Wallstreet
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of April 19, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Upon completing the Outer Index Dip 5045, per the Daily Chart Analysis for the week of April 12, Spooz witnessed a decline in this week's trading session, leading to the Key Support level of 4950. The current market trends indicate that the index will experience an upward Dead-Cat rebound, targeting our Mean Resistance level of 5057. However, the downside risks cannot be ignored, and the index may continue its decline to reach the strategic Outer Index Dip at 4865, which is expected to act as a catalyst for reigniting its bullish trend.
Will it fall further or is it time to buy? Tension in East.Since the U.S. inflation data last Wednesday, the EUR/USD has depreciated for four consecutive days, falling by 2.42%.
Tensions in the Middle East and a strong U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) have contributed to this decline, which may be finding a potential buying zone.
The pair is currently trading around 1.063 at the time of writing this article.
The direction of the price this week remains uncertain. The EUR/USD is currently trading in a support zone (at the 61.8% Fibonacci level), but further declines cannot be ruled out given the ongoing conflict in the Middle East or continued strength in the DXY. The DXY directly influences the pair's exchange rate. On the other hand, the price is also near the support level of a triangular pattern, which suggests that after a few days of consolidation, buyers might gain confidence and push the pair toward the 1.09 resistance level indicated by the pattern.
**THIS IS NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE. EACH TRADER IS RESPONSIBLE FOR THEIR OWN TRADING DECISIONS AND RISK MANAGEMENT.**
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of April 12, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The Spooz continue to experience a severe drop in this week's trading session, hitting our two Mae Sup levels: 5150 and 5120, respectively. The current price action indicates that the market will pursue an upside movement to target our Mean Res 5208 and beyond. On the downside, Spooz may continue on a downward spiral to the Mean Support level of 5070 and Outer Index Dip at 5045, which is expected to act as a launching point to reignite its bullish trend.
Dow Jones(US30):🔴Possible scenarios🔴(Details on caption)
Well, as you can see Dow Jones in the daily chart swept the liquidity and created a new all-time high, then had a bearish reaction and shiffed the market structure as well.
after that, the price had a retracement from a bullish FVG to a bearish breaker block and continued to the sell side.
For now, there are two different bearish scenarios which I follow the first one.
First scenario: The price created the buy side liquidity below the balance price range in the premium. We all know it is a high-probability scenario that can push the price lower. So in this scenario, we wait to move higher, grab the buy side liquidity, and look for a sell position inside the BPR on a lower time frame.
Second scenario: If the price is strongly bearish we can expect the price to move to sell-side liquidity from inversion which has already tapped in.
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🗓️07/04/2024
🔎 DYOR
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S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of April 5, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The S&P 500 index experienced a severe drop below our Mean Sup 5203; however, the market rebounded swiftly and returned to an active crime scene. The current upward trend indicates that it will reach the target of Key Res 5260 and, subsequently, Outer Index Rally 5280, the long-awaited target. On the downside, Spooz may revisit the newly created Mean Support level of 5150, which is expected to act as a launching point to reignite its bullish trend.
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of March 29, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The S&P 500 index experienced a change in direction during its journey toward a Mean Support level of 5177 and bounced back to retest the Key Resistance level of 5260. The current upward trend indicates that it will reach the target of Outer Index Rally 5280, which has been long-awaited, with a high possibility of continuing the upward trend to the next Outer Index Rally of 5342. On the downside, Spooz may visit the newly created Mean Support level of 5203, which is expected to act as a launching point to reignite its bullish trend.
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of March 22, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The S&P 500 (Spooz) index has continued to move on to new highs in this week's trading session. The current squeeze movement is posed to target Mean Sup 5177 with the possibility of extending the squeeze to the next Mean Sup 5120. On the upside, the Spooz is aiming for a newly created Key Res level of 5260, which is anticipated to serve as a pushing point to Outer Index Rally 5280.
Short Meta updateThe recent top is our first pivot point, we will anchor short entries below the 472 level with target 1 at the previous top 384. This is the first test trade against a pivot top and a tight stop range should be set.
There is a massive short coming which will be a steep fall, a crash fractal unless the cycle alters in an unlikely event.
