Wallstreet
GameStop The bears are winning the fightThe GameStop company, a chain of video game and merchandising stores, has been in the news for a few days due to the spectacular rise that its shares have experienced on the stock market. But what happened?
1.- After the rise in GameStop shares are individual investors grouped in the WallStreetBets forum of Reddit
2.- Large investors were shorting GameStop and decided to take advantage of it to buy shares in the company. By investing in these stocks, the price started to rise very quickly.
3.- Began to buy back the shares they had sold to minimize losses, but that only caused the price to rise further. This is known as a short squeeze.
4.- As of today, February 5, 2021, the stock price has dropped. This has caused people who bought shares at the highest point of their value to lose a significant part of their investment due to the drop in price.
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PLTR falling wedge patternIn my chart you can dee very nice patter `FALLING WEDGE`, that means that the stock will go up. Also the fib is dhowing the same sing - we have a strong support now. Hit like if you ar eholding with me!
DJIA AT A KEY LEVEL The multi year bull channel coincides with the steep rally channel from March lows so these levels are key for breakout or profit taking
AMC ST (February 2nd 2021)AMC Entertainment (February 2nd 2021 through March 2021)
Low: $0.15 - $2 - $4
High: $9.89
So in the short term, it's not looking good. Technically this could still get a bigger short squeeze in the future but we have a period of consolidation ahead of us for now if that will even be possible in my opinion. Otherwise this will get driven right into the ground. Grab the popcorn, it's heating up. The battle is on.
I do not have a lot of hope for the smaller retail traders right now. From what it looks like, a 4.236 fibonacci was fulfilled and there will need to be a LOT of buying to help recover past those levels again.
Now, if we imagine a scenario where the coveted pump happens so long as the bears aren't going to take over completely, the next levels to watch for serious selling action for could be: $40 - $64 - $88 - $102 - $165 - $264
But it needs to top its last high of $25 first, and it can be possible but is a lot less likely now that price has shuttered as much as it has the past couple days. Not looking good in my opinion but this will be interesting to watch.
Thanks for tuning in :) Disclaimer, anyone in the trade needs to do their own due diligence and decide what is right for YOU. My charts can be wrong at any time and it's very important that you have your own strategies and plans in place. I run this channel for my own educational purposes of learning to trade, and I will never be 100% right, so please do not let me confirm any bias for you! (Dangerous to do so, stay safe and remember the basics & rules of risk assessment.) Expect the unexpected and happy trading!
AMC ST Update (Feb 4th 2021)AMC Entertainment (AMC) (February 4th 2021 through February 18th 2021)
(Potential entries) Low: $0.57 - $2.00 - $3.13 - $4.81
(Potential swing high levels) High: $5.08 - $6.28 - $10.10 - $10.94
I am looking for price action to come down near where I have placed 2 orange boxes for potential entries for future prospects of AMC. If people (WSB) manage to squeeze AMC harder a second time, there's a chance it never even comes down to where I anticipate it but I feel it will be very likely for it to keep crashing since the crazy peak, and maybe return to baseline/normalcy around $1 to $4.
A good entry might be found anywhere from $2.00 to $4.81 in my opinion, but it really depends on if WSB actually pulls off a second squeeze for how long it would take to realize profits on the next run. If its truly returning to baseline, $2.13 and lower should be expected, I think 57 cents would be the absolute most drastic possible.
I've placed a couple white trend lines just to see if any of it correlates with a path, but I've also scribbled the green, orange, and red brush lines for other potential levels I can see price coming to at those times. No idea which path will actually happen if any of it is even right, just watching closely for now.
Related idea attached below:
Thanks for tuning in :) Disclaimer, anyone in the trade needs to do their own due diligence and decide what is right for YOU. My charts can be wrong at any time and it's very important that you have your own strategies and plans in place. I run this channel for my own educational purposes of learning to trade, and I will never be 100% right, so please do not let me confirm any bias for you! (Dangerous to do so, stay safe and remember the basics & rules of risk assessment.) Expect the unexpected and happy trading!
A Game Well Played (GME)Yes, I actually presented the possibility of a massive short squeeze to all-time high levels for GME stock back in October. Here is the original analysis:
There were clearly some opportunistic investors who bought the lows on this one and made out like bandits. Unfortunately I wasn't one of them (I made the initial post by request). Even those who bought below $5 and sold at $30 did very well. The idea was that GME might actually be undervalued. Even Michael Burry ('Big Short' fame) had invested in the company. Time will tell if Gamestop can restructure in such a way that proves profitable and time-enduring. But clearly, this stock is a fan-favorite. The Millennials involved in the short squeeze certainly have an affinity for nostalgia. Just look at Nokia and AMC (remember when we could go to movie theaters?)
