VYNE Biotech Post Earnings VYNE had a favorable earnings report last week. Fundamentally, analysts predict ( linked)
approximately a doubling of the shart price in the next year. Like many low share priced
biotechnology stocks the price is based on perceived future earnings which can be affected
by favorable FDA process, or well-received research at industry conferences and changing
financials within the company. In general, they have a low beta meaning these stocks are not
general market responsive and run on their own present or future merits.
On the 15-minute chart VYNE was trending down into earnings and the pivoted with a reversal
into the present. The Luxalgo AI "Echo indicator" predicts an upside of 20% in the next two
days before a consolidation period. The "Trendflex" indicator has flipped to postiive and green.
I will take this long trade with a stop loss of $0.15 per share and target of $9.00 over two days
for a 20% ROI and a R:R of 0.15 risk / $ 1.50 reward for a 10:1> Iwill only take biotechology
trades long with a high R:R due to the inheret risk level.
VYNE
My long-term goal on VYNE Since VYNE Therapeutics has enough cash (148m) for 2021 and even into 2022 (possible to turn profitable in 2021), they have a stable cash burn rate. Indicates their financials are strong.
Break-even reaches 8500 prescriptions a week / 25 million quarter.
Furthermore, with two approved FDA drugs commercialized (AMZEEQ and ZILXI covered by three major PBMS, coverage ahead of schedule ) were AMZEEQ's regular price ($200-$250) will kick in by Q2 and Q3 (due to covid-19). According to today's knowledge, there is no insider selling—instead, insiders buy-in (Perceptive, Blackrock, own BOD, and management team buy).
On-going product pipeline:
FMX114 recently announced a Multi-modal approach, and the intention is to diversify the pipeline. Phase 2 is covered by the budget.
FCD105 was going through Phase 2A. FCD Approval expected End 2023/beginning 2024, and phase 3 will start end of this year. Budget coverage is expected.
Since the reverse split - lowered float from 252 million to 51 million shares outstanding.
VYNE has seven buy ratings with an average target of $20,86, a high target of $40 / a low target of $12.
I am confident we will see a closer trading price near $20 rather than $10 EOY 21.
This is not financial advice.
My long term thougt of VYNEI recently discovered VYNE - Not sure how, but what made me interested in investing in this stock was their potential to help individuals with severe acne, and based on the technical aspect of bottom formed curve and "break out" from its consolidation period, I felt it was a good thought to get into this company. It might actually become my future pension fund. However, you shall never fall in love with a stock.
The technical aspect appears like vyne has entered a rising price channel towards $3.75 and $4.98. Yet, it much depends on what momentum we are going to have. A fallback to $2.60 is much possible, even $1.97.
I am in for the long run - I will add and strengthening my position once I have a chance to do so. In 2-3 years, I have high hopes to see at least $11.80.
/Fluff
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Disclaimer: This is my thoughts and not a recommendation to buy/sell the mentioned stock. Do your own DD analysis. I am not a professional stock trader.