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VET/USD - weekly chart updateLooking at the VET/USD 1 week chart we can see that VET is in a massive Falling Wedge Pattern. A Falling Wedge Pattern is potentially a Bullish Reversal Pattern. Note that the APEX of the Falling Wedge Pattern is located around the end of October 2023. A weekly candle CLOSE BELOW the Lower Converging Trend-line can easily invalidate this pattern as we saw with the previous weekly Rising Wedge Pattern that got invalidated. Here is a closer look at this VET/USD weekly chart: At the moment of typing this, VET is still way below its 50MA, 100MA and 200MA. For the downside, be on the lookout for if/when the 50MA crosses UNDER the 100MA on this 1 week timeframe. For the upside, be on the lookout for if/when VET crosses back above its 200MA and successfully re-test it as support. VET is also still way below its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) for this 1 week timeframe. For the upside, be on the lookout for if/when VET crosses back ABOVE and COLSES a weekly candle ABOVE its LSMA creating a BUY Signal for this indicator on this 1 week timeframe, also look out for any successfully re-test as support. VET is still way below its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA for this 1 week timeframe. Note that both the Middle and Lower Bands are pointing downwards and the Upper Band is sideways at the moment. For the mid to longterm, VET needs to cross back ABOVE and CLOSE ABOVE its BB Middle Band Basis. Looking at VETs longterm Modified Schiff Pitchfork Pattern, we can see that VET is still way below its Pitchfork Median Line and has also found resistance from its Lower Green Resistance Line. Looking at the Trend-Based Fib Extension tool, we can see what levels VET has above and below it as potential Support and Resistance. Note that the 1 ($0.01845) Trend-Based Fib Extension Level is located roughly where the 78.60% ($0.1811) Fib Retracement Level is located. Looking at the Fib Retracement we can see that VET has the 78.60% ($0.01811) and 100% ($0.0857) Fib retracement Levels as potential support. I have added to areas of Support which i believe are of great interest as highlighted by the Horizontal Black Lines with Blue Shading. We can clearly see that VET has found strong Support from its first Support Area. The longer VET stays and keeps re-testing this area with lower highs, the more the support volume will be chipped away and VET will potentially drop further to its next support cluster. The Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) is located at $0.004946 and you can see the increased volume cluster located from around $0.00857 to $0.00287. If VET drops to that level, we can expect a huge buying opportunity to cause a spike up. As you can see on this weekly chart, Traded Volume has been low since around Jun 2021 compared to what VET was getting from July 2018 to May 2021. Looking at the Average Directional Index (ADX DI) we can see that the Trend Strength is increasing with the ADX (Orange Line) rising to 17.129 and above its 9 Period EMA (Black Line) at 15.182. Note that Negative Momentum has dropped with the -DI (Red Line)at 28.041. Positive Momentum has also dropped with the +DI (Green Line) to 16.636. Looking at the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) we can see that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is still in the Negative Zone under the 0.0 Base Line and has been in the Negative Zone since the week of the 13th Dec 2021. Note that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is slight curving upwards so be on the lookout if the MACD Line (Blue Line) crosses back above the Signal Line (Orange Line) creating a Buy Signal on this 1 week timeframe for this indicator. Looking At the Stochastic Indicator (STOCH) we can see that the %K (Blue Line) is still under its %D (Orange Line) and both lines are deep in the Oversold Zone and has been for the last 10 weeks. What is interesting is that VET has been in the Oversold zone a few times on this weekly timeframe and on 3 previous occasions VET has spent about 15-16 Weeks in this Oversold Zone before rising above 20. Could be one to watch. I still believe that there is a huge possibility that BTC will hit $12K especially with inflation and the recession we are in, if that happens then we can expect VET to at least WICK DOWN to its 2nd Support Area which is located by its 100% ($0.0857) Fib Retracement Level and its 1.414 ($0.096) Trend-Based Fib Extension Level. I would not get excited on tis weekly chart unless VET closes and successfully re-test as support its LSMA. For the Longterm, wee need VET to break back above and CLOSE a weekly candle ABOVE its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis and 200MA. Once this world recession is over and the Governments, The FED, The Bank of England ect ect have completely cleaned up from inflation and whatever else, then the Market Makers will eventually decide that the Path of Least Resistance to Profit is upwards. So once this recession and financial/crypto bear market is over, be it in a year, 2, or even 5 to 10 years. You need to position yourself to be able to buy back in on your crypto of choice and take full advantage of the next parabolic wave up. This is all just my opinion so please do your own research as its your money. I have tried to cram quite a lot in this post as this will probably be my last longterm VET/USD weekly chart post for a while unless something major happens so I hope this is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing.
