BTC update - On possibly the sexiest 1D chart of the evening ;-)Lets have a look at the BTC 1D chart using the Ichimoku Cloud with the 20,60,120,30 settings and a few other indicators and squiggly lines:
BTC is in the Bullish Zone of the Ichimoku Cloud for this 1D timeframe. BTC has closed 4 daily candles within the Bullish Zone for this 1D timeframe.
The Ichimoku Cloud Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) is indicating that the mid point of the sort-term momentum is sideways.
The Ichimoku Cloud Base Line (Kijun Sen) is indicating that the mid point of the mid-term momentum is sideways.
The Ichimoku Cloud Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is indicating momentum is downwards at the moment. Note that the Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is still safely above the Price from 30 Periods ago.
Note that the gap between the Ichimoku Cloud Leading Span B (Senkou Span B) and Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) has shrunk so if BTC stays in the Bullish Zone, we may eventually get a cloud (Kumo) Twist into a new Bullish Green Cloud for this 1D Timeframe.
BTC is still above its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA for this 1D timeframe. Note that the Upper Band is moving downwards and the Lower Band is moving upwards indicating we may see some consolidation and a drop to the Middle Band Basis.
BTC found strong resistance and is below its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) level. A candle close below the LSMA is a possible SELL signal for traders who use this indicator. A candle close above the LSMA is a BUY signal.
Note that BTC is still above its 50EMA for this 1D timeframe and now is quite a distance safely away from it.
BTC is above its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for the fixed range i have selected.
BTC is still above its Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) for this charts visible range.
Note that volume has increased but the volume Bars are still under its Volume 20 Period Moving Average.
I have added a few potential support zone areas just incase BTC shits the bed ;-). I could add more but didn’t want to make this chart to messy ;-). I have also added a Zone where BTC has found repeated resistance, so a close above this level is crucial for continued upwards momentum.
The Average Directional Index (ADX DI) is indicating the trend straight has dropped slightly with the ADX (Orange Line) at 37.42 but still above its 9 Period EMA (Black Line) which is at 36.71. The +DI (Green Line) has dropped to 27.02 and the -DI (Red Line) has risen to 13.70. This is indicating a decrease in Positive Momentum and an increase in Negative Momentum. Note that the +DI (fGreen line) is still above the -DI (Red Line). If the ADX (Orange Line) crosses back under the 9 Period EMA (Black line) then this could lead to a further drop on this 1D timeframe. On the plus side, we still do have some distance separating the +DI (Green Line) and -DI (Red Line) which is a good thing.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is indicating momentum is downwards at the moment. Note that the RSI (Purple Line) is below its 9 Period EMA (Red Line) which is a sign of strength for downwards momentum. On the plus side, the RSI is a fast reacting indicator so it does mean that BTC still has room to move up before becoming Overbought on this 1D timeframe.
A very good sign will be if BTC closes this daily candle above the Leading Span B (Senkou Span B) cloud support in the Bullish Zone. A close below the Leading Span B (Senkou Span B) cloud support in the Equilibrium Zone will most likely lead to further drops to the below support zones, so it’s crucial for BTC to stay above and more importantly CLOSE ABOVE this level. Full Bullish Confirmation for this 1D timeframe will be when the Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) crosses back above the Leading Span B (Senkou Span B) level creating a Cloud (Kumo) Twist into new Bullish Green Cloud for this 1D timeframe.
Again my post are not price prediction post but more educational about what BTC has above and below it & hopefully this post has explained what the various indicator that i have used are actually indicating.
I hope this is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing.
Vpvr
ADA - very quick updateVery quick and dirty ADA 1hr chart update:
On the 1hr chart, ADA is in a potential Falling Wedge Pattern. A Falling Wedge Pattern in an uptrend is a potential Bullish Continuation Pattern. Obviously this is all dependant on what BTC does tonight. ADA has found some resistance at its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA on this 1hr timeframe. Note that the price is above its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) which is a buy signal on this 1hr timeframe. A close above the Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA and the Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of control (VPFR POC) will be a very good sign of continued renewed upwards momentum.
I hope this quick and dirty update is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing.
Black Squiggly Line = LSMA
Grey Bands = Bollinger Bands
Short Horizontal Red Line = VPFR POC
Long Horizontal Red Line = VPVR POC
Dashed Line = Upwards Support Line
The 2 Descending trend-lines = Falling Wedge
ADA - 1D chart updateADA 1D chart update using the Ichimoku Cloud 20,60,120,30 settings:
The Ichimoku Cloud Lagging Span (Tenkan Sen) is indicating that the mid point of the short-term momentum is upwards.
The Ichimoku Cloud Base Line (Kijun Sen) is indicating that the mid point of the mid-term momentum is sideways.
The Ichmoku Cloud Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is indicating that momentum is upwards at the moment. Note that the lagging Span (Chikou Span) is safely above the Price from 30 Periods ago.
ADA is still safely in the Bullish Zone of the Ichimoku cloud. Note that we have had a Cloud (Kumo) Twist into a new Bullish Green Cloud for this 1D timeframe. For the Ichinoku Cloud System, this Cloud (Kumo) Twist is FULL Bullish Confirmation for this 1D timeframe.
