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VXX

VIX - (VXX) Settles tomorrow - VXZ @ 96% TomorrowUnfortunately, although the Spread has been cut in half, there will remain the usual Gap Fill to complete as VIX INDEX (Cash/Spot) will square Price at the end of tomorrow's Session. VXX will equal the VIX Index. _________________________________________________________ Wednesday's will show, surprise, another Gap on the Continuous Contract. The Gap will be at the 4 PM EST Closing Square Price. _________________________________________________________ UVXY Fans will not be amused once again. As the UVXY will be front-loaded in new Decay and perhaps new Lows around 13.89, should 14.46 let go. This is why the UVXY spends the majority of its time going South. Unless, of course, there is an Event, then... Katy Bar the Doors. Katy is a known Degenerate. _________________________________________________________ Time to trade the VX Complex passed last week, a Retracement did not develop, although by appearances - it did appear Probable. Wall Street taketh away. The One time a Month the Vix can go Vertical came and went. _________________________________________________________ Where does this leave us? Where else, defensive with a healthy dose of patience and Cash. _________________________________________________________ On a Positive note - An accident is very close. China's got Probs, Bigguns. Actually the "positive" would be simply a gain in Position Capital. Positive... yeah, naw. Not at all as, bad arrangements - Este es Muy Mal por Hente in Todo. _________________________________________________________ Probability favors a consolidation, but Tuesday has been ALGO Grinder day for months on end, so we shall see how Yields behave at 8 AM EST tomorrow, prior to placing any Degenerate Bets @ the Flamingo. _________________________________________________________ Today behaved as if Price is Consolidating. For What, Magic 8 Ball suggested - "Ask again later"
CBOE:VX1!
by HK_L61
15
VXX - Cow TippingCattle Pens at th4 StockYards are FULL of BULLs. The Dippers are perplexed, what with all the Tweets from the FED on deck today. Jerry and the Kids continue to CowBell their way to another Prop. Of the 5 FOMC Members Bullhorning Today, the GOOD Fed / BAD Fed undertow is in Trade. _________________________________________ Step 1: Divorce Labor from Juice Step 2: Divorce Rates from Taper Step 3: Look over here, Taper... ah, well it's... Step 4: Keep DC off the Pedal, Choke Hold Step 5: Prop Up Money Markets Step 6: Confuse 007s Step 7: Return to Step 1 _________________________________________ It'll be OK... psst - BUY Protection xoxo - Jerry
AMEX:VXXShort
by HK_L61
9
VIX - Day 190 Curve Contango / VXX / VVIX / UVXYThe VIX Roll Yield was 398 Ticks of Spread on Settlement. It has since come into 336 Ticks VX1/M1 over Spot. The Curve has remained in Contango for the second-longest period since the creation of the Volatility Complex in 2004. 273 Days remains the prior longest Contango Duration. ___________________________________________________ Roll Yield close over 20%, the mean is ~ 8.55%. More than 2X the average. This implies the continuation of the current period of sustained lower Volatility. Intra-Day, compression brought the M1/M2 into Backwardation a few weeks back, on Close, it traded back to Contango. ___________________________________________________ Traders are clearly Trend following, comfortable with the VOL Crush as Vol of Vol (VVIX) traded through 105 tp 102.36. VVIX traded to 100.06 on October 21st during the 15:00 Hourly Bar. The Spread Gap to close for the Continuous Contract has a great deal or room to resolve. 2021 the VX Curve Trend has been Lower, as it was from the ATH made in 2020. A Daily Downtrend with a clearly defined Price Objective @ 12.25. ___________________________________________________ Chasing WaterFalls has paid in the VX Curve as Sellers have seen a continual decline, with few interruptions. ___________________________________________________ The VXX (Constant Rolling 30 Day Maturity) is making new lows. Price will again on NYSE OPEN - IF the Globex Price Levels hold from the O/N Ramp and Camp. 20.75 will be exceeded to the downside. Uber Kink - UVXY - has made another All Time Low @ 15.70 while continuing to Ride the downward slopping Lower Weekly Trend Line. There are a great many "This is It~! (TII) moments in the 1/5X levered UVXY. It has its teeth pulled long ago when the 2X was cut by 33% to current levels of 30 Day - All in Positions on VX which has been systematically Crushed. Positioning for the Big Lick there has been met with "Capital Relief"... ___________________________________________________ For now, AND this is subject to change... Wall Street has the VX complex well contained. How much longer will it last? It will depend, of course, on how the next two weeks unfold through the Meat of EPS. We have the FED and further Taper Talk into early November ___________________________________________________ The VX Complex moves "Out of Balance" - only to be brought back into "Balance" once everyone has begun Whale Watching Portside. Starboard list is approaching. ___________________________________________________ There are a number of concerns building within the Equity Complex, how long will they require to resolve... will depend on how carefully worded Companies reporting temper their "Inflation Warnings."
CBOE:VX1!
by HK_L61
2
VXX Bearish inclined Naked Calls 15 Oct Expiry (Oct Track 2)This is my Track 2 trade that takes up 33% of my fund (excluding margin allowance) This trade currently is aligned to the greater market direction which is bullish/ranging. There also seems to be some positiveness in the reports with inflation cooling and businesses still retaining their workforce despite the Delta virus impact. Have to keep an eye on the market so that I can react accordingly as could shift out of this ranging stance Sold 55 CA;;S @ 1.01 Strike 40 % to Strike is 33.5% from entry ATR percentile is low, but it seems like all stocks this monthly have a low ATR A% Max Gain: est $5555 Total BP Block: 70K
AMEX:VXX
by Ronin_trader
The beginning has already startedThis isn't financial advice because i'm not a licensed financial advisor. I think we can all feel the fishiness thats been in the air like a sewage spill into the ocean. I'm confident that we've seen the top of 4945.50 and for now theres no turning back. Nothing is transitory in the world that we have the pleasure of inhabiting in the era that we are at. US CPI is still charging forward, shortages still a thing, so many people quit their jobs in the month of August and there is no reporting on it because everyone is focused on what been gained.. which is far below estimates. World wide economy is in shambles, China is making it seem like they have everything contained, The US is making it seem like everything is contained when in actuality nothing is contained and it's all spewing out. Take this post with a bearish take if you will because I think things through with logic and I don't know how anyone can look at conditions as they are (world wide) with logic and think that things will get better. Maybe we rally into ATH and I'm completely wrong. In a world of "investing" theres no one thats 100% right every time. In reality to be a good "investor" it's knowing how to cut your losses and being right at least 50% of the time and letting your gainers run for the hills. The gamma skew in the call VS puts is exactly where it needs to be to see a major downside, when everything is going up and theres nothing to support that but an endless piggybank, sooner or later the pretending ends and theres a mass of disappointment. Monthly RSI just popped back above 75, weekly RSI is ~55 range so there is massive potential for further downside, the question in my mind is what will be the "narrative" to get the pyramid to crumble. Remember, the hedgehog knows one big thing and the fox knows many different things. Are you a fox or a hedgehog? That's all folks
CME_MINI:ES1!
by moonman777