Potential bull flag on ASX futures (SPI 200)The ASX 200 cash market rose for a second day, although the SPI 200 futures closed flat with a potential bullish pinbar on the daily chart. The 1-hour chart also shows a potential bull flag, which projects a target around 7640 (or the Feb 2nd overnight VPOC - volume point of control).
For today, bulls could seek pullbacks towards 7580 - 7587 (overnight VPOC) in anticipation of a break higher. Or wait for the break to enter long.
Upside targets include 7600, 7614 (cycle high), and 7640 / 100% projection.
Vpoc
If Bitcoin Breaks $25000, $30000 will be hit very soon!BYBIT:BTCUSD.P BTCUSDT.P COINBASE:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT
If Bitcoin Breaks $25000, $30000 will be hit very soon!
I break down the Key levels on the Bitcoin chart and what I expect will play out over the next few days.
I give you my trading plan. Very NB to be able to trade the ranges until they break.
Not Financial Advice.
Paper trade before using real money!
Safe Trading and book those profits always!
Regards,
Shawn
E-MINI S&P500'S SEARCH FOR VALUE15TH OF AUGUST – 1ST ENTRY (ES Futures Contract)
I started to build my swing position by shorting the market at 4275.00. At the moment I’m risking 0.25%. I’m 25 points away from my entry targets. The reasons for an early entry are:
1. Overall weak Market Structure (last 2 month-rally).
2. Weak liquidity on 4 Consecutive Days. This is suggesting me that we might be experiencing a temporary bullish hype by weak hand traders.
3. Gradual build up of my trade. A market that trades against me and goes to 4300 and beyond will allow me to add more size and complete the trade, while improving my average price of entry.
NOTES
4100 – 4150 = it is logical for the market to trade in brackets around a high-volume area, which in this case it was also the fairest price of the instrument (VPOC). The most important aspect of monitoring the VPOC (volume point of control) or fairest price level is the ability to visualise the potential change or no change in the fairest price level. On the 10th of August the market breaks away in an attempt to raise the perceived value of the S&P500.
11th of August – Perfect example of how the markets lie and trading what you see can be dangerous. The daily candle closed as a shooting star and trapped many traders into weak positions making them think it was a possible turning point. I was suspicious due to weak liquidity been put into the market and various volume anomalies. On the next day we have the shooting start violation and therefore a market confirming the fact that we didn’t have any real selling pressure that day, but rather a liquidation due to profit taking of weak hands traders.
4300 – 4365 = This is the area of potential entries. The value of the instrument is out of balance once again, the market can now be attracted to this area where we have significant low volume nodes. Low volume nodes represent past aggressive auctions (aggressive sellers here) which take the market out of fair value. They tend to be rebalanced by the market at some point, just like any other weak/inefficient area. At 4300 we also have obvious/weak highs. Any buying that took place above the fairest price level (VPOC) saw buyers buying price above the fairest price. When this is occurring traders are taking above-average risk , when I trade I like to constantly think in terms of odds. Any selling, relative to the fairest price level, would be considered selling short-in-the-hole or selling price below value. In other words, by going out of balance now (breaking away from the VPOC) we are testing the best short locations. This becomes particularly powerful when contextualised in a particular scenario (like this case) and compared with volume in relation to time and price, market structure and other relevant clues.
For more explanations, please view my previous post, "A Dive Into My Swing Trading Approach (+setup)".
DASH close to a demand zone!
www.tradingview.com
What will happen to DASH when it reaches to 67$-72$ zone?
Due to the monthly and daily session volume profile indicator, there is a strong demand zone waiting for the chart to reach that green area to pivot. Right after that, The rally would start and continue to hit the most immediate VPOC TP 1:92 and TP2: 95 in the short term.
From a price action point of view, if the descending channel breaks out after touching the support area ( 63$-67$ formed on Sep, Oct 2020), Dash will enter a TR within the range of 70$ to 95$. Although in the mid-term, we can expect 105$, 130$ and 190$.
Let alone, the recent political crisis between Russia and Ukraine might be a game-changer and have a drastic effect on moving the demand zone further to lower prices.
What is your trading strategy using volume profile and volume profile session indicator?
Let’s share our thought processes and learn from each other.
$SPY Key Level 443.5 Monthly VPOCSPY has been dumping every opex and finding previous month's VPOC as support (black line) / pivot point
With the dip this week, I will be watching 443.5 as a key level for support . Bounce here I'll be going long. Break below and target would be in zone of 434/433 (EMA cloud). Wait for confirmation!
Given the scattered call flow and organized, calm selling seen Friday, my bias is for a bounce. Lot of million dollar premium blocks and sweeper on the tape for select tickers. Doesn't seem like a doomsday sell the farm 10% correction... just yet...
TLDR : Buy the dip
3Dsystems +100% ?Hello Trader,
3Dsystems recently had a lot of bullish news,
after the last setback there might be a chance
to buy in the game now.
