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VSA

How I used Volume Spread Analysis to avoid FOMO trading!As a trader, I often battle with the fear of missing out (FOMO), a common pitfall among traders that can lead to impulsive, unprofitable trades. After reviewing my journal, I determined that chasing breakouts was costing me a significant portion of my account, so I studied Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) to help me reduce my urges. Here is how is used VSA to avoid FOMOing a trade. Before we get started, let's clarify two definitions: Volume: Measures the number of times buyers and sellers exchange 1 unit of an asset at an agreed-upon price. It doesn't inherently indicate whether a trend is bullish or bearish, but rather that a trade has occurred. Low volume suggests that few transactions have taken place because buyers and sellers couldn't agree on price. High volume suggests that buyers OR sellers felt they were getting a bargain at the current price, leading to many transactions. Spread/Range: The difference between the high and low of a candlestick. A narrow spread indicates little variance between what someone is willing to buy for and what someone is willing to sell for. A wide spread suggests that buyers and sellers have significantly different ideas of what the fair price is. In short, Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) interprets the relationship between trading volume and candle spread. When volume and spread agree, they are considered harmonious, and the trend will probably continue. If volume and spread disagree, there is a divergence, and the trend may be weak or could even reverse. In general, there are three main harmonious conditions: Narrowing spread should have narrowing volume. Average spread should have average volume. Widening spread should have widening volume. I spotted a bear flag consolidation on QQQ and decided I would trade the breakout to the downside. I took a break and came back to the chart just after the breakdown had occurred, missing my ideal entry. The candle spread was widening and my first thought was "I have to get in! This thing is free falling!" PAUSE! I reminded myself that I cant make every dollar in the market. If I miss this trade, there will always be another. "Be patient and wait for the market to come back to you." This is the chart after the initial break. What can we observe? QQQ broke the low of day with high volume and a widening red candle. Based on our definitions from earlier, we know that high volume means that buyers or sellers think they are getting a bargain so they are willing to transact as much as they can at current price. Given that price is falling, we can assume that the volume is due to aggressive selling. We remain patient and continue to watch for something to trade against. Next, we see a narrower range candle with a long lower shadow and above average volume. By definition, strong volume with a narrow range is a possible divergence. We know that narrow range candles mean that buyers and sellers generally agree on current price, but why would it close near the highs if the selling was so aggressive? Given that there is a long lower shadow and then a bullish candle close, we can infer that sellers were not willing to sell below $467.89. The buyers absorbed the selling at those prices. Fast forwarding, we notice that the volume and candle size has shrunk back to the average meaning buyers and sellers are in agreeance. The number of people willing to transact is decreasing. We also notice that a small range has formed. Buyers have not stepped in to buy above the previous low of day at $469.35 and the sellers have shown no effort to get back below $467.89. Now we have something to trade against instead of FOMOing in! We will look for a break of this range with increased volume. On the next candle we see bulls break out of the range with aggressive volume and a wide spread candle. Something of note is that the volume on this bull candle is less that the volume of our initial sell candle. If those sellers were still present, wouldn't they be selling at these higher prices and forcing the candle range to be narrow? This shows us that bulls are now in control and the selling from earlier was just a hoax. As we can see, the rest is history. If I FOMOed into the short as I had planned, this trade would have resulted in a loss. Being patient allowed me to realize that there was nothing to miss out on and actually allowed me to find a better trade. Key Notes Always journal your trades and review them Never FOMO into a trade. Be patient and wait for the trade to come to you! You dont need to take every trade to make money in the market. It is okay to miss a trade if it means protecting your account. Volume spread analysis is not 100%, but it can be useful in determining the strength of a trend.
NASDAQ:QQQEducation
by Decam9
31
AAVE. Trading opportunityHello traders and investors! The token has reached all targets, and the previous analysis is no longer relevant. It's time to create a new one. Daily Timeframe On the daily timeframe, the price has formed a sideways range, which started in March. The upper boundary is at 133.94, and the lower boundary is at 70. The current seller's vector is 12-13, with a potential target of 71.06 (70). On August 21, the price broke above the upper boundary of the range with significant volume. However, the seller pushed the price back into the range and established a seller's zone at the upper boundary of the range on August 27 (red rectangle on the chart). At the same time, the seller tested the buyer's candle from August 19 (which was on increased volume) at the test level of 117.15. Yesterday, the buyer moved up to test the seller's zone, and the seller resumed from the 129 level. This might become the test level if a bearish candle forms today. Hourly Timeframe On the hourly timeframe, the price has also formed a range. The upper boundary is at 129, and the lower boundary is at 117.15 (which coincides with the daily test level). The current seller's vector is 6-7, with a potential target of 121.32. In ranges, it's advisable to trade from boundary to boundary if the boundary is defended. Sell opportunities can be looked for from the seller's defense of the upper boundary at 129. Buy opportunities can be considered from the buyer's defense at 121.32 and 117.15. Good luck with your trading and investing!