BINANCE:VETUSD
by TradingThroughTheLens
1
BTC/USD - Ichimoku V Calculation, P Wave, Price & Number TheoryThis is an educational post analysing BTC/USD 1 day chart using a mixture of Goichi Hosoda's Ichimoku Ichimoku Kinko Hyo System, Cloud, Number Theory, Price, Time and Wave Principles and introducing you to these methods if its your first time hearing about them. I have been experimenting with the entire Ichimoku System so I hope that you find this post interesting and helpful. The Basics: BTC is still in the Bearish Zone under the Ichimoku Cloud Equilibrium Zone on this 1 day timeframe. The Ichimoku Cloud Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) is indicating that the MID-POINT of the SHORT-TERM momentum is sideways at the moment. The Ichimoku Cloud Base Line (Kijun Sen) is indicating that the MID-POINT of the MID-TERM momentum is sideways at the moment. The Ichimoku Cloud Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is indicating that moment at the moment is sideways. Note that the Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is still under the price from the past. Moving on from the Basics and on to more advance Price, Time, number and Wave examples: Using The Ichimoku Price Theory V Calculation V= B+(B-C) and changing it to Negative so it becomes V=B-(C-B) Our first Pivot point is A at $68,990 which serves as our base or plateu. Our second Pivot point is B at $32,926 and is part of the calculation. Our third Pivot point is C at $48,462 and is also part of the calculation. Using the Calculation V=B-(C-B) we have: (C) $48,462 - (B) $32,926 = $15,536. (B) $32,926 - (C-B) $15,536 = $17,390. Note that at the time of typing this, BTC’s low is around $17,695 which is pretty close to $17,390. So is this the bottom??? Probably not, because BTC is also in a Bearish P Wave as indicated by the light blue Descending I Wave and 2 Converging Trend-lines. This is the second Bearish P Wave that BTC has been in recently on this 1 day timeframe as can been seen from the previous light red Bearish P Wave. Note that I have used a V Calculation because the C is just past the 50% Fib re-tracement level. Ideally it should be at the 61.8% fib level between A and B but because its past the 50% it is slightly short but way too long to be a N, E or NT calculation so V will suffice. Note that the Price Targets are potential price targets which can lead to continuations or sometimes fail. In some respect, they are points where you may want to take profit or not. After many years of mathematical study, Goichi Hosoda finally settled on a set of numbers for his Number Theory, these numbers are, 9, 17, 26, 33, 42, 65, 76, 129, 172, 200~257. Note that 56 is not part of these numbers. These numbers are called Kihon Suchi and are used to project how many days, hours, mins (depending on what timeframe you are in) ahead a new High or Low, reversal ect may likely to occur using this Ichimoku Number Theory System. With Ichimoku number theory/time span, we don’t need to be 100% accurate with the numbers. Note that the distance between A and B is 75 bars, that’s 1 less then Goichi Hosoda’s 76 but that is absolutely fine with this system. Finding actual patterns is more important. Note that this V calculation could be lasting 257 Bars. We can see that from our BTC high at A we had 75 Bars until our low at B. We had 64 Bars from B to C but 65 Bars crosses over and leads close to a drop. From 2 Bars after C we have 42 Bars with a new low and the start of the Converging light red P Wave Trend-lines. I have added 26 Bars from the start of this recent downwards momentum, I have also added 33 Bars so only time will tell if a pattern emerges with these. I have not overwhelmed this chart with timespans and numbers, I have only added at places that caught my interest, and as can be seen on this chart, some of Goichi Hosoda’s numbers have been at points or close to points when things have happened to the price. So using the Negative V Calculation along with the P Wave, Timespan and Number Theory would have served you in good stead if you were shorting just after the price crossed B when moving from C especially as we have not finished the 257 Bar cycle yet. I hope this post has been helpful and informative and has shown you that the Ichimoku Kinko Hyo is so much more then just the cloud, it has its own Wave, Time, Price and Number Theories which i am by no means a master as i'm still a novice but i’d thought id share what i have been working on. I will hopefully update this post with more examples whenI have free time. I hope that this has been helpful. Notes: Ichimoku Cloud Conversion Line = Mid-Point of the Short-Term Momentum. Ichimoku Cloud Base Line = Mid-Point of the Mid-Term Momentum. Ichimoku Cloud Lagging Span = Actual Momentum Direction right now. Ichimoku Cloud Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) = Green Line on edge the Cloud. Ichimoku Cloud Leading Span B (Senkou SpanB) = Red Line on edge the Cloud. Equilibrium Zone = In-between the Cloud. Bullish Zone = Above the Cloud. Bearish Zone = Below the Cloud. V Calculation = A,B,C,D pattern. P Wave = Red and Blue Converging Trend-lines. Note that P Waves can be seen as Goichi Hosoda's version of Bullish and Bearish Pennant patterns. Note that the Blue Bar Lines on the chart are not support and resistance lines, they are just showing the distance between 2 points using Goichi Hosoda’s Numbers.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradingThroughTheLens
5
Bitcoin... VRVP levels are marked! It's really starting to feel like we put our bottom in... As you can see on my chart, $BTC looks like it has found some kind of steady support on the Alligator Trend Indicator. Now, this does not by any means signify that we are out of the woods yet. Bitcoin still has a few major hurdles to overcome. One thing that new traders should understand is support & resistance. (I know, you're already thinking... "But D, I do understand support & resistance.") I mean understanding how 50k, 40k, 30k & even 20k were all price areas where $BTC became less volatile & hung around these prices for a while. The longer Bitcoin or any tradable asset hovers around the same price area, being range-bound for so long. This builds up visual range volume profile aka VRPR; which is the amount of volume being traded at different prices. unlike traditional volume where each candle presents how much volume there was between specific candles open & close. The VPVR measures horizontally. The more you zoom in or out, the more the VPVR will change; and that's because it is measuring the amount of volume compared to the number of candles shown on your chart at any given time. When you zoom out on a high timeframe like the daily chart (displaying price action spanning months/years in the past)You will see the VRVP change drastically and show high volume correlating with prices where the most trading occurred. The VRVP is a very powerful indicator that shows volume as support & resistance. hope you're sticking with me here... Since Bitcoin didn't come crashing down