Learn The Most Accurate Price Action Pattern
Hey traders, We must admit that it is phenomenally difficult to become a consistently profitable trader.
This journey requires years of practicing and training, constant losses, and nervous breakdowns.
If you are a struggling trader, if you are still looking for your way to succeed in this game, here is the formula that will help you to chase consistent profits.
💰Consistent profits = 📝Trading Strategy + 🤬Emotions + 📈Market Sentiment
Let's discuss each element separately.
📝Trading Strategy:
To be in profit in a long run requires an understanding of what do you actually trade.
You must have strict and objective entry conditions.
You must rely on the objective & verifiable rules for the execution of market analysis.
You must have a plan to follow.
A plan that is backtested and proved its efficiency.
🤬Emotions:
Even the best trading plan, the most accurate trading strategy can be easily beaten by emotions.
Emotional decisions such as revenge trading and early position close
can easily blow the account of any size in a blink of an eye.
The most disappointing thing to note right here is the fact that you can be taught how to execute technical analysis but you can not be taught to control your emotions.
Your main enemy here is yourself and being in a constant battle with your greed and fear it is very easy to go broke.
Only by being humble, disciplined and patient, you can successfully apply a trading strategy.
📈Market Sentiment:
Mastering your emotions and having studied a trading strategy, it looks like it is finally the time to make money.
However, occasionally the market tends to be irrational.
Being chaotic and unpredictable, sometimes the market neglects every technical and fundamental rule.
Crisis, euphoria: the reasons can be different.
The fact is that such things happen.
And it is your duty to learn to deal with unfavorable market conditions.
💰To become a consistently profitable trader, you must become the master of these three elements.
Only then the doors to freedom and independence will be opened to you.
Let me know, traders, what do you want to learn in the next educational post?
W-patterns
🌀Golden Cross And Death Cross Patterns Explained🌀
💱Today, we're talking about the exciting world of technical analysis, specifically the golden cross and death cross patterns.
💱So, what exactly are these patterns? Well, let me break it down for you. The golden cross pattern is a bullish signal in which a shorter-term moving average rises above a longer-term moving average. On the other hand, the death cross is a bearish signal in which a shorter-term moving average falls below a longer-term moving average. Simply put, the golden cross is a sign that the stock is on an upward trend, while the death cross indicates a downward trend.
💱Now, I can hear some of you thinking, "Why are we talking about crosses? Shouldn't we be discussing actual trends and data?" And I get it, the terminology can be a bit confusing. But the reason these patterns are so important is that they can give you an early indication of an approaching trend.
💱For example, let's say you're a savvy investor on the hunt for the next big thing. You spot a stock that's been on the decline for months, but suddenly, the shorter-term moving average crosses above the longer-term moving average, creating a golden cross. This could be a good sign that the stock is about to turn around and start heading upwards.
💱On the flip side, if you're already invested in a stock that's been doing well, but suddenly a death cross appears, it could be a sign to cut your losses and sell before the stock drops further.
💱Now, don't get me wrong, these patterns aren't foolproof. There are plenty of instances where a golden cross or death cross doesn't accurately predict a trend. But it's still a valuable tool to have in your toolbox when it comes to analyzing the markets.
💱So, whether you're a seasoned investor or just dipping your toes into the world of stocks, keep an eye out for those golden and death crosses. They may just give you the edge you need to make informed trading decisions. Happy investing!
I Hope you guys learned something new today✅
Wish you all Best Of Luck👍
😇And may the odds be always in your favor😇
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ETHUSD Pattern recognition of probabilitiesSee descriptions on the Chart.
This is a neutral analysis of simply where we have recently been and patterns that where formed, and where price may follow and how we get there over the next couple weeks as we look at the 4 hour timeframe.
Looking for past pattern replays that resemble and match several key indicator characteristics, price action, and where these indicators where previously in relation to their current positions & to current price action and the possible probabilities we may see play out again.
AUD-NZD Wait For Breakout From Bearish Triangle! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-NZD is trading in a
Downtrend and the pair has
Formed a bearish triangle
Pattern so IF we see a bearish
Breakout and it gets confirmed
The we can go short on the
Pair on the pullback
Sell!