by AlexeyWolf
STLA 1H Swing Long Aggressive CounterTrend TradeAggressive CounterTrend Trade - short impulse + biggest volume T1 + biggest volume Sp? + weak test closed 2 ticks below support level + first bullish bar closed entry - resistance level Calculated affordable stop limit 1 to 2 R/R take profit Daily countertrend "- short impulse + volumed TE/T1 level + support level" Monthly trend "+ long impulse + T2 level + 1/2 correction + support level" STLA @NYSE Sell Limit 17.40, GTC Sell Stop 16.53 LMT 16.84, GTC
NYSE:STLALong
by MishaSuvorov
5
NEARUSDT. Buying opportunitiesHello traders and investors! If you are looking to buy, I suggest considering NEAR. I believe there is a good potential for growth of 20-40%. Daily Time Frame On the daily time frame, the price has formed a sideways range that started in March. The upper boundary is at 8.52, and the lower boundary is at 4.279. The price has touched the lower boundary twice. The second interaction, which occurred on August 5, was marked by impressive volume, which was absorbed by the buyer on August 13, pushing the price back into the range. This candle was pivotal (the largest volume, marked with “KC” on the chart) in the seller’s impulse, which forms vector 4-5 of the range. By absorbing this candle, the buyer established a buying zone (green rectangle on the chart) from which buyer's vector 5-6 started, with a potential target of 6.89. The buyer faces a significant obstacle beginning at the 50% level of the last seller's impulse, at 5.798. At this same level, a seller’s zone (red rectangle on the chart) has formed, and the level 5.798 is the start of the last sub-impulse of the seller's last impulse. Interestingly, the last sub-impulse of the buyer started at the 4.000 level (low of the sub-impulse at 4.000, high of the sub-impulse at 6.489), and on August 5, liquidity was taken below the 4.000 level. 4-Hour Time Frame There is a long trend. The starting level of the buyer's last impulse is at 4.738. A seller's zone formed at the end of this impulse. Currently, the buyer is testing this zone. If the price returns to 4.738 and the buyer defends this level, there may be buying opportunities, as the seller resumed action from the seller’s zone at the end of the impulse (meaning the zone has been tested), and the seller could not defeat the buyer at the beginning level of the last impulse. Buying Strategy It makes sense to look for buys from the daily candle of August 23, which showed a surge in volume. The targets are 6.000 and 6.489. Good luck with your trading and investments!
by AlexeyWolf
2
Looking for buy opportunities in the crypto market!Hello traders and investors! I’ve selected four assets in the crypto market where buying opportunities can be considered. Each of these four assets has formed a range, with the seller's impulse completed and the buyer's impulse now active. BNB : Buyer’s 10-11 impulse, potential targets: 598, 645.2 TON : Buyer’s 6-7 impulse, potential targets: 7.35, 7.72, 8.1582 AAVE : Buyer’s 11-12 impulse, potential targets: 120.08, 132.57 ADA : Buyer’s 5-6 impulse, potential targets: 0.3730, 0.4292, 0.4504 Among these, BNB appears the strongest, as two buyer's zones have formed in the 10-11 impulse. These zones were created when the buyer absorbed a seller's candle with increased volume (the buyer's zone is marked by a blue rectangle on the chart). ADA, on the other hand, looks the weakest among the four, as it has not yet been able to close a daily candle above the high of the August 8th candle, which absorbed the seller's attack on the lower boundary of the range, forming a buyer's zone. It's advisable to use lower timeframes when looking for buying opportunities. I have selected examples of lower timeframes for you.
by AlexeyWolf
1
XAGUSD. Trading opportunity Hello traders and investors! I reviewed the assets and highlighted silver as an interesting opportunity for trades next week. For example, in gold, on the daily timeframe, the price has broken out of a range, and it’s hard to predict how far it will go. In silver, the targets are clearer. Weekly Timeframe On the weekly timeframe, there’s a bullish trend. The last upward impulse started from the 17.559 level. The most recent sub-impulse within that impulse began at the 26.0185 level. At the end of the impulse, a seller's zone formed after the seller absorbed a buyer's candle with growing volume, which has already been tested by the buyer—the test level is 29.2285 (seller's zone marked by a red rectangle on the chart). The seller's candle at the test level had the highest volume in a year, but the result was just a shadow: the body of the candle couldn’t close below the shadow of the previous candle. The latest weekly candle, with falling volume, absorbed the seller’s candle. This indicates that although the seller tried to resume the downward movement from their zone, they have been unsuccessful so far. Daily Timeframe On the daily timeframe, the price has formed a range that began in April. The upper boundary is 32.5185, and the lower boundary is 26.0185. The seller’s 7-8 impulse has played out, and now the buyer's 8-9 impulse is active, with a potential target of 31.755. A buyer's zone has formed at the base of the new 8-9 buyer’s impulse after the buyer absorbed the seller's candle from August 5th, which had growing volume (buyer’s zone marked by a blue rectangle on the chart). Note the volume of the seller’s candle from August 5th—it’s the highest in several months. Thus, on both the weekly and daily timeframes, the priority is on buying . There are obstacles on the buyer's path that need to be monitored. The first obstacle is the start of the last sub-impulse in the seller's 7-8 impulse (29.2285), and the second obstacle is the previous weekly high (30.1365), where a seller's zone has also formed. Buying Strategy For trade setups, you could consider the 4-hour timeframe. On this timeframe, the price has formed a range with an upper boundary of 29.2285 and a lower boundary of 26.4710. You could, for example, look for buying opportunities from the buyer’s defense of the lower boundary of the range or after a breakout to the upside and the buyer's defense of that breakout.
