WAL Western Alliance Bancorporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the start of the reversal on WAL:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of WAL Western Alliance Bancorporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 65usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-9-20,
for a premium of approximately $1.60.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
WAL
WAL Western Alliance Bancorporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought WAL before the previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of WAL Western Alliance Bancorporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 52.50usd strike price in the money Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-6-21,
for a premium of approximately $6.35.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
WAL Western Alliance Bancorporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought WAL here:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of WAL Western Alliance Bancorporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 48usd strike price in the money Puts with
an expiration date of 2023-10-20,
for a premium of approximately $2.12.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Western Alliance | WALWestern Alliance shares pulled back from their session lows after the Arizona-based bank denied it was exploring a potential sale
The Arizona bank described a report in the Financial Times that it was considering a potential sale of all or part of its business as “categorically false in all respects”, adding: “Western Alliance is not exploring a sale, nor has it hired an advisor to explore strategic options.” Two people briefed on internal discussions had told the FT that the bank, which has a FWB:2BN market capitalisation, was exploring strategic options including a potential sale of all or part of its business.
The Arizona-based bank, which has $65bn of assets, fell by as much as 45 per cent after the FT report, before recovering to trade 39 per cent lower. Earlier on Thursday, PacWest, another bank that has unnerved investors, announced that it was exploring its options.
Shares of US regional banks have come under heavy selling pressure this week after the regulator-brokered takeover of First Republic by JPMorgan Chase failed to restore confidence in the sector.
In a press conference on Wednesday, US Federal Reserve chair Jay Powell tried to soothe concerns about the bank turmoil, saying conditions across the sector had “broadly improved” since the period of “severe stress” in early March and that the system as a whole was “sound”.
US officials are watching deposit flows more closely than share prices, which Powell said on Wednesday had stabilised, given the view that they are a better indicator of the health of a bank.
“The resolution and sale of First Republic is an important step toward drawing a line under that period of severe stress,” he said before PacWest announced plans to explore a potential sale.
Western Alliance said on Wednesday that total deposits had risen to $48.8bn from $47.6bn at the end of March. It said it had “not experienced unusual deposit flows following the sale of First Republic”. It said 74 per cent of deposits were covered by Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation guarantees. Western Alliance for much of the past two decades was run by Robert Sarver, the former owner of the Phoenix Suns NBA basketball franchise.
Earlier this year, Sarver was forced to sell the Suns after an investigation found evidence that under his leadership the team had created a hostile environment both for black people and women. Sarver was fined $10mn and suspended from the NBA and the WNBA for a year. Sarver, who had held the top role at Western Alliance since 2003, stepped down as chair of the bank last year as the NBA controversy unfolded.
WAL Western Alliance Bancorporation Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain of WAL Western Alliance Bancorporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 40usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-7-21,
for a premium of approximately $2.20.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Regional Banks are telling us everything about this market!Traders,
Though, I've expressed this all along this past year, regional banks are now confirming everything I've stated regarding JPOW and the FED only having two choices about the future of the U.S. economy: deflationary recession/depression OR hyper-inflationary recession/depression. The line in the sand has been drawn and crossed. Should the FED attempt to rescue the economy by pausing rates or even pivoting, we'll likely see hyper-inflationary recession at the very least. On the other hand, should the FED continue to focus on tackling inflation, then recession it is.
Watch this chart closely along with our DXY chart. They are currently leading EVERYTHING (stocks, crypto, commodities, real estate, everything).
Stew
Regional Banks Leading Market to Hell?Regional Banks have always led our economy during booms and during busts. You will note from this simple chart that one key trend line has measured our current secular bull market. Regional banks have remained above this trend line since it was first touched in 2009. Excluding March 2020 (Covid19), which is not valid data, regional banks have never dipped below with confirmation. My best guess is that if they do, it will spell the beginning of the end for the U.S. macroeconomy in its current secular bull run. Watch closely as regional banks are really flushing the toilets today. If not careful, they may also need a savior. Enter JPOW and the Fed for a surprised pause/pivot ...if so.
PacWest, NASDAQ:PACW : -36%
Western Alliance, NYSE:WAL : -31%
Metropolitan Bank, NYSE:MCB : -27%
HomeStreet, NASDAQ:HMST : -23%
Zions Bank, NASDAQ:ZION : -15%
KeyCorp, NYSE:KEY : -9%
HarborOne, NASDAQ:HONE : -10%
Citizens Financial, NYSE:CFG : -12%
Remember, of our four largest bank failures to date: Washington Mutual (-386 billion), First Republic (-$233 billion), SVB (-209 billion), and Signature Bank (-118 billion) ...three of these have occurred in the last 2 months ...and we ain't done yet, folks.
The true shitcoins are large centralized corporate banks. We must be ready to transition to an alternative currency solution. Enter Bitcoin/crypto. Be ready.
Best,
Stew
EWBC - Next Shoe/Bank to Drop.Controlled Demolition in ProgressGood Friday but not for EWBC and $KRE components.
