Put Your Speculators On!This head and shoulders pattern could be just pure speculation at this point. In fact, let me reword that.. this IS speculation based on the fact that I missed the lows and psychologically, I'm really hoping this comes back to shore so I can get back on the boat with everyone else.
I do however do my technical analysis in advance and set alerts at levels like you should do and if it plays out then great if not there's always the opposite idea too. We move onto the next one.
For now though what I'm looking at is BITGET:ADAUSDT.P has closed the daily candle back inside the value area high ( VAH ) of the range they just left. I am now in a waiting game to see what happens with the second candle close but we just had a 7.5% drop from that value area high (white dots) and the weekly level.
The purple line is the previous Monthly VWAP (volume weighted average price) which when you go down to a lower timeframe it's actually touched (Just doesn't look like that here).
The yellow line is the previous Weekly VWAP which we had confluence with at the weekly level and the value area high and also back tested a couple of hours ago.
The blue bars are to show the 21% from the top of the head down to the neck of the head and shoulders pattern and then a repeated 21% from the neck to complete the pattern right into a point of control ( POC ) from a very high timeframe, I'm talking years.
If we start to lose some levels here like $0.35ish and back test it, I'll probably just wait to lose the POC and then see if we get the drop down into that area of confluence below at around $0.26.
I'm far too broke to be gambling so I'd rather wait and reward myself with a little bit of patience, who knows, it could just happen quickly but “Uptober” isn’t starting off that well so far.
I won't be looking for any long trades unless we can reclaim that weekly level and value area high. Targets would be the weekly level above with confluence from the high timeframe value area high and anchored VWAP from the all-time high (Green line).
This is not financial advice. This is just an idea and some slight education to put out there for anybody that's feeling a little bit lost about what they're seeing on the charts.
Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP)
$TSLA Support Found at Yearly Anchored VWAPIt appears Tesla NASDAQ:TSLA might have found significant temporary support at the yearly anchored VWAP. I expect a move up to test upper deviation at 226.50, which would be first profit target. I own some Oct 4 240 C which I plan on scaling out of beginning around that level.
LCID SHORT on VWAP rejecting price rise.In my previous idea of January 29, I bought LCID as it broke out of a falling wedge on news from
Saudi Arabia fixing supply chain and production issues for body parts. LCID ascended the
following day to fall down on rejection from the mean VWAP band line anchored in mid-
December. On the 4H chart, another smaller and more condensed falling wedge is found
and price is moving down toward the one standard deviation line below the mean VWAP ( the
jagged blue line ) which is now horizontal. The last candle is red and narrow bodied. It is near
the top of the channel. Trade plan- I will short LCID here and add to the position each time
price returns to the top of the channel as monitored on a lower time frame such as 15-45
minutes. I will watch for a reversal of the down-trending lines of the zero-lag MACD
and a cross at the bottom. Similarly for the RSI indicator and its green fast and red slow line
in the range of RSI value of 20-35. Likewise, if price rises above the channel in an early
breakout, the trade is over as the downtrend is correcting again. If the price were to break
resistance of the mean VWAP zone, this would represent a break of the down supertrend and
could cause a bit of a short squeeze to get underway. If I see that, I will get into a long
position with more position size as it could become lucrative.
Unlocking Trend Reversals: Mastering Bollinger Bands and VWAPsIn this comprehensive video tutorial, we will delve into the powerful techniques of utilizing Bollinger Bands and VWAPs (Volume Weighted Average Prices) to identify and master trend reversals in the futures market. ES1!
You will learn how to leverage these volatility-based indicators to detect potential turning points in price trends. By understanding Bollinger Bands' ability to highlight periods of market consolidation and expansion, you will gain an edge in predicting trend shifts and take advantage of profitable opportunities.
Additionally, we will explore the significance of VWAPs, an essential tool for analyzing price and volume dynamics. By combining volume-weighted prices with Bollinger Bands, you will be equipped with a comprehensive approach to assess market liquidity, support, and resistance levels.
Throughout this tutorial, I provide step-by-step guidance to effectively interpret the signals generated by Bollinger Bands and VWAPs, empowering you to make informed trading decisions. We will also address common misconceptions that can often lead to misinterpretations and false signals.
Whether you are a seasoned trader seeking to refine your strategy or a beginner eager to grasp these technical indicators, this video is designed to provide valuable insights and practical knowledge that can elevate your trading outcomes.
Review and Trading plan for 21st July 2023Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan in kannada.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
CAT Swing Long ReversalCAT has a downtrend 10% from its 30-day high.
However, fundamentally the industrial is holding up quite well.
The downtrend was inverse parabolic accompanied with
an appropriate volume pattern showing 3X relative volume
This is sometimes called the retirement trade pattern
or V-type pattern. CAT has dropped to three standard
deviations below the anchored VWAP /
This makes it undervalued well below fair value.
I see this as a good setup for a long swing trade or a call options
contract with the expectation of a 50% retracement of a
10# drop or a 5% price target For the call options I will
target the anchored VWAP at a strike of $243 about 12 DTE.
SPY 2022.07.25 Monday of Fed Week premarket analysisUptrend in place. Opening in the range of last sessions price range. It's a Fed week so price action will likely be constrained by that until after the announcement at 11AM PT on Wednesday. Price S/R lines of interest and VWAPs and MAs of interest are presented in the video.
SPY gap opening at significant support level. Will it hold?SPY is opening at a level of significant support over the last month. Price is below the declining 5DMA, 20DMA, and 5DMA. We are in a bear market. Will this level hold? Areas and levels of significant interest presented in the video including possible short swing set up.
Volume Profile and why you need it.Volume profile is an underused and quintessential part of trading, it tells you build up of orders, it tells you fair price, and it tells you where the majority of the liquidity is.
You can see in this chart, I have taken it apart piece by piece to show you the basic mechanics and why price moves the way it does, now be honest, how many of you rushed into selling GU last minute because the price was collapsing? Well the funny thing is despite not being alone in doing so in the retail trading world, big banks and instituitions were already two steps ahead as expected, check the Volume profile, notice how it declined on a massively falling currency, what this is telling you is that the amount of exchanges is very low, as the shorters pushed price down they began to close positions, also what would have happened is the amount of retail money and money that isnt associated to high end firms would have started to see negative positions so what do they do? they have to close these sells with buys! so not only are the big banks taking profit, they are also using you as rocket fuel! as the masses of small money becomes negative/trapped/stoplosses, price reacts in an equal and opposite reaction, price rallies. So where is price heading too? it is heading back to an area where it can happily trade, and this is shown by larger bars on the VP, price wants to be happy, to be happy it needs to transact alot! So two takeaways... One, dont rush into falling or rising currencies! as they are heading into areas of low volume and will use mean reversion to run you over... Two, Utilise the fact price has low VP build up to your advantage! use price action and catch moves like that GU rally back to an area of more transactions! and a final little trick, use the VP to tell you if your orderblock is real or a figment of your imagination! feel free to drop some questions below, I may have to make more posts on VP for it to make sense. Maybe I will also make some posts on examples of trading using it, and what to do and not to do. Thinking about it, there is more posts to do, I need to show how to trade mean reversion and 'mountain to mountain' tactics. Hope you find this post interesting, as I take a journey of taking back the layers of many traditional strategies, indicators and the deeper world of maths, I am doing this to try help new traders actually get somewhere! So please give me a like and a follow, I want to expand my reach here on tradingview :) All the best ZenFlo.