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Gold — Buyer Power or Pause?The monthly candle closed as a strong buyer candle with significant volume. This shows strong interest from both buyers and sellers at current levels. Yesterday, on the daily timeframe, a seller-side IKC appeared (IKC or decision candle — the highest-volume candle within initiatives inside a sideways range). That puts the current long targets into question — we now need to see a clear show of buyer strength. 📉 The price is currently near the 50% level of the weekly initiative — 3228.382, which could attract buyers. Below that, daily support zones are marked on the chart at 3193 and 3167, where the buyer may regain initiative. 🔎 To consider long entries, we need to see: • Buyer strength, and • Price returning above 3260. This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA). Wishing you profitable trades!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AlexeyWolf
MLM - Martin Marietta Material, Inc. (Daily chart, NYSE) - LongMLM - Martin Marietta Material, Inc. (Daily chart, NYSE) - Long Position; Short-term research idea. Risk assessment: Medium {volume & support structure integrity risk} Risk/Reward ratio ~ 2.79 Current Market Price (CMP) ~ 490 Entry limit ~ 485 on April 22, 2025 1.⁠ ⁠Target limit ~ 504 (+3.92%; +19 points) 2.⁠ ⁠Target limit ~ 524 (+8.04%; +39 points) Stop order limit ~ 471 (-2.89%; -14 points) Disclaimer: Investments in securities markets are subject to market risks. All information presented in this group is strictly for reference and personal study purposes only and is not a recommendation and/or a solicitation to act upon under any interpretation of the letter. LEGEND: {curly brackets} = observations = important updates (parentheses) = information ~ tilde/approximation = variable value -hyphen = fixed value
NYSE:MLMLong
by VEDIMarketWatch
1
Carnival Corporation (2 hours chart, NYSE) - Long PositionCCL - Carnival Corporation (2 hours chart, NYSE) - Long Position; Short-term research idea. Risk assessment: High {volume & support structure integrity risk} Risk/Reward ratio ~ 2.33 Current Market Price (CMP) ~ 18.53 Entry limit ~ 18.30 to 18.10 (Avg. -18.20) on April 24, 2025 1.⁠ ⁠Target limit ~ 19.20 (+5.49%; +1 point) 2.⁠ ⁠Target limit ~ 19.60 (+7.69%; +1.4 points) Stop order limit ~ 17.6 (-3.3%; -0.6 points) Disclaimer: Investments in securities markets are subject to market risks. All information presented in this group is strictly for reference and personal study purposes only and is not a recommendation and/or a solicitation to act upon under any interpretation of the letter. LEGEND: {curly brackets} = observations = important updates (parentheses) = information ~ tilde/approximation = variable value -hyphen = fixed value
NYSE:CCLLong
by VEDIMarketWatch
AUDUSD - Daily chart, OANDA) - Long; Mid-term research idea.AUDUSD - Australian Dollar / U.S. Dollar (Daily chart, OANDA) - Long Position; Mid-term research idea. Risk assessment: High {volume & support structure integrity risk} Risk/Reward ratio ~ 2.5 Entry limit ~ 0.63800 on April 30, 2025 1.⁠ ⁠Target limit ~ 0.67800 (+6.27%; +0.04000 points) 2.⁠ ⁠Target limit ~ 0.65715 (+3%; +0.01915 points) Stop order limit ~ 0.62200 (-2.51%; -0.01600 points) Disclaimer: Investments in securities markets are subject to market risks. All information presented in this group is strictly for reference and personal study purposes only and is not a recommendation and/or a solicitation to act upon under any interpretation of the letter. LEGEND: {curly brackets} = observations = important updates (parentheses) = information ~ tilde/approximation = variable value -hyphen = fixed value
Long
by VEDIMarketWatch
Technical Breakdown on Gold Spot / USD (XAU/USD) | 1H Timeframe Here’s the detailed breakdown of the Gold Spot / USD (XAU/USD) 1H Chart based on Volume Profile, Gann analysis, and custom indicators (CVD + ADX): 1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused) a) Volume Profile Insights: • Value Area High (VAH): 3325.00 • Value Area Low (VAL): 3302.00 • Point of Control (POC): 3314.58 • High-volume nodes: Notable clustering around 3310–3325 zone, suggesting accumulation. • Low-volume gaps: 3340–3360 zone shows thin profile—potential breakout area if breached. b) Liquidity Zones: • Liquidity Clusters: o Upside: Prior highs near 3360 and 3380 may have stop orders. o Downside: 3280–3290 (recent swing lows) likely holding short-term stops. • Absorption Zones: Strong absorption observed just below POC (3305–3310), indicating defense by buyers. c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows: • Swing High (Volume Spike): 3360 on April 26 – high rejection with strong sell volume. • Swing Low (Volume Spike): 3285 on April 25 – major buying tail, reversal support zone. d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis: • Trend Direction: Currently range-bound; no clean directional move post 28th April. • ADX Strength: o ADX < 20: Weak trend environment o DI+ ≈ DI-: Confirms lack of clear directional bias • CVD Confirmation: o Neutral to slightly rising CVD, indicating moderate demand but not dominant o No divergence between price and CVD—suggests indecision ________________________________________ 2. Support & Resistance Levels a) Volume-Based Levels: • Support: o VAL: 3302.00 o POC: 3314.58 o Swing low: 3285.00 (with high delta absorption) • Resistance: o VAH: 3325.00 o Swing highs: 3360.00 and 3380.00 b) Gann-Based Levels: • Gann Swing High: 3360 (April 26) • Gann Swing Low: 3285 (April 25) • Key Retracements: o 1/2: 3322.5 o 1/3: 3310 o 2/3: 3340 ________________________________________ 3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure a) Trend: Range-bound (confirmed by flat ADX and neutral CVD) b) Notable Patterns: • Descending triangle forming between 3325 (horizontal resistance) and lower highs • Potential breakout scenario if price clears 3325 with volume • Retests of POC at 3314 providing short-term scalping setups ________________________________________ 4. Trade Setup & Risk Management a) Bullish Entry (If CVD + ADX confirm uptrend): • Entry Zone: 3310–3315 • Targets: o T1: 3340 o T2: 3360 • Stop-Loss (SL): 3295 (below VAL) • RR: Minimum 1:2 b) Bearish Entry (If CVD + ADX confirm downtrend): • Entry Zone: 3325–3330 • Target: o T1: 3285 • Stop-Loss (SL): 3345 (above recent swing high) • RR: Minimum 1:2 c) Position Sizing: Risk only 1-2% of capital per trade
FX:XAUUSDShort
by ProspireWealth
APOLLOTYRE - Apollo Tyres Ltd (2 hours chart, NSE) - Long PositiAPOLLOTYRE - Apollo Tyres Ltd. (2 hours chart, NSE) - Long Position; short-term research idea. Risk assessment: Medium {volume structure integrity risk} Risk/Reward ratio ~ 2.68 Current Market Price (CMP) ~ 470 Entry limit ~ 464.50 on April 30, 2025 1.⁠ ⁠Target limit ~ 481 (+3.55%; +16.5 points) 2.⁠ ⁠Target limit ~ 498 (+7.21%; +33.5 points) Stop order limit ~ 452 (-2.69%; -12.5 points) Disclaimer: Investments in securities markets are subject to market risks. All information presented in this group is strictly for reference and personal study purposes only and is not a recommendation and/or a solicitation to act upon under any interpretation of the letter. LEGEND: {curly brackets} = observation notes = important updates (parentheses) = information details ~ tilde/approximation = variable value -hyphen = fixed value
NSE:APOLLOTYRELong
by VEDIMarketWatch
1. SMC-Based Chart Reading Timeframe: 4H Price Action Summary: •Strong bullish impulse previously, followed by a clear correction phase. •Price is bouncing between clean demand and supply OBs. •Market is now reacting from a demand block, filling in an Imbalance/FVG (Fair Value Gap). •Multiple liquidity pools marked via sessions and time-based highs (2:30am & 6:30am). ⸻ 2. Marked Points in Chart •Last Day High: 3,353.297 — a key liquidity magnet (untouched). •50% Day Range: ~3,305 – the market recently broke above it, showing strength. •Last Day Low: ~3,280 – respected multiple times (demand zone). • 2:30 am & 6:30 am Highs: Session-based liquidity targets. •Imbalance (FVG): Being filled — buyers reacting to unmitigated value. •Return Line: Classic SMC technique for retracement target (OB re-entry). ⸻ 3. Swing Low & High (Day/4H) •Swing High (4H): ~3,360 – 3,400 (upper supply zone) •Swing Low (4H): 3,268 – 3,280 (demand zone at the base) •Current Internal High: 3,343 •Current Internal Low: 3,280 Price is currently attempting to form higher low structure = Possible bullish continuation if it holds above 3,308. ⸻ 4. Trade Direction Bias: Bullish Intraday / Reversal Pending Swing •Price is breaking above 50% range and holding above the FVG/demand block. •Next liquidity targets are session highs (3,343) and then last day high (3,353). •If price holds above 3,305 and breaks 3,343, this confirms bullish continuation. ⸻ 5. Best Risk-Reward Ratio Setup Buy Setup (Best Trade Idea) • Entry Zone: 3,308 – 3,315 (retest of demand + FVG) • SL: Below 3,300 or safer at 3,295 • TP1: 3,343 (session high) • TP2: 3,353 (liquidity at last day high) • TP3: 3,360 – 3,380 (supply OB) Entry SL TP1 TP2 TP3 RRR 3,310 3,295 3,343 3,353 3,380 1:2.2 / 1:2.8 / 1:4.6 Key Note: • If you’re conservative: secure partial profits at TP1. • Let partial ride to TP2/TP3 for maximum RRR. ⸻ 6. CRT Model Evaluation CRT Flow: CRT Element Present? Notes Change of Character (ChoCh) Yes, from bearish to bullish at 3,280 OB zone Reversal Yes Price formed a higher low, left FVG, and reclaimed 50% day range Trend Continuation Building Needs clean break of 3,343 to target 3,353–3,360 => The CRT Model confirms a pending bullish continuation if the price holds current levels and the session is reclaimed high. ⸻ Final Trade Summary Parameter Value Trend Bias Bullish Swing High (4H) 3,360–3,400 Swing Low (4H) 3,268–3,280 Entry Zone 3,310 (FVG retest) SL Below 3,295 TP1 / TP2 / TP3 3,343 / 3,353 / 3,380 CRT Phase Reversal to Trend Continuation RRR Potential 1:2.2 to 1:4.5
OANDA:XAUUSD
by shivamfx
Technical Breakdown on Gold Spot / USD (XAU/USD) | 1H TimeframeHere’s the detailed breakdown of the Gold Spot / USD (XAU/USD) 1H Chart based on Volume Profile, Gann analysis, and custom indicators (CVD + ADX): 1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused) a) Volume Profile Insights: • Value Area High (VAH): 3,343.00 • Value Area Low (VAL): 3,278.50 • Point of Control (POC): o Current session: 3,293.34 o Previous session: 3,329.53 • High-volume nodes: o Around 3,293-3,300 (recent acceptance area) • Low-volume gaps: o Between 3,315 - 3,330 (thin volume, price may move quickly through) b) Liquidity Zones: • Stops likely above recent swing high: 3,343 (VAH area). • Stops likely below recent swing low: 3,278 (VAL area). • Absorption (high delta volume) noted near 3,290-3,300 (potential strong demand zone). c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows: • Swing high at 3,343 with notable rejection and high-volume rejection candle. • Swing low at 3,278.5 where volume spiked and buying pressure emerged. d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis: • Trend Direction: Currently slight bullish bias (CVD showing positive divergence). • ADX Strength: o ADX < 20 (currently weak trend, range-bound behavior likely). • CVD Confirmation: o Recent rising CVD with bullish price action = demand emerging. ________________________________________ 2. Support & Resistance Levels a) Volume-Based Levels: • Support: o VAL: 3,278.50 o POC: 3,293.34 • Resistance: o VAH: 3,343.00 o Previous swing high: 3,343 b) Gann-Based Levels: • Confirmed Gann swing low: 3,278 • Confirmed Gann swing high: 3,343 • Key retracement levels: o 1/2 Retracement: ~3,310.5 o 1/3 Retracement: ~3,300 o 2/3 Retracement: ~3,320 ________________________________________ 3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure a) Trend: • Range-bound to slight bullish bias (based on ADX low + CVD rising). b) Notable Patterns: • Potential ascending channel forming (highlighted in purple). • Breakout attempt from range, but not confirmed with strong volume yet. • Minor flag pattern in consolidation near 3,293-3,300. ________________________________________ 4. Trade Setup & Risk Management a) Bullish Entry (If CVD + ADX confirm uptrend): • Entry Zone: 3,293.50 – 3,295.00 • Targets: o T1: 3,320 o T2: 3,343 • Stop-Loss (SL): 3,278 • RR: Minimum 1:2 b) Bearish Entry (If CVD + ADX confirm downtrend): • Entry Zone: 3,343 (retest of VAH) • Target: o T1: 3,300 • Stop-Loss (SL): 3,355 (above prior swing high) • RR: Minimum 1:2 c) Position Sizing: • Risk 1-2% of capital per trade only.
FX:XAUUSD
by ProspireWealth
Bitcoin Update: Sell or Wait?Hey traders and investors! An interesting setup on Bitcoin. On the 1H timeframe, the market is in a sideways range. The current initiative belongs to the sellers. A clear target is marked on the chart. We also have a seller Decision candle, and a seller zone has formed within its range — a strong signal for short setups. However, on the daily timeframe, the buyers are still in control, and yesterday’s session closed with increased volume. On the other hand, Friday also showed a volume spike — but without any meaningful result, and the same happened yesterday. Sell or not? That’s the question... The 94,900 level might give us the answer. This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA). Wishing you profitable trades!
by AlexeyWolf
XMR: I was there, Gandalf. I was there 3000 years ago...In the crypto space, it's quite difficult to talk about long-term trading because very few coins actually survive for a long time and continue to show cyclical dynamics. But when such coins do appear, their setups can be published in a textbook on technical analysis. On the weekly chart, we see a formed Wyckoff accumulation structure with almost all the features inherent to this structure on the chart. We can see how smart money accumulated their positions from mid-2022, conducted a local rally in early 2023, thus forming a range in which we have been for almost 2 years . This was possible due to the negative sentiment around the coin (tightening regulatory screws, delisting from a number of exchanges, including Binance on February 20, 2024 ) and the lack of speculative hype around XMR. However, the price has now broken out of the range and confidently consolidated above it, and right now there is a good opportunity in terms of Risk/Reward to go long on XMR. It should be noted that the trade will be positional, with a horizon of more than 6+ months. However, the wait may be justified because the volume profile on the chart does not illustrate large "walls," i.e., potential seller pressure across the entire price range up to the ATH . KRAKEN:XMRUSD
KRAKEN:XMRUSDLong
by trolldead
1