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The fall of U.S.Dollar and how to trade itWith unprecedented steps of QE, as issues by FED and the current U.S. administrative, it's obvious and expected that the consequences won't wait for long. Given the current situation in the world, I expect we'll witness rapid downfall at least till the summer 2021 which might sink by as much as 30%. On the background of upcoming Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies rise which will top at the break of 2021/2022, this might lead us to revisit the future of centralised banking. Kenzo
INDEX:DXYShort
by KenzoYagai
Is the DJI (Wall Street) in trouble?Yep - it's beaten me. This is a very weird market where hope and greed rule. America is basically burning down with COVID, supply demand chains disrupted everywhere, no sign of a vaccine "momentarily" as we've been told - yet this market struggles north. Every drop of good news moves it further north. In the last few days we were told that the cure was found for COVID. No one dares to disagree. Hopes of 'herd immunity' are in there. This 8H time frame pump north in what appears to be a subtle rising contracting wedge, does not look confident to me. The instability in the picture creates a probability for the south (not a prediction) - and there is probability for the north as well. I'm not suggesting trading on this 8H time frame. Exploits are better on much lower time frames between 5 min to 15 min. But timing is everything. DON'T sleep! 😂 Disclaimers : This is not advice or encouragement to trade securities. Chart positions shown are not suggestions. No predictions and no guarantees supplied or implied. Heavy losses can be expected. Any previous advantageous performance shown in other scenarios, is not indicative of future performance. If you make decisions based on opinion expressed here or on my profile and you lose your money, kindly sue yourself.
FOREXCOM:US30
by Captain_Walker
THE BIG PICTURE: Health is everything! Man and Money vs Virus! I think this chart will be of interest, in overlooking the big picture. I say what I see and it is largely about a health timebomb approaching. So I deal with some technical and hidden fundamental issues. Always say what you see on the charts! Remember TA is about sentiment - until reality catches up. 1 - A popped bubble. 2 - A reinflated bubble. 3 - A reinflated bubble struggling to remain inflated. 4 - Total daily cases of COVID continuing north. 5 - Total daily cases is rising above the area of struggle in the DJI. Note that the DJI represents sentiment in the top 30 major organisations - so it is important. I entirely accept that because total daily cases is summative, it is not a sound measure of the impact of the virus on health or control of the virus. But think deeply - yes these are fundamental issues - representing ' reality '. The total number of people infected means that a percentage of them will suffer lasting effects of the virus e.g. central nervous system problems, mental health disorders, clotting disorders, lung problems, heart problems and exacerbations of previous illnesses. This means there is a mounting economic burden that isn't quite realised by leaders. Why is biotechnology and services servicing those industries flourishing? Obvious - isn't it. Healthcare directed at fighting COVID has left lots of people with significantly reduced care for non-covid related conditions. What happens to those people? It can be expected that their health will deteriorate. I can't go into a whole list of medical conditions - but it's massive. There is only minor focus on the economic impact of that. Nations need 'health' for workforces to contribute well to 'the economy' and to service debt. Our leaders have focused on 'the economy' and preventing a major financial crash that was coming anyway. The virus was just the pinprick. There was in the UK recently a situation where health set against the economy. This was misguided simply because health is the economy. When people think of health they usually think of physical health. However, there is another ticking time bomb of mental health problems . Nobody knows exactly how big this is gonna be. If you thought people with physical health problems were neglected, then it is much bigger for those with new or pre-existing mental health problems. People who are mentally disabled but were managing with aids, adaptations and supervision aren't getting all that as they would have pre-covid. Is this likely to improve in the next 6 months? I don't think so. How can economies recover if they are beaten by seriously damaged physical and mental health of its workforces? Difficult one. Financial hardships are projected to get worse into Winter, in the northern hemisphere. That's not good for physical or mental health. I have little doubt that agents of the FED will pump this market north, and that Robinhoods will punch the air with the FED. However, you can't create a sound economy built on thin air. The bedrock of a sound economies are the health of people. If money printing would solve everything, then GDP and employment (of various types) would be irrelevant. Surely they aren't irrelevant. So - expect the unexpected, is what I'm saying. Near 100% retracements in the face of such fundamental issues has to be suspect. There could be a big 'drop' coming - so stay alert (no predictions today - only probabilities). Those hoping for Gold to rocket north may also have a surprise. Disclaimers : This is not advice or encouragement to trade securities. Chart positions shown are not suggestions. No predictions and no guarantees supplied or implied. Heavy losses can be expected. Any previous advantageous performance shown in other scenarios, is not indicative of future performance. If you make decisions based on opinion expressed here or on my profile and you lose your money, kindly sue yourself.