Controlled Demolition in Progress.
Treasury and FDIC demonstrated zero interest saving shareholders of SIVB (wiped out, the buyer of assets got $16B+guarantees for loans).
Same will go for the rest of $KRE = any assets are at deep dis count.
Can't save them all (nor they would want to).
Industry consolidation.
The End.
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations...
KRE Diving Lower, Bearish pennant - Be Your Own Bank..Treasury and FDIC demonstrated zero interest saving shareholders of SIVB (wiped out, the buyer of assets got $16B+guarantees for loans).
Same will go for the rest of $KRE = any assets are at deep dis count.
Can't save them all (nor they would want to).
Industry consolidation.
The End.
WAL - Catching falling knife 101Treasury and FDIC demonstrated zero interest saving shareholders of SIVB (wiped out, the buyer of assets got $16B+guarantees for loans).
Same will go for the rest of $KRE = any assets are at deep dis count.
Can't save them all (nor they would want to).
Industry consolidation.
The End.
US10Y has not broken the support yet, all eyes on monthly close.It might appear on daily and shorter time frames that US10Y has broken the trend, dating back to 2020.
Weekly at key support level.
it will save the regionals (yield dives due to massive QE, HTM portfolio's MTM improves) or will destroy them (KRE).
PACW 90% chance the pattern resolves in ... Dive Dive Dive! Treasury and FDIC demonstrated zero interest saving shareholders of SIVB (wiped out, the buyer of assets got $16B+guarantees for loans).
Same will go for the rest of KRE = any assets are at deep dis count.
Can't save them all (nor they would want to). Industry consolidation.
The End.
Real Estate Bank gone bad.... Join The #Bitcoin Alliance maybe?Saturday night i decided to take a look at all major bank charts. I called 3 potential 'dangerous ones' and ended up guessing 2 of them right. One of them was Western Alliance Bancorporation. (you can ask me for proof if you are interested to confirm this).
Western Alliance Bancorporation: Uncertainty Prevails seekingalpha.com :
Shares of the Western Alliance Bank (NYSE:WAL) have fallen victim to the uncertainty which materialized at light breaking speed in the financial sector in the second half of last week. The bank has similarities to the troubled SVB Financial Group as these (perceived) similarities, (even if they are not applicable to the same extent) create massive uncertainty here. Consequently, investors are selling first and depositors withdrawing before asking questions.
A Quick Intro
Western Alliance Bank is a Phoenix-headquartered bank which employs over 3,000 workers across more than 50 offices. After a though time during the recession of 2009, the company has seen a solid recovery. Originally founded as the Bank of West Nevada in the 1990s the company went public in 2005 and subsequently has steadily grown, surpassing the $50 billion asset market in 2021.
The company describes itself as a national banking platform with (remote) offices located throughout the country, although many branches are located in the Western part of the country. The company has ten folded its asset base over the past decade, as that growth has come with greater diversification in the loan book (to borrower categories) as well. That said, 37% of the loan book is lent out in California and a substantial amount of loans is geared towards real estate.
What's next?
Uncertainty.. I hope all goes well but in the meantime remember to look at Bitcoin. Just my humble opinion, perhaps I am right.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR
Walmart detailed chart for a friend 2hr & daily channelAfter checking out some potential price levels on the short term over the next few months we can see that wal-mart has broke into a wave 2 trend continuation uptrend holding inside the bullish channel zone.
106.70 shows strong bullish reversal momentum with an impulse telling us "up is still in effect" and instantly took us above the 50% channel dashed line.
A common bearish harmonic crab pattern was displaced giving us this consolidation 3 drive accumulation concept. We do not have a complete 2 and 3 drive yet so this is a "speculative guess." We could make a 1hr INV head n shoulder or dble bottom support at 119.30 / 118.50 zone instead and continue to a new high touching the top of blue zoned range in our trending channel. This zone is a signal zone for seller pressure inside this channel.
***** It does not mean it will be a sell; it means it can be a potential sell opportunity since this would be the end of wave 2 of the trend breakout. In turn, this would create a new daily high zone and new daily low pattern******
Take notice that the 106.70 impulse was also a bearish harmonic crab and we got around a 50% pullback flag to 110.45 from 114.42
I see this same concept happening here with a 50% - 78% pullback to 117.80 - 117.24 price zone for a trend continuation up to 122.70 - 123.00 seller pressure zone.
Quarters theory will try to push us to 125 if we break 120.50 and hold 120.00 support giving us micro trend pullback opportunities until then.
Overall.....
Buyers sit around 117.85 - 118.10
Sellers are weak and currently sit at 120.50. More pressure for a corrective ABCD move to the bottom of the range will begin the closer we get to 125.00 and most def. if we touch 130 - 131
Momentum plays a role here. This is why timing plays a role but cannot have an absolute calculation to a date and price. This is why it is important to always have an alarm signal set at price zones when you can confirm a solid trading channel that is printed for us as traders.
Any bullish impulse can take us up to the top of the grey range. This is our expanding flat top zone consolidation area. I have highlighted it with a trajectory tool red to green fade.
I expect to see a distribution and re-supply pinch/ or expanding pattern somewhere around 123-125.
WMT is bullish until we lose hourly momentum and fall below the 50% degree of this channel.
Patterns only help us represent possibilities not guarantees. The most important thing about patterns is that it helps show us STRUCTURE and what is happening in the market during large and smaller time scales. Learn the patterns and learn how they work in the structure of the charts.
ABCD
12345
all these patterns numbers harmonics etc etc are just geometric guidelines for us to see where the market finds best to go up and go down based of historical measurement and current market influence (which ranges from a lot of things...)
As I always like to say...history doesn't repeat itself but it sure does rhyme! Use the melody into your favor.
As always traders. Manage risk. Thank you for following. Please comment and like for support!
Peace. Love. Trade
Wal-Mart WMT looks like it presents an opportunity to buy in at heavily discounted prices. To the tune of 20% off. Normally I would be interested in buying nearly anything that is 20% off.
Pull up this chart and look at it on the Weekly time frame. It appears as though our bearish trend might not be over and is just beginning.
Fundamentally I like Wal-Mart and I think that their entry into the meal kit service will present a great opportunity to increase store traffic.
Noticed large institutional buying of WMT in Q4 2017, and although positions are starting drown this likely appears to be a buy and hold opportunity.
I think the retail market will continue to grow in 2018 as we saw the highest retail sales growth in more than a decade (Q3 2017).
Walmart will go down. E-commerce will win.Walmart can't grow their economy, they have 95% physical stores and 5% e-commerce. Amazon is growing with sales, while Walmart's expectations of profits are not met. Shareholders are losing value in Walmart, and that's why, I think over the next month, or even year, Walmart will fall.
JD.com Singles day Cup and Handle JD.com Cup and Handle setup for singles day (11/11), and Earnings announcement (11/13).
Earnings announcement* for JD: Nov 13, 2017. JD.com, Inc. is expected* to report earnings on 11/13/2017 before market open. The report will be for the fiscal Quarter ending Sep 2017.
Chinese Singles' Day or Bachelors' Day, which originated from Nanjing University in 1993, was initially celebrated at various universities in Nanjing during the 1990s. It got the name "Singles' Day" because the date consists of four "one"s. Upon graduating, these college students carried the university tradition into society. Singles' Day has been popularized since the start of the internet era and is now observed in several regions outside China as well.
Singles' Day serves as an occasion for single people to party together. The holiday was initially only celebrated by young men, hence the name, "Bachelors' Day", but it is now widely celebrated by both sexes. "Blind date" parties are also popular during this day in an attempt to alter their single status. Some schools of a university put forward a special program to gather singles together for celebration. Singles may take on a bemoaning or self-deprecating attitude for remaining single as a university student, but this has helped curb that negativity.
By 2016, sales on Chinese commerce websites reached $25 billion on Singles day.
Wal-mart $WMT Sky is FallingIf price can break 76.83 then we could see something to the upside. However, I believe that we will see price pushing down as demand is close by where price currently is and it's weak. There has been a lot more
supply and resistance areas formed over the past few days and I'm looking for a new possible downtrend to form.
Mixed Medium-Term Outlook for Wal-Mart (WMT)On March 29, 2017 Wal-Mart (WMT) crossed above its 200 day moving average (MA). Historically this has occurred 192 times. When this happens, the stock does not always continue to rise. It has a median gain of 3.407% and maximum gain of 36.667% over the next 15 trading days.
When we take a look at other technical indicators, the relative strength index (RSI) is at 58.1906. RSI tends to determine overbought and oversold levels. I personally use anything above 75 as overbought and anything under 25 as oversold. The current reading declares the stock is neutral and looking for direction but slightly moving up at the moment.
The true strength index (TSI) is currently 7.9533. The TSI determines overbought/oversold levels and/or current trend. I solely use this as an indicator of trend as overbought and oversold levels vary. The TSI is double smoothed in its calculation and is a great indicator of upward and downward movement. The current reading declares the stock is up. Even though it is still a positive number, it is trending downward.
The positive vortex indicator (VI) is currently 1.000 and just crossed over the negative indicator. The VI determines current trend and direction. When the positive level is higher than 1 and higher than the negative indicator, the overall price action is moving upward. When the negative level is higher than 1 and higher than the positive indicator, the overall price action is moving downward. The current reading declares the stock is trending upward.
Considering the moving average crossover, RSI, TSI, and VI levels, the overall near-term stock direction appears to be slightly trending upward. Based on historical movement compared to current levels and the current position in a downward trend channel, the stock could gain 0.71% over the next three weeks. The stock recently broke out of its most recent downward micro trend channel and appears to be using the old resistance as the new support which is common. Over the next few months the stock will approach the bottom of its major support channel that is pointing upward. For this reason, I do not expect much upward movement over the next three weeks.