ADA is still above the Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA. After such a big rise, a re-tracement back to the BB Middle Band shouldn’t come as a surprise if it happens. Note that the Lower BB is moving upwards indicating we may see some consolidation or a potential dip to the VPVR POC.
ADA is below its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) a close below this level is a potential SELL signal for traders who use this indicator.
ADA is still safely above its 50EMA for this 1D timeframe.
For your viewing pleasure, I have added various potential support zones.
Note that the last 3 daily Volume Bars have closed above its Volume 20 Period Moving Average, we still have a few hours left to see if this daily Volume Bar closes above or below the volume 20 Period Moving Average and whether it closes Positive (Green) or Negative (Red).
Note that ADA is still above its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for the fixed range i have selected.
Note that ADA is still above its Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) for this charts visible range.
The Average Direction Index (ADX DI) is indicating the trend strength is very strong with the ADX (Orange Line) at 60.16 above its 9 Period EMA (Black Line) which is at 54.99. The +DI (Green Line) has dipped to 29.82 but note that the -DI (Red Line) has also dipped to 4.72, this indicates that while Positive Momentum has dropped, so has Negative Momentum. This is a good thing and indicates that while Positive Momentum weakened, Negative Momentum has also weakened slightly for this 1D timeframe.
If we close this daily candle BELOW the LSMA then we may see a further drop into the 1st potential support zone area and the VPFR POC, alternatively, depending on what BTC does, ADA could consolidate & range sideways within a range above the VPFR POC. If ADA does drop to the Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) or the Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis then those could be good levels to acquire more ADA at a cheaper price.
I’m just posting this for the ADA 1D timeframe but you can easily apply these indicators to higher timeframes to enable to to pre-empt any potential upwards or downwards movement on the lower timeframes.
I hope this is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing.
VTHO - 1D Chart with the Ichimoku CloudVTHO 1D chart update using the Ichimoku Cloud with the 20,60,120,30 settings:
Note that VTHO is in the Ichimoku Cloud Equilibrium Zone for this 1D timeframe.
The Ichimoku Cloud Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) is indicating that the mid point of the short-term momentum is sideways.
The Ichimoku Cloud Base Line (Kijun Sen) is indicating that the mid point of the mid-term momentum is sideways.
The Ichimoku cloud Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is indicating that the momentum at the moment is downwards. Note that the Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is still above the candle from 30 periods ago.
VTHO has found some support from around its Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) level for this 1D timeframe. A good sign will be if VTHO manages to stay above & close a daily candle above this level.
Note that VTHO has dropped below its Volume Profile Fixed range Point of Control (VPFR POC) that i have selected on this chart.
VTHO is still above its Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) for this charts visible range.
Note that Volume is still very low on this finance chart and the last 6 Volume Bars have been below its Volume 20 Period Moving Average.
VTHO is still above its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA, VTHO may find support at this level if the Conversion line (Tenkan Sen) support fails.
VTHO had dropped below its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) 3 days ago which is a sell signal for most traders who use this indicator. If you are LONG, then for this indicator confirmation of renewed upwards momentum will be when VTHO closes a daily candle back above the LSMA.
VTHO has found resistance from its descending resistance line. A close above this and successfully retest as support is crucial for continued upwards momentum.
The Average Directional index (ADX DI) is showing the trend strength has dipped with the ADX (Orange Line) at 51.90 but note its still above its 9 Period EMA (Black Line) which is at 50.72. The +DI (Green Line) has dipped to 28.34 and the -DI (Red Line) has risen to 14.12, this indicates that Positive Momentum has dropped and Negative Momentum has increased. If the ADX (Orange Line) crosses back under the 9 Period EMA (Black line) then we may see a bigger drop in price for this 1D timeframe. What we don't want to happen is the +DI (Green Line) to cross back under the -DI (Red Line), that would mean that Negative Momentum has completely overtaken Positive Momentum for this 1D timeframe.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is indicating momentum is downwards at the moment. Note that the RSI (Purple Line) has dropped below its 9 Period EMA (Orange Line) this is an indication downwards momentum strength.
If you are LONG and using this method, full bullish confirmation for this 1D timeframe will be when the Ichimoku Cloud Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) crosses back over and above the Leading Span B (Senkou Span B) level creating a new Bullish Green Cloud (Kumo) for this 1D timeframe.
If the Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) fails as support then VTHO has the Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA, the Base Line (Kijun Sen) as well as its Ascending Support Line as potential support levels.
As always we have to keep an eye on what BTC is doing but looking at this analysis, there could be some good opportunities to acquire more VTHO at a much cheaper price.
I hope this is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing.
VeChain - 1D chart updateVeChain 1D chart update using the 20,60,120,30 Ichimoku Cloud Settings:
The Ichimoku Cloud Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) is indicating that the mid point of the short-term momentum is sideways.
The Ichimoku Cloud Base Line (Kijun Sen) is indicating that the mid point of the mid-term momentum is sideways.
The Ichimoku Cloud Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is indicating momentum at the moment is upwards. Note that the Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is way above the price from 30 Periods ago.
Note that VET is inside the Ichimoku Cloud Equilibrium Zone for this 1D timeframe.
VET is above its Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) for this chart’s visible range.
VET is above its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for this chart’s fixed range i have selected.
Volume is still relatively low for this 1D timeframe and notice that the last 4 Volume Bars have been below its Volume 20 Period Moving Average.