from 69 k to 17.5k within just a few short days or weeks. This created very strong support & resistance levels. Now we all know that when we break through a support level, it then becomes resistance & vice versa. Bitcoin held pretty strong at different price areas and this makes it that much harder to now break these resistance levels and confirm them into support. There is a lot of bullish signals, but we can't let that cloud our judgment. Even though it sucks, we have to realize the possible bearish outcomes in order to give us a more balanced & realistic idea rather than constantly assuming everything is always going to go up. We could test a resistance level and get rejected. If this does happen, I will be making sure that I'm live with my students who survived the bear market... because I believe if we do get a push up to the 23k area & get rejected... That we will 1st off, have the great shorting opportunity & can make some good money; a 2nd... I believe that would be our final push down, $BTC will capitulate and we will start the beginning phase of the next bull run! I already explained how and why I believe we're a lot closer to a reversal than some analysts may think & that's because I think the bull run ended & the bear run began back on April 14th, 2021, not November 10th.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by PlanDeFi
BTC/USD - 1 day chart analysisLooking at the BTC/USD daily chart we can see that BTC is still under its Least Squares Moving Average as well as still under its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA. Note that we have expansion of the Lower Bollinger Band. BTC is still in a Descending Pitchfork Pattern and has found some support from its Upper Green Pitchfork Support Line. Note that BTC is still above the Descending pitchfork Median Line. A drop to the Pitchfork Median Line would take BTC to around $20,000 which is new its 0.786 Trend-Based Fib level at around $20,122. I have added various Support Lines on this chart and you can see the major Descending trend-line that BTC must CLOSE ABOVE and if needs be to successfully re-test as support on this 1 day timeframe. There are more support lines i could add but the chart would become too messy. Looking at the Trend-Based-Fib Extension we can see that BTC is still under its 0.5 Trend-Based Fib level around $30,352. Looking at the Volume Profile Visible Range (VPVR) we can see areas of interest that that might arise that has previously had massive volume. These levels coincide with the Support and Resistance Lines that I’ve added. The Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) for this charts Visible Range is at around $19,112. I have added a Volume Profile Fixed Range (VPFR) indicator which is from 27th Mar 22 to 11th June 22 and as you can see BTC is still below its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for that fixed range. Here is a closer look at this 1 day chart. Looking at the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) we can see that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is still in the Negative Zone under the 0.0 Base Line on this 1 day chart. Note that it looks like the MACD Line (Blue Line) may cross back under its Signal Line (Orange Line) creating a Sell Signal for this indicator on this 1 day timeframe. Looking at the Average Directional Index (ADX DI) we can see that Negative Momentum has increased with the -DI (Red Line) rising to 25.39 and Positive Momentum has dropped with the +DI (Green Line) dropping to 15.50. Note that the Trend Strength is now turning sideways with the ADX (Orange Line) at 24.18 and the 9 Period EMA (Black Line) is heading downwards at 34.37. If the ADX (Orange Line) crosses back above the 9 Period EMA (Black Line) then that will be further strength for the downside if the -DI (Red Line) is still above the +DI (Green Line) on this 1 day timeframe. All in all looking at this 1 day chart mid-term wise BTC shows no sign of breaking to the upside just yet. Look like there will be continued opportunities to acquire your crypto of choice at bargain prices. I hope this chart is helpful with your Trading and Hodl-ing.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradingThroughTheLens
4
BTC/USDWhy is this a buyer's market? 1. Moving averages in the past were bought (200MA, 300MA) 2. Everyone is looking at 200MA. This can break down also. 3. Great support at 13-16k if capitulation is not over at 24k levels. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Next will analyze RSI to spot rare occasions to DCA Bitcoin. This analysis is for long-term investors not for traders. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Have a plan and respect it until making profits. Emotions always will fool human beings. Mindset + Patience = Succes --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by cryptoforevery1
S&P500 Index - Multi timeframe analysis with the Ichimoku CloudMulti timeframe analysis of the S&P500 Index using the Ichimoku Kinko Hyo with original 9,26,52,26 settings, i have also added Volume Profiles (VPVR) and (VPFR) onto the charts. 1 DAY CHART: The Ichimoku Cloud Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) is indicating that the Mid-Point of the Short-term momentum is upwards at the moment. This will possibly change to sideways or even downwards on the open of the next daily candle. The Ichimoku Cloud Base Line (Kijun Sen) is indicating that the Mid-Point of the Mid-term momentum is sideways at the moment. Note that support at the Base Line (Kijun Sen) has failed on this 1 day timeframe. The Ichinoku Cloud Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is indicating that momentum at the moment…… is downwards. Note that the Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is still under the price from 26 periods ago and is i the Bearish Zone under the Kumo (Cloud). The Kumo (Cloud) is still red. Note that the Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) has started to move upwards but will swing back down if the price continues to drop. Note that the Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) is still under the Leading Span B (Senkou Span B). Be on the lookout for if/when the Leading Span B (Senkou Span B) starts to move downwards on this 1 day timeframe indicating further strength to the downside. Note that the price is still in the Bearish Zone under the Kumo (Cloud) on this 1 day timeframe. Note that on this 1 day timeframe, the Price is under all of the Ichimoku Cloud indicators so let’s have a look at the 1 week timeframe and see if we have any Ichimoku support levels. Volume Profiles: Note that the Price is still under its Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) for this charts visible range. Not that the Price is still under its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for the fixed range of 14x daily candles i have selected. 