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Snoflake [SNOW] Wyckoff Bullish PatternsVery fundamental company. The last consolidation after very large drops is a good prognosis for an upward exit. It is necessary to focus on Wyckoff Wave Volume, which decreases at the bottoms. This means a decrease in selling pressure. There were two shafts with a very large purchase volume and a wave marked with volume 200. It was a very large sale that did nothing to the price. This sale was absorbed by buyers. This security has typical accumulation features. In my opinion, it is on BUY with a target of $ 140/150 For more analyses using price and volume and the Wyckoff method, subscribe to the profile
NYSE:SNOWLong
by VolumeDayTrader
XAGUSD. Trading opportunityHello traders and investors! Daily Timeframe Analysis On the daily timeframe, the price has formed a sideways range that began in April. The upper boundary is 32.5185, and the lower boundary is 26.0185. The buyer's vector 8-9 has reached the target of 31.755 (see the previous post). There are no signs of a reversal yet to indicate the realization of the seller's vector 9-10, with a potential target of 26.471. 4H Timeframe Analysis On the 4-hour timeframe, the price has formed a sideways range below the level of 31.755. The upper boundary is 31.4335, and the lower boundary is 29.7085. Currently, the buyer has broken through the upper boundary of the range. If the buyer defends the 31.4335 – 31.755 range, it is possible to look for buying opportunities, with a potential target of 32.5185. Good luck with your trading and investments!
OANDA:XAGUSD
by AlexeyWolf
BNBUSDT. Trading opportunityHello traders and investors! Daily Timeframe Analysis: On the daily timeframe, the sideways movement that began in March continues. The upper boundary is 721.8, and the lower boundary is 495.8. The buyer's vector 10-11 is relevant, with a potential target of 645.2. Two days ago, the buyer overcame 598 and reached 605.6, where volume accumulation started. If the buyer defends 598, the next targets are 635 and 645. Hourly Timeframe Analysis: On the hourly timeframe, there is an uptrend. The level marking the beginning of the last buyer's impulse is 587.9. I will be watching the buyer's reaction at the levels of 598 and 587.9. Good luck with your trading and investments!
by AlexeyWolf
GOLD Will Remain Bullish Tomorrow As Well 100%!Hello traders, GOLD is expected to experience a very minor correction, presenting a buying opportunity. NO BEARISH OPPORTUNITY! Bullish Opportunities: We are anticipating two possible scenarios for gold prices; Scenario 1: Gold may experience a minor downturn to the $2576-$2573 range, where we will seek confirmation and consider entering a long position. Scenario 2: Alternatively, gold prices may extend their decline to the $2568-$2565 range. While this scenario has a lower probability due to the current buying momentum, it still presents a potential buying opportunity
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by sabellaFX
1
Gold (Xauusd) Entry LevelsAt the current price of 2517, we can consider a risky trade with a stop loss of only 10 pips. It is advisable to use a small lot. Buy limit 2516 SL: 2515 TP1: 2524, TP2 2528 Today's Entry Levels: If today's price breaks above 2030 level, it is likely to reach 2050. We can enter a buy trade after confirmation. We will keep you updated. If the price moves downward, we can consider buying at the 2500-2503 levels due to several rejections at this price and order brokers. If the price breaks this level, we can consider a selling trade and find an entry. We will provide updates after confirmation.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Guri_forex
1
Bitcoin - Technical AnalysisDear Analysts and Traders, Looking at the Bitcoin price chart, I notice a variety of structures described by Technical Analysis. My attention is particularly drawn to elements related to the Elliott and Wyckoff methodologies. The market appears chaotic yet orderly at the same time. I must mention that I am not someone with formal education in this field. I am self-taught, placing a strong emphasis on using Technical Analysis as the main component of my decision-making process. This stems from my belief that although the chart is difficult to read, it largely allows for the interpretation of the hidden intentions of "smart money." I want to stress that the following words reflect only my personal point of view, which may not be correct, and that this publication is by no means investment or educational advice as understood by any law regulating such matters. I simply intend to ramble about topics I don’t fully understand. Background Bitcoin's price is in a long-term upward trend. Over the past year, there has been a strong upward trend within a broad sideways structure. Today, the price is near the upper boundary of this multi-year structure, and at the same time, at the lower