Note that VET is still safely above its longterm upwards Trend-line.
VET is in a triangle pattern so be on the lookout for which direction VET may break out from, at the moment it looks like VET will break upwards. VET has found some resistance from its triangle descending line.
VET is above its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA for this 1D timeframe. Note that the Lower BB is moving upwards and the Upper BB is moving sideways, this shows me that we may see a bit of consolidation and also that VET still has a lot room to move up before volatility becomes overextended.
The Average Directional Index (ADX DI) is indicating the trend is sideways with the ADX (Orange Line) at 46.99 and still above its 9 Period EMA (Black Line) which is at 46.47. The +DI (Green Line) is sideways at 23.03 and the -DI (Red Line) is at 8.41. Note that the +DI (Green Line) is sideways and the -DI (Red Line) is pointing downwards, this indicates that while Positive Momentum is sideways, Negative Momentum has dropped for this 1D timeframe. Please be aware that if the ADX (Orange Line) drops below the 9 Period EMA (Black Line) then we will may see a price drop on this 1D timeframe.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is also indicating momentum is upwards at the moment. Note that the RSI (Purple Line) has just crossed back above its 9 Period EMA (Orange Line) which is a good sign of upwards strength for this 1D timeframe. Note that the RSI (Purple Line) still has room to move up before entering the Overbought Zone on this 1D timeframe. Note that being in the Overbought Zone doesn't mean the price will drop as the RSI (Purple Line) can go up, down and also range sideways in the Overbought Zone for a prolonged period of time.
If you are LONG and need to wait for confirmation of renewed upwards momentum then a successful close above the Potential Resistance Line and retest of that as support is crucial. If you use the Ichimoku Cloud System as your confirmation then you will wait for the price to break above the Leading Span B (Senkou Span B) resistance into the Bullish Zone and a successful retest of the Leading Span B (Senkou Span B) as support, FULL Bullish Confirmation for this 1D timeframe will be when the Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) crosses back above the Leading Span B (Senkou Span B) creating a new Bullish Green Cloud (Kumo) for this 1D timeframe.
Using this system I’ve posted, if VET cannot make it above its Resistance Area and drops, it will find potential support from its Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen), Base Line (Kijun Sen), its Potential Support Area and also the Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) support level. There are other timeframes with many other support & resistance levels to take into account but I’m just focusing on the 1D timeframe for this post.
This chart may seem messy to some and there is a lot going on, but as I’ve stated before, my charts are more TA educational instead of price predication, so hopefully I’ve succeeded in explaining to you what information each indicator is actually showing us.
All in all, depending on what BTC does, VeChain is looking really good.
I hope this is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing.
Potential BTC Distribution ZoneThe following VAs listed in the chart (left to right):
1. VA of current calendar year
2. VA of Wyckoff Distribution Top
3. VA of potential accumulation zone
4. VA of current and potential distribution zone
BTC is following a similar (granted smaller and faster) top pattern to the 2020 bull run and subsequent Wyckoff Distribution between 42K and 60K.
Buyers were unable to provide a liquidity shake significantly below 30K; the demand for 30K LP was larger than expected. Market makers accumulated a decreasing supply in the bottom of 3rd VA. The POC for the 3rd VA is almost identical to the POC for the current calendar year and confidence was built for a short-term intermediate move with short liquidations providing more potential upside.
I still have concern without seeing any relatively significant selling volume within the 4th VA, but would expect to see this in the upcoming days with a move down to 40-42K. I believe seller's ultimately will be unable to stay in control above 50K and the market will see impressive supply from underwater positions. In the long term, this will provide a key order block in a future more impressive buyer demanding market environment. Currently, the landscape while technically bullish does not appear to have any support from institutional buyers; with GBTC still being sold at a discount and whale wallets not clearly building position on-chain. My assumption is market makers will try to move the market price of BTC into a more value friendly zone between 18-25K.
In an effort to keep myself accountable and level headed, I believe this pattern is invalidated with any break above 50K and either explosive volume with high spread or consolidation above the current (4th) value area- in the 2nd VA.
$JMIA Time to WatchJumia is an interesting stock and was a pennystock until they got new management while back. It has recovered, but now it's markcap shows it returning back into a pennystock. At current levels I see an opportunity that you may want to build a position.
News
-Missed on ER, but they have 600mil in cash
TA
-Since I been watching, Jumia has about a 7-8% downside to $17.66 which was resistance back in Aug-Nov 2020. Next point of interest is 28.07 bringing a 45% unside move.
-RSI is oversold leans bullish
-MACD is still bearish and leans more bearish
-Below the EMAs, which is bearish but could have an upside of 7% to try and turn bullish again.
-High vpvr levels at $22 area
Final Thoughts
Overall it's a stock I would buy on speculation, but I'm in ASTR atm so I'll be watching it closely while I look for another trade after I make my gains in ASTR. Jumia has major investors supporting it and its a bet on the African Economy, so maybe do some research on Africa of Covid19 and see how much is being impacted. For myself I don't hear anything about Africa on this matter, so its one piece of news I'm unknown on. Overall I told my friend before it crashed it would hit $50, but now with its MC below $2bil I think its a major steal with a massive upside protentional by years end and maybe the short term.