Many on WSB are now wondering what's going on, clearly. The herd-mentality is quite extraordinary, and together a large group of smaller investors was able to squeeze whales out of their positions. Unfortunately, the wealthy elite are the ones with the liquidity and access to massive amounts of borrowing. In numbers, when people collaborate they can certainly have an impact, and it's inspiring to see that happen here. HOWEVER, human nature always takes over, and people get both fearful and greedy. These emotions drive the markets. Big investors have the wealth to afford short term losses. In their mind, the market always goes up long term, so they will be able to recover their losses. But the wealth disparity is so great that when an individual risks their life savings on something like this, it will take a very long time to recover. So the fear is correspondingly much greater, and that fear makes the stock owner a paper hand. To really have "diamond hands" you need to be able to stomach losses of 50% or greater. Those who bought GME above $300 (I suspect there are a lot of them) are already down to less than a third of their original investment.
The name of the game is always liquidity. Unfortunately, after Robinhood restricted orders, buying pressure eased up, allowing prices to fall. Charts were going around displaying "low volume sells," but that's not the entire picture. In reality, it's the lack of buyers. Even though there aren't that many people selling necessarily, price can still drop if there are even less buyers to eat up the supply from the sellers. So price has dropped right back to where I'd expect it would - roughly near the previous all-time-high. Psychologically, the $65-75 range should be a moment of maximum pain for anyone who bought during the meteoric rise. And therefore, their panic-selling should provide the most liquidity for new buyers. If GME is to actually move up again, I expected these levels to be tested. This is the first time I see a potential buying opportunity. If GME falls below $65, it can head right back to my trendlines and much lower support levels. This is the risk. If one believes in this company's value long-term, these are the levels to look for entries. And yes, it can go all the way back to $15-17 and still remain in an uptrend!
Here it is zoomed in, so you can see my trendlines more easily. The green horizontal line is the previous ATH
There is still a chance for further squeeze action (yes, even towards those ridiculous $1000+ targets), but GME will need to hold above my trendlines, and ideally above the previous ATH. Ultimately though, once the final squeeze is done (if there is one) I expect the stock's price to fall back to earth and land somewhere in the $10-20 range. We'll see! I am not personally buying GME unless it gets back into that range and shows some promising business moves. But the $65-75 range is where I'd look for the first line of strong support, if I were trading this (previous ATH). Right now I'm looking to begin investing for the long term after building some capital using crypto market gains. Currently, I'm building small positions in stocks/ETF's that I think have room to grow, despite very precarious economic conditions. I do think we're nearing some sort of climax to a large debt/asset bubble. I'm very curious to see what happens in the next few years. Perhaps sectors other than big tech (green energy, new infrastructure, marijuana, nuclear, etc) can take the reigns and we can avoid a serious economic collapse. It all depend on the world's leadership, and what they do about the wealth gap.
I see a lot of people my age investing and trading for the first time. So in some ways, I am at an advantage with respect to my cohort, since I have a pretty good idea of how the markets work. It's important to have a PLAN, and many entered this frenzy without one. Some will become long-term investors, but many will lose enough money to impact them for the rest of their lives.
Part of this IS general investing advice, but this post is NOT a recommendation to buy or sell any particular stock. This is for speculation and education only. All I can say is be very careful, assess risk, and TAKE PROFIT. Profit and capital preservation is your POWER against fear. FEAR makes one a paper hand. And I acknowledge many around the world do not have the wealth or financial safety net to handle losses. To many, the market offers opportunities for those who don't come from privilege. But especially in those cases, it's immensely important to exercise RISK MANAGEMENT. Take that profit, enjoy it, and carefully plan the next move when you are ready.
-Victor Cobra
The AMC Setup AMC stock has not been a generator for portfolio growth. With the rise of online streaming for movies (Ahem, Netflix), it has been hard to compete. I studied film for my undergraduate degree - I love movies, but I don't love this stock. That said, it has at least held above the broken downtrend on the current retrace. I have also heard they have enough backing to survive for a while longer. If they can thrive and adapt in the wake of the pandemic, perhaps they can grow. As I've mentioned, I think there will a rush of people wanting to experience things like going to bars and going out to movies again, creating a kind of "roaring 20's" moment. That's barring further economic disaster/uncertainty. This is a bit different from GameStop, since at least video games can be enjoyed from home.
On this chart, there are clear support and resistance levels. This zone seems like an okay place to buy, but if it drops substantially below $5.50 and does not bounce, it would be back in the downtrend. From there, it can go straight back to $2 or lower (towards the broadening wedge support - light blue). That's the risk. So if you have a limit to how much you can lose (as with any trade), so if I were trading this, I would set a stop loss. The risk/reward seems pretty evenly split here, so not necessarily an amazing bet at these levels. However, If it breaks above the $20 level, I can see it heading towards its previous major resistance level, around $36. If it breaks above there, it can make a new ATH and squeeze shorts towards $100. Price for AMC has been quite suppressed, even prior to 2020. I have a slight bias to the upside here, simply because it hasn't moved up dramatically yet, and there still seems to be some energy left in the market for more wild price movements to the upside. We're in a retail frenzy.
We'll see what happens! This stock isn't really on my radar right now, but I posted this by request. This is not financial advice - this is for speculation, education, and entertainment only.
-Victor Cobra
btc 42000 in coming hot !btc is stuck in a sideways market its ranging in other words
we have yet to see bullish bat to play out to its full extent .
as shown on chart .
price is creating a bearish bat right wing is forming lovely ...
its buys till 42000 from here..
then we are looking to sell around 42000 aswell bearish bat will play out more than likely
due to volatility
i believe we will see 20000 again but trend is definitely bullish !