limit of a smaller structure. Technical Analysis In my considerations, I will use elements of the Elliott, Wyckoff, and VSA methodologies. I begin by applying the key elements of these methodologies to the price chart from recent months. Starting with Elliott's five-wave approach, I outline the trend that has brought the price to these levels, marking it as (12345). Next, I highlight the three-wave corrective patterns with a white (ABC), creating a complex correction structure. I add events consistent with the Wyckoff method to the chart. Due to the complex nature of the studied structure, I decide to mark processes of varying scales. I do this with verbal descriptions in red and green, supplemented by horizontal lines indicating support and resistance. The structure described in red is the dominant one. I analyze the volume dynamics, marking them with dashed lines and a red loop. Additionally, I pay attention to candlesticks, especially in the context of VSA and their specific meaning in key areas, such as extremes or events related to the methodologies used. Interpretation and Thoughts Without a doubt, Bitcoin’s price structure is both intriguing and complex. Looking at the most basic elements of the chart, I see strength, and at the peaks, I don't notice setups like Trap UpMove or Upthrust with volumes significantly deviating from the average. Instead, there are numerous Shakeout events, often followed by local volume peaks in its declining trend. This is different from the setup at the point I marked as Phase C. According to Wyckoff’s method, this is where the largest volume since the halt of the uptrend has appeared. The Green Upthrust is particularly interesting. As part of a smaller structure, which I believe to be accumulative, it indicates No Demand. Of course, this is a sign of weakness, but what matters to me is the background, where significant potential distribution is evident, with signs of weakness seen through multiple breaches of the lower part of the trading range. I could treat this situation as Phase C, but of a distribution phase. However, I believe there is no overwhelming supply here, and in the actions of the Composite Man, I would expect an attempt to lead the crowd to the highest possible regions, trap them, and guide them to the inevitable. Here, the rhetoric is different—the market appears weak, but the area around Preliminary Supply has been strongly defended by the bulls. From an Elliott perspective, I see a complex correction, and I believe it is a triple three, consisting of a flat correction, a three, and a zigzag. The end of this series of corrections, in my opinion, begins Phase C of the highest-order accumulation in this area of the chart. Supporting the thesis of an accumulation process is the volume, which follows a characteristic pattern: huge volumes at the halt, followed by a steady decline in Phase B, particularly during the descent from the peak of the Red Upthrust. The test of Phase C is abrupt, and the price once again forms a smaller structure. Here, I expect a test to appear, especially on a higher timeframe, confirming No Supply. For now, despite the chart’s grim appearance, I see more of a transfer of assets from the crowd rather than an attempt to push the price significantly lower. The Bitcoin price chart presents a beautiful structure from a Technical Analysis perspective. I believe there is much more to be uncovered. I think my reflections on these price movements provide a basis to claim that an accumulation process is underway. Soon, confirmation of the lack of selling pressure will likely emerge—if I am interpreting the market correctly. The smaller Green Structure is a kind of retest that could evolve into a Turning Point. Soon, the market will reveal whether my assumptions are correct and make clearer that which allows for easy analysis... after the fact! Thank you all for taking the time to read my thoughts. I wish you successful analyses and winning positions! CatTheTrader
Long
by CatTheTrader
Two Roads to Profit. A Comparison of ICT/SMC and Advanced VSAHello traders and investors! When we start engaging in trading and investing, we get acquainted with various methods of forecasting price movements. Gradually, if we have enough persistence, strength, and patience, we choose our own path to profitable trades. Among the most popular approaches, we can highlight the use of various oscillators and channels, Dow Theory, Elliott Waves, Fibonacci levels, supply and demand, Volume Spread Analysis (VSA), market auction theory, and the Inner Circle Trader/Smart Money Concept (ICT/SMC). Many traders combine elements from different approaches into their trading system. I personally prefer a concept I call Advanced VSA. It’s a comprehensive set of tools that combines ideas from VSA, Dow Theory, and Supply and Demand analysis. The name "Advanced VSA" perfectly captures the essence of the method, as it is fundamentally