VTHO 4hr chart updateQuick VTHO 4hr chart update:
After yesterday’s massive price rise, VTHO has dropped back under the Upper Bollinger Band which should come as a surprise after such a large rise.
Note that we have had an extreme expansion on the Upper and Lower Bollinger Bands so a BB contraction and price dip is a possibility and should not come as a surprise.
VTHO is back below its Pitchfork Median Line for this 4hr timeframe.
VTHO is still above its 50EMA (Yellow Line) for this 4hr timeframe.
VTHO is still above its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) (White Line).
VTHO has found some resistance from Upper Bollinger Band. Note that VTHO is safely above its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA.
VTHO is still above its Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) for this charts visible range.
At the moment of typing this, VTHO is below its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for the fixed range i have selected.
VTHO has closed 7x 4hr Volume Bars above its Volume 20 Period Moving Average and looks like it will close a 8th Volume Bar above it.
The Average Directional Index (ADX DI) is showing that the trend strength is still strong with the ADX (Yellow Line) at 56.58 and still above its 9 Period EMA (White Line) which is at 48.46. The +DI (Green Line) has dropped to 39.65 indicating positive momentum has dropped for this 4hr timeframe, but note that the -DI (Red Line) has also dropped to 2.36 indicating negative momentum has also dropped for this 4hr timeframe. Note that the -DI (Red Line) is starting to curve sideways.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is indicating that momentum is downwards at the moment, note that the RSI (Purple Line) is below its 9 Period EMA (Yellow Line) which is a sign weakness for upwards momentum. Renewed upwards momentum will be confirmed when the RSI (Purple Line) cross back above the 9 Period EMA (Yellow Line) for this 4hr timeframe. The RSI (purple Line) has just dropped out of the Overbought Zone.
Here is a closer look at this 4hr timeframe.
We could see VTHO range sideways within a range for a few hours/days which would bring the Lower Bollinger Band Upwards, or we could see VTHO drop to its LSMA or 50EMA level as a major support. If the 50EMA fails as support, VTHO could drop back to its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 period SMA. If you are waiting for confirmation to place a long, a successfully break ABOVE the Pitchfork Median Line and successful RETEST of that level as support is key, but note that may change as there might be better lower levels to go long if VTHO dips more.
Note that the Pitchfork Hagopian Line has acted as very strong support over the last few weeks so this level is crucial for VTHO stop stay above on this 4hr timeframe.
I hope this is helpful with your trading and hold-ing.
VeChain quick and dirty 4hr chart updateVeChain is still above its Pitchfork Median Line for this 4hr timeframe.
VeChain is still above its 50EMA (Yellow Line) for this 4hr timeframe.
VeChain has found some resistance from its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) (White Line). If you are waiting for positive confirmation for this indictor, a successful 4hr candle close ABOVE and RETEST off this indicator as support is a potential buy signal for traders who use this indicator.
VeChain had dipped in and out of its support zone and found strong support from its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA and is now back above its VPFR POC.
VeChain is still above its Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) for this charts visible range.
VeChain is back above its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for the fixed range i have selected.
VeChain has closed 7x 4hr Volume Bars above its Volume 20 Period Moving Average.
The Average Directional Index (ADX DI) is showing that the trend strength had dropped with the ADX (Yellow Line) at 28.47 and is below its 9 Period EMA (White Line) which is at 30.22. The +DI (Green Line) has dropped to 18.47 indicating positive momentum has dropped for this 4hr timeframe, the -DI (Red Line) has also dropped to 14.87 indicating negative momentum has also dropped for this 4hr timeframe. There will be more downwards momentum if the +DI (Green line) crosses back under the -DI (Red Line) so its best to keep an eye on this.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is indicating that momentum is upwards at the moment but note that the RSI (Purple Line) is under its 9 Period EMA (Yellow Line) which is a sign weakness for upwards momentum. Renewed upwards momentum will be confirmed when the RSI (Purple Line) crosses back above the 9 Period EMA (Yellow Line) for this 4hr timeframe.
Here is a closer look at this 4hr chart with the LSMA, VPFR levels and the Support Zone I've selected:
After last nights dip, VeChain still made a higher low so we will have to see is VeChain can continue to make higher highs and higher lows and as always wee need to keep an eye on what uncle BTC is doing.
I hope this is helpful with your trading and hold-ing.
So what's BTC sayingHere's a quick BTC 1D chart update:
The BTC Daily Chart is looking really good. BTC is still above its 50EMA and its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA.
BTC is above its Volume Profile Fixed Range (VPFR) Point of Control (POC) for the fixed range i have selected.
BTC is above its Volume Profile Visible Range (VPVR) Point of Control (POC) for this chart’s visible range.
Volume has dropped slightly and note that yesterday’s daily Volume Bar closed below its Volume 20 Period Moving Average.
Nota that BTC has managed to close 6 daily candles above its Pitchfork Median Line and looks like it will make it 7 daily candles.
The Average Directional Index (ADX DI) is indicating Positive Momentum has dipped slightly with the +DI (Green Line) at 28.64 but note that negative momentum is also pointing downwards with the -DI (Red Line) at 9.15. The ADX is showing a strong trend with the ADX (Yellow Line) at 36.36 which is still above its 9 Period EMA (White Line) which is at 33.06.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is showing momentum is upwards at the moment and note that the RSI (Purple Line) is above its 9 Period EMA (Yellow Line) indicating upwards momentum is strong. The RSI is in the Overbought Zone but note that being in the Overbought Zone doesn't mean BTC will drop because the RSI can range sideways in the Overbought Zone for a prolonged period of time or go up further.