Nokia MT (February 2nd 2021)Nokia (NOK) (February 2nd 2021 through 2022)
Low: $3 - $5
High: $9.44 - $21
So I understand there is some financial madness going on right now.
Here's a scenario that shows how a short squeeze could hit monstrous levels provided it actually gets executed correctly.
I do not have the most hope in this chart but all the paths I've provided are just ideas of certain price levels that seem important to me.
This could end in glory, blood, or hit glory and end in blood. Who knows, but its very interesting to watch all these speculations play out with WSB reddit.
Thanks for tuning in :) Disclaimer, anyone in the trade needs to do their own due diligence and decide what is right for YOU. My charts can be wrong at any time and it's very important that you have your own strategies and plans in place. I run this channel for my own educational purposes of learning to trade, and I will never be 100% right, so please do not let me confirm any bias for you! (Dangerous to do so, stay safe and remember the basics & rules of risk assessment.) Expect the unexpected and happy trading!
DJI(4H): POTENTIAL TRAPIn this chart I dig deeper into price action and trends on the DJI on the 4H time frame, exposing a potential trap - mainly for new traders and some seasoned traders. What you don't see is most important. Lots of indicators in here - requires study. I use them only to expose what's happening.
In other charts/videos I've shown that the DJI is weakening based on three successive weaknesses in the ATR price action. Trends are generally more important than price-points.
Price has collapsed a bit but is now in what I think is a critical zone . There are no 'predictions' here; only probabilistic estimates based on my experience.
The zone of congestion is a red rag to the bulls and let's be real; this is still a bull market. I don't expect the bulls to just roll over easily. Only extreme force would decimate them and nothing like that is seen on the horizon at this point in time.
The obvious broadening wedge is a sign of panic due to the distance from the ATR (4H) line. In other words this is not a burn down of price, else the ATR line would have followed closer to price.
The alternate ABCD is only indicative . It is contrary to conventional 'teachings', which says there are only 6 types of ABCD. The reality is that ABCD's do what they want and form various shapes, the main element is AB=CD.
Weekend Wall Street (DJI) not available on Tradingview, already indicates that the bulls are getting ready to charge with price action developing north by 100 points. This is just the ' pawing of the ground ' perhaps, so price movement on Sunday night 300 points south wouldn't mean much. They can kick up a lot of dust before launching north.
I think the important thing here is to avoid 'obsession' with the 'instrumentation' i.e. indicators. Fly the plane, which means don't get fried in this market. The human eye and brain are better than all indicators, when used properly of course. 🙄😁
Indicators only give us an idea based on historical data. No indicator(s) 'predicts' the future for you.
What we can't see is future price action, which is what will better determine what's likely to happen next. Therefore do not rely on anything said in this educational post for decision-making on entry of a live position.
Disclaimers : This is not advice or encouragement to trade securities on live accounts. Chart positions shown are not suggestions. No predictions and no guarantees supplied or implied. Heavy losses can be expected if trading live accounts. Any previous advantageous performance shown in other scenarios, is not indicative of future performance. If you make decisions based on opinion expressed here or on my profile and you lose your money, kindly sue yourself.
DJI: Heaven or Hell? The choice is yours. I'm looking at some price action based on the 4H ATR line going back to Feb 2020. There is a repetition of a certain pattern, which may mean something or nothing.
Have a look.
On 30 min timeframe see below (no promises of anything).
Disclaimers : This is not advice or encouragement to trade securities on live accounts. Chart positions shown are not suggestions. No predictions and no guarantees supplied or implied. Heavy losses can be expected if trading live accounts. Any previous advantageous performance shown in other scenarios, is not indicative of future performance. If you make decisions based on opinion expressed here or on my profile and you lose your money, kindly sue yourself.
🏓Game is ON 🍿So the game is ON, again.
The people of 'Occupy Wallstreet', Reddit, Wallstreetbets and evey single one of us 'renegade revolutionaries' (there is one in all of us, including myself and you), against the machine.
Time for some music to get inspired before today's new episode of 'Squeeze wars' at the GME GAMESTOP Battleground.
Personally: I am just watching this show. Neutral
Want to trade it? Sell high, Buy low, gamble between market closing tonight and not knowing where it will open tomorrow. And off course don't risk your savings, play with money you can REALLY afford to lose. Have fun people.🍿
ps. OCCUPY WALLSTREET, I'm all up for THAT! 🦍
short-term bullish dollar play UUPThe dollar has bounced off its bottom trend line. After having such a long period of weakening, it is due to bounce back a bit. It is extremely rare for the dollar to not reverse the trend after an extended period of strength or weakness.
It may not rally back much, but it will give you some gains in the short-term. Sell half when it hits the upper trend line and let the other half ride. There have been some contrarian calls on Wall Street for a surprisingly strong dollar.
UUP is a way to play the bullish dollar. I currently have a vertical call spread expiring 2/19 with the buy-strike being $24 and the sell-strike being $26.