1 WEEK CHART: The Ichimoku Cloud Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) is indicating that the Mid-Point of the Short-term momentum is downwards at the moment. Note that the price has found some resistance from the Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) on this 1 week timframe. The Ichimoku Cloud Base Line (Kijun Sen) is indicating that the Mid-Point of the Mid-term momentum is sideways at the moment. Note that the Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) is still under the Base Line (Kijun Sen) indicating strength for short term downwards momentum. The Ichinoku Cloud Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is indicating that momentum at the moment…… is downwards. Note that the Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is still under the price from 26 periods ago. Note that the Lagging Span (Chikou Span) has dropped below the Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) and is now back in the Equilibrium Zone on this 1 week timeframe. The Kumo (Cloud) is still red on this 1 week timeframe. Note that the Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) has started to move downwards and is still under the Leading Span B (Senkou Span B). Note that the price is still in the Bearish Zone under the Kumo (Cloud) on this 1 week timeframe. Note that on this 1 week timeframe, the Price is under all of the Ichimoku Cloud indicators so let’s have a look at the 2 week timeframe and see if we have any Ichimoku support levels. Volume Profiles: Note that the Price is still under its Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) for this charts visible range. Not that the Price is still under its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for the fixed range of 11x weekly candles i have selected. 2 WEEK CHART: The Ichimoku Cloud Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) is indicating that the Mid-Point of the Short-term momentum is sideways at the moment. The Ichimoku Cloud Base Line (Kijun Sen) is indicating that the Mid-Point of the Mid-term momentum is sideways at the moment. Note that the Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) is still under the Base Line (Kijun Sen) indicating strength for short term downwards momentum. The Ichimoku Cloud Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is indicating that momentum at the moment…… is downwards. Note that the Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is still under the price from 26 periods ago but is still in the Bullish Zone above the Kumo (Cloud). The Kumo (Cloud) is still green. Note that the Leading Span A (Senko Span A) is still above the Leading Span B (Senkou Span B). Note that the Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) is moving sideways at the moment but the Leading Span B (Senkou Span B) is moving upwards, be on the lookout for if the Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) starts to move closer towards the Leading Span B (Senkou Span B). Be on the lookout if the price drops below and closes below the Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) into the Equilibrium Zone on this 2 week timeframe. Note that the price is still in the Bullish Zone above the Kumo (Cloud) on this 2 week timeframe. Note that on this 2 week timeframe, the Price is under the Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) and Base Line (Kijun Sen) but still has the Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) and Leading Span B (Senkou Span B) as potential support levels. Let’s have a look at the 1 month timeframe and see if we have anymore Ichimoku support levels. Volume Profiles: Note that the Price is still under its Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) for this charts visible range. Not that the Price is still under its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for the fixed range of 6x 2 weekly candles i have selected. 1 MONTH CHART: The Ichimoku Cloud Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) is indicating that the Mid-Point of the Short-term momentum is sideways at the moment. The Ichimoku Cloud Base Line (Kijun Sen) is indicating that the Mid-Point of the Mid-term momentum is upwards at the moment. Note that the Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) is still above the Base Line (Kijun Sen) indicating strength for short term sideways momentum as the indicator is moving sideways at the moment. The Ichinoku Cloud Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is indicating that momentum at the moment…… is downwards. Note that the Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is still above the price from 26 periods ago and is still in the Bullish Zone. The Kumo (Cloud) is still green. Note that the Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) has started to move upwards but may swing back down if the price continues to drop on this 1 month timeframe. Note that the Leading Span A (Senko Span A) is still above the Leading Span B (Senkou Span B). Be on the lookout for if the Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) starts to move closer towards the Leading Span B (Senkou Span B). Note that the price is still in the Bullish Zone above the Kumo (Cloud) on this 1 month timeframe. Note that on this 1 month timeframe, the Price is under the Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) but still has the Base Line (Kijun Sen) Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) and Leading Span B (Senkou Span B) as potential support levels. Volume Profiles: Note that the Price is still above its Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) for this charts visible range. Not that the Price is still under its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for the fixed range of 6x monthly candles i have selected. Notes: Please remember that the Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) & Base Line (Kijun Sen) are not SMAs or EMAs they are X amount high/low period midpoints in whatever timeframe you are in, so they should not be used as SMA or EMAs. Note that there are other aspects to the Ichimoku Cloud which make it a very complete system such as Price Theory, Wave Theory and Time Theory but I won’t go into those on this post. Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) = Highest High + Highest Low calculation over 9 Periods = Blue Line. Base Line (Kijun Sen) = Highest High + Highest Low calculation over 26 Periods = Red Line. Lagging Span (Chikou Span) = Today’s price displaced back 26 Periods = Green Line. Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) = Tenkan Sen and Kijun Sen calculation value displaced ahead 26 Periods = Cloud Green Line. Leading Span B (Senkou Span B) = Highest High + Highest Low over 52 Periods Value displaced ahead 26 Periods = Cloud Red Line. Bullish Zone = Above the Cloud. Equilibrium Zone = Inside the (Kumo) Cloud can be Green or Red. Bearish Zone = Below the Cloud. This was just a post to show how you can use the Ichimoku Kinko Hyo in multiple timeframes for support, resistance & momentum, so I hope this post has been helpful with your trading and understanding of the Ichimoku Cloud. So in which direction is the S&P500 Index going to go...... i leave up to you to make your own minds up ;-).