FOREXCOM:US30Education
by Captain_Walker
US TECH: GAME OVER?Well, get your popcorn ready!! US Tech 100 is in a precarious position. This is another thing that rules the world! Price ducked below 11000 - which is considered important. Will it stay below? How would I know? 🤷‍♂️🤦‍♂️ At time of posting price is a 10920-ish. Does this mean the backs of the USTECH and NASDAQ are broken? Of course not. Expect permabulls to do their stuff. We need them - for the big money transfer- so they're much loved! 🤣 Price action on this on the 3 to 5 min time frame today was soooo exciting! LOL. Call me a nerd - it's fine. LOL. 😉😎 If you wanna see what's really happening you just gotta get dirty in the trenches! I'll be doing a video soon, showing how I look at price action in the indices, comparing the rule of Tech100 with other indices. Stock up on popcorn! 😂👳‍♂️ I don't do predictions - because I believe trend is more important than price . Disclaimers : This is not advice or encouragement to trade securities. Chart positions shown are not suggestions. No predictions and no guarantees supplied or implied. Heavy losses can be expected. Any previous advantageous performance shown in other scenarios, is not indicative of future performance. If you make decisions based on opinion expressed here or on my profile and you lose your money, kindly sue yourself.
WHSELFINVEST:USTECH100CFDEducation
by Captain_Walker
DJI (Wall Street): Looking ahead for surprises. In this screencast I show some pretty interesting price action on the 1H time frame. I've used the 'theory of curves' to average out price action. The 1H is pretty risky now for trend following entries going south. The price action is looking rebellious, in that the bulls are fighting hard to keep this market afloat. There are two amazing 1H ATR switches which suggest heavy bearish pressure. But never underestimate the owners of central banks and their friends! Politricks also affects sentiment - but you can't see that influence on charts. So, there are unseen dangers. As elections approach in November in the USA, a crashing market is good for nobody. I'm expecting the ' plunge protection team ' (PPT) may become involved. Don't under estimate them - they're very powerful. Some say the PPT doesn't exist. I'm not debating it. If the PPT gets involved expect to see sudden unusual small trends north on the 3 to 5 min time frame. Often the PPT rides the back of positive news to avoid discovery. I've seen this too many times. Nothing in this post is predictive. I don't do predictions. Disclaimers : This is not advice or encouragement to trade securities. Chart positions shown are not suggestions. No predictions and no guarantees supplied or implied. Heavy losses can be expected. Any previous advantageous performance shown in other scenarios, is not indicative of future performance. If you make decisions based on opinion expressed here or on my profile and you lose your money, kindly sue yourself.
FOREXCOM:US30
by Captain_Walker
DJI: A nice little find - parallel channelIt doesn't matter what time frame you find stuff. Just share. That's what I do, so others can benefit (if they manage their losses properly). The 15 min channel is so curious. The obvious questions that will pop into minds are like: 1 - is that for real? 2 - how far will it go? It is real - if you see it. How far - nobody knows! Disclaimers : This is not advice or encouragement to trade securities. Chart positions shown are not suggestions. No predictions and no guarantees supplied or implied. Heavy losses can be expected. Any previous advantageous performance shown in other scenarios, is not indicative of future performance. If you make decisions based on opinion expressed here or on my profile and you lose your money, kindly sue yourself.
FOREXCOM:US30
by Captain_Walker