The demand on 3D fabbing and small batches of products
is still rising. 3Dsystem also helps the customer to implement
and learn the techniques of 3D fabbing, this way both sides
have profits aspecially 3Dsystem in growing demand.
Sounds a bit like a cult. :)
On the charttechnical view 3Dsystems is almost back
to the trend it left at the beginning of 2021.
The symetric triangel in commbination with a
steady supportline close to the VPOC, I see
a good spot to pick up the pace an run the
stock together with the immunizationprocess
up to double the price soon.
What is your take on it?
This is only a idea not a tip/hint for you to trade on.
Have a good one and thanks for reading.
Stacked ResistancesGME Currently below Both Supply Zone/Volume Resistance, downwards trendline and below fib extension resistance
Risk:Reward leans towards being bearish, even though I'm rooting for the mother of all squeezes to come.
Bought Puts. Strangle wasn't really worth it, calls are way too expensive in my humble opinion.
Dax daily: 27 Jul 2020As expected, Friday's session started with a descend towards the S/R zone at 12 882. Bearish traders pushed even lower and the support didn't hold their strengths. The VPOC has also shifted below this zone and this can signify the lack of commitment for further longs and the end of uptrend of the past days.
Important zones
Resistance: 13 119, 12 882
Support: 12 592
Statistics for today
Detailed statistics in the Statistical Application
Macroeconomic releases
NIL
Today's session hypothesis
Monday sessions are statistically slowest for the German stock index. For today, we don't see otherwise and expect the trading activity to be limited around 12 882 level. Bounce away from 12 882 to the downside can cause a sell-off, but considering the consolidation price action around these levels, we don't expect any wild moves here.
Dax daily: 22 Jul 2020The positive continued yesterday as we expected. The price reached above 13 235 resistance and we've noticed the biggest volume of orders for the entire day session. Unfortunately, Dax hasn't stayed long in those levels and the afternoon session wiped out all gains, dropping down to a support level of 13 093.
Important zones
Resistance: 13 235, 13 519
Support: 12 882
Statistics for today
Detailed statistics in the Statistical Application
Macroeconomic releases
NIL
Today's session hypothesis
Today's session opened near Friday's close and Dax is now retesting yesterday's close. This is good news for sellers as the initial signal implies that buyers are not fully convinced of their strengths. Needless to say that Dax is still in the uptrend which is uninterrupted. We anticipate the repetitive test of 13 125 which could be a good level for bearish traders.
Dax daily: 17 Jul 2020Yesterday's analysis turned out as expected, again. The market stalled around 12 882, closing the gap and retesting the VPOC of the previous day. Dax stalled around this level and hasn't taken any clear direction afterwards.
Important zones
Resistance: 13 119
Support: 12 592
Statistics for today
Detailed statistics in the Statistical Application
Macroeconomic releases
NIL
Today's session hypothesis
The price opened without any significant gap today and Dax is currently trading around yesterday's VPOC of 12 915. It will be important to observe the price behaviour of higher volume in the current range. Dax is now at the level where market participants are willing to trade and consider it adequately priced. For such reason, we don't expect any rapid bullish move but rather a slower move sideways.
Dax daily: 16 Jul 2020Yet another great prediction. If you've read our analysis yesterday and traded it accordingly, we congratulate you for great profits. As we predicted, the price had an initial push lower to closed the gap, which correlated with past VPOC. This was the level which had double significance for buyers who stepped in to take the price to 12 882 and even broke out this resistance. This one functioned to suppress further bullish momentum and Dax quickly returned to retest its importance. The price was oscillating up and down, just to close the day on the same level and formed the VPOC slightly above it.
Important zones
Resistance: 12 882, 13 119
Support: 12 592
Statistics for today
Detailed statistics in the Statistical Application
Macroeconomic releases
13:45 CEST - ECB Main Refinancing Rate + Monetary Policy Statement
14:30 CEST - ECB Press Conference
14:30 CEST - USA - Retail Sales & Unemployment claims
Today's session hypothesis
Today's session opened below 12 882. Market participants will most likely attempt to retest yesterday's close as it correlates with the S/R zone and the VPOC too. This is the area where we'll need to monitor the price action to further establish directional bias. Dax is slowly aiming higher and if the continuation prevails, our bullish target lays up at 13 119. Stay on alert as we have a day packed with fundamental releases and these could easily rock the boat.
Dax daily: 13 Jul 2020Appearances are deceptive. Despite Dax opening with a descending gap and back in the consolidation range on Friday morning, it turned out that bearish impulse was a fake one. Contrary, bullish traders took advantage of the lower prices and dominated the entire session. Not only the price corrected the overnight sell-off and closed the gap, but the ascending slope was so prominent that we had no chance to re-enter on a pullback and Dax grew continuously in a clear bullish direction.
