decision candles — candles with increased volume inside initiatives. IKC — the highest-volume candle within initiatives inside a sideways range
Wishing you profitable trades!
Price Action + CVD + VWAP FRVP correlated with DXY🎯 ALGORITHMIC - Mentorship: Friday 09.05.25 during New York session, we traded Price Action + CVD + VWAP FRVP correlated with EU-DXY and we started with CVD Divergency - Apsortion allowing us a trading idea which translated into 1 trade executions on same logic.
Then we got an understanding that price was at the 3rd standard deviation using the VWAP and that the VAH correlated perfectly with an FVG created at M15.
During the trade we spoted a triple support in which we concluded that was an iceberg order by using EUR-USD futures 6EM(jun 25 contract) to get aquainted with order flow and confirm the iceberg which was later breached creating a new resistence.
The LTF, MTF Market structure showed a nice MMSM Market Makers Seller Model forming so we jumped in. Our target.... POC - Point of Control.....
Elevate your trading game with this deep-dive into algorithmic setups! In this session (Friday, May 9, 2025, New York hours) we combine classic Price Action with advanced flow tools—CVD, VWAP (including FRVP bands), and FX correlations—to hunt high-probability entries. Here’s what you’ll learn:
🔍 Session Breakdown
Trading View Analysis Chart:
- M3 -
- M15 -
- CVD Divergence & Absorption – Spot the imbalance that kick-started our first edge and trade execution.
- VWAP 3σ Reversion – Identify when price strays to the third standard deviation and pairs up with a Volume Area High that lines up with an M15 Fair Value Gap.
- Iceberg Order Detection – Use EUR/USD futures (6EM, Jun ’25 contract) to confirm hidden liquidity pools at triple-level support, then capitalize when they fliped to resistance creating a new pull back so we re-entered new position enforcing our logic.
- Market Structure & MMSM – Read the multi-timeframe swing highs and lows to pinpoint the Market Makers’ Seller Model—and know exactly when to strike.
🎯 Trade Execution & Outcome
- Entry triggered by a confluence of CVD setup + VWAP deviation + FVG validation
- Confirmation via order-flow iceberg break
- Target: Point of Control (POC)
📈 Key Takeaways
- How to fuse Price Action with CVD and VWAP for algorithmic precision
- Techniques to spot and trade iceberg orders in real time
- MTF structural analysis for aligning with institutional flows
Waiting for Altseason?Hey traders and investors!
🚀 Overview of the Altcoin Market without BTC & ETH (TOTAL3)
📊 Volume Analysis of TOTAL3:
Previous POC: $1.7 trillion — the level where volumes accumulated after the last rally and correction.
Current POC: $820 billion — the level where major volumes have concentrated over the past 5 weeks. This is 10% below the current market cap.
To the Previous POC: There's still 19% potential upside to reach the previous POC.
📈 What Does It Mean?
The shift in POC downwards suggests buyers are active at $820 billion, potentially forming a new support zone and a point for continued growth.
💬 What do you think — a signal for growth or just calm before another drop? Share your thoughts in the comments!
Wishing you profitable trades!
OptionsMastery: MARA Inverse H&S!🔉Sound on!🔉
📣Make sure to watch fullscreen!📣
Thank you as always for watching my videos. I hope that you learned something very educational! Please feel free to like, share, and comment on this post. Remember only risk what you are willing to lose. Trading is very risky but it can change your life!
ETH Surges 20% Post-Pectra: Crypto's Ultimate Comeback?Ether Clocks 'Insane' 20% Candle Post-Pectra — A Turning Point?
The cryptocurrency market witnessed a remarkable event as Ethereum (ETH) surged by an impressive 20% following the successful implementation of the Pectra hard fork. This dramatic price movement has caught the attention of traders, investors, and analysts alike, sparking intense debate about whether this represents a genuine turning point for the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization or merely a temporary respite in a challenging market environment.
The Pectra Catalyst
The Pectra hard fork, representing one of Ethereum's most significant technical upgrades since its transition to proof-of-stake, was successfully implemented in early 2025. This upgrade introduced crucial improvements to the Ethereum network, including enhanced transaction processing efficiency, reduced gas fees, and expanded smart contract functionality.
Unlike previous upgrades that sometimes resulted in "buy the rumor, sell the news" reactions, Pectra's implementation appears to have triggered substantial positive price action. The 20% candle marked Ethereum's largest single-day gain in over 18 months, propelling ETH past the crucial $1,900 resistance level that had previously acted as a ceiling for price movements.