Worthy of note is the fact that BTC at 1am on the 9th August, CLOSED a Weekly Candle ABOVE its Sideways Channel.
Note that the Bollinger Bands Upper and Lower Bands are NOT over extended indicating that BTC still has volatility room to move either UP or DOWN before becoming overextended on this 1D timeframe.
We could see BTC range sideways for a couple of days within a range, but if BTC does dip, it may find support from its Pitchfork Median Line or at around $42,698 range which where its Potential Support Range located.
All in all, despite the many prophets of doom and soothsayers on TradingView, $20K didn’t happen! So well done if you managed to stock up on BTC at around $29K.
I hope this is helpful with your Trading and Hodl-ing.
Quick ADA 4hr Chart UpdateADA 4hr Update:
ADA is still safely above its 50EMA for this 4hr timeframe.
ADA is above its Volume Profile Fixed Range (VPFR) Point of Control (POC) for this charts fixed range i have selected.
ADA is above its Volume Profile Visible Range (VPVR) Point of Control (POC) for this charts visible range.
Note that the last 10x 4hr Volume Bars have been above its Volume 20 Moving Average.
ADA is above its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA. Note that we have had extreme expansion on the Upper and Lower Bands so a re-trace back would not be unexpected.
The Average Directional Index (ADX DI) is showing strong positive momentum with the +DI (Green Line) at 42.44 and the -DI (Red Line) at 5.99. The ADX is showing a strong trend with the ADX (Yellow Line) at 40.65 and above its 9 Period EMA (White Line) which is at 32.17. The +DI (Green Line) is showing that positive Momentum has dropped but note that the -DI (Red Line) is showing that Negative Momentum has also dropped.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is indicating strong upwards momentum and note that the RSI (Purple Line) is in the Overbought Zone. Being in the Overbought Zone does not mean that ADA will drop as the RSI (Purple Line) can range sideways within the Overbought Zone for a prolonged period of time. Note that the RSI (Purple Line) is above its 9 Period EMA (Yellow Line) indicating upwards momentum is strong at the moment.
A 4hr candle close above the Pitchfork Median Line and re-test of that level as support is crucial for continued upwards momentum. Note that ADA is also walking up the Upper Bollinger Band, we may see more upwards momentum but because of the extreme BB expansion a slight re-trace back should not be unexpected. If ADA does re-trace backwards, it could drop to its Pitchfork (A,B,C) Lower Green Support Line or lower to it's Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA as potential support levels, but at the moment it looks like ADA might continue walking up the upper band or even consolidate sideways for a few hours bringing the Lower Bollinger Band upwards. As always, we also need to keep an eye or 2 what BTC is doing & may potentially do.
Apologies for the lack of post, it’s been a busy time. I hope this is helpful with your Trading and Hold-ing.
VeChain - Keep an eye on key levelsVeChain analysis:
VET is back above its 50EMA for this 1D timeframe.
VET is still above its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA. Note that VET is still walking upwards on the inside of the Upper Bollinger Band.
VET has found some resistance from its Pitchfork Median Line. If you are Long and waiting for confirmation then a close and successful retest of the Pitchfork Median Line as support is crucial for you.
VET is above its Volume Profile Visible Range (VPVR) Point of Control (POC) for this charts visible range.
VET is below its Volume Profile Fixed Range (VPFR) Point of Control (POC) for this charts fixed range that i have selected.
Note that VET has closed 3 volume bars in the green but they have all been below the Volume 20 Period Moving Average.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is showing strong positive momentum and the MACD Line (Blue Line) is now in the positive zone.
The Average Directional Index (ADX DI) is showing a strong trend with the ADX (Yellow Line) at 29.89 above its 9 Period EMA (White Line) which is at 29.25. the +DI (Green line) has increased to 22.95 and the -DI (Red Line) has dropped to 9.85, this indicates an increasing in Positive momentum while a decrease in Negative Momentum.
The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) is indicating that the CMF (Green Line) is now back above the Zero Line & back in the Accumulation Zone at 0.02. Note that the CMF (Green line) is way above its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) which is at -0.07.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is showing strong upwards momentum, note that the RSI (Purple Line) is still safely above its 9 Period EMA (Yellow Line) and note that the RSI still has room to move up before entering the Overbought Zone on this 1D timeframe.
So if you are waiting to go long on VET, a break above the Pitchfork Median Line and successful re-test of that level as support is crucial for you. If VET cannot make it back above the Pitchfork median Line then it could drop back to its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA as potential support, and as always, we need to keep an eye on what BTC is doing.
I hope this is helpful with your trading and hold-ing.
Bitcoin Summer OutlookPrice at TD 9 Sequential reversal on Daily chart with a bearish sloping 200 Day MA resistance level so expecting a small retracement.
Price above $37K volume level for now, where most of the volume as come from in past two months. Likely to act as new support.
Price held the $25-30K level as anticipated, the short and mid term MAs lie around $34K-35K, the resistance breakout level.
