Is DKNG a bettable buy?As shown on the daily chart DKNG has been on a clean rise this entire year now up 100% over
the first six months. An earnings report is due in about three weeks. Sports betting
may have some seasonability and most of all collegiate and professional sports are in the
off season at this time. No matter, the chart shows a steady rise since the last earnings
( small) beat in an ascending channel between two and three standard deviations above
the mean VWAP anchored one year ago. The MTF RSI indicator of Chris Moody shows both
RSIs at about 70 and so not overbought. Trading volumes are steady and consistent. The
relative volatility indicator shows some increases in the past 9-10 trading days. Overall,
I believe that DKNG is suitable for a long swing trade which I will close just before
earnings.
Vwapbreakout
PSNY a niche EV manufacturer penny stock LONGPSNY has seen a price rise of 30 % in the past month. This specialty EV manufacturer
does not compete with TSLA but only perhaps ARVL also based in the UK.
The 2H chart is quite healthy. Price broke out above the mean VWAP anchored to the beginning
of the year on July 3rd and is now approaching one standard deviation above that. The MTF
RSI shows both the one hour and daily RSIs crossed over 50 the same day. On the MACD
indicator the K and D lines crossed confluent with the horizontal zero line. Signs of bullish
momentum found, I will take a long trade targeting 25% of upside at $6.00 which is the double
top on January 31/ Feb 1 as well as three standard deviations above the mean aVWAP.
BTC 15m Head and Shoulders with neckline on VWAPHead and Shoulders fully formed in 15 min timeframe. Neckline is a VWAP that is being broken and retested at the moment. The target price of the formed pattern is below 28650, which is the beginning of a VPVR gap on the right. Fibonacci 1.618 regression support is at 28300, a target price of the bear flag I posted about yesterday. You can see it in the link below.
The power of the VWAP!As day traders we use the VWAP lots in our trading and have even created custom versions of it which help us manage our trades.
In this video I go over exactly what happened to US30 / Down Jones at the Frankfurt open and the New York open, and by using the VWAP today we could have taken advantage of these moves, both up and down!
Do you use the VWAP? Let us know in the comments below!
Also attached to this video are other educaitonal videos you might find value in!
Regressive VWAP Breakout StrategyStrategy type: Breakout
Ingredients: Price, Volume, Regression
Prerequisite add-ons (free): Regressive VWAP and Strategy Visualizer
Target market: CME:BTC1! or BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
- Long Entry on Close crossing over Regressive VWAP
- Short Entry on Close crossing under Regressive VWAP
- Optional: exit when price retraces to upper band (LX) or lower band (SX)
The key to this breakout strategy is the Regressive VWAP, which weighs Price and Volume with Regression Analysis, making the slope and its bands more responsive, with a degree of mean reversion.
Below is another example, this time CME_MINI:ES1! .
Regressive VWAP Band Buffer Strategy on GC 10RRequired add-on (free): NEXT Regressive VWAP
Target market: COMEX:GC1! 10R chart
Strategy Overview:
- Long when price crosses upper band (green)
- Short when price crosses lower band (red)
- Do not initiate trades in the buffer zone (between the bands) - that is our filter
Setting Alerts:
Here is how to set price (close) crossing band alerts: open a chart, attach NEXT Regressive VWAP, and right-click on chart -> Add Alert. Condition: Symbol, e.g. ES (representing the close) >> Crossing >> Regressive VWAP >> Upper ( or Lower) Band >> Once Per Bar Close.
What Happens in the Next Few Weeks?First off, check out my new VWAP script I wrote that allows you to use multiple VWAPS on multiple time frames at one time (used here with the black lines).
If we keep this momentum, we could see a slight dip to the 2.3 levels to re-test the VWAP as support. Using the Volume Profile, we can see that the Point of Control is around 3.2 which is the first major resistance we have to break through. 3.2 also happens to be the .618 Fib which plays nicely if you are a confluence trader.
Most likely, we will reject 3.2 and bounce in between the .618 and .5 levels for a bit and create another short term accumulation. Then we break 2021 highs and go straight to the moon.
Let me know your thoughts and any other types of analysis you guys are doing.