USDCAD SHORTThis pair has been trading in a nice channel for some time with the odd 'fake-out'. However we are currently sitting at a lower low compared to the most recent trough on the 1H time frame, threatening to drop further.
Based on pattern analysis only, we see the price has retested that previous low (also the support of the channel) and has rejected it, with a move lower. We expect this price to fall from here.
Technical indicators suggest that the pair is overbought on this pullback, further strengthening the case for a move to the downside.
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W-patterns
AUDCHF SHORTThis pair broke out of it's channel to the downside recently, but has since rallied back into the channel range.
We see currently it has potential to react to this next resistance within the channel, with the indicators suggesting this pair is currently overbought. We will wait for confirmation and then react.
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XRP will decide it's direction soonOur algorithm has found a descending volatility pattern after a long period of downtrend and this always helps traders to make money because we can take advanatge of any movement (up or down). We've recently seen a fake break of the red line, but be ready because losing the first blue line is really dangerous for XRP.
XRP was created by Ripple Labs, a financial technology company that is focused on providing solutions for cross-border payments and other financial transactions. Ripple Labs developed the XRP Ledger as a way to enable faster and cheaper cross-border payments, and XRP is used as a means of exchange on the network.
XRP has gained significant popularity in recent years due to its potential use in the financial industry, and it has been adopted by a number of banks and financial institutions as a means of facilitating cross-border payments and other transactions. However, it is important to note that XRP is not without controversy, and its adoption and use have been met with some resistance and skepticism in the financial and cryptocurrency communities.
A descending volatility pattern in the stock market refers to a situation where the level of volatility (i.e., the fluctuation in prices) in the market decreases over time. This can be observed by looking at the historical volatility of a particular stock or index.
There are several potential consequences of a descending volatility pattern in the stock market:
1. It may indicate a decrease in market risk, as the level of price fluctuation is lower. This could make the market more attractive to investors who are risk-averse or who have a lower tolerance for volatility.
2- The pattern could also indicate increased stability in the market, which could lead to higher levels of investor confidence and potentially drive more capital into the market. This could lead to an overall increase in stock prices.
However, it is important to note that a declining volatility pattern does not necessarily mean that the market is "safer" or that it will continue to trend upwards. Volatility can be unpredictable and can increase suddenly, even if it has been decreasing over a longer period of time.
In fact, as we previously said the best way to trade this pattern is to expect an increase in volatility, no matter if it's upwards or downwards.
And the most important!
What do you think? Are we ready for a new crypto rally here? Will we break the green line? Or we will just see lower prices... again?
Its time to short XAUUSDMy trading plan is we can short XAUUSD 1880.00 and expect it will reverse the trend in 1880.00 that reverse trend will continue until price level 1732.00
between price range 1760 to 1820 the market has made lot of trades and struggling to increase price. its a clear sign to trend reversal.
i have mentioned clear support and resistance levels on chart.
HEAD AND SHOULDERS PATTERN - TRADING GUIDE Head and Shoulders pattern
This lesson will cover the following
What is a “Head and Shoulders” formation?
How can it be confirmed?
How can it be traded?
The Head and Shoulders pattern forms after an uptrend, and if confirmed, marks a trend reversal. The opposite pattern, the Inverse Head and Shoulders, therefore forms after a downtrend and marks the end of the downward price movement.
As you can guess by its name, the Head and Shoulders pattern consists of three peaks – a left shoulder, a head, and a right shoulder. The head should be the highest and the two shoulders should be at least relatively of equal height. As the price corrects from each peak, the lows retreat to form the so-called neckline, which is later used for confirming the pattern. Here is what an H&S pattern looks like.
Other key elements of this pattern and its trade process are the breakouts, protective stops, profit target, and volume, which is used as an additional tool to confirm the trend reversal. So here is how you identify the Head and Shoulders pattern and how its individual components are characterized.
Formation and confirmation
In order to have a trend reversal pattern, you definitely need a trending market. Let's talk about the first model of H&S, the Inverse or Reversal will have the same methodology but exactly in the opposite way.
While prices are trending up, our future patterns left shoulder forms as a peak, which marks the high of the current trend. For the shoulder to be formed, the price then needs to correct down, retreating to a low, which is usually above or at the trend line, thus, keeping the uptrend still in force. This low marks the first point used to determine where the neckline stands.
Afterward, a new higher peak begins to form, stemming from the left shoulder low, which is our pattern head. As the market makes a higher high (the head), it then corrects back and usually, this is the point where the upward trend is penetrated, thus signaling a shift in momentum and a possible Head and Shoulders pattern.
The second low that is touched after the retreat from the heads peak is the other point used to build the neckline, which is basically a line drawn through the two lows.
The subsequent rebound from the second low forms the third peak – the right shoulder. It should be lower than the head and overall match the height of the left shoulder (keep in mind that exact matches rarely occur). It is also preferable that the two shoulders have required relatively the same amount of time to form as this would make the pattern stronger.
In order for the Head and Shoulders pattern to be confirmed, the retreat from the third peak (the right shoulder) should penetrate the neckline and a candle should close below it.
The neckline itself should be horizontal in the perfect case scenario, but that rarely happens. Instead, most often it is sloping up or down and that is of significance as well – a downward-sloping neckline is more bearish than an upward-sloping one.
Volume
As mentioned above, volume plays a key role as a confirmation tool and can be measured via indicators or by just analyzing its levels. Presumably, volume during the left shoulder advance should be higher than during the subsequent one, because as the head hits a higher high on the base of declining volume, this serves as an early signal for a possible reverse. This, however, does not happen every time.
The next step of confirmation comes when volume increases during the decline from the head's peak and the last nail in the coffin are when volume gains further during the right shoulder's decline.
Trading the pattern, stops and profit targets
We said earlier that the Head and Shoulders pattern is deemed confirmed if the right shoulder's decline penetrates through the neckline and a candle closes below it. As soon as that happens and you are reassured that it is not a false breakout, you can enter into a short position. However, as you already know, no trading decisions should be made on the go, i.e. you need to have predetermined where your protective stop is going to stand and what your profit target is.
Protective stop
There are two common places where you can place your stop loss. The first one, which is more conservative, is right above the peak of the head, while a more standard position is right beyond the right shoulder. You can see those visualized in the following screenshot.
The second option makes more sense because if the breakout through the neckline actually fails and the price rebounds back with such momentum that it rises beyond the right shoulder, then the whole pattern is flawed and you definitely do not need to wait for it to exceed the head as well. Besides, such a loose stop significantly increases the risk and reduces the risk/reward ratio, thus, reducing this pattern's trading appeal.
Profit target
The most common and often advised profit target is the distance (number of pips) between the head's peak and the neckline. Having estimated that distance, you then need to subtract it from the neckline, just like in the screenshot below.
And how does that translate in terms of risk/reward ratio? If the breakout confirmation (the close beyond the neckline) appears very close to the neckline itself, and we enter into a short position there, we generally have a 1:1 risk-to-reward proportion, if we use a conservative protective stop. Why?
Since our profit target is the distance between the heads peak and the neckline, if we decide to use the conservative option for a protective stop, then we will have the same distance as a loss limit, thus, reducing our risk-to-reward ratio to 1:1.
This is why, in order to improve that ratio, most experienced traders place their protective stops more often above the right shoulders peak, given that they use the head-to-neckline profit target.
However, keep in mind that this price distance should serve as a rough target, because things are usually not that straightforward and other factors such as previous support levels, crossing mid-term and long-term moving averages, etc. must be taken into consideration as well.
Two ways to trade the Head and Shoulders Pattern
There are generally two ways to trade this pattern, depending on how it plays out. The first one we've already mentioned. As soon as a candle closes below the neckline as a sign of confirmation, you enter into a short position with the respective profit target and protective stop described above.
Now for the second way to trade the H&S formation. In this case, we have a pullback after the neckline penetration, which, once support, now acts as a resistance level. This time we need to go short once the price pulls back and tests the neckline as resistance. As soon as it rebounds from the neckline, we enter into a short position, using the same principle for placing the protective stop and aiming for the same profit as in the first scenario. Here is what this would look like.
AUDCAD LONGThis pair has been sitting within it's range for a few weeks, following a longer term bearish channel prior to this. We have seen a small breakout to the upside from this channel and are looking to see how this reacts now.
We could expect to see a small pullback to the previous resistance of that channel, now acting as support and a bullish bounce off of that. As this is (at the moment) is only a small breakout there could be uncertainty and indecisiveness from the market on this move. Wait for confirmation of a potential bounce before any decision is made.
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BTC Shorts - We're going down to $14,000BTC is showing major signs for continuations to the downside.
We are going to likely to shoot down into major magnet level of 14,000/13,800 to be more specific. But we could rally into the 17,000 level before continuing back down.
Plenty of confluences lining up.
Did you see that Huge Wedge on the Bitcoin chart?I hate technical analysis patterns and think they are crap. But there is one pattern that has a good winning percentage and that is the wedge pattern.
Did you see this wedge on the bitcoin chart on the weekly timeframe? It looks strong, but it could still touch the $10-$12K zone.
Friends, I will be very happy if you like this idea and subscribe to me. It will be the biggest gratitude for me and an incentive to make even more cool content for you. 💚💚💚
MSFT continuation wedge (bearish)This is a Continuation Wedge Pattern, Medium-term Bearish. The inbound duration took about 64 days.
the expected pattern duration *from the break of the wedge*, is roughly 22 days. with a target price anywhere around that 200 area. say 199 - 207
i dont want to keep boring you soo, i hoped you enjoyed this, and if you did could you kindly smash like!
Happy Christmas and hope have a wonderful new year. thanks for reading. thats all from me, Happy Trading my friends.
✅UNDERSTAND THE RISING WEDGE PATTERN✅
☑️WHAT IS THE RISING WEDGE PATTERN?
The rising (ascending) wedge pattern is a bearish chart pattern that signals a highly probable breakout to the downside. It’s the opposite of the falling (descending) wedge pattern (bullish). A rising wedge can be both a continuation and reversal pattern, although the former is more common and more efficient as it follows the direction of an overall trend.
The rising wedge consists of two converging trend lines that connect the most recent higher lows and higher highs. In a rising wedge, the lows are catching up with the highs at a higher pace, which means that the lower (supporting) trend line is steeper.
☑️KEY FEATURES
• The price action temporarily trades in an uptrend (the higher highs and higher lows)
• Two trend lines (support and resistance) that are converging
• The decrease in volume as the wedge progresses towards the breakout
The third point is seen more as a boost to the validity and effectiveness of the pattern, rather than a mandatory element. And it is applicable either for stocks trading mostly.
☑️SPOTTING THE RISING WEDGE
Identifying a rising wedge is not so difficult. As a first step, you should eliminate all types of wedges that are present in the sideways-trading environment. The ascending wedge occurs either in a downtrend as the price action temporarily corrects higher, or in an uptrend.
☑️TRADING THE RISING WEDGE
Trading the rising wedge pattern is pretty easy. After we correctly identified the pattern all we need to do is wait patiently for the breakout of the wedge to the downside. After the breakout is confirmed(usually at least a 4H candle needs to close below the broken level) we can place a limit order to short the pair on a pullback giving us a better risk to reward ratio. The correct Stop Loss should be placed above the last higher high established by the wedge before the breakout. What concerns the Take Profit level, it must be based on the technical levels below( If there are any). If not, then we might use Trailing Stop or just choose a minimal acceptable RR of 1:1,5
I Hope you guys learned something new today✅
Wish you all Best Of Luck👍
😇And may the odds be always in your favor😇
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✳️TOP 3 RARE CHART PATTERNS✳️
📉CUP AND HANDLE PATTERN
A cup and handle is a technical chart pattern that resembles a cup and handle where the cup is in the shape of a "u" and the handle has a slight downward drift.A cup and handle is considered a bullish signal extending an uptrend, and it is used to spot opportunities to go long. Technical traders using this indicator should place a stop buy order slightly above the upper trendline of the handle part of the pattern. There can be both bullish and bearish Cups and Handles.
📊DIAMOND PATTERN
The diamond pattern is a reversal indicator that signals the end of a bullish or bearish trend. It is most commonly found at the top of uptrends but may also form near the bottom of bearish trends. The bullish diamond pattern occurs after a strong downward move in price. It consists of two resistance levels that constrain previous retracements and two support levels that have constrained the downtrend. Also known as the diamond bottom pattern, the bullish diamond pattern signals a buying opportunity. Often it is the precursor for a bullish breakout. The Bearish Diamond Pattern, is the mirror opposite of the bullish one, even though it works on the same logic and it indicates the end of the uptrend.
📈SCALLOP PATTERN
A scallop chart pattern is a technical analysis pattern that signals a short-term continuation of a bullish trend.
It is created when prices make an upward-sloping curve that resembles the letter J on a price chart. That's why it's sometimes referred to as a J-shaped or J hook pattern.
During the scallop formation, prices move higher, retrace, and trade lower for a short period before reaching a new peak. This indicates a short-term weakness of the ongoing uptrend and indecision in the market as to whether the trend will continue or not. But if prices are able to hold above the retracement zone for a while, it implies a strong momentum behind the uptrend and a potential breakout of the resistance level. The pattern is considered complete when you see prices break out above the key resistance level and rally to a new high. Once the upward breakout occurs, it confirms the continuation of the prevailing uptrend and a positive outlook on the market for the near future.
There are both bearish and bullish Scallop Patterns and both can be used successfully.
📚FINAL REMARKS:
Though these patterns are somewhat rare, it is essential for an advanced trader to know about them and to know how to use them, because that knowledge might provide you the missing piece of the puzzle in a difficult market making the difference between a good day and bad day. Which is all that matters after all. So I recommend you to spend some time and learn about the obscure patterns and to make it your goal to find them or at least look for them to give your brain enough data to let it do it’s pattern recognition learning magic.
Thanks for reading bro, you are the best☺️
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Dear followers, let me know, what topic interests you for new educational posts?
US 30 - Ready to drop?On US30, we have an interesting price action forming. We have a breakout of the rising wedge which also caused a change of character on the uptrend. Currently price is in a corrective phase(bearish flag) which can potentially break to the downside
CADJPY BEARISH BIASCurrently on the 4HTF, price have been making a series of lower highs and lower lows which signifies a bearish trend, in conjunction with this also price is breaking structure and retesting it. So I'm looking forward for a retest of the previous support level before going lower to the recent support.
You can also share your view on this.
I'm open to ideas.