Check out the VIX, just landed on the 20 level. I think is going to retest t he 30 level soon. Tomorrow Core PPI numbers are out. This could be the trigger. You can buy calls of VXX or UVXY if you want to play this one. I have my shorts well loaded. Don't need options.
good eve' over the last 4 weeks the es1! has seen a bit of a shakeout which has scared a lot of people out of the market. whenever these things happen, i always wonder what it is that they're afraid of? --- the es1! completed 5 waves up on a weekly timeframe from the 2023 low which we predicted, to the 2024 top which we did not pinpoint this time around. i'm...
Finally got the reversal I've been looking for in $UVXY. My entry was at $23 and I think we have a large move ahead of us. If we look at the chart, we have our first green flat bottomed Heikin Ashi candle. Normally with a move like today's people are exiting puts and shorting UVXY, but I think this move is just starting and vol is about to become unpinned. Over...
TVC:VIX analysis Weekly the VIX showed a doji last week. This showed a sign of possible of reversal. However, it has sputtered this week. Daily shows that weakness a bit better. We got the bump we expected but IMO the VIX EVENTUALLY, later in the year, falters. SP:SPX looks kind of dazed as well. CBOE:VXN AMEX:VXX
If you've been following me for a while, you know that I've been warning of a crash for some period of time, and now I think we're within weeks of that playing out. I've largely been bullish for the past year, with periods where I thought things might fall, but now all of my upside targets for BTC have been hit (minus GETTEX:54K which is still possible) and...
50 DMA should easily cross the 200 DMA if Iran will retaliate and it looks like they are set to do so. Can't stand politics, but we have to respect the pillars in order: Macro, Fundamental and finally Technicals,
***THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE*** Bullish Divergence on VXX and appears to be bottoming out, couple this with the BEARISH divergence on SPY daily chart (since December 13th-14th 2023) and FED's BTFP ending March 11th, Im willing to take the risk and see where this goes. Will post an update come mid march.
In line with the earlier posts about SG10Y and Combined US indices, the VXX is showing similar spiking potential. Observable with bullish divergence of MACD and VolDiv and a bottoming out of the VXX with a strong bounce off support
After the outside day formed by TVC:DJI , it pumped a bit and regained most of what was lost in that 500pt loss. 1Hr chart sows it trading back above the moving avgs (intraday). TVC:RUT is the only index that has traded ABOVE its recent highs. TVC:VIX is struggling to close above a small resistance area, 14. #stocks
Not liking what I am seeing here in reference to the $VIX. Let's see how we close today but this roar sounds stronger than the previous one we had not long ago. That might have been the practice, test. #stocks have performed well and are due for some sort of "rest", consolidation. 1Hr CBOE:SPX showing weakness with a bearish crossover. 4Hr seems okay, for...
Volatility looks like it's forming an inverse head and shoulders, which is telling me that if price is to hold at the lower resistances, it should setup for a great long term buy and also start a more violent selloff in the S&P. I'd play this through options. If price holds that $20-21 region, then I think it's a good time to buy March 2024 calls or Sep 2024...
Over the last couple of days, the previous posts have been showing a number of indications from various perspectives about a financial market breakdown, and here we have an essential heads up... VOLATILTIY. I use the VXX ETN for the metrics it provides, albeit its idiosyncrasies. August into September, a breakdown into a lower range indicated that a RISK-ON...
This is the VXX (VIX ETN) and can be used as an indicative heads up to the equity market volatility. We are now at a rather unique point where the rubber band has been stretched so far, and at a point where you can just feel the tremor of it about to snap… The daily chart of the VXX has been falling over the months, and in recent weeks, there is a long term MACD...
I know everyone thinks volatility is dead because it largely hasn't moved for the past year, however, I think that could be changing in the near future. The market has largely felt similar to how it did before the covid drop. People ignoring the risks right in front of them and blindly thinking the market will continue up. The chart is telling me it might be...
the last time TVC:VIX was at in the 14 range was June 28 2021 which is now support.
TVC:VIX May 1st low 15.52 June 1st low 15.53 down over 11% today. This is new money coming into the market from retail investors. The institutional banks and hedgefunds are selling into this rise.
Observable for weeks now, and recently, the divergence is much more pronounced. What I am referring to are that the equity markets appear to be more and more bullish, breaking out of trendlines; while the leading indicators (TIP, TLT, JNK and inversely VXX) show an imminent deterioration, about to breakdown of trendlines. The combined US equity markets and...