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BDL - An update and a VSA Learning ExerciseThis is just a learning exercise. We had anticipated a good move from this stock. However, 1230 was the trigger point for the Up move Now let us do a bar to bar analysis. Refer the box marked “A”. We can see there was a sideways move or a consolidation happening. We can see the prices clustering together and the volume became low. It Indicated accumulation going on. Refer to the bar marked “B”. It is an up bar with increased volume. This bar was an indication that things are about to change. Refer to the Bar marked “C”. The next bar is a wide spread bar going past the trigger point, ending near the top. Also, we can see the volume increased volume indicating a high probable Breakout. And today's bar (marked “D’) opened up above the previous close. The bar did see some selling, but finally it overcame the selling and closed up. Of course, the spread was not, the spread was narrow indicating selling pressure still present. We can see the stock has started its up move and it is all supported by increased volume and the momentum. The price action momentum is also driven by volume and we can see increased relative strength. All that support further up move and the first obstacle we could see would be 1365, where we may see some more consolidation before further up move. This whole exercise is just for learning purpose.
NSE:BDLEducation
by karthikmarar
1
AFKS Swing 1H Long Conservative CounterTrend TradeConservative CounterTrend Trade + long balance + 1/2 correction + volumed ICE level + support level + biggest volume 2Sp- + weak test - above first bullish bar close entry Calculated affordable stop limit 1 to 2 R/R take profit Daily Context "- short impulse + volumed TE / T1 level + volumed manipulation + support level" Monthly Context "- short impulse + biggest volume T1 level - below 1/2 correction + support level - one bar reversal?!" Yearly Context "- short impulse - neutral zone"
RUS:AFKS
by MishaSuvorov
BDL - On the Recovery ModeCurrently we can see many of stocks which had substantially come down from their highs are in the recovery mode. We will be covering some of these in the coming few days. We will start with the first one which is Bharat Dynamics Ltd. The stock saw a bearish down move of more than 15% and ended up below the 200 DMA. Now it looks like it is on the recovery mode. It has crossed above the 200 DMA and the short-term moving averages. Also, it has broken the supply line as well. We can see good volume support coming in. All key parameters like the relative strength, money flow, buying pressure and the volume adjusted momentum all seem to be favouring the up move. The stocks saw a quick up move, then it saw a small consolidation and has started resuming the up move. We can see a break of structure on the daily time frame. Now the stock is making a higher high and higher low structure and is likely to continue the up move. We could see a substantial up move and the stock could test the previous high of 1770. Of course, the overall market situation should also support the move. However, the downside is now capped and we can see more upside only.
NSE:BDLLong
by karthikmarar
1
XAUUSD. Trading within the range.Hey traders and investors! I expected a correction to 2605.31 and a good buyer's resumption last week, but the correction didn't happen. Let's look at the chart. A range has formed on the daily timeframe. The upper boundary is 2721.42, and the lower boundary is 2536.855. The buyer's vector 5-6 has reached the upper boundary of the range. The seller's vector 6-7 is now relevant, with potential targets at 2605.31 (2581.445, 2536.855). There was a consolidation in the middle of the range, so a buyer's resumption may occur within the 2650-2627 range. Good luck with your trading and investments!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AlexeyWolf
4
SMLT 1H Swing Long Aggressive CounterTrend TradeAggressive CounterTrend Trade - short impulse - unvolumed T1 + support level + volumed 2Sp+ + weak test + biggest volume first buying bar close entry Calculated affordable stop limit 1 to 2 R/R take profit Daily CounterTrend "- short impulse + volumed T1 + support level + volumed manipulation" Monthly Trend "+ long impulse + T2 level + support level + biggest volume manipulation" Yearly trend "+ T1 level + support level + biggest volume manipulation?"