The timing of the upgrade coincided with increasing institutional interest in Ethereum, creating perfect conditions for a significant price movement. Data from on-chain analytics platforms indicates that large wallet addresses began accumulating ETH in the weeks leading up to Pectra, suggesting informed capital was positioning ahead of the technical catalyst.
Institutional Buying Signals
On-chain metrics reveal compelling evidence of institutional participation in Ethereum's recent surge. Blockchain analytics firm Glassnode reported a substantial increase in large-value transactions exceeding $1 million in the 72 hours surrounding the Pectra implementation, with transaction volume reaching levels not seen since late 2023.
Several key metrics support this institutional narrative:
1. Exchange outflows have accelerated, with over 200,000 ETH leaving centralized exchanges in a single 48-hour period post-Pectra, indicating buyers intend to hold rather than trade.
2. The number of addresses holding more than 1,000 ETH increased by 2.8% in just one week, representing substantial accumulation by wealthy entities.
3. Futures open interest has expanded by over $2 billion since the Pectra announcement, demonstrating increased leveraged positioning.
4. Options markets show a significant skew toward calls, with the put/call ratio reaching its lowest level in 14 months.
These metrics collectively suggest that smart money sees the Pectra upgrade as a legitimate inflection point for Ethereum rather than a temporary technical bounce.
The Long Position Explosion
Perhaps most intriguing is the dramatic increase in long positions across various trading platforms. Data from cryptocurrency derivatives exchanges shows that long-to-short ratios have reached levels not seen since Ethereum's previous major bull run in 2021.
This positioning dynamic creates an interesting technical setup where further price increases could trigger a positive feedback loop as short sellers are forced to cover their positions, potentially accelerating ETH's upward movement.
Retail Sell-Off vs. Whale Accumulation
A fascinating dynamic has emerged in Ethereum's market structure: while retail investors appear to be reducing exposure, larger entities ("whales") are aggressively accumulating. This divergence in behavior between market participants has created an unusual tension in ETH's price action.
Blockchain analytics firm Santiment reported that addresses holding between 0.1 and 10 ETH have decreased their collective holdings by approximately 3% over the past month, indicating retail profit-taking or repositioning. Simultaneously, addresses holding over 1,000 ETH have increased their positions by nearly 7%.
This pattern often emerges during major market transitions, where retail participants, scarred by previous drawdowns, remain skeptical of recovery signals while institutional investors position for longer-term trends based on fundamental catalysts.
This dynamic creates an interesting market structure where future price movements may depend on which cohort ultimately proves correct in their assessment of Ethereum's prospects.
Technical Breakout Analysis
From a technical analysis perspective, Ethereum's 20% surge represents a significant breakout from multiple resistance levels that had contained price action for months. The move pushed ETH decisively above its 200-day moving average, a key indicator watched by trend-following traders.
The volume profile accompanying the move also supports the legitimacy of the breakout, with transaction volume reaching its highest level in nine months. This high-volume breakout typically indicates strong conviction behind the price movement rather than a technical fake-out.
Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI), while showing overbought conditions in the short term, has broken out of a long-term downtrend on higher timeframes, suggesting potential for sustained momentum despite possible near-term consolidation.
Macro Context and Ethereum's Narrative Shift
Ethereum's dramatic move occurs against a complex macroeconomic backdrop that had previously contributed to crypto market weakness. Recent signals of potential monetary policy shifts, including discussions of rate cuts by central banks, have created a more favorable environment for risk assets broadly.
Beyond pure price action, Ethereum's narrative has evolved considerably in recent months. After facing criticism regarding high transaction fees and scaling limitations, the successful implementation of Pectra addresses several key concerns that had dampened enthusiasm for the network.
The upgrade's focus on reducing gas fees and improving transaction throughput directly counters the competitive threats from alternative Layer 1 and Layer 2 solutions that had been gaining traction by positioning themselves as more efficient alternatives to Ethereum.
This narrative rehabilitation, combined with Ethereum's established network effects and developer ecosystem, creates compelling fundamental support for the recent price action.
Sustainability Questions and Potential Challenges
While enthusiasm surrounding Ethereum's post-Pectra surge runs high, significant questions remain regarding the sustainability of this momentum. Several potential challenges could impact ETH's trajectory in the coming months:
1. Technical Overextension: The speed and magnitude of the 20% move have pushed short-term technical indicators into overbought territory, potentially setting up conditions for a correctional pullback.
2. Regulatory Uncertainty: The evolving regulatory landscape for cryptocurrencies, particularly regarding potential security classifications and staking activities, continues to create background uncertainty for Ethereum.
