Could ETH Be Nearing a Bottom with "Blood in the Streets"?ETH could be nearing a bottom. The selling has been brutal. ETH has sliced through its 200 SMA on higher time frames, i.e., the weekly chart.
In the coming days or weeks, if COINBASE:ETHUSD hits 875 approximately where the orange circle appears on the chart, the second leg of the decline will be proportional and 100% of the first leg of the decline in dollar terms.
This is a multi-month trade idea, attempting to catch a multi-month trading low in ETH. The target is shown above at 2869 , a 50% retracement of the entire decline from the November 2021 high at 4867. This is a multi-month idea.
However, do not try to catch a falling knife without a stop. A tight stop should be used to keep risk / reward acceptable and prudent. A stop could be placed at 800, or at -10%, or wherever a person's risk tolerance is.
If ETH closes below 750 where substantial support seems to lie, this trade is invalid , and the point of invalidity has been reached. This is where discipline is key for traders—knowing when to cut losses short is vital to survive. (Long-term investors who don't mind holding with a 50% loss maybe have a different approach, with fundamental crypto arguments to support their investment.)
Do your own due diligence, risk of loss is high with crypto, so understand the risks in light of your personal situation. And read the disclaimer below please.
W-bottom
Bitcoin capitulation 2022Since we are experiencing many market factors like high inflation and recession fears along with Fed rate hikes for 2022 and also the overwhelming defi platforms going insolvent this year the price of Bitcoin may not be at its bottom point yet. This is actually my first ever bear chart analyses for the next 6 months. It is apparent that the expanding cycle theory may no longer have an effect for this year. Unfortunately, we are faced with too many negatives for the 2022 bull peak for Bitcoin. Now we have to sit tight and see when we will come out of this bearish zone and then start thinking about the next bull. We broke the 2017 Bitcoin high of $19800 when we pierced down to the $17K level. The estimated bottom for Bitocin in this bear could go as low as $10k according to Garreth Soloway, a well known and highly respected charting expert.
1INCHUSDT is testing the resistancesThe price bounced on the weekly support on 0.54$ and after the it created a nice bullish impulse until the 4h resistance and daily dynamic resistance.
The price needs to create a new breakout from here in order to retest the daily resistance on 0.9$.
How to approach it?
IF the price is going to flip the current resistance and retest as new support, According to Plancton's strategy , we can set a nice order
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Keep in mind.
🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
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Follow the Shrimp 🦐
Bitcoin... VRVP levels are marked! It's really starting to feel like we put our bottom in... As you can see on my chart, $BTC looks like it has found some kind of steady support
on the Alligator Trend Indicator. Now, this does not by any means signify that we are out of the woods yet. Bitcoin still has a few major hurdles to overcome.
One thing that new traders should understand is support & resistance. (I know, you're already thinking... "But D, I do understand support & resistance.") I mean understanding how 50k, 40k, 30k & even 20k were all price areas where $BTC became less volatile & hung around these prices for a while. The longer Bitcoin or any tradable asset hovers around the same price area, being range-bound for so long. This builds up visual range volume profile aka VRPR; which is the amount of volume being traded at different prices. unlike traditional volume where each candle presents how much volume there was between specific candles open & close. The VPVR measures horizontally. The more you zoom in or out, the more the VPVR will change; and that's because it is measuring the amount of volume compared to the number of candles shown on your chart at any given time. When you zoom out on a high timeframe like the daily chart (displaying price action spanning months/years in the past)You will see the VRVP change drastically and show high volume correlating with prices where the most trading occurred. The VRVP is a very powerful indicator that shows volume as support & resistance. hope you're sticking with me here... Since Bitcoin didn't come crashing down from 69 k to 17.5k within just a few short days or weeks. This created very strong support & resistance levels. Now we all know that when we break through a support level, it then becomes resistance & vice versa. Bitcoin held pretty strong at different price areas and this makes it that much harder to now break these resistance levels and confirm them into support. There is a lot of bullish signals, but we can't let that cloud our judgment. Even though it sucks, we have to realize the possible bearish outcomes in order to give us a more balanced & realistic idea rather than constantly assuming everything is always going to go up. We could test a resistance level and get rejected. If this does happen, I will be making sure that I'm live with my students who survived the bear market... because I believe if we do get a push up to the 23k area & get rejected...