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AUD-CAD Head And Shoulders Pattern! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-CAD has formed a H&S
Pattern on the 1D TF which
Makes us bearish biased
And IF we see a bearish
Breakout of the neckline
Then we will see the price
Going further down
Towards the 0.8942 area
However, IF no breakout
Happens then the short
Setup is invalid
Sell!
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Learn The Most Accurate Price Action Pattern
Hey traders,
If you are learning price action trading, you definitely must know a double bottom pattern.
Double bottom is a reversal pattern.
It is applied to spot early market reversal clues and catch the initiation of a new bullish trend .
Preconditions for a double bottom:
1️⃣ The market must trade in a bearish trend .
2️⃣ After a formation of the last lower high, the price must set equal low.
3️⃣ The price must return back to the last lower high level.
✅Once these conditions are met the pattern is considered to be completed.
The formation of the pattern is considered to be a ⚠️WARNING sign.
Even though many traders buy the pattern once it is completed,
for me it is not enough.
❗️Remember that the price can easily start to consolidate and form a horizontal channel for example.
The trigger that we will look for is the breakout (candle close above) the last lower high level (based on a wick and its highest candle close) - the neckline.
Being broken to the upside, the market sets a new higher high.
It signifies a violation of a current bearish trend .
⬆️Attempting to catch an initiation of a bullish trend , we will buy the market with a buy limit order on a retest of a broken neckline.
❌Safest stop will lie below the lows of the pattern.
💰Your reward must be at least 1.5 of your risk.
Following these simple rules, you will be impressed by how accurate this pattern is!
Let me know, traders, what do you want to learn in the next educational post?
Beginners’ Guide to Asset Allocation and Diversification
Even if you are new to investing, you may already know some of the most fundamental principles of sound investing. How did you learn them? Through ordinary, real-life experiences that have nothing to do with the stock market.
For example, have you ever noticed that street vendors often sell seemingly unrelated products - such as umbrellas and sunglasses? Initially, that may seem odd. After all, when would a person buy both items at the same time? Probably never - and that’s the point. Street vendors know that when it’s raining, it’s easier to sell umbrellas but harder to sell sunglasses. And when it’s sunny, the reverse is true. By selling both items - in other words, by diversifying the product line - the vendor can reduce the risk of losing money on any given day.
If that makes sense, you’ve got a great start on understanding asset allocation and diversification. This publication will cover those topics more fully and will also discuss the importance of rebalancing from time to time.
Asset Allocation
Asset allocation involves dividing an investment portfolio among different asset categories, such as stocks, bonds, and cash. The process of determining which mix of assets to hold in your portfolio is a very personal one. The asset allocation that works best for you at any given point in your life will depend largely on your time horizon and your ability to tolerate risk.
Time Horizon
Your time horizon is the expected number of months, years, or decades you will be investing to achieve a particular financial goal. An investor with a longer time horizon may feel more comfortable taking on a riskier, or more volatile, investment because he or she can wait out slow economic cycles and the inevitable ups and downs of our markets. By contrast, an investor saving up for a teenager’s college education would likely take on less risk because he or she has a shorter time horizon.
Risk Tolerance
Risk tolerance is your ability and willingness to lose some or all of your original investment in exchange for greater potential returns. An aggressive investor, or one with a high-risk tolerance, is more likely to risk losing money in order to get better results. A conservative investor, or one with a low-risk tolerance, tends to favor investments that will preserve his or her original investment. In the words of the famous saying, conservative investors keep a “bird in the hand,” while aggressive investors seek “two in the bush.”
Stocks
Stocks have historically had the greatest risk and highest returns among the three major asset categories. As an asset category, stocks are a portfolio’s “heavy hitter,” offering the greatest potential for growth. Stocks hit home runs, but also strike out. The volatility of stocks makes them a very risky investment in the short term. Large company stocks as a group, for example, have lost money on average about one out of every three years. And sometimes the losses have been quite dramatic. But investors that have been willing to ride out the volatile returns of stocks over long periods of time generally have been rewarded with strong positive returns.
Bonds
Bonds are generally less volatile than stocks but offer more modest returns. As a result, an investor approaching a financial goal might increase his or her bond holdings relative to his or her stock holdings because the reduced risk of holding more bonds would be attractive to the investor despite their lower potential for growth. You should keep in mind that certain categories of bonds offer high returns similar to stocks. But these bonds, known as high-yield or junk bonds, also carry higher risk.