3. Competitive Pressures: Despite Pectra's improvements, alternative blockchains continue to innovate rapidly, potentially challenging Ethereum's dominance in specific use cases.
4. Macro Reversal Risk: Any shift back toward hawkish monetary policy could negatively impact risk assets broadly, potentially including Ethereum despite its technological progress.
5. Execution Risk: While Pectra's implementation was successful, future technical upgrades still carry execution risk that could impact market confidence.
Conclusion: A Genuine Turning Point?
As market participants attempt to determine whether Ethereum's "insane" 20% candle represents a genuine turning point or a temporary deviation, the weight of evidence increasingly suggests this could indeed mark a significant inflection point in ETH's market cycle.
The confluence of technical breakouts, on-chain accumulation signals, derivative positioning, and fundamental improvements through the Pectra upgrade creates a compelling case for sustained momentum. The divergence between retail selling and institutional accumulation further supports the notion that a meaningful market transition may be underway.
However, sustainable price appreciation will likely require continued technical execution, expanding adoption metrics, and at minimum, a neutral macro environment that doesn't actively handicap risk assets.
For investors and traders, the coming weeks will be crucial in determining whether Ethereum can build upon this momentum or if the surge represents another false dawn in a challenging market. But regardless of short-term price action, the successful implementation of Pectra unquestionably strengthens Ethereum's long-term value proposition as a leading blockchain infrastructure platform.
M&M -Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd. (2 hours chart, NSE) - LongM&M -Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd. (2 hours chart, NSE) - Long Position; short-term research idea.
Risk assessment: Medium {volume structure integrity risk}
Risk/Reward ratio ~ 4.78
Current Market Price (CMP) ~ 2935
Entry limit ~2930 to 2910 (Avg. - 2920) on April 30, 2025
1. Target limit ~ 3015 (+3.25%; +95 points)
2. Target limit ~ 3135 (+7.36%; +215 points)
Stop order limit ~ 2875 (-1.54%; -45 points)
Disclaimer: Investments in securities markets are subject to market risks. All information presented in this group is strictly for reference and personal study purposes only and is not a recommendation and/or a solicitation to act upon under any interpretation of the letter.
LEGEND:
{curly brackets} = observation notes
= important updates
(parentheses) = information details
~ tilde/approximation = variable value
-hyphen = fixed value
Agree to disagree... Gold is topping right now.My price path seen above is a complete guess but it stems from long term trend lines and more importantly order flow from last week.
On Thursday there was a #1 trade on AMEX:PHYS for $200+ Million at the green levels in my chart above (Equivalent levels). PRICE WILL 100% go to my green lines by end of this week 04/25.
We are over shooting the dark pool sale but a lot, however, this is always to trap retail and create fomo/peak fear.
In the correction/recession cycles, gold ALWAYS TOPS LAST before the crash...
Technical Breakdown on US 100 | 1H TimeframeTechnical Breakdown on US100 Cash (NASDAQ CFD) – 1H Timeframe using Volume Profile, Gann, and CVD + ADX
1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused)
a) Volume Profile Insights:
Value Area High (VAH): 19,964.8
Value Area Low (VAL): 19,799.3
Point of Control (POC): 19,936.4 (current session), 19,817.5 (previous session)
High-volume nodes: 19,850 – 19,950 (sustained consolidation and acceptance)
Low-volume gaps: 20,000 – 20,070 (inefficient move up; could act as a magnet on retrace)
b) Liquidity Zones:
Stop clusters likely at:
Above 20,125 (recent high and breakout level)
Below 19,800 (previous rejection and consolidation)
Absorption zones: Near 19,820–19,850, where strong wicks and CVD upticks indicated passive buyers stepping in
c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows:
Swing High: 20,125.8 (sharp rejection, low follow-through volume)
Swing Low: 19,713.4 (high absorption, spike in CVD)
d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis:
Trend Direction: Bullish (CVD rising, price confirming higher highs)
ADX Strength: ADX ~22, DI+ > DI- → Confirmed uptrend
CVD Confirmation:
Rising CVD + rising price = strong demand
Momentum stalling near 20,125, signaling potential short-term pullback
2. Support & Resistance Levels
a) Volume-Based Levels:
Support:
VAL: 19,799.3
POC: 19,936.4
Swing low: 19,713.4
Resistance:
VAH: 19,964.8
Swing high: 20,125.8
b) Gann-Based Levels:
Recent swing low: 19,713.4
Retracement levels (from 20,125.8 high to 19,713.4 low):
1/3: 19,850.9
1/2: 19,919.6
2/3: 19,988.3
3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure
a) Trend: Bullish (ADX > 20 with CVD and price agreement)
b) Notable Patterns:
Bullish channel breakout forming
Retest of 19,936 POC aligning with previous breakout level
Potential continuation pattern (ascending wedge forming within purple projection channel)
4. Trade Setup & Risk Management
a) Bullish Entry (CVD + ADX confirm uptrend):
Entry Zone: 19,925 – 19,940 (POC + Gann midpoint)
Targets:
T1: 20,070 (gap fill)
T2: 20,125 (recent high)
Stop-Loss (SL): Below 19,799 (VAL / swing low)
RR: Minimum 1:2
b) Bearish Entry (If rejection near swing high + falling CVD):
Entry Zone: 20,120 – 20,125
Target:
T1: 19,936 (POC)
Stop-Loss (SL): Above 20,150
RR: Minimum 1:2
c) Position Sizing:
Risk only 1-2% of capital per trade
Technical Breakdown on Gold Spot / USD (XAU/USD) | 1H TimeframeTechnical Breakdown on Gold Spot (XAU/USD) – 1H Timeframe using Volume Profile, Gann, and CVD + ADX
1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused)
a) Volume Profile Insights:
Value Area High (VAH): 3,388.2
Value Area Low (VAL): 3,296.7
Point of Control (POC): 3,385.3
High-volume nodes: Dense consolidation between 3,365 – 3,390, indicating institutional activity and balance.
Low-volume gaps: Between 3,340 – 3,360 (inefficient move up, price may revisit).
b) Liquidity Zones:
Stop clusters likely at:
Above 3,388 (previous swing high)
Below 3,300 (recent swing low)
Order absorption areas: Around 3,320 where price stalled with large volume, indicating passive buyers absorbing aggressive sellers.
c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows:
Swing High: 3,388.5 (strong rejection & volume spike)
Swing Low: 3,297.1 (volume bounce support area)
d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis:
Trend Direction: Range-bound currently (sideways movement in CVD with weak momentum)
ADX Strength: ADX < 20 → Indicates weak trend or consolidation
CVD Confirmation:
CVD is showing slight bullish divergence vs. price → early demand buildup
Not yet confirmed with strong trend continuation
2. Support & Resistance Levels
a) Volume-Based Levels:
Support:
VAL: 3,296.7
Absorption zone: 3,320.0
Resistance:
VAH: 3,388.2
Swing high: 3,388.5
b) Gann-Based Levels:
Recent swing low: 3,297.1
Retracement levels (from recent high 3,388.5 to low 3,297.1):
1/3 Retracement: 3,327.6
1/2 Retracement: 3,342.8
2/3 Retracement: 3,358.0
3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure
a) Trend: Range-bound (confirmed by ADX < 20 and flat CVD)
b) Notable Patterns:
Potential bullish falling wedge pattern forming
Projection suggests price might bounce from 3,320 toward upper channel (3,370+)
Watch for retest of POC (3,385) for breakout confirmation
4. Trade Setup & Risk Management
a) Bullish Entry (Pending confirmation from breakout and CVD support):
Entry Zone: 3,320 – 3,325 (channel + volume support)
Targets:
T1: 3,342.8 (50% Gann)
T2: 3,385.3 (POC and VAH)
Stop-Loss (SL): Below 3,297 (swing low/VAL)
RR: Minimum 1:2
b) Bearish Entry (If rejection at VAH and CVD turns bearish):
Entry Zone: 3,385 – 3,388
Target:
T1: 3,320.0
Stop-Loss (SL): Above 3,400
RR: Minimum 1:2
c) Position Sizing:
Risk only 1-2% of capital per trade
LODHA - Bearish due to forming double Top pattern
TECHNICAL INDICATORS -
DOUBLE TOP PATTERN formation -
NSE:LODHA has formed a double top pattern indicating strong downward pressure for the stock
Double top is characterized by two consecutive peaks on a price chart, with a dip or low between them & subsequent breakout
VOLUME SPIKE -
the stock has recently shown two large volume spikes indicating strong upcoming momentum for the stock
Generally volumes increase before a significant price movement
SHOOTING STAR candlestick -
the stock has formed a shooting star candlestick recently indicating trend reversal for it ie from upward movement to downward movement
Shooting star is characterized by a small body at bottom and a long upper shadow of a candlestick
GAP-DOWN BREAKOUT -
the stock has broken out of the pattern with a gap-down indicating very strong downward pressure
PROFIT TARGET -
1200
STOP LOSS -
1325