ADA - Let's have a look at the 4hr chartADA 4hr chart:
ADA is above its 50EMA for this 4hr timeframe.
ADA is back above its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA.
ADA is still above its ascending support line.
ADA is above its Volume Profile Visible Range (VPVR) Point of Control (POC) for this charts visible range.
ADA is above its Volume Profile Fixed Range (VPFR) Point of Control (POC) for this charts fixed range i have selected.
Volume has been increasing and note that the Volume Bars have been above the Volume 20 Period Moving Average for the last 6x 4hr Bars.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is indicating we may see the MACD Line (Blue Line) may cross back above the Signal Line (Orange Line) which would be a potential buy signal for most traders who use this indicator. Note that the Red Histograms have turned lighter and are decreasing in size.
The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) is showing a sharp rise in accumulation with the CMF (Green line) rising to 0.10, back in the accumulation zone and back above its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) (Blue Line) which is at 0.02. Note that the CMF (Green Line) has dipped a bit on the start of this new 4hr candle.
The Average Directional index (ADX DI) is indicating Positive Momentum is sideways with the +DI (Green Line) at 27.65 and way above the -DI (Red Line) which has dropped to 15.18. The ADX (Yellow Line) is at 28.56 but still below its 9 Period EMA (White Line) which is at 29.44. Note that the ADX (Yellow Line) is starting to curve upwards so we may see the ADX (Yellow Line) eventually cross back above the 9 Period EMA (White Line) which would be a sign of good upwards trend strength if the +DI (Green Line) stays above the -DI (Red Line).
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is indicating upwards momentum has increased with the RSI (Purple Line) back above its 9 Period EMA (Yellow Line). Note that at the moment of typing this, the RSI has dipped slightly indicating a weakening of upwards momentum.
All in all ADA is looking quite strong on this 4hr chart and looks even better on the Daily and Weekly charts. Obviously we need to keep an eye on what BTC is doing and whether or not BTC can successfully break upwards from its sideways channel. If the MACD Line (Blue Line) crosses back above the Signal Line (Orange Line) then we should see increased upwards momentum.
Again my charts are not price prediction charts but more educational explaining what the indicators i have selected are actually indicating so i hope this is helpful with your Trading and Hold-ing.
BTC - daily chart updateBTC Daily Chart Update:
BTC is back above its Weekly 50EMA.
BTC is back above its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA.
At the moment, BTC is above its Bollinger Bands Upper Band so we could see a re-tracement back under the Upper Band or BTC could continue walking up on the outside of the Upper Band.
BTC has broken upwards from its Descending Channel and Descending Triangle.
BTC is still in its Sideways Channel.
BTC is back above its Volume Profile Visible Range (VPVR) Point of Control (POC) for this charts visible range that i have selected.
Volume has increased & note that todays Volume Bar is above its Volume 20 Period Moving Average.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is showing that the MACD Line (Blue Line) has crossed back above the Zero threshold, this indicates that a 12 Period EMA has crossed back above a 26 Period EMA on this daily chart. Note that the Green Histograms are increasing in size and that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is still above its Signal Line (Orange Line) for this 1D timeframe. Note that this is the first time that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is back in the positive zone above the 0.0 level since 11th May 2021.
The Average Directional Index (ADX DI) is showing that Positive Momentum has overtaken Negative Momentum with the +DI (Green Line) crossing back above the -DI (Red Line). The +DI (Green line) has risen sharply to 35.72 and the -DI (Red Line) dropping to -15.98. The ADX (Yellow Line) is at 24.27 pointing upwards but still below its 9 Period EMA (White Line) at the moment which is at 25.69. Note that this is the first time since 25th March 2021 that the +DI (Green Line) has successfully crossed back ABOVE the -DI (Red Line) for the 1D timeframe.
The Chaikin money Flow (CMF) is indicating accumulation has increased with the CMF (Green Line) rising sharply to 0.14 with the CMF (Green Line) back in the Accumulation Zone and back above its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) (Blue Line) which is at 0.03.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is indicating a sharp spike in upwards momentum with the RSI (Purple Line) back above its 9 Period EMA (Yellow Line). Note that the RSI still has a bit more room to move up before entering the Overbought Zone for this daily timeframe.
For the longterm, we need BTC to successfully break upwards from its Sideways Channel Resistance and turn that resistance line into strong support. If BTC cannot successfully do that, then BTC with just continue ranging sideways within its massive sideways channel & possibly drop back to its Weekly 50EMA and Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA.
I hope this is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing.
Bitcoin's Descending Triangle Target: $24K (Mind The Gap)Bitcoin's imperfect descending triangle currently targeting a measured move to $24K volume support zone. The $20K level of VPVR strong support also lines up with the logarithmic growth support trend-line. Short term looks bearish, long-term looks like a buy the dip opportunity before 6 figures.
Never underestimate the accuracy of Bitcoin's descending triangle measured move targets, if the breakdown is confirmed:
For alternative broadening wedge theory and bullish buy the dip scenario, see here:
Bitcoin Accumulation Zone: Buyers vs Sellers
Hash Ribbons tells us to remain patient for the buy signal as capitulation continues
MA Ribbon suggests further downside, but price is at Weekly MA support
Bullish broadening wedge in the making, not yet confirmed
Buyers vs sellers accumulation zone in yellow
Based on the January 2020 VPVR model:
VeChain - 1D Chart Analysis UpdateVeChain 1D Chart Update:
VeChain is still below its Bollinger Bands Middle Band 20 Period SMA. Note that we have expansion of the Upper and Lower Bands indicating increased volatility but on the negative side.
