Bitcoin bounce at $24,000I see Bitcoin moving accordingly so far. On my daily chart, RSI is just getting to 30. And Bitcoin is still above the 200 Simple Moving Average so it has room to come down before a bounce as it always does with these chart patterns. Thus, I still see no need to panic. Only opportunities to accumulate or get in.
W-patterns
$F - Descending TriangleThe bears have been able to drive this market downwards at steadily lower up swings. And conversely, the bulls have not been able to drive this market past its previous swing highs since August 2022.
Although this chart pattern and price action behavior is suggestive of bearish dominance in this market. Although the price is trading below the key EMAs. The longer time frames and the RSI bullish divergence formed from July to October 2022, does not allow us to jump into conclusions as to how to form our bias.
More important perhaps than forming our bias here, is to register how neatly this pattern is being formed, from volatility to the lack of it. To the extent that the price is now trading in a very narrow range. To the extent that a breakout with conviction in either end of the triangle, now, will be a revealing signal of where this market wants to go.
Despite the sensation of control that any sort of analysis might lend you, please note that the future is unknown. For this reason, risk management is the real name of the game here. Remember to keep your positions small and dispersed.
Cheers,
Tenacious Tribe - Backtested Trading Strategies & Studies
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RYTM- More downside to come? NASDAQ:RYTM This stock seems to be following a textbook Wyckoff market cycle and appears to be transitioning from markup to markdown.
Mid May was the beginning of a multi week base building/accumulation On June 16-17 we can see the "spring" that preceded a huge markup in prices. After that a sharp rally in prices into the $11-$13 range that formed a pennant continuation pattern, then earnings came and boom it shot into a preliminary supply area(PSY) followed by a 35% move from $20 to a day high of 27.21 buying climax (BC). Last weeks UTAD failed rally/ blowoff top on high volume gave way to this weeks feeble rally with red hourly candles on high volume, showing that big players are dumping shares onto greedy retail traders, who are providing liquidity. A crown has formed and todays large red candles punched down into lower prices with a high probability of lower prices in the future. The last points of supply (LPSY) seem inevitable. Given the context of Julys " bad news is good news" rallies in many stocks this was one that wasn't left behind. It appreciated 10x from its June low!
This stock is slowly dripping down into a low volume area. Once there, it might just liquidate dramatically downside. Will be on the lookout next week for any relief rallies that will provide low risk short entries. Ultimate target would be the $17.04 .5 fib or $13.76 .618 fib range, potentially lower considering the current state of the market.
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XAUUSD - GOLD - Long signalAs we can see firstly we got bullish trend, then cup and handle pattern, and three tops on monthly chart.
Waiting to break up the Res Zone 1 and buy, or waiting to break down to Res Zone 2 and breaks it up to TP Zone 1 or TP Zone 2.
How do you traders see the monthly chart goining to?
I will be happy to reads your comments to learn more from you all.
❗️5 CRUCIAL TRADING CONCEPTS❗️
✅Forex trading can be an exciting and lucrative way to make money. However, it can be very challenging, even for seasoned traders. To be successful, it's essential to understand some essential concepts that can help you navigate the market and make more informed decisions.
✅One crucial concept to keep in mind is the impact of position sizing on trading success. Position sizing refers to the number of units you buy or sell when entering a trade. A lot of traders overlook the importance of proper position sizing, which can lead to significant losses. To increase the chances of success, traders should aim to limit their risk per trade to less than 2% of their account balance.
✅Another idea that can help traders is to focus on the outcome of their trades rather than their hit rate. Many traders believe that having a high hit rate is critical to success; this is not true. While accuracy is essential, profitability ultimately depends on the amount of money you make versus what you lose on each trade. Therefore, it's more crucial to focus on a trading strategy that controls losses and maximizes profits.
✅The third concept that successful traders implement is simplicity. Simple and robust systems tend to perform better than complex strategies. Overcomplicating a trading plan can lead to confusion and can even trigger emotional responses that may drive you to make impulsive decisions during trading.
✅This brings us to the fourth critical concept, which is psychology. Trading is 80% psychology, and the remaining 20% is skills and knowledge. A trader with the right mindset is much more likely to succeed than one who lacks the discipline to adhere to a trading plan.
✅Finally, traders who focus on learning one pattern or strategy tend to be more profitable than those who search for fancy strategies or systems. As the trading market constantly evolves, traders must always stay on their toes and keep learning. However, instead of trying to master everything, it is helpful to focus on a single pattern or strategy until it becomes your specialty.