SP:SPXEducation
by TradingThroughTheLens
VET/USD - UpdateAs I mentioned in my previous VET post in March, there was always a possibility that VET would drop out of the Bottom Trend-line of its Ascending Wedge and Invalidate that Ascending Wedge Pattern, which has happened. VET also failed to get back above its 0.236 Trend-Based Fib extension Level on that previous chart so we know that $0.087 is the price that VET needs to close a daily candle above solidified with a successful re-test as support. So let’s move on. Using a longterm Modified Schiff Pitchfork Pattern (A,B,C), you can see that VET is still below its Modified Schiff Pitchfork Pattern Median Line. At the moment VET has found some support from its Lower Green Pitchfork Support Line. Let’s take a closer look at this 1 day VET USD chart with the Bollinger Bands, LSMA and VPFR POC. At the moment VET is fighting to stay back above its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA for this 1 day timeframe. Not that the Upper and Lower Bands are moving sideways at the moment. Using the VPVR, you can see that the Upper and Lower Bands are located roughly above and below an area of large volume. At the moment VET has found some support from its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) level. A daily close ABOVE the LSMA is crucial for continued upwards momentum. At the moment VET is trying to stay back above its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for the Fixed Range of 22x daily candles i have selected. For your viewing pleasure i have added various support and resistance lines (Black Solid Lines and Black Dotted Line) as well as various support areas as highlighted by the horizontal black lines with yellow shading. As you can see, VET is now in a Descending Triangle Pattern (Bearish) as well as a Descending Wedge Pattern (Bullish). Note that the APEX of the Descending Triangle is located around Nov 2022 and the APEX of the Descending Wedge is located around March 2023. Note that a pattern can easily become invalidated with the price drop below and successful re-test as resistance of the bottom trendlines. Looking at the Average Directional Index (ADX DI) we can see that Positive Momentum is still downwards with the +DI (Green Line) dropping to 14.17. Note that Negative Momentum is also down with the -DI (Red Line) dropping to 20.00. Note that the Trend Strength is still strong but has dropped with the ADX (Orange Line) dropping to 30.52 and the ADX is also back under its 9 Period EMA (Black Line) at 33.84 which is further confirmation of a weakening of Trend Strength at the moment. Looking at the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), we can see that Momentum is upwards at the moment with the MACD Line (Blue Line) pointing upwards and is still back above its Signal Line (Orange Line) on this 1 day timeframe. Note that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is still BELOW the 0.0 Base Line in the Negative Zone. Looking at the bottom Volume indicator we can see that overall traded volume is still low especially compared to what VeChain was getting from around October 2019 to May 2021. This is similar to Bitcoin’s daily chart which possibly means that while big money might actually be accumulating crypto assets like BTC, but there hasn’t been a constant inflow of big money actually trading crypto like BTC on a regular basis since around May 2021. Using the Volume Profile Visible Range (VPVR) indicator, you can see where the Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) is for this VeChain Chart is. Using the entire charts range we can indicate at what price range was the most volume was traded at. At the moment the Crypto market is following BTC so if BTC drops to $20k or $12,400 then we may see a wick down to around $0.009 which would offer a real great buying opportunity for most crypto. If BTC doesn’t drop to $20K then we will see VeChain eventually break back above its Descending Triangle, its Descending Wedge and eventually back above its Modified Schiff Pitchfork Median Line. I hope this post is helpful with your trading or hodl-ing.