based on analyzing volume and price spread. Recently, the ICT/SMC concept has been gaining more and more popularity. Today, I want to explore the similarities and differences between ICT/SMC and Advanced VSA. If there are any inaccuracies in my explanation of ICT/SMC basics, feel free to correct me in the comments. Perhaps after reading this article, you’ll be able to decide which approach resonates more with you and which one you believe will help you in your trading. I hope this will be helpful. Let’s dive in! Basic Differences Before diving into the technical details, let's first clarify the key differences between these concepts. Who Controls Price Movements The ICT/SMC concept assumes that price movements are controlled by large players, such as market makers, who direct prices in the desired direction. This is similar to a model where one "center of power" determines the market's direction. In contrast, Advanced VSA is based on the idea that two forces influence price — the Buyer and the Seller. All analysis revolves around the interaction between these two sides, creating a more balanced model where both forces are equally important. Traded Volume The ICT/SMC concept does not use traded volume as a part of its analysis. In Advanced VSA, volume is an important factor. It is considered an integral part of the data that helps to understand market processes and the actions of participants. Now let’s move on to a detailed comparison of the elements of these concepts. What They Have in Common Both concepts teach traders to identify price ranges on the chart where a large player (Market Maker in ICT/SMC) or a Buyer (in Advanced VSA) shows interest in buying, and ranges where the Market Maker or Seller is interested in selling. When the price returns to these ranges, traders can execute buys or sells. We can call these price ranges contextual areas for buying and selling. Neither concept relies on technical indicators. Instead, they focus on the following key terms for identifying the trade direction and the trade entry point: Trend Trend break/half-trend Trend confirmation Accumulation/Distribution/Sideways movement/Flat Contextual areas for buying and selling The first four terms help determine the direction of the trade, while the fifth helps identify the entry point and the likely target of the trade. Both methods suggest using higher timeframes to find contextual areas and lower timeframes to find entry points within those areas. What Are the Differences The differences between the concepts lie in the interpretation of key terms. For the first four terms (trend, trend break, trend confirmation, accumulation/distribution/Sideways movement), the distinctions are minor and relate mostly to specific interpretations. However, the main differences arise in the rules for identifying contextual areas of interest (buyer, seller, or market maker). Let's look at these differences in more detail. Difference 1: Use of Volume In ICT/SMC, contextual areas of interest are determined solely based on price action and candlestick patterns, without taking traded volume into account. In contrast, Advanced VSA sees volume as an integral part of the analysis. contextual areas of interest are identified by both traded volume and price behavior (candlestick patterns). If there was interest from a buyer, seller in a specific price range, leading to a price change, it's logical to assume that the volume traded in that range should be higher than in previous periods over a similar timeframe. To illustrate the importance of using all available data for analysis, consider an analogy with choosing the best time for a seaside vacation. If the decision is based only on water and air temperature, while ignoring factors like wind or rainfall, the choice may be misguided. For example, choosing April for its comfortable temperature might result in encountering constant rain and high waves. Thus, in Advanced VSA, volume plays a crucial role, whereas it is absent in ICT/SMC. Difference 2: Types of Contextual Areas of Interest In ICT/SMC, the following types of contextual areas of interest are used: order block, breaker, mitigation block, and rejection block. All of these areas are formed by a specific arrangement of candles on the chart. In contrast, Advanced VSA operates with a different set of contextual areas of interest: effort, zone, and range (sideways movement). Effort refers to a single candle or bar that indicates significant market activity. Zone is formed by a sequence of candles or bars, taking into account their traded volumes. Range (sideways movement) is defined by a series of consecutive candles/bars where price fluctuates within a limited range, interacting alternately with the upper and lower boundaries of the range. It's only possible to identify which party (buyer, seller, or market maker) controls the range after the price breaks out and confirms the move. If the volumes align