RUS:SMLTLong
by MishaSuvorov
AAVE and ONDOHello traders and investors! It's time for a correction in crypto assets. I've selected two assets that look stronger than the market. AAVE On the daily timeframe, there is an uptrend. There was a false breakout of the level marking the start of the last buyer's impulse – 240.05. On the hourly timeframe, there is a sideways range, and the buyer's vector 9-10 is active. You can look for buy opportunities with targets at 300 (288, 297). ONDO On the daily timeframe, the buyer has formed an impulse. There was a small correction, during which a buyer's zone formed yesterday (green rectangle on the chart). The level of the daily test, 1.61094, passes through this zone. On the hourly timeframe, the price formed a range. The buyer’s vector moved above the upper boundary of 1.68925, but the buyer returned the price to the range, forming a seller’s zone at the top of the range (red rectangle on the chart) and hit the daily test level of 1.61094. You can look for buy opportunities with targets at 1.95 and 2.0, preferably from the buyer's defense at 1.61094 or 1.46712 if the price returns to those levels. Good luck with your trading and investments!
by AlexeyWolf
XAGUSD. Trading opportunityHi traders and investors! Overall, nothing particularly interesting is happening in the market from a daily timeframe perspective. If we don't delve into lower timeframes to look for trades, silver can be considered. Daily Timeframe Analysis On the daily timeframe, the price has formed a range that began in April. The upper boundary is 32.5185, and the lower boundary is 26.0185. The seller's vector 9-10 is relevant, with a potential target of 26.471 (26.0185). The price has reached the level of 32.16, where the seller might resume (see previous posts). Below, a buyer’s zone has formed with an upper boundary of 31.478, what could become an obstacle for the seller. 4H Timeframe Analysis On the 4-hour timeframe, the price has also formed a range. The upper boundary is 31.5365, and the lower boundary is 29.643. The buyer’s vector 9-10 has moved beyond the upper boundary of the range. If the seller returns the price into the range (below 31.5365) and defends this return, the seller’s vector 10-11 will be relevant, with a potential target of 30.3165 (29.643). If the buyer defends the breakout from the range, the potential target is to update the local high (31.286) and reach 31.5185 (the range boundary on the daily timeframe). From my subjective point of view, the daily timeframe currently favors the continuation of the buyer's movement. However, a correction down to 30.3165 is possible. Good luck with your trading and investments!
OANDA:XAGUSD
by AlexeyWolf
HUDCO - On the recovery Path ? The next recovery stock which we are going to look at is HUDCO or the Housing and Urban Development Corporation Limited. The stock saw a drop or reversal of 15% and was pushed below the 200 DMA and from there it has been recovering. As you can see now, it is above the 200 DMA and also the short-term moving averages. It has started making a higher high on the daily. It is also making a higher high on the weekly as well. All the supporting key parameters are all positive, the relative strength, the money flow, buying pressure, all are quite positive and is supporting further up move. We can see good increase in the delivery volumes indicating committed buying. So, the stock could test the previous high of 350 levels. Of course, it is not going to be a quick up move, it is going to be a grinding up move, but definitely it is likely to move up. The risk reward ratio also is looking quite good at this moment. So, this is a stock to be watched.
NSE:HUDCOLong
by karthikmarar
1
BTCUSDT. Short term analysisHello traders and investors! Daily Timeframe Analysis On the daily time frame, a range was formed on November 14, with the lower boundary at 85,072 and the upper boundary at 93,265.64. The seller's vector 5-6 is currently in play, with a potential target of 86,128.21 (85,072). Yesterday, the seller attempted for the second time to push the price back into the range below 93,265.64, but the buyer is still buying up. Hourly Timeframe Analysis On the hourly time frame, the seller has formed an impulse, with the impulse starting at 104,088 and ending at 90,500. Currently, the buyer has pushed the price back above 97,416.59, which is the start of the last buyer's impulse. The first resistance for buyers is 98,828-99,000. In a situation like this, it’s difficult to give priority to either the buyer or the seller. Formally, as long as the price is above 97,416.59, buying opportunities can be considered. If the price drops below 97,416.59, selling opportunities can be considered. It’s preferable to see strength from one of the sides (spread and volume), such as in the form of a buyer’s or seller’s zone, and then join the buying from the buyer's zone or selling from the seller’s zone upon their resumption. Good luck with your trading and investments!
by AlexeyWolf
ALRS 1D Long Investment Aggressive CounterTrend TradeAggressive CounterTrend Trade - short impulse + volumed T1 + support level + biggest volume Sp + weak test + first bullish bar close entry Calculated affordable stop limit Take profit 1/3 - 1 to 2 R/R 1/3 - 1D T2 / 1M T2 1/3 - 1/2 of 1Y Calculated affordable stop limit Take profit 1/3 - 1 to 2 R/R 1/3 - 1D T2 / 1M T2 1/3 - 1/2 of 1Y Monthly CounterTrend "- short impulse + volumed TE / T1 + support level + volumed Sp + test" Yearly Trend "+ long impulse + 1/2 correction + T2 level + support level + manipulation"
RUS:ALRSLong
by MishaSuvorov
NVS 1H Swing Long Conservative Trend TradeConservative Trend Trade + long impulse + 1/2 correction + T2 level + support level - biggest volume 2Sp- Calculated affordable stop limit 1 to 2 R/R within 1H range take profit Daily Trend "+ long impulse + 1/2 correction + JOC level + support level - above 1/2 of entire 1D wave at the support level of 1M" Monthly Trend "+ long impulse + 1/2 correction + support level + JOC level - unvolumed manipulation" Yearly Trend "+ long impulse - resistance level + less than a month left and it looks to break + long volume distribution" NVS @NYSE Bought NVS Market, Day Filled 8:27 AM 104.89325 Profit Taker Sell NVS Limit 105.87, GTC Submitted 8:27 AM
NYSE:NVS
by MishaSuvorov
ALRS 5M Conservative CounterTrend DayTradeConservative CounterTrend Trade - long impulse + 1/2 correction - SOS level + support level + volumed 2Sp+ Calculated affordable stop limit 1 to 2 R/R take profit slightly above 1 H range Transferrable to Swing after closes test and resumes buying on 1H Transferrable to Investment trade after ends test and resumes buying on 1D 1H CounterTrend "- short impulse + 1/2 correction - unvolumed T1 + support level - volumed 2Sp- + test" Daily CounterTrend "- short impulse + volumed T1 + support level + biggest volume Sp + weak test" Monthly CounterTrend "- short impulse + volumed TE / T1 + support level + volumed Sp + test" Yearly trend "+ long impulse + 1/2 correction + T2 level + support level + manipulation"
RUS:ALRSLong
by MishaSuvorov
DXY. Technical analysisHello traders and investors! The seller has returned the price to the range on the weekly timeframe (see the related post). The price is now below the upper boundary of the range at 106.952. We are monitoring the 106.083 level. If the buyer breaks through and defends it, it would be reasonable to look for buying opportunities. However, if the seller defends this level, selling will be the priority. You can use the 4-hour timeframe for monitoring. Good luck with your trading and investments!
CAPITALCOM:DXY
by AlexeyWolf
GOLD. I expect a correction below 2605Hello traders and investors! I expect a correction in the price of gold below 2605. The buyer did not defend the 2710 level (see the previous post), and the seller resumed from the price range of 2721–2759. As a result, a range has formed on the daily timeframe. The upper boundary is 2721.42, and the lower boundary is 2536.855. A seller's zone has developed at the upper boundary of the range (red rectangle on the chart). The current seller's vector is 6-7, with the first potential target at 2605.31. Just below is the level marking the start of the last buyer's impulse on the weekly timeframe—2604.39—which has already been manipulated (false breakout). Therefore, it’s likely that the buyer will resume from these price levels. If the buyer does resume, the first potential target is the lower boundary of the seller's zone at the upper boundary of the range (2668.2). Good luck with your trading and investments!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AlexeyWolf
SMLT 1D Aggressive Investment CounterTrend TradeAggressive CounterTrend Trade - short impulse + biggest volume T1 + support level + biggest volume 2Sp+ + weak test + first bullish bar closed entry Calculated affordable stop limit 1 to 2 R/R take profit CounterTrend 1M "+ short impulse + biggest volume TE / T1 level + support level + biggest manipulation?" Trend 12M "+ SOS test level - far below 1/2 correction + support level + biggest volume manipulation?" They say company is going to bankruptcy, but why would it concern technical analysis?!
RUS:SMLTLong
by MishaSuvorov
Weekly Crypto Facts: What to expect next?Hello traders and investors! Last week saw several interesting developments in crypto assets that may influence the situation in the coming days. BTC : The breakout impulse from the range on the weekly timeframe continues. This marks the fourth weekly consecutive bullish candle, with declining volume (!) compared to the previous three. This could indicate a lack of interest from both buyers and sellers at these price levels. We might see a consolidation period. A similar situation occurred recently on the daily timeframe, where consolidation lasted for six days before a new buying impulse formed (see the post from November 15). Note that the key candle for the breakout is now from November 11. DOT : The price formed a buyer's impulse on the weekly timeframe, surpassing 6.611 (the starting level of the last seller's impulse on the weekly chart). The volume and spread of the weekly candle are impressive. It’s possible that the price may rise further without a correction. If there is a pullback to 7.775–8 and the buyer resumes, it could present a buying opportunity. OP : The price broke out above the range’s upper boundary on the weekly timeframe (1.989). The weekly candle’s volume and spread are impressive. On the daily chart, the price has been consolidating above 1.989 for three days. We are watching for the price’s reaction to 1.989—whether the buyer will defend the breakout from the range. The key candle of the last buying impulse on the daily chart from November 21 crosses 1.989. If the seller pushes the price back into the range and defends this return (at 1.989), it could be an opportunity to look for short positions. SOL : The price updated its all-time high at 259.9. The weekly candle’s volume is declining, which may indicate a lack of interest from both buyers and sellers at these levels. A consolidation period could be ahead. We will assess the seller's reaction by the end of this week. TON : Factors have emerged favoring the realization of the buyer’s vector within the range on the weekly timeframe, with a target of 7.260. Good luck with your trading and investments!
by AlexeyWolf
Interesting facts of the week: What to expect next?Hello traders and investors! The past week brought several interesting events that may impact the situation's development in the coming days. The U.S. Dollar Index has reached the upper boundary of its range on the weekly timeframe at 106.952. There might be an attempt to reverse the long trend, with the idea of executing the seller’s vector within the range on the weekly timeframe (potential targets are 99.807 and 99.099). The Euro against the Dollar has reached the lower boundary of its range on the weekly timeframe at 1.04485. There might be an attempt to reverse the short trend, with the idea of executing the buyer’s vector within the range on the weekly timeframe (potential targets are 1.12142 and 1.12757). Gold , after bouncing off the 50% level (2538.5) of the last monthly buyer’s impulse, has broken through 2710.52, which was the beginning of the last seller’s impulse on the daily timeframe. On the weekly timeframe, there was a manipulation (false breakout) of the level where the last buyer’s impulse started (2604.39), and the weekly bar is impressive with its spread. On the one hand, there is an opportunity to look for buys, but on the other hand, a seller may appear just above in the 2721–2759 range. Let’s see who will win the battle for the 2710.52 level. SPX500 . The buyer is defending the breakout from the range on the daily timeframe. The buyer has absorbed the seller’s attack bar from November 15 (which had high volume) on the upper boundary of the range at 5891.6. As a result, a buyer’s zone has formed on the upper boundary of the range (upper edge of the zone is 5975.6). Additionally, the price dipped below the 50% level of the last buyer’s impulse on the daily timeframe. You can look for buying opportunities if the buyer reactivates from this zone. Good luck with your trading and investments!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AlexeyWolf