BINANCE:VETUSD
by TradingThroughTheLens
3
ADA/USDA quick look at the ADA/USD 1 day chart: ADA is still below its Longterm upwards Pitchfork (Blue A,B,C) Median Line on this 1 day timeframe. ADA is also below its smaller descending Pitchfork (Black A,B,C) Median Line on this 1 day timeframe. ADA is still below its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA for this 1 day timeframe. Note that the Lower Band is till pointing downwards and the Upper Band is now moving downwards. At the moment of typing this, ADA is trying to get back and stay above its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) on this 1 day timeframe. Note that ADA is still above its Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) for this charts entire Visible Range. Looking at this range gives us a sense of potential upcoming areas of previous volume interest that may offer good buying opportunities if ADA drops lower. ADA is also still under its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for the Fixed Range of 11x Daily Candles that i have Selected. Looking at the Ichimoku Cloud with the 20,60,120,30 settings: The Ichimoku Cloud Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) is indicating that the Mid-point of the Short-term Momentum is sideways at the moment. The Ichimoku Cloud Base Line (Kijun Sen) is indicating that the Mid-point of the Mid-term momentum is also sideways at the moment. The Ichimoku cloud Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is indicating that momentum is upwards at the moment for this 1 day candle. Note that The Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is still under the Price from 30 Periods ago. Note that both the Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) and Leading Span B (Senkou Span B) are moving sideways at the moment indicating a decrease in volatility at the moment. Looking at the Average Directional Index (ADX DI) we can see that the Trend Strength is strong with the ADX (Orange Line) at 40.249 and above its 9 Period EMA (Black Line) which is at 37.203. Negative momentum is still dominant with the -DI (Red Line) at 29.750 but note it has dropped from 37.0. Positive Momentum has increased slightly with the +DI (Green Line) rising to 10.83. Looking at the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), we can see that momentum is sideways with a slight upwards trajectory. Note that the MACD Lien (Blue Line) is still under its Signal Line (Orange Line) and still in the Negative Zone under the 0.0 Base Line on this 1 day timeframe. Potential areas of previous Volume interest to look out for if you want to go long on ADA if ADA drops further are potentially: $0.411 to $0.298, $0.179 - $0.128, $0.111 - $0.082, $0.049 - $0.033. Using the indicators on this chart, for confirmation of a renewed mid to longterm uptrend on this 1 day timeframe, we need to see: 1: ADA to successfully close a daily candle ABOVE its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA and stay above it. 2: ADA to successfully close a daily candle ABOVE its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) and stay above it. 3: ADA to cross back into the Bullish Zone of the Ichimoku Cloud and for the Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) to cross back ABOVE the Leading Span B (Senkou Span B) creating a Kumo (Cloud) Twist creating a new Bullish Green Cloud for this 1 day timeframe. 4: The Ichimoku Cloud Lagging Span (Chikou Span) to cross back ABOVE the Price from 30 Periods ago and stay above the price below it. 5: The +DI (Green Line) to cross back ABOVE the -DI (Red Line) on the Average Directional Index (ADX DI) 6: the MACD Line (Blue Line to cross back ABOVE its Signal Line (Orange Line) and back ABOVE the 0.0 Base Line into the Positive Zone on this 1 day timeframe. 7: ADA to cross back ABOVE both Pitchfork Median Lines especially the Longterm upwards Pitchfork (Blue A,B,C). Apologies for the lack of posting, i have been busy filming a new feature film. I'm sure there's more things i could post and I've probably missed a few things but this hopefully gives people enough for to ponder. I hope this is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing.
BINANCE:ADAUSD
by TradingThroughTheLens
Bearish Momentum Has Stalled... Impulse Up Next?Bearish momentum seems to have stalled out. Even when looking back to 2018 and how we dumped at similar relative levels--we have yet to see much of a bullish shift in perspective, even with rising prices. This could be signaling some sort of bear trap. When you look at things from a perspective of strength--I am not convinced that bears have the strength at this time to push the price down lower. Too many countries and institutions are taking a HIGH interest in crypto, let alone Bitcoin, the current king of crypto. Even when War was confirmed in Ukraine... why did we not see a harsher reaction from the market? Why are we still making higher lows? ...From 28k in 2021, to 31k when the year started, to now 39k after making a strong bullish impulse upwards, nearly reaching 48k once again? Bears are starving. I don't see the strength. I'd love to be proven wrong.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by florasora
4
BTC/USD Weekly Elliot WaveHere's a possible scenario from the chart using a common Elliot Wave pattern. The dotted lines are support/resistance in confluence to the VPVR. Whether or not this plays out is dependent upon geopolitical concerns, and how the market responds to the fed increasing interest rates by 50 basis points next month. I will personally never sell the bulk of my Bitcoin, but I'm looking for a good entry point to deploy more capital. I'm going to be scouting on-chain metrics and looking at oscillators on the daily time frame to find some confirmation. I'm hoping this scenario plays out, but I still need more confirmation before I put in my long. ***Not financial advice***
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by ZenitCrypto
AAVE USDT 1D (upcoming) break-out tradeAAVE broke the downtrend in which it had been since April 21 (see orange transparent diagonal line). The price corrected ~80% since then and we're currently back in the downtrend regions. The price is retesting this diagonal and I'm convinced it'll eventually reclaim it. As there's plenty of support below it, clarified below. The price is currently hovering around the .618 (fib measured from the lows in March to the highs in April) A little below that area we have multiple HVNs (high volume nodes) measured with the fRVP tool from the lows in March. If two HVNs are close to each other, I usually take the midpoint (hence the divide by / 2 in the text). This midpoint is a good approximate to the average support. The idea is to DCA in from around .618 up to the lower HVN regions around $155. The invalidation is below the .786 fib retracement. Which is well below the HVNs and a very clear invalidation level. I added the long tool right to illustrate an example position you could build. Please apply proper risk management before you enter the trade. Calculate exactly what'd you lose if your stop hits. And expect your stop to hit > 50% of the times. This'll make you a good risk manager. believe me.
