XMR: I was there, Gandalf. I was there 3000 years ago...In the crypto space, it's quite difficult to talk about long-term trading because very few coins actually survive for a long time and continue to show cyclical dynamics. But when such coins do appear, their setups can be published in a textbook on technical analysis.
On the weekly chart, we see a formed Wyckoff accumulation structure with almost all the features inherent to this structure on the chart.
We can see how smart money accumulated their positions from mid-2022, conducted a local rally in early 2023, thus forming a range in which we have been for almost 2 years .
This was possible due to the negative sentiment around the coin (tightening regulatory screws, delisting from a number of exchanges, including Binance on February 20, 2024 ) and the lack of speculative hype around XMR.
However, the price has now broken out of the range and confidently consolidated above it, and right now there is a good opportunity in terms of Risk/Reward to go long on XMR.
It should be noted that the trade will be positional, with a horizon of more than 6+ months. However, the wait may be justified because the volume profile on the chart does not illustrate large "walls," i.e., potential seller pressure across the entire price range up to the ATH . KRAKEN:XMRUSD
Volume
XAUUSD BUY LIMIT ORDERHi everyone.
we have a BOS in higher TF and I think we're starting a pullback. I think these two areas has a good potential to set order.
I'll Update the TPs later but for now our last TP is 2790
Let's see how it reacts to those areas.
Please always consider the risk management.
Dear traders, please support my ideas with your likes and comments to motivate me to publish more signals and analysis for you.
Best Regards
Navid Nazarian
EUR/CHF, Long, 1Dentry: Current Market Price
take profit: 0.95555
stop loss: 0.93330
EUR/CHF is trading in an uptrend and has broken through the key support level at 0.94145. This bullish breakout signals a potential continuation toward the target at 0.95555.
LONG 🚀
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MATIC (Polygon), Long, 1Dentry: Current Market Price
take profit: 0.5250
stop loss: 0.0400
MATIC is currently trading within a support zone and forming a bullish flag pattern. This indicates potential upward momentum as it aims to break through the resistance at 0.4950.
buy 🚀
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GOLD, Long, 8hentry: Current Market Price
take profit: 2821
stop loss: 2710
GC1! (Gold Futures) has already broken out of a triangle pattern, successfully breaking the resistance. Bullish momentum suggests further upside toward the target level at 2821.
BUY 🚀
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Failing VWAP RetestWe broke through our VWAP (pegged to 1/13/25) at the 102500 level today, retested once, we passed 101900, 101500, now retesting 101500 which is where the VWAP is for some BTC perpetuals. For them it is support as currently their price sits above this band, but as you can see here on the spot chart it is resistance for spot BTC. The high volume/compression candles colored purple and yellow-green show there is more leniency toward the downside. There is a demand zone the price could possibly rebound starting around 100500.
AUD/USD, sell, 8hentry: Current Market Price
take: 0.62100
stop loss: 0.63100
AUD/USD is currently rejecting a key resistance level at 0.62930, with bearish momentum building. Technical indicators, including the Super Trend and Pivot Point HL, confirm the downtrend, suggesting further downside potential.
SELL 🔥
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Intraday Levels for Nasdaq 100 Futures - 01/22/2025This analysis focuses on the Nasdaq 100 Futures, aiming to identify potential support and resistance levels where the price could experience intraday bounces or trend reversals, as well as zones where the price might potentially break higher or move lower.
Considerations
The range used in this analysis serves only as a reference for broader-level insights.
For intraday operations, it is advisable to utilize a lower timeframe to refine entry and exit points more accurately.
To confirm the validity of these levels, it is essential to evaluate real-time conditions as the price approaches these zones. Factors such as pressure, trading volume, and Order Flow will play a critical role in determining whether these supports hold or are likely to be broken.
Intraday Levels for Nasdaq 100 Futures - 01/21/2025This analysis focuses on the Nasdaq 100 Futures, aiming to identify potential support and resistance levels where the price could experience intraday bounces or trend reversals, as well as zones where the price might potentially break higher or move lower.
Considerations
The range used in this analysis serves only as a reference for broader-level insights.
For intraday operations, it is advisable to utilize a lower timeframe to refine entry and exit points more accurately.
To confirm the validity of these levels, it is essential to evaluate real-time conditions as the price approaches these zones. Factors such as pressure, trading volume, and Order Flow will play a critical role in determining whether these supports hold or are likely to be broken.