with Advanced VSA's criteria, order blocks and mitigation blocks in ICT/SMC can be considered as zones in Advanced VSA. So, not all order blocks and mitigation blocks will be considered zones in Advanced VSA. The breaker will be discussed separately, and there is no equivalent to the rejection block in Advanced VSA. Difference 3. Price Attraction Points In ICT/SMC, concepts such as fair value gap, liquidity void, and liquidity are used to describe price attraction points. In Advanced VSA, the terms fair value gap and liquidity void are not utilized. Most of the time, these ICT/SMC elements correspond to price interest points in Advanced VSA, such as effort. The term liquidity has the same meaning. Difference 4. Importance of Levels In Advanced VSA, levels play an important role in identifying trade opportunities. To understand the significance of levels, let’s first recall the concepts of trend and range (sideways movement). In both ICT/SMC and Advanced VSA, a trend is broken down into components, often referred to as impulses or expansion moves. A range, on the other hand, is characterized by its boundaries and the vectors of price movement between those boundaries. In Advanced VSA, important trading signals include the defense of a broken level or a price retracement to a level followed by its defense. In Advanced VSA, the defense of a broken level or the cancellation of a breakout (where the price returns back behind the broken level) followed by a defense of that level is considered a signal for identifying trades. This method helps traders spot potential entry points where either buyers or sellers to protect a key price level, giving more confidence in the direction of the market. The most important levels include the base of the last impulse, the boundaries of a range, and the test level of a zone. In ICT/SMC, there are no direct equivalents of these elements when it comes to searching for trades. However, breakers and sometimes mitigation blocks serve similar purposes to the levels in Advanced VSA, but the approaches differ. In ICT/SMC, trades are typically executed within the breaker or mitigation block, whereas in Advanced VSA, trades are found when a level is defended: buy trades above the level (supported by buyers), and sell trades below the level (supported by sellers). Additionally, Advanced VSA allows for trading within ranges, moving from one boundary to the other, as long as the boundaries are defended. Summary Despite the shared terms and similar approaches, there are significant differences between the two concepts: Number of forces influencing price movement: In ICT/SMC, it is believed that price is controlled by a single force, the Market Maker (MM). In contrast, Advanced VSA considers the interaction of two forces—buyers and sellers—as driving price movements. Use of volume in analysis: ICT/SMC does not take traded volume into account during analysis, while in Advanced VSA, volume is a crucial element for identifying market forces and areas of interest. Use of levels for trade entries: In ICT/SMC, levels do not play an important role, whereas in Advanced VSA, levels one of the possible places for identifying potential trade setups. Good luck with your trading and investing!
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by AlexeyWolf
2
RADICO - In to the next orbit ?The stock has been moving almost sideways with a upward bias for the last eight months. However, recently you can see that in the weekly it has been making a higher, high and higher lows. Now the stock has successfully moved out of this sideways range and also it has crossed above the supply line in the top. The move was with very high volumes. You can see a positive money flow in the weekly. On the daily you can see that the relative strength, absolute strength and the money flow has been positive. So, it looks like that stock is now ready to go into the next orbit. However, the ultra-high volume calls for some caution. So, one has to wait till the stock crosses above 1973 which is a high of the “BC” like bar of the last day. Relative strength turning positive on the weekly will add to the conviction.
NSE:RADICOLong
by karthikmarar
1
UPL - Finally out of the woods?The stock had been in a downtrend for more than 15 months, losing almost 45% in value. In the last three months it was seeing some recovery and finally now it seems to be out of the woods. We can see the stock is making a higher high and higher low on the weekly and we can see a change of character in the weekly as well. Now finally the stock is decisively going above the 200 DMA and also the short-term moving averages. The relative strength and the money flow is also positive. Even the buying pressure and the absolute strength are also positive. It is showing a positive momentum as well. We can now confirm that the stock is finally ready to move up further and eventually the stock should be testing 800 levels.