Trade safe, stay connected..... good luck
Reddit Braves Wall Street with 48% Pop in Debut. When Growth?Traders upvoted Reddit’s IPO but can the buzzing social media platform earn its stripes as a public company now?
Table of Contents:
⦿ Reddit Surges in Public Market Kickoff
⦿ If Wall Street Bought, Should You?
⦿ Reddit Stacked Up Against Rivals
⦿ Ad Posts Looking Like User Posts?
⦿ Bottom Line
📍 Reddit Surges in Public Market Kickoff
Reddit (ticker: RDDT ) stepped into the public-market space this week with a flashy and splashy IPO (initial public offering) in New York that chalked up a 48% gain on its debut day. The listing was met with lots of cheer from Wall Street as it was the biggest one for a social media company since Pinterest hit exchanges in 2019.
Shares of Reddit surged to $47 out of the gate to make its first deals at a 38% premium to the company’s IPO price of $34 a share. Valuation soared to $9.5 billion by the end of the session when shares closed at just over $50 a pop.
Reddit’s listing day with the Snoo—the website’s official mascot. Source: Reddit.
By the looks of it, investors upvoted Reddit—a chat-room powerhouse and a stalwart of community-based culture venues sprawling from cat-praising r/CatsInSinks and owl-loving r/Superbowl to the intimidating trading hub r/wallstreetbets that bankrupted GameStop short-seller Melvin Capital.
📍 If Wall Street Bought, Should You?
So the question is, if Wall Street scooped up Reddit shares… should you?
Let’s take a behind-the-curtain look at Reddit’s business model.
It’s been three years of trying for Reddit to get listed on the New York Stock Exchange. Finally, it issued 22 million shares for flotation, of which 8%—or 1.8 million—were reserved for friends, family and volunteer moderators. Those are unpaid users who make sure all the online communities are running smoothly. And they are also the content creators, because—unlike Netflix (ticker: NFLX ) or Spotify (ticker: SPOT )—Reddit doesn’t pay for its content.
The platform boasts roughly 73 million daily active users spread across 100,000 online chat rooms, or “subreddits.” Despite the wide reach and 19 years of existence, the platform has never seen what a profitable year looks like.
Its revenue comes predominantly from selling ads to companies who paid $804 million last year while the bottom line arrived at a $91 million loss. The revenue figure was a 20% increase from the $668 million picked up in 2022.
📍 Reddit Stacked Up Against Rivals
And while revenue growth can be seen along the years, investors are betting that Reddit will ultimately catch up to the big shots in the social-media space. When Meta (ticker: META ), formerly Facebook, kicked off its public endeavors in 2012, it soaked up a market value of $104 billion and raised $ $16 billion for its IPO. Elon Musk’s X Corp, formerly Twitter, landed its first public deals at a $14 billion valuation, having raised $1.8 billion. In comparison, Reddit raised $748 million at an IPO valuation of $6.4 billion.
Reddit carries the lowest valuation at IPO among social media peers.
📍 Ad Posts Looking Like User Posts?
Against that backdrop, Reddit is taking a sketchy approach to bolstering its ad sales. Apparently, the folks at the upper echelons of the company decided it’s a good idea to make ad posts look exactly like user posts . The so-called “free form ads”, the company said, will mimic the popular user post type “megathread” and will “encourage users to deep dive into the topic at hand.”
The community, on the other hand, didn’t show much love to that new advertising strategy. “Enable comments on ads, you cowards,” said one Reddit user while related threads were loaded with users’ comments of disapproval.
📍 Bottom Line
And there you have it, 19 years of posts, 100,000 subreddits, and 73 million users who churn out all the content and self-sustain operations. Reddit gave us the meme stock craze back in 2021. Is it going to give us a rerun of the stock frenzy with its own shares this time? Or will the folks at r/wallstreetbets flip the script and short it?
💬 Let us know your thoughts in the comment section below!
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Short METAThe recent top is our first pivot point, we will anchor short entries below the 472 level with target 1 at the previous top 384. This is the first test trade against a pivot top and a tight stop range should be set.
There is a massive short upcoming which will be a steep fall, a crash fractal unless the cycle alters in an unlikely event.
Trade safe, stay connected..... good luck