Important zones
Resistance: 12 882
Support: 12 592
Statistics for today
Detailed statistics in the Statistical Application
Macroeconomic releases
NIL
Today's session hypothesis
Dax feels a positive sentiment and the price opened with a big ascending gap over the weekend, at 12 835. The first morning impulses almost retested the resistance level at 12 882. Thursday's VPOC is printed at 12 635 and there is a support of 12 592 in its close vicinity, giving the area the needed importance. We incline to retest at least one of these levels and then aim the resistance at 12 882. There are no macroeconomic events scheduled for the day and we'll monitor the behaviour of the US Indices and the correlation of Dax to their price development.
Dax daily: 09 Jul 2020As we thought, the retest and breakout of 12 592 really happened. Since the open, the price took an upward momentum and broke the S/R level for a short period of time. Bears stepped in and corrected the morning push back to 12 494 and proved the significance of both zones. The session was very interesting and the false breakouts could have caused troubles to some trading styles. 12 494 remained supportive and Dax bounced back to the upside, closing almost at 12 592.
Important zones
Resistance: 12 882
Support: 12 592
Statistics for today
Detailed statistics in the Statistical Application
Macroeconomic releases
NIL
Today's session hypothesis
Today's session starts with an ascending breakout and the gap being closed already. We stick to our bullish bias but it's quite possible we'll see a correction towards 12 540, which is the VPOC level of yesterday. Should Dax descend there, we'll understand this as a good entry level for buyers, targeting 12 882. Today's volatility might also be influenced by the Eurogroup meetings throughout the day.
Dax daily: 08 Jul 2020Yesterday's session hasn't turned out exactly according to our expectations. Although Dax descended lower to retest our Support zone at 12 592 as we predicted, the price continued lower instead of reversing to the upside. Dax very precisely respected Friday's VPOC in correlation with the Support level at 12 494 and held further sell-offs.
Important zones
Resistance: 12 592
Support: 12 494
Statistics for today
Detailed statistics in the Statistical Application
Macroeconomic releases
NIL
Today's session hypothesis
The price opened in the very near vicinity of the S/R level at 12 494 with the initial 'fake-out'. It appeared the initial impulsive move took Dax back to the consolidation range of the past weeks, yet it is apparent that it is the range that buyers want to avoid hence retracing the initial drop. We don't have any important macroeconomic events scheduled for today, but tomorrow's Eurogroup meeting could serve as the catalyst to bring some momentum for Dax. The statistical probabilities are also silent for today hence we target the nearest resistance level at 12 595 to either be retested or broken to the upside.
Dax daily: 07 Jul 2020Yesterday's session started optimistically and at one moment, it looked like buyers head straight towards 12 882. But as we know, appearances are deceptive. Sellers stepped in to suppress the bullish attempts and dominated the rest of the session. Bearish traders took the price lower to retest Friday's high, yet failed to close the weekend gap.
Important zones
Resistance: 12 882
Support: 12 592
Statistics for today
Detailed statistics in the Statistical Application
Macroeconomic releases
NIL
Today's session hypothesis
Today's session opened with a descending gap. At the time of writing, Dax continues in the gap direction towards 12 592, which is the nearest S/R zone. After some struggles, buyers managed to get the price out of the consolidation range of the previous weeks and we believe these attempts won't be easily halted. Chances are that 12 592 will be an important zone to support the price and a good entry point for buyers. The least we're eyeing is the return to 12 715 and then attempts to target 12 882.
Dax daily: 29 Jun 2020On Friday, we anticipated that Dax will remain in its consolidation range above 12 151, however, sellers found enough strength to break below this zone, keeping the price suppressed. Not only the session was closed at its daily low but the significant volume of orders moved lower as well and this signifies the sellers' dominance.
Important zones
Resistance: 12 151
Support: 11 829
Statistics for today
Detailed statistics in the Statistical Application
Macroeconomic releases
NIL
Today's session hypothesis
Monday's session started with a descending gap, yet the bearish sentiment doesn't fully control the initial trading hour. The price is confidently heading towards the weekend gap closure at the time of writing. For today, we have two important zones marked nearby - 12 151 as the resistance and 11 829 as the support. It is quite possible that we'll see some correction of Friday's drop before bears step in again to target 11 829. Have a good trading week!
Dax daily: 22 Jun 2020The last session of the past week turned out well for sellers. They managed to get down to a support level at 12 151 where we saw a slight correction before Dax broke to the downside and closed the week lower at 12 112.
Important zones
Resistance: 12 151
Support: 11 829
Statistics for today
Detailed statistics in the Statistical Application
Macroeconomic releases
NIL
Today's session hypothesis
After a long time, today's session opened without a weekend gap. Dax hasn't moved anywhere yet to determine the initial directional push. Following Friday's session outcome, we slightly favour bears now. Their target could now be the previous fair value from 15 Jun, laying at 11 829. Our upper S/R zone will certainly be an interesting one as it could be a decisive factor between buyers and sellers. Should the price return back above, Dax would trade in the same consolidation range where it was last week.