BTC Bullish + Bearish PredictionsThis analysis is based on VWAP, one of the most definitive levels that determine the future trend direction.
Right now we are sitting well above the VWAP anchored to 1/13 where the pivot low for out most recent move up began. Depending on the price action, the strong overall sentiment for BTC is strong enough to take it past the 108k ATH, despite many technicals suggesting we are overdue for a large pullback down to the 70ks.
What needs to happen is for accumulation to happen between the 102k and 105k levels, and continue through to the ATH such that buyers can hold thru any pushback/resistance at 108K and 109k, the next resistance level. If it can push us through 109, then our next resistance will be at 111k and 113k, which is also the zone where I would guess the retracement from the next ATH may return to. We may top out at 113550, which is both a macro fib level and a stddev extension of the VWAP, if bullish sentiment is not strong enough. If it can break 113500, we may just go exponential to 125 or 128k, where it should retrace to 113K, or even shallower.
The bearish case is a fast run up past 108k, losing steam at 109k or 111k, consolidating for a short while between 109 and 105 where bears can build their positions and then take us back under 101k. There are key VWAP levels in black around 102k that if we break and close below, will almost certainly shift the odds towards going back down.
Ive included a second VWAP anchored to a more recent pivot low, where the value sits at 104950 currently, a break below may not necessarily spell doom for bulls but the price action between that level and the main VWAP around 102k may tell you something about the current bull/bear sentiment.
If you are bullish it would be wise to build your position below 105k whenever you have the chance, and to encourage the breakouts at 108 ATH, 109700, 111000-111500, and 113500. For bears you are looking for strong resistance showing up at 109750, then at around 111k, accumulating your shorts between 109k and 105k with the goal of breaking through 101k.
PHUN Long Trade Expecting Continuation PHUN is in the advertizing business specializing in targeting consumers with smart filterning of
the ads tailored to their websurfing and data history. That said, it competes with Google,
Facebook, Snapchat and all the rest. it is far more volatile than them as a small cap company.
The trade is in capturing the volatility.
On a 120-minute chart, PHU was in a state of dormancy and almost no range in late 2023
but awoke in the current year. The all-the-highs are in the 80 range back in 2022. From the
highs of January to the recent low on March 1st, PHUN dropped more than 70% in 40 days or so.
On the chart, it has broken out of deep undervalued territory and is not situated near the
anchored mean VWAP and is at the POC line of the volume profile. It traded nearly 70
million shares about 20X the running average. I see this as an opportunity for a long
trade at or near the VWAP where institutionally based traders are likely to trade. The
volume and volatility make this obvious. A similar combination of volume and volatility last
occurred about January 16 and propelled the price more than 250% in 4 days. While a similar
move should not be expected, even 50% in 4 days is an excellent return for the risk taken.
I will set a stop loss of 10% for this volatile stock while targeting 18 and 22 from the VWAP
band lines on the chart.
Intraday Levels for Nasdaq 100 Futures - 01/16/2025This analysis focuses on the Nasdaq 100 Futures, aiming to identify potential support and resistance levels where the price could experience intraday bounces or trend reversals, as well as zones where the price might potentially break higher or move lower.
Considerations
The range used in this analysis serves only as a reference for broader-level insights.
For intraday operations, it is advisable to utilize a lower timeframe to refine entry and exit points more accurately.
To confirm the validity of these levels, it is essential to evaluate real-time conditions as the price approaches these zones. Factors such as pressure, trading volume, and Order Flow will play a critical role in determining whether these supports hold or are likely to be broken.
Finding Entry Points: Analysis of Key LevelsHey traders and investors!
Every day in the Bitcoin market brings new opportunities but also involves risks. How can traders identify buyer and seller zones for their trades? Let's analyze the current situation and find the best entry points.
In this review: key levels 99,550 and 107,050 USDT, price movement forecasts, and strategies for identifying entry points.
Analysis of Bitcoin/USDT Chart (1D Timeframe)
The price has formed a range in which 10 vectors have already been realized.
Range Boundaries
• Upper boundary of the range: 108,353 USDT.
• Lower boundary of the range: 89,256.69 USDT.