Cash
Cash and cash equivalents - such as savings deposits, certificates of deposit, treasury bills, money market deposit accounts, and money market funds - are the safest investments, but offer the lowest return of the three major asset categories. The chances of losing money on an investment in this asset category are generally extremely low. The federal government guarantees many investments in cash equivalents. Investment losses in non-guaranteed cash equivalents do occur, but infrequently. The principal concern for investors investing in cash equivalents is inflation risk. This is the risk that inflation will outpace and erode investment returns over time.
Stocks, bonds, and cash are the most common asset categories. These are the asset categories you would likely choose from when investing in a retirement savings program or a college savings plan. But other asset categories - including real estate, precious metals and other commodities, and private equity - also exist, and some investors may include these asset categories within a portfolio. Investments in these asset categories typically have category-specific risks. Before you make any investment, you should understand the risks of the investment and make sure the risks are appropriate for you.
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📉Bearish Reversal Patterns & Showcase📉What are Reversal Patterns?
In trading, candlestick patterns are used to analyze the behavior of the market and identify potential opportunities to enter or exit a trade. Reversal patterns and continuation patterns are two types of candlestick patterns that traders look for.
Reversal patterns are characterized by a change in the direction of the trend. These patterns indicate that the market is likely to reverse its direction and move in the opposite direction. In contrast, continuation patterns signal that the trend is likely to continue in the same direction after a temporary pause or consolidation.
Reversal patterns usually take longer to form than continuation patterns because it's easier for the market to continue moving in the same direction than to change course. For example, if sellers are pushing the market lower, it takes more effort for buyers to turn the market around and initiate an uptrend.
A reversal pattern may occur after a period of strong selling or buying pressure, as traders become exhausted or the market reaches a key support or resistance level. Once this happens, traders who missed the initial move may see an opportunity to enter a new trade in the opposite direction of the previous trend.
However, for a reversal pattern to be considered valid, there must have been a previous trend in place. A sideways market cannot be classified as a reversal because it doesn't reflect a change in trend direction. Traders typically look for confirmation of a reversal pattern, such as a breakout from a trendline or a significant price movement in the opposite direction of the previous trend.
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EUR-NZD Resistance And Double-Top! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-NZD has almost hit
A resistance cluster of the
Rising and horizontal support
Then formed a double-top on
The 4H timeframe and is going
Down so I am expecting a
Retest of the target level below
Sell!
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reversal technical patterns overview part oneReversal Technical Patterns overview: Part One
Reversal patterns are frequently spotted at the end of the bear/bull market cycles. Here are some of the key patterns with higher probabilities. Can be applied to any market, including forex, crypto, stocks, indices and metals.
Double Bottom (Bulls)
Double Top (Bears)
🔸A double bottom pattern is a classic technical analysis charting formation showing a major change in trend from a prior down move. The double bottom pattern looks like the letter W.
🔸The double top is a type of chart pattern that is an indication that the prevailing trend may reverse, in the short or long term.
🔸The double top is a common occurrence towards the end of a bullish market. The price formation looks like two peaks that occur after one another.
🔸The double bottom formation typically occurs at the end of a downward trending or declining market.
🔸 The double bottom is similar to the double top, but the key difference between the two can be seen in the inverse or negative relationship in price.
Inverse Head and Shoulders (Bulls)
Head and Shoulders (Bears)
🔸The inverse head and shoulders pattern begins with a downtrend. This is the extended move down that eventually leads to exhaustion and a reversal higher as sellers exit and buyers step up. That downtrend is met by minor support, which forms the first shoulder. As the market begins to move higher, it bounces off strong resistance and the downtrend resumes. This resistance level forms the neckline.
🔸Pattern is defined by the head / left shoulder / right shoulder and neckline.
🔸The H*S pattern is a bearish market pattern will appear near market tops. The first shoulder forms after a significant bullish period in the market when the price rises and then declines into a trough. The head is then formed when the price increases again, creating a high peak above the level of the first shoulder formation. From this point, the price falls and creates the second shoulder, which is usually similar in appearance to the first shoulder.
🔸The pattern is completed, giving a market reversal signal, when the price declines again, breaking below the neckline. The neckline, as depicted above, is the horizontal line that connects the first two troughs to one another.