NSE:UPLLong
by karthikmarar
1
How I used Volume Spread Analysis to avoid FOMO trading!As a trader, I often battle with the fear of missing out (FOMO), a common pitfall among traders that can lead to impulsive, unprofitable trades. After reviewing my journal, I determined that chasing breakouts was costing me a significant portion of my account, so I studied Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) to help me reduce my urges. Here is how is used VSA to avoid FOMOing a trade. Before we get started, let's clarify two definitions: Volume: Measures the number of times buyers and sellers exchange 1 unit of an asset at an agreed-upon price. It doesn't inherently indicate whether a trend is bullish or bearish, but rather that a trade has occurred. Low volume suggests that few transactions have taken place because buyers and sellers couldn't agree on price. High volume suggests that buyers OR sellers felt they were getting a bargain at the current price, leading to many transactions. Spread/Range: The difference between the high and low of a candlestick. A narrow spread indicates little variance between what someone is willing to buy for and what someone is willing to sell for. A wide spread suggests that buyers and sellers have significantly different ideas of what the fair price is. In short, Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) interprets the relationship between trading volume and candle spread. When volume and spread agree, they are considered harmonious, and the trend will probably continue. If volume and spread disagree, there is a divergence, and the trend may be weak or could even reverse. In general, there are three main harmonious conditions: Narrowing spread should have narrowing volume. Average spread should have average volume. Widening spread should have widening volume. I spotted a bear flag consolidation on QQQ and decided I would trade the breakout to the downside. I took a break and came back to the chart just after the breakdown had occurred, missing my ideal entry. The candle spread was widening and my first thought was "I have to get in! This thing is free falling!" PAUSE! I reminded myself that I cant make every dollar in the market. If I miss this trade, there will always be another. "Be patient and wait for the market to come back to you." This is the chart after the initial break. What can we observe? QQQ broke the low of day with high volume and a widening red candle. Based on our definitions from earlier, we know that high volume means that buyers or sellers think they are getting a bargain so they are willing to transact as much as they can at current price. Given that price is falling, we can assume that the volume is due to aggressive selling. We remain patient and continue to watch for something to trade against. Next, we see a narrower range candle with a long lower shadow and above average volume. By definition, strong volume with a narrow range is a possible divergence. We know that narrow range candles mean that buyers and sellers generally agree on current price, but why would it close near the highs if the selling was so aggressive? Given that there is a long lower shadow and then a bullish candle close, we can infer that sellers were not willing to sell below $467.89. The buyers absorbed the selling at those prices. Fast forwarding, we notice that the volume and candle size has shrunk back to the average meaning buyers and sellers are in agreeance. The number of people willing to transact is decreasing. We also notice that a small range has formed. Buyers have not stepped in to buy above the previous low of day at $469.35 and the sellers have shown no effort to get back below $467.89. Now we have something to trade against instead of FOMOing in! We will look for a break of this range with increased volume. On the next candle we see bulls break out of the range with aggressive volume and a wide spread candle. Something of note is that the volume on this bull candle is less that the volume of our initial sell candle. If those sellers were still present, wouldn't they be selling at these higher prices and forcing the candle range to be narrow? This shows us that bulls are now in control and the selling from earlier was just a hoax. As we can see, the rest is history. If I FOMOed into the short as I had planned, this trade would have resulted in a loss. Being patient allowed me to realize that there was nothing to miss out on and actually allowed me to find a better trade. Key Notes Always journal your trades and review them Never FOMO into a trade. Be patient and wait for the trade to come to you! You dont need to take every trade to make money in the market. It is okay to miss a trade if it means protecting your account. Volume spread analysis is not 100%, but it can be useful in determining the strength of a trend.
NASDAQ:QQQEducation
by Decam9
31
AAVE. Trading opportunityHello traders and investors! The token has reached all targets, and the previous analysis is no longer relevant. It's time to create a new one. Daily Timeframe On the daily timeframe, the price has formed a sideways range, which started in March. The upper boundary is at 133.94, and the lower boundary is at 70. The current seller's vector is 12-13, with a potential target of 71.06 (70). On August 21, the price broke above the upper boundary of the range with significant volume. However, the seller pushed the price back into the range and established a seller's zone at the upper boundary of the range on August 27 (red rectangle on the chart). At the same time, the seller tested the buyer's candle from August 19 (which was on increased volume) at the test level of 117.15. Yesterday, the buyer moved up to test the seller's zone, and the seller resumed from the 129 level. This might become the test level if a bearish candle forms today. Hourly Timeframe On the hourly timeframe, the price has also formed a range. The upper boundary is at 129, and the lower boundary is at 117.15 (which coincides with the daily test level). The current seller's vector is 6-7, with a potential target of 121.32. In ranges, it's advisable to trade from boundary to boundary if the boundary is defended. Sell opportunities can be looked for from the seller's defense of the upper boundary at 129. Buy opportunities can be considered from the buyer's defense at 121.32 and 117.15. Good luck with your trading and investing!
by AlexeyWolf