Movement Vectors
The penultimate realized vector — 9-10, ended in the buyer zone (marked with a green rectangle on the chart). From the buyer zone, a buyer resumed and realized the vector — 10-11, which updated the ATH. Formally, the vector has played out, and the seller vector 11-12 with a target of 99,550 USDT can be expected.
Volumes
The chart highlights bars with increased volumes, signaling significant buying or selling activity. Special attention is drawn to the bar on January 20, 2025, where the price sharply moved up, but this movement met seller resistance, forming a large buying tail. At the same time, the volume remained concentrated at the top. On one hand, it is a buyer's bar; on the other hand, the large tail and concentrated volume at the top suggest mixed signals.
Let’s move to the 1H timeframe to understand the situation better and define levels for finding entry points.
Analysis of Bitcoin/USDT Chart (1H Timeframe)
The price has formed a range in which 9 vectors have already been realized.
Range Boundaries
• Upper boundary of the range: 109,588 USDT.
• Lower boundary of the range: 99,550 USDT.
Movement Vectors
The last realized seller vector: 9-10. The current buyer vector: 10-11, with a potential target of 107,050 USDT.
Finding Entry Points for Buying and Selling
Buying patterns can be identified if the buyer defends the level 99,550 USDT.
Selling patterns can be considered if the seller defends the level 107,050 USDT, or after breaking the lower boundary of the range and the seller defends this break. Looking for selling opportunities after a range breakout downward is risky, with a potential downside range of 95,000 – 94,000 USDT.
I wish you profitable trades!
ES continue with the UptrendOn ES , it's nice to see a strong buying reaction at the price of 5999.00.
There's a significant accumulation of contracts in this area, indicating strong buyer interest. I believe that buyers who entered at this level will defend their long positions. If the price returns to this area, strong buyers will likely push the market up again.
Uptrend and high volume cluster are the main reasons for my decision to go long on this trade.
Happy trading
Dale
2281: Bullish Reversal from POC_Golden Pocket2281
Continuously in downtrend. Earlier estimations of reversal from bearish flag completion and support levels did not sustain (Bears dominated).
However, current price movement (green candles) at POC is confirming the interest of buyers.
This is in confluence with 50% fib (Golden Pocket)
Entry can be taken now (HH) or after formation of HL (conservative)
Keep SL intact as identified.
Natural Gas: Sellers Target $3.38Hello everyone!
Key Highlights:
Current State: The market is in a sideways movement, Currently, the downward vector (5-6) is active, targeting the short-term goal (PT Short) of $3.38, which is 11% below the current price.
Range Boundaries: Upper Boundary: $4.269, Lower Boundary: $3.319
Vectors of the Sideways market:
The last completed vector (4-5) was upward, forming a zone of sellers (highlighted in red) near Upper Boundary. This zone acts as a significant resistance for future upward movement.
Currently, the downward vector (5-6) is active, targeting the short-term goal (PT Short) of $3.38, which is 11% below the current price.
Supply and Demand Zones:
Zone of Sellers:
Formed during the upward movement (last impulse). Approximate levels: $4.052 and above.
Price is moving away from this zone, confirming seller dominance in the short term.
Zone of Buyers:
Found near the lower boundary of $3.319 - $3.38. This area may provide strong support if the price continues to decline.
Potential Scenarios:
Bearish Case:
If sellers maintain control, the price could drop towards $3.38, aligning with the lower boundary.
A break below this level would open the path to further declines.
Bullish Case:
A strong buyer reaction near $3.38 or $3.319 could initiate a rebound, with targets towards $4.05.
Summary:
The market is currently dominated by sellers, with the price declining toward $3.38. However, the level at $3.768 may act as a potential obstacle for the seller vector, if buyers will be defending this level. Additionally, buyer zones near the lower boundary may provide further support and opportunities for long positions if reversal patterns emerge.
Stay cautious and monitor key levels for potential setups!
Wishing you all successful trades and a profitable day!
Little rally to trap everyone? Then were caught holding the bag?10-11 expiration for NVDA has way to much open interest at 120 - 130 levels. 118 looks more realistic.
I think we can see a climb to 120-130 early in the week and a huge sell off to 118 to end the week.
If this happens, it opens the door to max pain of 112 - 113 by 10/18.
There are going to be so many traps this months and I think were all in the middle of one now.
Inversely, my theory above could be a trap as well haha. If this is truly a blow off top, $149 -$150 is my absolute peak.