Three Drives (Bulls)
Three Drives (Bears)
🔸The three-drive is a rare price pattern formed by three consecutive symmetrical drives up or down. In its bullish form, the market is making three final drives to a bottom before an uptrend forms. In a bearish three-drive, it is peaking before the bears take over. A three-drive contains two overlapping ABCD patterns.
🔸There are multiple ways of trading a Three drives pattern:
You can trade the drive 3. Enter the market when you are sure that the market has formed the point B (buy in a bearish Three-Drive and sell in a bullish Three Drive).
You can trade when the entire pattern is complete.
🔸Extensions are always based on fibs, most of the time 1.27 and 1.62.
Falling Wedge (Bulls)
Rising Wedge (Bears)
🔸The falling wedge pattern is interpreted as both a bullish continuation and bullish reversal pattern which gives rise to some confusion in the identification of the pattern. Both scenarios contain different market conditions which must be taken into consideration.
🔸The Falling Wedge in the downtrend indicates a reversal to an uptrend. It is formed when the prices are making Lower Highs and Lower Lows compared to the previous price movements. It gives traders opportunities to take buy positions in the market.
🔸The rising wedge in an uptrend indicates reversal to the downtrend. It is formed when the prices are making Higher Highs and Higher Lows compared to the previous price movements. It gives traders opportunities to take short positions in the market
🔸Generally, traders will wait for a breakout before executing a trade on buy/sell side. Also traders may chose to wait for a re-test of the breakout area before executing a trade.
AUDJPY: Reversal pattern on 4-hour chartOn the daily chart, the AUD/JPY pair is in a strong support area, where the yearly trendline intersects with the monthly uptrend line and a monthly zone, in addition to a bearish weekly trendline, Fibonacci 61.8%, and the 100-week moving average.
This indicates a high likelihood of strong price support at the level of 87.6. However, on the 4-hour timeframe, there are three consecutive bottoms and divergence on momentum indicators, which is a strong reversal pattern. The price needs to break through three obstacles, including a local downtrend line, a resistance level of 89.5, and the 50-period moving average on the 4-hour timeframe, before it can rise. Once these obstacles are overcome and the price stabilizes above 89.55, there will be a strong and rapid selling signal towards 91.5 as the first target and 92.8 as the second target.
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📊 Diverse Chart ApproachesHere is a diverse chart approach for trading that includes some tips:
📍 Use multiple timeframes:
Analyzing charts at different timeframes (e.g., daily, weekly, monthly) can provide a broader perspective on market trends and potential trading opportunities.
📍 Combine chart types:
Using different types of charts, such as line, bar, and candlestick charts, can provide different insights into price action and help identify support and resistance levels.
📍 Apply indicators:
Technical indicators, such as moving averages and oscillators, can be applied to charts to identify potential entry and exit points, as well as confirm price trends.
📍 Incorporate chart patterns:
Chart patterns, such as triangles, flags, and head and shoulders, can be used to identify potential price breakouts and reversals.
📍 Use trendlines:
Drawing trendlines on charts can help identify potential areas of support and resistance, as well as indicate trend direction.
📍 Keep it simple:
While it's important to use a diverse range of charting techniques, it's also important not to overload charts with too much information. Keeping charts clean and easy to read can help avoid confusion and lead to more effective trading decisions.
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INTC - Bullish Reversals - Long On the chart of Intel Corporation (INTC), we can see two bullish reversal patterns on a daily timeframe.
We can see a Descending Broadening Wedge. This is a typical bullish reversal pattern. Once the price breaks out of the upside of the pattern the highest point of the pattern becomes the target.
The second pattern is a forming Double Bottom. This pattern indicates a bullish reversal. Once the price breaks out of the neckline the target will rise the same length as the range from the neckline to the bottom
In this particular case when the Double Bottom gets validated, the Descending Broadening Wedge will be activated too. When this happens the long position can be taken when the neckline has changed from a resistance into a support.
See all further details on the chart.
Goodluck!
It's not how but also whenA lot of emphasis is placed on how to trade. What the best indicators are, what the best R/R is. However, I don't see a lot of focus on WHEN you should trade. I don't specifically mean when to get in and when to get out. I mean what HOUR of the day should you trade? There are few factors to this:
- When is the time that you are most alert and can focus on the markets?
- What HOUR of the day do you tend to see your set-ups form?
Most new traders have no idea about these concepts and literally try to trade 24/7. This often leads to burnout and worse - account blow out.
It behooves you to use an integrated journal for your trade and see what time of day you are most profitable and you should try to stick to those times.
Anticipating CAD/JPY's Bearish Breakout: Technical AnalysisHey, fellow traders! I'm keeping a close eye on CAD/JPY as it looks bearish and could potentially head south. In my technical analysis, I've spotted a trendline and RSI divergence that could indicate slowing momentum, along with a sweet continuation pattern in the price action.
If we break the key "support/resistance area," the pair could drop as low as 97.5. That's why I'm planning to wait for a pullback before taking any action in the market. But for those of you who are considering shorting CAD/JPY, keep an eye out for these signals as they could indicate a prime opportunity to make some profits.
Overall, it's essential to stay vigilant and monitor the trends and indicators to make informed trading decisions. I hope this analysis helps you in your trading journey. Happy trading!
Advanced Chart Pattern That Pro Trader Must Know
📉CUP AND HANDLE PATTERN
A cup and handle is a technical chart pattern that resembles a cup and handle where the cup is in the shape of a "u" and the handle has a slight downward drift.A cup and handle is considered a bullish signal extending an uptrend, and it is used to spot opportunities to go long. Technical traders using this indicator should place a stop buy order slightly above the upper trendline of the handle part of the pattern. There can be both bullish and bearish Cups and Handles.
📊DIAMOND PATTERN
The diamond pattern is a reversal indicator that signals the end of a bullish or bearish trend. It is most commonly found at the top of uptrends but may also form near the bottom of bearish trends. The bullish diamond pattern occurs after a strong downward move in price. It consists of two resistance levels that constrain previous retracements and two support levels that have constrained the downtrend. Also known as the diamond bottom pattern, the bullish diamond pattern signals a buying opportunity. Often it is the precursor for a bullish breakout. The Bearish Diamond Pattern, is the mirror opposite of the bullish one, even though it works on the same logic and it indicates the end of the uptrend.
📈SCALLOP PATTERN
A scallop chart pattern is a technical analysis pattern that signals a short-term continuation of a bullish trend.
It is created when prices make an upward-sloping curve that resembles the letter J on a price chart. That's why it's sometimes referred to as a J-shaped or J hook pattern.
During the scallop formation, prices move higher, retrace, and trade lower for a short period before reaching a new peak. This indicates a short-term weakness of the ongoing uptrend and indecision in the market as to whether the trend will continue or not. But if prices are able to hold above the retracement zone for a while, it implies a strong momentum behind the uptrend and a potential breakout of the resistance level. The pattern is considered complete when you see prices break out above the key resistance level and rally to a new high. Once the upward breakout occurs, it confirms the continuation of the prevailing uptrend and a positive outlook on the market for the near future.
There are both bearish and bullish Scallop Patterns and both can be used successfully.
📚FINAL REMARKS:
Though these patterns are somewhat rare, it is essential for an advanced trader to know about them and to know how to use them, because that knowledge might provide you the missing piece of the puzzle in a difficult market making the difference between a good day and bad day. Which is all that matters after all. So I recommend you to spend some time and learn about the obscure patterns and to make it your goal to find them or at least look for them to give your brain enough data to let it do it’s pattern recognition learning magic.
Thanks for reading bro, you are the best☺️
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NZDCAD PLAN.Hello traders around the world!
My name is Alexandre Karim and today I want to talk about NZDCAD for a possible long position scenario.
On the weekly chart we can draw a descending channel since April 2016 (Low at 0.86573) & November 2016 (High at 0.98831) till present taking multiple touches.
The descending channel shows us an upside gravity + on the higher time frame we can clearly see that the price made a "V shape" and a bullish correction after it.
If we zoom in to the daily chart, we can draw the upper and lower TL of this bullish correction.
Moving to the 4H chart, we can check our areas for a long position. The first one would be a reversal on the lower 4H TL and the second one would be a breakout of the upper TL + giving us a continuation after.
I will be focusing on the 1H chart to execute the trade.
These are two possible scenarios on NZDCAD!
What are your thoughts?
Remember, patience is key!
Wait for the perfect set up before entering any trade.
#ThePrimes