Vwmacd
Keep Your Eyes on the Volume Behind the MovementThe Key to Success has Been Underneath Your Nose the Entire Time
The key detail that every new trader seems to miss is that volume ultimately controls price movements because the presence of adequate volume validates the price movement. If a price movement fails to be validated by adequate volume, then there is going to be an equal an opposite reaction. There exists a variable that satisfies both quantitative and fundamental analysts. That is the Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) and it is complemented by the Volume Weighted Moving Average (VWMA). When you do not consider the weight of volume in price movements, you are at the mercy of manipulative, high volume whales that seek to sink Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) during times of low volume in the interest of accumulation of the asset.
VWAPs can be treated as the "true" price of an asset on any given resolution, but become less sensitive to change as you zoom out. These ever-shifting values can be treated as floors, in bullish times, and ceilings, during a bear market. You can always expect a "bounce" off of the VWAP in the opposite direction at least once as price attempts to cross over it. These resistance lines are useful to every audience, the soon-to-be long holders who would like to plan a decent entry, the short sellers trying to make a quick buck, and the swing traders who like to make money regardless of who controls the market. One should always keep in mind that price never strays too far from the VWAP before attempting to violently correct itself in the other direction.
There is a measure of movement around the VWAP, which we'll call volatility, and it masks the true price of the asset and its direction. By following the VWAP, you can see accurately whether the asset is going high or low. I'm using these customized bands to look for long entries (in the green or below) and short entries (in the red or above) to make short term profits to be accumulated in my spot balances. Ultimately, by building your position you can ensure a long-term profit but it doesn't mean too much if one simply never takes profit.
Longs can be slept on. Shorts must be monitored. Set a budget, craft a plan, and stick to it. Remember to remove your principal investment at some point to reduce your risk.
Happy Hunting!
- Patch Hemlock
Keep Your Eyes on the Volume Behind the MovementThe Key to Success has Been Underneath Your Nose the Entire Time
The key detail that every new trader seems to miss is that volume ultimately controls price movements because the presence of adequate volume validates the price movement. If a price movement fails to be validated by adequate volume , then there is going to be an equal an opposite reaction. There exists a variable that satisfies both quantitative and fundamental analysts. That is the Volume Weighted Average Price ( VWAP ) and it is complemented by the Volume Weighted Moving Average ( VWMA ). When you do not consider the weight of volume in price movements, you are at the mercy of manipulative, high volume whales that seek to sink Simple Moving Averages ( SMAs ) during times of low volume in the interest of accumulation of the asset.
VWAPs can be treated as the "true" price of an asset on any given resolution, but become less sensitive to change as you zoom out. These ever-shifting values can be treated as floors, in bullish times, and ceilings, during a bear market. You can always expect a "bounce" off of the VWAP in the opposite direction at least once as price attempts to cross over it. These resistance lines are useful to every audience, the soon-to-be long holders who would like to plan a decent entry, the short sellers trying to make a quick buck, and the swing traders who like to make money regardless of who controls the market. One should always keep in mind that price never strays too far from the VWAP before attempting to violently correct itself in the other direction.
There is a measure of movement around the VWAP , which we'll call volatility , and it masks the true price of the asset and its direction. By following the VWAP , you can see accurately whether the asset is going high or low. I'm using these customized bands to look for long entries (in the green or below) and short entries (in the red or above) to make short term profits to be accumulated in my spot balances. Ultimately, by building your position you can ensure a long-term profit but it doesn't mean too much if one simply never takes profit.
Longs can be slept on. Shorts must be monitored. Set a budget, craft a plan, and stick to it. Remember to remove your principal investment at some point to reduce your risk.
In a bull market, buy at the monthly VWAP (Purple Line) and in a bear market, sell there.
Happy Hunting!
- Patch Hemlock
GAMEUSD might be rally ready?Here we have GAMEUSD-monthly with two indicators (Kalman and VWMACD).
GameCredits has been operating since 2014, so I think it might get back on track and go back to its indicated Kalman and VWMACD value within 6 months (2020 March-ish).
So I am considering to invest into GAME -- expecting an 80% 1 year ROI. Stop-sell set at around -20%-ish.
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This is NOT a trading advise, just my biased idea...(Use stop-sell, always calculate risk and try to avoid FOMO and learn about the pitfals of Time Series Forecasting)
Continuation trade short 5/16/2019I managed to trade this short twice already and should still be in this trade. There is not much volume right now on the pair but thats partly why I like it. Less manipulated.
This is a continuation of analysis done two weeks ago and this week. Re entering short on current retrace up.
What do you think about CADCHF? Any fundamental reasons I am wrong or right? Lemme know