VeChain is still following the its Major Downwards Trend-Line and is having real trouble crossing above it. If you are long then a breakout and successful re-test of this level as support is crucial.
VeChain is getting very near to its Major Upwards Longterm Trend-Line. We 110% do not want VeChain to close a Daily Candle below this level.
VeChain is still on the upper side of its falling wedge pattern.
I have added some support areas if VeChain breaks below its Major Longterm Upwards Trend-line.
Note that the overall Volume is still low on this daily timeframe and the Volume Bar is still below its Volume 20 Period Moving Average.
VeChain is still below its Volume Profile Visible Range (VPVR) Point of Control (POC) for this charts Visible Range I’ve selected.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is indicating trend momentum is sideways but note that it looks like we may see the MACD Line (Blue Line) cross back under the Signal Line (Orange Line) which would be a sell signal for most traders so we may see another downwards drop that would also create Red Histograms indicating sellers are in control. Note that the Green Histograms have also decreased in size indicating a weakening of buying strength.
The Average Directional Index (ADX DI) is showing the downtrend has gotten stronger with the ADX (Yellow Line) rising to 28.42 and back above its 9 Period EMA (White Line) which is at 27.22. Note that the -DI (Red Line) has actually dropped sharply to 20.61 but is still below its +DI (Green line) which is at 9.25. So even though the -DI (Red Line) which is Negative momentum has dropped, the +DI (Green Line) which is Positive Momentum is still showing a big lack of upwards strength at the moment, but note it has not dropped as sharply at the -DI (Red Line).
The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) is indicating accumulation has actually increased with the CMF (Green Line) rising from -0.03 to +0.03 in the accumulation zone. Note that the CMF is back above its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) (Blue Line) which is at 0.00.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is indicating momentum is downwards at the moment, The RSI (Purple Line) is below its 9 Period EMA (Yellow Line) indicating strong downwards strength. Note that the RSI is getting very near the Oversold Zone on this 1D timeframe so be on the look out for any divergence between Price and the RSI for potential reversals.
From my perspective, at the moment for VeChain and the whole Crypto Market, overall traded Volume is still low indicating a possible lack of big institutional money. Remember that retail money doesn’t move the market, big institutional money does. Note that it is the institutional money that is put in after they have accumulated their assets that moves the market up, not in the accumulation phase.
If VeChain breaks downwards through its Major Upwards Support Line and closes a daily candle below it, then there is a possibility VeChain may drop to $0.035. Note that even though Volume is Low, crypto assets are still being accumulated.
If you are waiting to go long on VeChain but need confirmation, then a breakout of the Major Downwards Trend-Line and a successful re-test of it as support is what you will need to wait for. After that, another is a breakout and support test of the Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA. If you are Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA) & if VeChain breaks downwards through its Major Longterm Upwards Trend-Line, then there could be really good opportunities to acquire more VeChain at a cheaper price.
The Falling Wedge could indicate that we are coming to end of this downwards pressure but we could see a re-test of $0.058 before a potential breakout, but remember that we are at the mercy of BTC so we have to keep an eye on what Bitcoin is doing as any new potential drop with BTC will effect all alts as well.
I hope this is helpful with your Trading and Hodl-ing.
$NNDM Time To Be Scared?Nano dimension has had a hell of a run since May 12/13, but now the market can't decide what to do. Theres one side that main stream believes, which is inflation and the upcoming collapse of the market or the side of Cathie Woods which we will experience deflation. How can that be with money printing from 2020? Well we aren't printing money as fast now in the United States since the economy is reopening. IMO the money printing was unneeded to the degree it went, but now it has slowed down the market goes higher? One explanation is that the big money left in 2020 and the gov is the one who recovered the market with retail and now the big money is getting in at highs and complaining on mainstream media. This is just an idea and not proven fact.
We are here however to talk about NNDM, which has had a rise of 65% from May 12th/13th while bitcoin has fallen as low as 46% from that date. Correlated? No telling, but in Coinbases COIN er institutions controlled 60% of the volume in Crypto, so who knows. At the same time we talked about valuations of NNDM at $5 didn't make any sense, so was a recovery of oversold stocks? No telling, but the future does look bright with recent news in NNDM despite NNDM dumping at $9 as the NASDAQ continues to rally, so should you buy?
News
-CEO increases his position and owns 12% of the company. This is bullish facevalue, but the only downside he will have a strong weight in the voting. Many people are scared of more shares being sold, but thats unlikely, so this news is bullish.
-NNDM joins the 3dprinting etf. This might not mean much, but looking at the etf since 2020 it has increased from the lows of 2020 by over 300% and passed prepandmic lows.
-EX amazon employee becomes president of the america business side of NNDM. With recent news on Amazon and its continue growth. An EX high up employee joining NNDM is amazing long term and shows that NNDM is serious on its growth with their 1.4bil in cash.
-Upcoming news is 4 acquisitions, which two will make the business profitable so its a matter of time.