That we will 1st off, have the great shorting opportunity & can make some good money; a 2nd... I believe that would be our final push down, $BTC will capitulate and we will start the beginning phase of the next bull run! I already explained how and why I believe we're a lot closer to a reversal than some analysts may think & that's because I think the bull run ended & the bear run began back on April 14th, 2021, not November 10th.
BOTTOM IS CLOSE ON BTC!!!In this video i am explaining where i think we are going to go from here and also i'm looking at the 4 hourly, daily, weekly and monthly chart, as well i am looking at inflation rate chart and DXY .
This is my third video and i hope you'll like it. Also i'm sorry for my speaking mistakes, I'm trying to improve my english.
I forgot to mention that 300 weekly ma is also at the bottom of my monthly channel and also i forgot to mention that i am still in my short position from the top of the range at 32400k.
What do you think about my second third video and analysis ?
Feel free to leave a comment.
If you like my ideas please follow me and like because you can always find something interesting on my profile, i am new to Treadingview but i have 6 years expirience in trading.
DON'T SELL YOUR CRYPTO
BTC TO THE MOON!!!
LTCUSDT compressionA breakout opportunity is forming on LTCUSDT.
The pair is currently consolidating after the recent downtrend that formed several tops and offered multiple selling opportunities. Price movements are increasingly compressed and will eventually break. The same compression is building in the RSI Exhaustion indicator at the bottom.
As of now, the breakout could be either to the upside (trend reversal) or to the downside (trend continuation) so let's just wait and see when the breakout comes.
Remember to do your analysis, be patient and always look for confirmation from the indicators.
BOTTOM of Bitcoin is probably inHi everyone,
I closed all my bitcoin shorts yesterday around 18k usd per btc since my macro targets have all been hit. Meaning that I am bullish from now on.
The reason for closing all shorts is as follows:
- max 1.618 reached if in the case of expanded flat;
- max 1.382 reached if in case of wxy for a full 2 or full 4 correction;
- trend line channel hit from wave 1 to 3 spread from 2;
- bullish hidden divergence on the 3D RSI;
- 0.786 fib hit considering it might even be a full 1-2 correction (very bullish);
- 660 sma hit (best place to buy);
- macro pi cycle low with my own tweaks has shown up (meaning a bottom is probably in);
All of these signals, give me a reasonable estimation that we will at least bounce back to the 30-35k area. My personal target will be 78k usd, it is the wave 1 extension from the probable 4 and also the median channel of the trend line channel.
Yes, we might get lower, perhaps even 14.5k usd, but since all my macro criteria to buy btc got met, I need to stick to my plan. I bought btc again long term from 18,5k usd. I was scared to sell at 65k usd and now I am scared to buy at 18,5k usd. But in trading, we need to follow the trading plan, not our emotions.
As allways this is no financial advice, stay stafe and trade well.
btc | ew analyse | called it ?so if u followed me till now , on my social media or here on tradingview , u allready know i called this "bottom " , what we need to see to confirm a bullish trend? we need this 5 waves to complete like what you see in the chart , if we do that we will have an ABC for wave 2 and blast for wave 3
THINK about market cycles...
Year Bitcoin Price ($) Change ($) Year-over-year (%)
2022 47,743 18,351.22 62.44
2021 29,391.78 22,203.31 308.87
2020 7,188.46 3,318.99 85.77
2019 3,869.47 -9,542.97 -71.15
2018 13,412.44 12,414.75 1,244.35
2017 997.69 563.23 129.64
2016 434.46 120.54 38.40
2015 313.92 -456.51 -59.25
2014 770.44 757.13 5,690.96
2013 13.30 8.04 152.56
2012 5.27 4.97 1,655.90
2011 0.30 0.21 249.65
2010 0.09 0 0
BITCOIN is looking prepped and ready for a relief rally! Bitcoin is looking prepped and ready for a relief rally after the 0.75bps rate hike last week.
I expect a test of 200ema on the weekly, which coincides with 50ema (green) on the daily. This is where both sides of the market need the price to go in order to have a good idea of what to side to play next. Bears will be looking for rejections at these levels, and bulls will be looking for a continuation of the reversal upside.
All of the lines you can see are a mix of Fibonacci Speed Resistance fans, micro and macro trend.
Enjoy!
Crypto Market Bottom based on total market capMarkets tend to hunt liquidity and so there are often gaps that need to be filled before the market moves on.
In summer 2021 the market went back to fill the gap shown as "A". We printed many daily candles in there, exhausting selling pressure. We found a bottom and moved on.
On the way down area A is considered "exhausted" therefore the market has no interest to debate again over the same area. Bulls won, they took us to 3T, they failed to go higher and so their reign was over.
This is why our stay in area A on the way down was short-lived.
It's summer 2022 and the market has finally reached contested area "B".
Bulls and Bears will once again fight for this area.
The winner will show us the way! (If sellers are exhausted in this area, we have our the market cycle bottom)
Bottom will probably found on the 300 day MA Looking for the bottom, the 300-Day Moving Average shows that:
- we've just crossed into the lower half; the bears are in control BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
- a significant bounce upwards would be a great reversal (28 June)
- a confirmation would be crossing the MA in BULL Territory (4 July)
Hold on, it's going to be a bumpy road! =)
Greets
RACA - USDT ( why not ? )just buy total amount $200 without stoplose plan !! maybe you can rich or lose xD
this my plan for RACA , buy buy buy !!!!
Is NIFTY50 in correction or crash mode?Update on last 4 NIFTY Predictions : 4/4 Correct with precise targets.
EMA150 is very curious.
In the 4 drawdowns of bear markets, it has touched when it was a crash
It bounced off from around 25% when it was just a correction
Sep 2022 - Looks like make or break. Coincidentally US Recession is more or less confirmed that month since June quarter GDP data is out. (2 Q -ve GDP is Recession)
EMA200 and EMA100 were conclusively broken or untouched at monthly for me to make any assumptions.
⚠️⚠️ ✔️ OR ❌️ ? Is it the bottom for #bitcoin? ⚠️⚠️Building on my previous $BTC logarithmic regression chart, there has now been an almost perfect bounce off of the yellow, dotted, inversion-curve line. This coincides with daily, weekly and monthly RSI's being at extremely oversold levels with the 4hr RSI moving down into oversold territory. Personally, all my limit orders were hit perfectly so it seems I may have at least bought "A" bottom here. This abrupt price drop also has now created a broadening edge pattern, which typically will break to the upside when formed at the bottom of a downtrend. All of these confluences may just spell the final bottom price for $BTC in the short term and validate my "inversion-curve" theory. Of course this can still be invalidated by a close below the inversion-curve line. If that occurs, I would still believe an inversion could be possible, but over a much longer time period. In that scenario, my target range for a price bottom would be between $10,770 & $12,694.
#btcinversion #btcbottom
*These are my personal opinions, based on chat data. This is not financial advice.*
BTC is SPX 3X, bottom of BTC is 16.7k! WMA300 BTC = WMA 200 SPXSPX went down by 24% from top
BTC by 72% from top,
I estimate SPX go down by another 4%, this touches WMA 200, where since 2009 it found support.
This will translate to another 12% drop for Bitcoin, bringing the possible bottom at around 16.7k, which ironically also translates to 200 WMA for SPX and WMA 300 for BTC, which is also around 16.7k!
FANTOM the last chance (bottom) and the range market 📖🚀Hello 🐋
Based on the chart, the price is close to the major support (bottom) or better to say the previous zone that started its amazing pump to the upside ✔️
we
expect to see gain besides the range market is acceptable scenario too 📖💡🚀
and
if the price break the rang area to the upside, we will see more gain 🚀
Please, feel free to share your point of view, write it in the comments below, thanks 🐋