✅In conclusion, Forex trading is a complex practice that requires patience, discipline, and the ability to adapt. With these five principles in mind, traders can become more successful, minimize risk, and increase their profits. By keeping things simple, controlling emotions, and making smart decisions about position sizing, traders can maximize their potential and achieve their financial goals.
I Hope you guys learned something new today✅
Wish you all Best Of Luck👍
😇And may the odds be always in your favor😇
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CGPT 1H Elliot waveCurrently retraced to under.18 on some exchanges earlier, a bit more to go before a break or full retrace to around .11-.12. Monthly token unlock a probable cause of a harsh correction before rise to .31 as well as a BTC correction before 30k. NFA I'm looking at the .17 and .12 for additional entry and exit at .42 if momentum keeps up
CGPT triple falling wedge triangleNew trend direction soon. Very bullish but could fall any minute, likely due to current red BTC day chart.
Could launch one last time to touch .30 to start. 80 cent to dollar target if .30 hits and holds.
Bullish overall because of proactive exchange listings ang real world planned events attended by team.
SPY Update (monthly close)We have managed to close out a month above the 50% retrace at 414.04 drawn from 2022 high to low. This has been a key area to overcome. We are clearly now above the 405.11 POC area, and this month we cleared another high volume point at the 50% retrace line (414.04).
The low points in September and October 2022 touched and repelled off the lower 2 sigma line of the regression trend (salmon color in the background) drawn from March 2020 COVID low to January 2022 high. From May 2022 to present we formed roughly an upper lateral wall at the 50% line, accompanied by a rising trend of higher lows. In effect, this has created an ascending triangle.
This from Stockcharts.com:
"The ascending triangle is a bullish formation that usually forms during an uptrend as a continuation pattern. There are instances when ascending triangles form as reversal patterns at the end of a downtrend, but they are typically continuation patterns. Regardless of where they form, ascending triangles are bullish patterns that indicate accumulation. Source: stockcharts.com"
The ascending triangle is a bullish reversal pattern, but in a downtrend is is less reliable as a bullish reversal than if it occurred in an uptrend. I personally have seen very few (maybe none) of this pattern in a downtrend, so I have no opinion of which way it will go if it breaks. Nevertheless, the higher lows exhibited in the trend is encouraging to bulls.
You will notice the twelve month Bollinger bands are narrowing, and the 12 month moving average is levelling out. A move may be nearing soon.
If we can further move past the 50% retrace line, we get into an area of declining volume (down sloping) and we could have a pretty fast move up to 424. On the other hand, should we have a negative catalyst, and if we descend below the 405 POC area we could have a sharp descent lower on a declining volume slope. (I can think of two possible catalysts -- continued overly hawkish FED or further bank solvency issues).
So I think next week FOMC + further banking issues may give us some good clues.
GOLD - It's way to 1993If you're looking to buy, this is the perfect time to consider. Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer:
Before engaging in any Forex trading activity, it is important to understand that Forex trading carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The foreign exchange market is a highly volatile and unpredictable market that can result in significant losses as well as gains.
What is the difference between a pro-trader and a beginner?
The difference between pro traders and new traders is how they approach trading.
Pros commit to trading. They do not see it as an opportunity, they see trading as a form of work. They are not looking for the best trade every time, instead, pros are looking for many trades because they see loss and gain as a fundamental part of how trading works.
It would not be too absurd to think of pros as survivors. Pros have realized losses and gains over time, injecting capital only to lose some more, yet they have accepted that that is the nature of trading. There are both good and bad trades that range in how profitable or unprofitable they may be.
Pros respect the markets, they are not trying to prove that they are right -they just follow the flow of the market. Lastly, pros understand that a lot of things cost money in the day trading world; however, they are willing to spend it because they like to have the tools that will lead them to success.
New traders differ from pros in plenty of ways. For starters, they are looking for that original piece of validation to continue their day trading ventures. This is why new traders tend to look for only the best trades in the markets they are monitoring. They instinctively want to make money right away and gain some working capital to buffer any future loss.
Furthermore, new traders suffer a lot when they fail because they take it personally and naturally reject their losses. This behavior eventually leads to them quitting altogether which ties into their commitment to trading as a whole. New traders (unlike pro traders) do not like to commit; for them trading is an opportunity to get as much money as possible from their trades. Furthermore, they are looking to minimize their costs by acquiring tips, shortcuts and various other content for free.
As a result, new traders often sprinting to make a quick buck while if they simply took the time to slow down and educate themselves they will make more successful trades in the long run.
Hey traders, let me know what subject do you want to dive in in the next post?
Wealth Unleashed: Wedge Pattern Power - Hidden Gem Revealed!Introduction : Are you looking to skyrocket your trading profits? Look no further! Today, we will uncover the hidden gem of trading patterns: the Wedge Pattern. This powerful tool has the potential to transform your trading strategy and help you achieve financial success. Let's dive into the world of wedge patterns and explore how you can capitalize on their power.
What are Wedge Patterns?
Wedge patterns are popular among traders due to their high probability of forecasting trend reversals. These patterns appear when the price of an asset consolidates between converging support and resistance lines. There are two primary types of wedge patterns: the rising wedge and the falling wedge.
Rising Wedge:
In an upward trend, the rising wedge is considered a bearish pattern. It forms when the price consolidates between an upward-sloping support line and an upward-sloping resistance line that are converging. As the price approaches the apex of the wedge, the upward momentum weakens, signaling a potential trend reversal to the downside.
Falling Wedge:
Contrary to the rising wedge, the falling wedge is a bullish pattern. It appears in a downward trend when the price consolidates between a downward-sloping support line and a downward-sloping resistance line that are converging. As the price nears the apex of the wedge, the downward momentum loses strength, indicating a possible trend reversal to the upside.
Trading Strategies:
To capitalize on the power of wedge patterns, follow these steps:
✅Identify the pattern: Observe the chart for converging support and resistance lines to spot a rising or falling wedge pattern.
✅Confirmation: Wait for a breakout from the wedge pattern, either above the resistance line (for falling wedges) or below the support line (for rising wedges).
✅Entry point: Open a long position after a breakout above the resistance line in a falling wedge, or a short position after a breakout below the support line in a rising wedge.
✅Stop-loss and take-profit: Set your stop-loss order below the breakout level (for falling wedges) or above the breakout level (for rising wedges). Establish your take-profit target at a level that aligns with your risk-reward ratio and trading plan.
Conclusion:
The wedge pattern is a hidden gem that can potentially boost your trading profits when used correctly. By mastering the art of identifying and trading wedge patterns, you can strengthen your technical analysis skills and increase your chances of success in the market. Remember, no single tool guarantees success, so always use additional technical indicators and maintain a disciplined approach to risk management. Happy trading!
5 IMPOTANT TYPES OF ELLIOTT WAVE PATTERNS!Zigzag patterns are sharp declines in a bull rally or advances in a bear rally that substantially correct the price level of the previous Impulse patterns.
Zigzags may also be formed in a combination which is known as the double or triple zigzag, where two or three zigzags are connected by another corrective wave between them.‘
4. Flat:
The flat is another three-wave correction in which the sub-waves are formed in a 3-3-5 structure which is labelled as an A-B-C structure.
In the flat structure, both Waves A and B are corrective and Wave C is motive having 5 sub-waves.
This pattern is known as the flat as it moves sideways. Generally, within an impulse wave, the fourth wave has a flat whereas the second wave rarely does.
On the technical charts, most flats usually don’t look clear as there are variations on this structure.
A flat may have wave B terminate beyond the beginning of the A wave and the C wave may terminate beyond the start of the B wave. This type of flat is known as the expanded flat.
The expanded flat is more common in markets as compared to the normal flats as discussed above.
5. Triangle:
The triangle is a pattern consisting of five sub-waves in the form of a 3-3-3-3-3 structure, that is labelled as A-B-C-D-E.
This corrective pattern shows a balance of forces and it travels sideways.
The triangle can either be expanding, in which each of the following sub-waves gets bigger or contracting, that is in the form of a wedge.
The triangles can also be categorized as symmetrical, descending or ascending, based on whether they are pointing sideways, up with a flat top or down with a flat bottom.
The sub-waves can be formed in complex combinations. It may theoretically look easy to spot a triangle, but it may take a little practice to identify them in the market.
Bottomline:
As we have discussed above Elliott wave theory is open to interpretations in different ways by different traders, so are their patterns. Thus, traders should ensure that when they identify the patterns.
This chart is just for information
Never stop learning
I would also love to know your charts and views in the comment section.
Thank you
🐹ENGULFING CANDLE TRADING STRATEGY EXPLAINED🐹
🐣If you are looking for a simple yet powerful trading strategy that can help you spot potential trend reversals in the market, then the engulfing candle trading strategy might be the one for you.
🐙What is an engulfing candle, you might ask? Well, an engulfing candle is a candlestick pattern that occurs when a larger-bodied candle completely engulfs the smaller-bodied candle that preceded it. It is a sign of a shift in market sentiment, from bullish to bearish or vice versa, and can be used to identify potential entry and exit points for trades.
🐵To use this strategy, you need to be familiar with candlestick charts and understand the basic concepts of support and resistance. Here are the steps to follow:
🐿Step 1: Identify the trend
The first step is to determine the current trend of the market. You can do this by analyzing the price movement of the asset you want to trade over a certain period. If the trend is bullish, you should look for bullish engulfing patterns. If the trend is bearish, you should look for bearish engulfing patterns.
🦔Step 2: Look for engulfing candle patterns
Once you have identified the trend, you can start looking for engulfing candle patterns. A bullish engulfing pattern consists of a small red candle followed by a larger green candle that completely engulfs the previous candle. A bearish engulfing pattern is the opposite, with a small green candle followed by a larger red candle.
🐳Step 3: Confirm the pattern
Before entering a trade based on an engulfing candle pattern, you should confirm that it is indeed a valid signal. This can be done by checking the volume of the larger-bodied candle and ensuring that there are no major resistance or support levels nearby.
🦋Step 4: Enter the trade
If the engulfing candle pattern confirms the trend and there are no major obstacles, you can enter the trade. You should set your stop-loss and take-profit levels based on your risk tolerance and the size of the engulfing pattern.
🦄Overall, the engulfing candle trading strategy is a simple yet effective way to identify potential trend reversals in the market. However, it is important to remember that no trading strategy works 100% of the time, and you should always practice proper risk management to minimize losses.
🌺Hope u like my article. Please let me know what you think💋
Love, Anabel❤️
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Love you, my dear followers!👩💻🌸
Very Very Early Bullish Shark on High Time FramesCOINBASE:BTCUSD This is a very early Bullish Shark on High time frames. This is just a fun idea for now. I'm curious if this will hit the 1.618 at the top on the B-C leg. If C is the pivot point, were going to retrace all the way down to the 886 or past to 1.13 to 14k. One last dump before the pump. Thanks
SPY expanded visuals on previous post (Ascending Wedge)So i decided to expand upon my previous post which ill link in this one and this one in the other, so regardless if this pans out or not, for educational purposes. this would be the way to play this type of set up. imo
not all flags, pennants, wedges, triangles are created equal. there is A+ B+ C+ and D+ patterns. factors depend on things like volume, volume increasing at the right times and decreasing at the right times (ie. in a bull flag decreasing volume on the pull backs and increased volume on the break is an example) (example 2- on an ascending triangle *bullish* on higher time frames, to much "white" isnt the greatest, the more times it hits resistance the greater the break out potentially) *white*= the white space in between resistance taps.
often times when the intial break out happens, it goes back up for the retest. stop loss would be where it would break out and make this invalid, depending on risk or preference you dont have to put the stop EXACTLY on the level as false breaks could stop you out, but i digress, different traders tweak little tings to their style and preferences.
TP 1 is the blue (4hr) support zone. second is the purple (1hr support zone). how did i get these levels? the measured move. where take the low to the high from the beginning of the wedge. and put that at the break out of the wedge. and it just so happens to go to those support levels ive had up for days. anyway just wanted to post so i could share a concise and consolidated explanation with visuals. Happy Trading! Cheers.
AUDNZD Short Easiest money you will ever make. This is a trade that I am sure will go down and will make you a lot of money. The risk to reward is solid and hopefully will go down a lot on Monday morning.
Reasons why you should take this trade:
There are multiple patterns in M15, M13 and H4
This is against the trend but there is H4 divergence and there is a lot of resistance
M15, M30, H1 and H4 are all Overbought.
40 Pip stop loss
GBP/USD -17/4/2023-• Picture doesn't look so bright for the Sterling
• Odds are turning in favor of the bears for the following reasons:
1: The Ascending parallel channel has been broken for the first time today
2: Recent rally failed to print a new high above the previous one at 1.2540 and a potential double top is being formed
3: Bears are approaching the double top neckline at 1.2340 (April 10 low) and a break of that level exposes lower prices
4: US strength doesn't seem to be fading soon, adding pressure on the pair
• Long term, picture is still neutral to bullish as long as we are trading above the ascending trend line drawn from the October all time low
ETHUSDTHi guys
On the weekly and daily time frame, we have the variation of the harmonic pattern to form an uptrend.
Provided that the $882.27 range is maintained, we expect a reaction to the $1010 range. We are likely to have an upward trend from this area to the $1630 range.
On the lower time frames, we have signals to form a short uptrend to the $1398 area.
What do you think?