TA
-RSI is over sold which is bullish in the short term, but resistance is at 47.77
-MACD looks like a reversal is going to go green unless the shorts are going to take it down.
-We are range bound between 7.31ish to 8.09, which was a range we had before we broke out and head towards to $9
-We are in the low range of high vpvr levels, with 7.69 would be a short term resistance till we go test the $8 again
-A 70% correction from the recent high of $9ish is at $6.60
Final Thoughts
I hold my position and bought more at 8.20ish and I am up still, but not much. If you are up you can nibble or wait till 7.30ish, but its a high risk with the recent bullish news and growth the Nasdaq. Overall I think this selling is overblown and will remain long at these levels.
A look at the BTC daily chartA look at the BTC daily chart:
At the moment of typing this, BTC is still above its WEEKLY 50EMA.
During this period of sideways ranging, BTC has yet to close a WEEKLY candle BELOW the WEEKLY 50EMA.
Note that the 50MA is potentially starting to curve sideways.
At the moment of typing this, BTC is below its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA. Note that the Upper Band is pointing downwards and the Lower Band is pointing upwards.
At the moment of typing this, BTC is just below its Volume Profile Visible Range (VPVR) Point of Control (POC) for this charts visible range.
Volume is still relatively low for this 1D timeframe and note that the Volume Bar is still below its Volume 20 period Moving Average.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is showing that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is still above the Signal Line (Orange Line) and is starting to curve sideways creating lighter green Histograms showing a weakening of upwards momentum. If you are waiting for full bullish positive confirmation on the MACD then you would wait until the MACD Line (Blue Line) crosses back above the 0.0 Base Line level, this indicates that a 12 Period EMA has crossed back above a 26 Period EMA on this daily chart.
The Average Directional Index (ADX DI) is indicating the trend strength is weakening with the ADX (Yellow Line) dropping to 28.38 & below its 9 Period EMA (White Line) which is at 32.43. The -DI (Red Line) has dropped to 24.41 but is still above its +DI (Green Line) which is at 17.69. If you are waiting for positive confirmation on this indicator then you need the +DI (Green Line) to cross back above the -DI (Red Line) and for the ADX (Yellow Line) to stay above 20 and cross back above its 9 Period EMA (White Line)
The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) is indicating that BTC is still in the accumulation zone, note that the CMF Line (Green Line) has risen from 0.01 to 0.04 and note that the CMF Line (Green Line) looks like its may cross back above its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) (Blue Line) which is at 0.04. If BTC drops downwards into the distribution zone, its needs to rebound quickly to avoid longterm distribution.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is indicating sideways momentum at the moment. Note that the RSI (Purple Line) is showing weakness by being below its 9 Period EMA (Yellow Line).
As you can see from this chart, the Weekly 50EMA level is now being tested quite a lot on this daily chart. As stated many times, the WEEKLY 50EMA is a very, very crucial level for BTC to keep closing WEEKLY candles above. So long as BTC keeps closing WEEKLY candles above the WEEKLY 50EMA, then all we will see is sideways ranging until the powers that be, decide that the direction of least resistance is upwards. If BTC does close a WEEKLY candle below the WEEKLY 50EMA then there is a possibility that the powers that be, have decided that the direction of least resistance is downwards.
I hope this is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing.
VeChain - Accumulate itQuick VeChain update:
We are seeing sideways ranging with VeChain on this 1D timeframe.
VeChain is still below its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA for this 1D timeframe. We need to turn this level into strong support.
VeChain is still below its 50EMA for this 1D timeframe. We need to eventually cross this level and turn it into strong support.
VeChain is still above its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) for this 1D timeframe. Note that when the price crosses above the LSMA, it is positive and was a potential buy signal.
Volume is still relatively low for this 1D timeframe. Note that the Volume Bar is below its Volume 20 Period Moving Average.
VeChain is still below its Volume Profile Visible Range (VPVR) Point of Control (POC) for this charts visable range.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is indicating momentum is still upwards and the MACD Line (Blue Line) is still above the Signal Line (Orange Line). Note that the Green Histograms has lightened indicating a slight weakening of upwards momentum. A crucial point on the VeChain 1D timeframe will be when then MACD Line (Blue Line) crosses back over the 0.0 line into the positive zone.
The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) is indicating VeChain is in distribution for this 1D timeframe with the CMF Line (Green Line) in the Distribution Zone at -0.04. The CMF is still slightly above its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) which is at -0.06. Note that the CMF (Green Line) is starting to point upwards.
The question is, is VeChain in a Falling Wedge, a Symmetrical Triangle, a Descending Triangle or All or None of the above on this 1D timeframe. Note the Horizontal Support Line has been tested on 5 separate days and that was our resistance of our previous Ascending Triangle. Ideally, any positive breakout must be on increased volume.
The way i see it, we only have a few more weeks “possibly 4-6 for BTC” of continued consolidation within a range before the market makers decide that the path of least resistance is upwards which affects all cryptos. But who knows, it may be sooner. Even if VET dips more, now is the time to buy. What is the point of waiting to accumulate a crypto after if its done a +50% rise? You’ll just end up buying at the top again. So accumulate, accumulate, accumulate VeChain before the next rise……. As well as ADA.
I hope this is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing.