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W-patterns

1 hour analysis. Break outs still on holdPay attention to the purple line. Its shows an inner (almost) "pennant" or closer to "descending" triangle. Either way this is still a trading and/or scalping range. Keep in mind that the EUR has been in a bearish trend for 2 years. We really need to wait for a big break out. Although, I have charted some easy spots to look for reversals, ill be taking shorts until this trend decides where it wants to go. I'm not much of a fundamentalist but I do pay attention. Still believe it will break out bullish. Final analysis... breakout will happen in the next three weeks. Watching for reversals and taking shorts until then. FX_IDC:EURUSD
Short
by BostonJoe
1
BTC HALVING DUMP!Hey everyone, this is my first post, please feel free to provide feedback and ideas. We can see, as the news of the halving comes, the bulls continue to spike... A pattern that is evident in every crypto analysis we see.... we see an upward channel (fakeouts by suckers rally) but exhaustion is just beginning. We are looking at a possible double top here in the 4 Hour, before the break in pattern and dump.. Wait for confirmation of course.... Lets see if this goes to fruition. Bulls havent left the scene.
BITMEX:BTCUSD.PShort
by TheTrader23
Price patterns in relation to intraday chartsIntraday data is based on time frames from the 4 hours and below. For these time frames, the short-term trend in the daily charts will be seen as the long-term trend in the intraday time frames. For those who are keen to trade intraday time frames, they need to know that patterns on these time frames or charts have three principal differences from their long-term counterparts. 1. Their effect is of much shorter duration. 2. Price trends in these time frames or charts are much more influenced by instant reaction to news events than is their longer-term counterparts. Therefore, decisions are not well thought-out when trading these extremely short-term charts but they develop as emotional, knee-jerk reactions. 3. Intraday price action can be easily manipulated. Therefore, their price data are much more erratic and generally less reliable than those that appear in longer-term time frames. These are the reasons why I have choose not to trade the intraday charts. When I first started out in trading, I tried out the intraday charts, especially the 5 minutes and 15 minutes time frames, but the emotional cost of reacting to every split-second movement of price data was high for me. That does not mean you cannot do it. You just need to understand the costs involved in trading intraday charts. The chart below, of EURUSD, is an illustrative 5 minutes chart of how volatility could suddenly change on the whim of emotions due to news. This is based on the 169th Non-Farm payroll (NFP) data which were released for the USA on 8th May, 2020.
Education
by Emekadavid
Interaction of trendsIt is interesting to study trends and how they interact because the price level of any security is influenced simultaneously by different trends. Hence, why we need to note some application of trend classifications as it applies to trend interactions. 1. When we see any specific price pattern, our first question should be: Which type of trend is being reversed? If it is a short-term trend that is being reversed, then we would not be expecting much price movement when compared to an intermediate or primary trend being reversed. 2. Since intermediate and primary trends dominate price action, traders who deal with short-term trends should pay attention to these trends. They can help them in making good trading decisions. 3. When a trade is positioned in a countercyclical position to the main trend, trading losses usually happen. I do not say that trading with countercyclical positions to the main trend do not succeed, but they have a higher probability of resulting in failures. I trade countercyclical positions sometimes, but I am careful. I usually want to see the patterns having high volatility or being well pronounced. Below is an EURGBP chart showing a two bar reversal that did not move much because it was countercyclical to the main trend which was a downtrend.
Education
by Emekadavid
Why Price patterns work. Price patterns are patterns that were made by price based on the relationship between time and the movement of price on a price chart. They could be based on a single bar or candlestick, two or more, or even several bars or candlesticks. For now, I would be using just bars. They could be just for one session based on the timeframe or several sessions or days. The charts below illustrate some bars Single bars Multiple bars Some of the reasons why price patterns work are: 1. Prices are determined solely by people’s changing attitudes towards the emerging fundamentals. That means, prices are determined by psychology. Garfield Drew is quoted as saying that: “Stocks don’t sell for what they worth, but for what people think they are worth.” One recent example of people’s changing attitude is the recent selloff in gold that was experienced at the heart of the Covid-19 pandemic. People thought gold being a safe haven could rise rapidly in prices, but for two weeks between March 9 and March 19, the price of gold fell by 14%. 2. Market prices are not random events. People’s changing attitudes towards the value of an asset moves in trends and trends tend to perpetuate. An uptrend is expected to keep going up until the market psychology changes and the same for a downtrend. The shifts in these attitudes are usually captured by price patterns. GBPUSD chart below showing how a shift in trend due to market sentiment is captured by the 123 pattern and trendline very perfectly. A huge rally ensued. Notes on my observations: 1. Price patterns should not be used in isolation. When I trade price pattern I use confluence of the price pattern with support and resistance levels such as horizontal support and resistance, diagonal support and resistance from trendlines, and Fibonacci levels. 2. Also, you should take note of the underlying psychology that gave rise to the development of the price pattern. I generally trade pullbacks and reversal patterns because these give price actions that conform with the underlying psychology of the market in trends.
Education
by Emekadavid
DJI (Wall Street) - 1H - patterns sometimes repeatMuch of good trading is about time spent stalking. Trade execution by the most successful traders happens only after much patient study. The current position of the DJI, resembles a previous one. Patterns tend to repeat. This means vigilance to see if they do repeat. There could be losses involved. I never avoid talking about that. Sometimes a pattern may appear to be repeating and then fail. That's when an affordable loss comes into the equation (it's called a stop-loss). The stop-loss limits how wrong one is in estimating a projection. Avoid predictions, is my motto - which is not everybody's motto. Disclaimers : This is not advice or encouragement to trade securities. No predictions and no guarantees supplied. Any previous advantageous performance shown in other scenarios, is not indicative of future performance. If you make decisions based on opinion expressed here or on my profile and you lose your money, kindly sue yourself.
FOREXCOM:US30
by Captain_Walker
1