Long
by Extra_sambal
ADA/USDAt the moment of typing this, ADA is still below its longterm Pitchfork Median Line and has been below it since the 3rd March 2022. ADA is also in a Descending Pitchfork Pattern (Black A,B,C). At the moment, ADA is still above its Descending pitchfork Median Line. At the moment, ADA has found some support from its Descending Upper Yellow Pitchfork Support Line. At the moment ADA is back above its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) for this 1 day timeframe. At the moment, ADA is also back above its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA. Not that we have yet to get expansion of the Upper and Lower Bands Using the Ichimoku settings of 20,60,120,30, we can see that ADA is still in the Bearish Zone of the Ichimoku Cloud and ADA has not made an attempt to break back into the Equilibrium Zone since the 18th Jan 2022 when ADA failed to close a daily candle within the Cloud. At the moment, ADA is above its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for the Fixed Range of 20x daily candles that i have selected. At the moment, ADA is still below its Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) for this charts Visible Range. At the moment, Volume on this Binance Chart for ADA is still relatively low compared to what ADA was getting around May 2021. Looking at the Average Directional index (ADX DI), Positive Momentum has dropped with the +DI (green Line) dropping to 22.56 and note that Negative Momentum has also dropped with the -DI (Red Line) dropping to 18.89. The Trend Strength is still weak with the ADX (Orange Line) at 18.57 and still below the 20 Threshold and also below its 9 Period EMS (Black Line) at 20.82. Looking at the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), the MACD Line (Blue Line) is indicating momentum is upwards at the moment and it is above its Signal Line (Orange Line). Note that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is still in the Negative Zone under the 0.0 Base Line on this 1 day timeframe. Note that the MACD Line (Blue Line) has not been in the Positive Zone above the 0.0 Base Line since 20th Jan 2022 on this 1 day timeframe. Here is a wider look at this ADA 1 day chart with its Longterm Pitchfork Pattern: Looking at this ADA 1 day chart, i personally wouldn’t get excited until ADA gets back above its Longterm Pitchfork Median Line and also starts making a Hight Highs and Higher Lows above $1.63. So depending on what BTC does and what your Trading plan, Hodl-ing Plan or DCA plan is, it looks like there will still be good opportunities to acquire more ADA or your crypto of choice at a discount price. On another note, if ADA drops below its Descending pitchfork Median Line then we can expect to hit $0.622 but that is if support of the Descending Pitchfork Median Line fails as support. I would keep an eye on whether or not both the LSMA and Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA continues to be Support or become Resistance on this 1 day timeframe. I hope this post is helpful for your Trading or Hodl-ing.
BINANCE:ADAUSD
by TradingThroughTheLens
2
BTC\USDA quick BTC/USD update: At the moment, BTC is testing its crucial Descending Resistance Line of its Triangle Pattern as well as testing its crucial Resistance Area. Note that BTC has found resistance from this Descending Resistance Line 3 times previous and you can clearly see the interactions of the previous Daily Candles with this Resistance/Support area. Note that the APEX of the Triangle Pattern is located around the 23rd April 2022. At the moment of typing this, BTC is back above its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) as well as back above its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA on this 1 day timeframe. Note that BTC is back above its Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) for this chart's visible range. At the Moment of typing this, BTC is still in the Bearish Zone of the Ichimoku Cloud. Note that Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) Resistance Line is located in the same spot as the Resistance Area that BTC is testing. Looking at the Trend-Based Fib Extension, we can see that the 0.236 level is also located at BTC’s crucial Resistance Area. Note that this is the first time since the 10th March that the daily Volume Bar has been above its Volume 20 Period MA. The Average Directional Index (ADX DI) is indicating a spike in Positive Momentum with the +DI (Green Line) rising to 22.04. Negative Momentum has dropped with the -DI (Red Line) dropping to 19.89. Note that the +DI (Green line) is now back above the -DI (Red Line) indicating Positive Momentum is stronger than Negative Momentum on this 1 day timeframe. Note that we have to be careful because the overall Trend Strength is still very weak with the ADX (Orange Line) at 15.39 way below the 20 Threshold (Black Dashed Line) and is still also below its 9 Period EMA (Black Line) which is at 17.64. Tonight’s daily candle close will be a very interesting one to watch. I hope this is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradingThroughTheLens
1
BTC/USD - 0.236 Trend-Based Fib Extension levelThe Trend-Based Fib Extension level 0.236 at $42,492.75 is the level BTC needs to close above and successfully re-test as support for continued upwards momentum on this 1 day timeframe. This level is also where its descending trend-line is located exactly on the 0.236 level. At the moment, BTC is also back above its Least Squares Moving Average, its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA as well as its VPFR POC for the fixed range of 14x daily candles that i have selected. Note that BTC is also back inside the Ichimoku Cloud Equilibrium Zone at the moment. Looking at the Average Directional Index (ADX DI), it looks like we are very close to potentially seeing the +DI (Green Line) cross back ABOVE the -DI (Red Line) which would indicate that Positive Momentum has become dominant over Negative Momentum on this 1 day timeframe. If this crossover happens and the +DI (Green Line) is on top, we then need the +DI (Green Line) and the -DI (Red Line) to keep expanding further away from each other for continued Positive Momentum dominance on this 1 day timeframe. At the moment of typing this, BTC has found resistance from its Trend-Based Fib Extension 0.236 level as well as from its VPVR POC for this charts Visible Range. It will be very interesting to see where and how BTC closes this daily candle. I hope this brief post is helpful with trading and hold-ing.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradingThroughTheLens
1
VET/USDVeChain update: As with most cryptos, downwards pressure is still dominant. VET is still in a Descending Channel, VET broke above the Descending Channel on the 3rd of March but quickly came back down and closed back inside the Descending Channel so the Descending Channel is still valid. VET is still below its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA on this 1d timeframe. Note that we have expansion of the Lower Bollinger Band and this expansion is for negative momentum. VET is getting very close to its Least squares Moving Average (LSMA) indicator, a close below the LSMA will be considered a sell signal on this 1 day timeframe for this indicator. VET is still below its Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) for this charts Visible Range. VET is still below its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for the Fixed Range of 11x daily candles that i have selected. I have added various Support and Resistance areas s highlighted by the Horizontal Blue Line with Yellow Shading. Looking at the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), we can see that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is sideways at the moment and still under the 0.0 Base Line in the Negative Zone. If the MACD Line (Blue Line) crosses back under the Signal Line (Orange Line) then that will be considered a sell signal for this indicator on this 1 day timeframe. Not that the last 3 Green Histograms have lightened and lessoned in size indication a weakening of positive momentum. Note that the MACD Line (Blue Line) has not been in the Positive Zone above the 0.0 Base Line since the 21st Nov 2021 on this 1 day timeframe. Looking at the Stochastic Indicator (STOCH) we can see that momentum is downwards at the moment and note that the %K Line (Bluer Line) is still below its %D Line (Orange Line) on this 1 day timeframe. Important to note that the %K (Blue Line) still has plenty of room to drop much more before becoming Oversold on this 1 day timeframe. Looking at the Average Directional Index (ADX DI) we can see that the trend strength is very weak with the ADX (Orange Line) under its 20 Threshold at 19.23 and still under its 9 Period EMA (Black line) which is at 21.60. Note that Positive Momentum has dropped its the +DI (Green Line) dropping to 19.26. Negative Momentum is still dominant but has dropped to 23.63. Here is a wider look at this VET/USD 1 day chart so you can see the previous VPVR POC area: I still think that BTC will hit $24k this year, if that is the case & if downwards pressure continues and VET breaks below its $0.0389 support then i think we will see VET hit around $0.0293 - $0.0282 as that area is VET’s previous very strong VPVR POC area. At the moment, the Market Makers have decided that the path of least resistance to profit is still downwards, this goes for most stocks, Indices and Cryptos. As we know BTC is following the downwards momentum of the stock market and all alts are following BTC. I closed all my crypto trades back in Dec 2021, luckily still in profit. I have only had 1 crypto trade on since which i closed at a 10% profit, that was a VTHO/USDT trade. I am positioning myself to fully be able to buy back in on my various cryptos of choice when the time arises because bear markets do not last forever. I hope this is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing.
BINANCE:VETUSD
by TradingThroughTheLens
BTC/USD - 1hr chartQuick and dirty BTC/USD 1hr chart update. BTC has found support from its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA on this 1hr timeframe. Note that we have expansion of the Upper and Lower Bollinger Bands and this expansion is for Positive Momentum. BTC is also back above its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) for this 1h timeframe. A close above the LSMA is considered a Buy Signal for this indicator but if BTC drops then we need a successful re-test as strong support to be sure. Note that BTC is back above its Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) for this charts visible range. I have added various support and resistance areas as indicated by the Horizontal Blue Lines with Yellow Shading and various Support and Resistance Lines as indicated by the Blue Lines. As you can see, BTC is also in an Ascending Triangle Pattern on this 1hr timeframe. As you can see, the top of the ascending triangle pattern is a major resistance area. BTC has strong resistance from its resistance area located around $39,489 to $39,738. A successful close above this resistance area and successful re-test as support will eventually send BTC to resistance area located around $40,809 to $40,993. Looking at the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) we need to keep an eye on the MACD Line (Blue Line). If the MACD Line (Blue Line) crosses back above the Signal Line (Orange Line) then that will be a Buy Signal for this indicator on this 1hr timeframe. Failure to close a 1hr candle above the resistance area located around $39,489 to $39,738 and successful re-test as support will result in either continued sideways ranging within a range or a drop back to around $38,532 and possibly lower. I hope this is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradingThroughTheLens