W-m-pattern
HG1! One word - CLEAN!COMEX:HG1! One word - CLEAN!
What a beautiful chart for copper! Technically it's ever so clean, when it comes to set ups like this - Be careful of fake breaks.
Pattern - Triangle/Pennant
Highs: 4.2100
Lows: 3.8255
A break of highs I expect: 4.3550 & 4.5570. However, a break of the lows I expect: 3.6740 & 3.5040 and perhaps lower!
Currently, as long as we within this channel and within these ranges... until break either side!
Have a great week ahead & it's a long weekend for some of us!
🔆 Trade Journal 🔆
RRC (Long) - Strong outperformance within the energy sectorFundamentals
The fundamentals are obviously strong after the last year and a half
The revenue and profits skyrocketed as the price of oil went up. All the measures possible are flashing green, whether its EPS growth, ROE, ROA, debt-to-equity etc.
Valuation is still low , just like the wider energy market, due to ESG reasons and just a general unwillingness to participate in the oil industry
The recession fears are bringing estimates of most measures significantly lower but these aspects have already been accounted for in the price
I also believe that after the outperformance of the growth part of the market, flows will start circling back from growth into parts of value (energy)
Technicals
This trade is however more about the technicals than fundamentals
The thing that attracted me the most to this chart is the outperformance of RRC (bottom of the daily chart) relative to the energy sector, which has been struggling as of late. Despite the weakness in energy and oil, RRC has been accumulating and building a base
The base was finished after stellar earnings, and is currently on the brink of a breakout
That would also complete a massive bull flag on a weekly chart
All your typical indicators are also flashing a buy, while analysts are increasing their price targets
Trade
As I already mentioned, we are currently on the brink of breaking higher through a crucial resistance level
The stock is currently consolidating and I am waiting for a signal that the price is about to burst higher, where I would happily buy
Caveats include mainly a breakdown in the price of oil and fake breakout higher; definitely watch out for these
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🔥 FTM Fell Through Support: More Selling ComingIn my last FTM analysis I talked about the potential Pennant pattern that FTM was trading in. After founding temporary support at the bottom of the wedge, BTC continued trading bearish and dragged FTM down with it.
As a result, FTM has fallen through the support and is currently looking bearish in the near-term.
Before any chance on a reversal, I think we have to go further down. Blue areas are my targets for the next couple of weeks.
🔥 Litecoin Bull-Flag Break OutLTC has been on a massive move over the last couple of weeks, arguably in anticipation of the LTC halving.
After a week of sideways movement, LTC has finally broken out of the bull-flag pattern and is resuming upwards.
First target at the most recent local top, second target at 100.
🔥 Bitcoin Slow Stochastic Signaling Start Of New Bull RunIn order to construct the slow stochastic I changed the parameters to 100/10/5, this creates a slower stochastic which is better suited to detect long-term shifts in trends.
In all of Bitcoin's history, this slow stochastic has crossed the 30-line from below only 4 times. The previous 3 times all signaled the start of a new bull-run.
Three weeks ago, we had another cross from below. Seeing that the market often rhymes, I'd like to think that the bottom is in and that we're likely to go up from here.
Naturally, it's possible to see deviations (like the 2020 Covid dump), but I deem it highly likely that the bottom is in and that as new bull-run has started.
Share your thoughts🙏
🔥 FTM Pennant Pattern Confirmed: Temporary Bottom Set?After a huge move at the start of the year, FTM has been consolidating inside this pennant pattern for around 4 months. FTM has been quite volatile both downwards and upwards, so there's a decent probability for the price to move back up after a month of selling.
I'm anticipating a move towards the top resistance of the pattern, which is a nice ~25% move. In the short-term, 0.43 is a lower-risk target.
Over the long-term, this pattern will classically break out bullish. However, this will all depend on BTC and the stock markets. Time will tell.
🔥 LINK Bullish Channel ReversalLINK has been trading inside this bullish channel for nearly half a year now. The price has found support during last weeks' sell-off and seems to be reversing today.
Since there's still some uncertainty in the market whether we go up or down, I'll keep my targets close, see blue lines.
🔥 BNB Rising Wedge: Bearish Break Out Coming?BNB has been trading inside this rising wedge pattern for several months now. Rising wedges are classically bearish reversal patterns, so that's the direction that we're going to look.
BTC appears to be weak. If this weakness continues, I'm expecting a bearish break out of BNB in the near future. In case we get a bullish CPI reaction today, BNB might see a reversal and move back up towards the resistance of the pattern.
Be patient for the break out. Blue area is the target.
AGIX USDT Projections Next 2 Years Hi everyone this is my AGIX USDT review for the next 2 years. I believe that the value will arrive in the region of the "best place to buy" and if there is volume, the price could reverse to return to the highest resistance and then targets 1 and 2.
PS:
Remember this is just a study using triangles and volume. I have no intention of suggesting any trade to you. Ok? Make your decisions and god bless you.
Triangles and volume Don't Lie - Bitcoin ProjectionThis is my Bitcoin projection until May 2025 (1 year after the Halving), where it should find the top of the movement traced from the beginning.
This projection is a study that contemplates targets based on triangle patterns that mirror from 2 tops and the last bottom. Time will tell if the pattern will repeat itself, but I understand that the statistical chance is in favor of the longs that will keep the Bitcoins in their wallets. In addition, the Fibonacci projections and High Support Volume corroborate the patterns of the triangles drawn. Success for those who act wisely!
NOTE: This is just a study and I don't intend to tell you what to do and how to do it. Make your decisions, because the consequences are yours.
🔥 Ethereum Short-Term Bullish Channel: Things Look GoodETH has been trading inside this bullish channel for a couple of day now, helped by the regional banking sector taking big losses.
For now, I'm looking at a continuation of the pattern with 1940 as the first target.
With some help from the stock market we can break out on the bullish side later today. Keep in mind that we're just a couple of days after the FOMC interest rate decision, so things can get volatile.
A bearish break out would definitely be cause for short-term concern, think 1810.
BTC 1W hidden Head and Shoulders pattern shown on 2h Looking at the weekly chart, I noticed a clear H&S pattern on VWAP. VWAP is an intraday indicator, but it can show a pattern in larger frames, like now.
I was trying to find a way to draw and measure it clearly on commonly used timeframes, but it is most apparent on a 2h chart.
As you can see on VPVR on the right, the neckline is below the 27100 resistance, and if it breaks it, there is a gap down to 25100. But the full potential of the pattern targets 23100.
On my trend wave indicator, the weekly trend reached a local top on the 17th and turned bearish at the +60 line. Right now, it is right above the +50 line.
That area often acts as support and resistance. And here on 2h, the trend is reversing right above the zero line, which is also strong support.
Still, since this timeframe is not usual, this could also mean that trend is being rejected from it.
The chart is bearish. Volume is low.
But the price is what it is. Trade with the trend. But it doesn't hurt to be prepared. Right?
🔥 One Year To Bitcoin Halving: How Will The Market Perform?The fourth Bitcoin halving is scheduled to occur around a year from now. Historically, Bitcoin halvings have always preceeded a major bullish impulse which led to massive returns on both Bitcoin and altcoins.
We all know how crypto tends to perform after halvings, but how does BTC perform in the year prior to the halving?
We don't have a lot of datapoints, but from the prior three halving events we can draw a couple of conclusions:
- The amount of upsides tends to diminish over time. The upside in the year prior to the first halving was much higher when compare to the upside of the year prior to the third halving.
- There seems to be a lot of sideways / bearish periods, especially in the prior two halvings.
Although this analysis is not really usable for day-to-day trading, it can give us an impression of what we can expect; mainly bullish, with a lot of drops in between. Keep in mind that the year before
the third halving saw a huge drop during the corona crash. Arguably, we would've ended up much higher if that didn't happen.
Furthermore, we're currently in a macro environment that we've never seen in Bitcoins life before, so take this analysis with a grain of salt.