Walgreens
Buy $WBA - NRPicks 07 Mar
Walgreens Boots Alliance ($WBA) is a global leader in retail and wholesale pharmacy, through the dispensing and distribution of medicines, and through its convenient retail locations, digital platforms and health and beauty products. The company has more than 100 years of heritage and innovation in health care.
It is a company that handles a good trading volume and is close to filing its earnings report on March 31, remember that in its last report it exceeded expectations with earnings per share of $1.22 and quarterly revenue of $36.31B.
Walgreens announced the expansion of its digital health platform, Walgreens Find Care, to include 11 new and four expanded collaborations with service providers, offering easier access to care during the COVID-19 pandemic. With these, people can now access more than 45 national and local health care providers. This platform has increased its use exponentially since the pandemic reaching 20M of visits that equates to an increase of 13 times last year's visits.
The company, even the health sector, has a good way to recoil the market and the rotation of investors after the technology selloff could end up in the least disadvantaged.
Technical:
Support at $46
Bounce in MA50
Low levels of RSI - Oversold
MACD Level (12, 26) -4.90
Walgreens Monthly Chart $WBAIs it me or is it CRAZY to see Walgreens is down over 60% in the last 4 years. From a contrarian investors POV this could be signaling a great opportunity to get long and collect dividends while this is trading back at discount prices in the 2000's - 2013 price channel. I have no doubt that Walgreens will be around in 5 years as its been in business since 1901.
I find it absurd that WBA is STILL dropping while more people than ever are in need of prescriptions, immunizations and health care products. In 2019 they filled over 1 billion prescriptions (including immunization)
So with all this in mind, I have no doubt Walgreen will eventually see a bounce above $50 but back up to $90 might be a stretch at this moment in time.
Latest 10Q
www.sec.gov
WHAT IS WALGREENS ABOOTS ALLIANCE - 1D RANGE TRADESRanges, Descending Triangles, Triangles, and Ascending Triangle are repeatable trading chart patterns.
Ranges and Triangles are consolidation chart patterns that can breakout either direction.
Ascending and descending chart patterns will have a directional bias depending on the previous incoming trend.
Each chart pattern will have defining trendlines of the support/resistance levels creating the pattern.
What ever time frame you are trading this chart pattern, wait for a candle close outside of the trendline in the direction of the breakout candle. (Our time frame preference is the Daily chart).
Add volume indicator - Volume is the amount of $ that went into a particular candle or in Forex the # of trades that took place.
Add ATR indicator - Volatility is the amount of price movement that occurred. Use the ATR to measure the price movement.
When you see descending Volume bars and descending ATR line (which indicates volatility) this shows
a dis-interest in traders to invest in this pair creating consolidation which creates the chart pattern.
Trade Management after there is a breakout candle close.
1 - Position size (compare volume bar to volume ma line).
a - Breakout candle must be 100% of average volume for a full position size.
b - If 75% of average volume then ½ position size. (To find 75% of Volume
look at the charts volume settings – divide smaller # into larger # = 75%+)
2 - Enter two trades.
3 - SL for both trades will be 1.5 x ATR.
4 - 1st trade TP will be 1 x ATR.
5 - No TP on 2nd trade – letting profit run and adjusting SL to follow price.
6 - When 1st TP hit – move 2nd trade SL to breakeven.
7 - Adjust the 2nd trade SL to follow price.
*8 – After Breakout candle – if price closes back into chart pattern close trade
*9 - When breakout candle is more than 1 ATR from breakout candle open.
a - Enter 1st trade at candle close with ½ position size.
b - Enter 2nd trade with a pending limit order that is 1 ATR of breakout candle open.
c – Price should pullback to that pending limit order for 2nd trade.
d – If Price returns back into chart pattern close trade before SL is hit.
$RADSTOCK SEEMS TO HAVE FORMED SAUCER PATTERN. PRICE HAS BEEN ON A NOSE DIVE SINCE THE START OF THE YEAR AND I HATE TO CALL TOPS/BOTTOMS BUT I LIKE THE STOCK TO RALLY SOON. TIGHT STOPS @ $2.05
Near-Term Drop For WalgreensWalgreens Boots Alliance stock has been in a defined bullish trend since the beginning of 2016. Its current position displays the stock is ready to cycle down. The typical movement occurs over a period of 15 or more trading days.
When we take a look at other technical indicators, the relative strength index (RSI) is at 62.2076. RSI tends to determine trends, overbought and oversold levels as well as likelihood of price swings. I personally use anything above 75 as overbought and anything under 25 as oversold. The current reading declares the stock has is moving down as this indicator recently turned downward when it was near overbought territory. The last two time the stock was at its current RSI level, the stock dropped greater than 7% over the following 32 trading days.
The true strength index (TSI) is currently 11.6581. The TSI determines overbought/oversold levels and/or current trend. I solely use this as an indicator of trend as overbought and oversold levels vary. The TSI is double smoothed in its calculation and is a great indicator of upward and downward movement. The current reading declares the stock is trending upward. This indicator is more indicative of long term trend and it is slow to reverse course.
The positive vortex indicator (VI) is at 1.1647 and the negative is at 0.7472. When the positive level is higher than 1 and higher than the negative indicator, the overall price action is moving upward. When the negative level is higher than 1 and higher than the positive indicator, the overall price action is moving downward. The current reading declares the stock was moving up, but this is beginning to weaken and trend downward.
The stochastic oscillator K value is 53.7979 and D value is 63.7308. This is a cyclical oscillator that is highly accurate and can be used to identify overbought/oversold levels as well as pending reversals and short-term activity. I personally use anything above 80 as overbought and below 20 as oversold. When the K value is higher than the D value, the stock is trending up. When the D value is higher that the K value the stock is trending down. The current reading declares the stock exited overbought territory and should continue to decline.
Considering the moving average crossover, RSI, TSI, VI and stochastic levels, the overall direction appears to be pointing down. Based on historical movement compared to current levels and the current position, the stock could drop at least 3.5% over the next 28 trading days.
Consolidation before another move to the topside? $WBATechnically Speaking
For me, the 76 level seems fairly important. As noted on the chart, earnings come out on Thursday, so I would be very careful with this stock. If the 76 level goes the 200 WMA is the next spot I would look for demand followed by the 60 level.
Fundamentals
Walgreens supports a div yield of 1.92%. Link: www.google.com
For div history check out: www.nasdaq.com