OANDA:XAGUSD
by AlexeyWolf
XAUUSD. Trading opportunitiesHello traders and investors! Let's see what we can trade on gold. Daily Timeframe Analysis On the daily time frame (TF), the price has formed a sideways movement that began on April 9th. The upper boundary is 2450.125, and the lower boundary is 2277.345. The seller’s vector 6-7 broke through the upper boundary of the sideways range, but then the seller brought the price back into the range. The current active seller’s vector is 7-8 with a potential target of 2286.83. The seller couldn't overcome the first obstacle at 2391.520 (the base of the last sub-impulse of the buyer in the buyer’s vector 6-7). As a result, a local sideways range formed near the upper boundary of the range, which is clearly visible on the 8-hour TF. Trading within this range is possible, from the upper boundary to the lower one, and vice versa. To better understand the situation, let’s look at the lower TFs. 8H Timeframe Analysis The price has formed a sideways range. The upper boundary is 2483.74, and the lower boundary is 2353.195. The current active buyer’s vector is 8-9, with a potential target of 2477.725. 4H Timeframe Analysis The price has formed a sideways range. The upper boundary is 2477.725 (this level is the target within the range on the 8-hour TF). The lower boundary is 2410.885. The current active buyer’s vector is 8-9, with a potential target of 2458.875. At the base of the 8-9 vector, a buyer’s zone (marked as a blue rectangle on the chart) has formed after engulfing the seller’s candle, which interacted with the boundary of the range on increased ( ! ) volume. Buying opportunities Buying opportunities can be considered based on the execution of buyer vectors 8-9 within the sideways movements on the 8-hour and 4-hour time frames. For example, consider buying from the buyer's zone on the 4-hour time frame, above the lower boundary of the sideways movement at 2410.885. Potential targets include: • 2458.875 (test of the seller’s zone near the upper boundary of the range on the 4-hour TF), • 2477.725 (boundary of the range on the 4-hour TF; point 7 of the range on the 8-hour TF), • 2483.74 (boundary of the range on the 8-hour TF). Selling opportunities Selling opportunities can be considered based on the execution of seller vectors 9-10 within the sideways movements on the 8-hour and 4-hour time frames, if the seller defends the 2458.875 - 2483.74 range. Potential targets include: • 2423 (test of the buyer’s zone on the 4-hour TF), • 2410.885 (lower boundary of the range on the 4-hour TF), • 2364.39 (future point 8 of the range on the 8-hour TF), • 2353.195 (lower boundary of the range on the 8-hour TF).
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AlexeyWolf
SYNGENE - Gearing up for higher MoveThe stock after nearly 10 months of consolidation had come out of the consolidation zone and now it is attempting to take out the previous supply zone as well. As we can see in the weekly chart, the relative strength and the money flow index are positive. In the daily chart as well, you can find the relative strength, the buying pressure are all positive. However, the money flow has not picked up. Given these conditions, once the money flow also picks up, the stock is likely to go up higher after breaking out of the price rejection zone or the supply zone. A positive close above 858 level, will add to the conviction.
NSE:SYNGENELong
by karthikmarar
GEHC 1H Long Swing Aggressive Trend TradeAggressive Trend Trade - short impulse + volumed T1 + support level + volumed 2Sp- + weak test + first bullish bar closed entry Calculated affordable stop limit 1 to 2 R/R take profit Daily Trend "+ long impulse + T2 level + 1/2 correction + support level + volumed 2Sp- - independent approach" Monthly trend "+ long impulse + SOS test level + 1/2 correction + support level + volumed 2Sp+ + weak test" GEHC @NASDAQ.NMS Sell Stop 79.68 LMT 81.40, GTC Sell Limit 84.76, GTC
NASDAQ:GEHCLong
by MishaSuvorov