WALMART: Forming a Megaphone Top. Sell signal.Walmart is fairly bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 59.199, MACD = 0.980, ADX = 43.049) as the price is near the top of the 2024 Bullish Megaphone and has been forming a top since the September 16th High. This slowdown can be seen on the two prior top formations and is more obvious on the 1D RSI which prints a Channel Down when the price peaks on a Channel Up. This Bearish Divergence is the signal we need to go short next week. We aim for just under the 1D MA50 (TP = 77.50) or take the profit if the RSI hits the buy entry line first.
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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Walmart
WALMART Short-term correction on the wayLast time we looked at Walmart (WMT) we gave a solid sell signal (March 27, see chart below), which served as a pull-back step for the stock's amazing recent Bullish Leg:
This time, the Channel Up it's been trading on is more aggressive, with each Bullish Leg posting rallies of +22% and 23.60% and bottoms made only just under the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), presenting easy buy opportunities.
As the moment, the price is already on the Channel's top (Higher Highs trend-line), having completed a +22% rise and technically the maximum it can go to is +23.60%. As a result, we expect a short-term correction now of at least -6.40% (similar to the last one). We estimate that to be around $77.00 and once the 1D MA50 breaks again, we will get our new buy opportunity, possibly on the 4th candle after the break.
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Walmart Stock $WMT expecting a decent rally in September 2024Walmart Stock #WMT is trying to rally as it reacts to a daily demand imbalance at $78.84. Expecting a decent rally from this level. Walmart Inc. is an American multinational retail corporation that operates a chain of hypermarkets (also called supercenters), discount department stores, and grocery stores in the United States and 23 other countries.
WALMART: Bearish: Overbought alert: Impact on Dow JonesWALMART: Bearish: Overbought alert: Impact on Dow Jones
Be careful with Walmart as you can see cocoa and st microelectronic also rose to very very high historical levels and look at the correction that we had immediately after at least 40% drop
This action can have a significant impact on the Dow Jones
A strong correction could lower the DJIA index
I alert you on this I alert you especially on the notion of "stock market cycle" and "seasonality"
Walmart is overbought you just have to look at your technical indicators RSI, ROC, Stochastic, exponential moving average, Ichimoku, Fibonacci retracement.
We could go much much lower so be careful this action is overbought
Monitor your above-mentioned indicators.
Walmart’s (WMT) Earnings Could Signal Economic TrendsAt first glance, Walmart's earnings might not seem critical, but they provide key insights into consumer behavior and could serve as an indicator for future retail sales. If Walmart reports disappointing earnings, it could signal broader economic concerns. As one of the largest retailers in the U.S., a decline in Walmart's customer base may indicate that consumers are tightening their belts, which is never a good sign for the economy.
This is why we're closely monitoring Walmart. Sometimes, stocks can act as a barometer for the market. While we’re hopeful for a strong earnings report, we're also anticipating a potential price dip into the $43 to $36 range. Whether this occurs immediately or in the coming weeks is uncertain, but we believe it’s a likely scenario. If Walmart’s price drops into this range, it could present a compelling buying opportunity. The golden pocket Fibonacci retracement aligns with this area, and there’s also a significant, yet untagged, liquidation level at $40 that we're keeping an eye on.
We’ll be closely watching Walmart’s earnings and price movements. If we see a negative earnings report and a subsequent drop in price, we’ll provide updates and discuss potential strategies. 🤝
Target (TGT): Ready to Break Out of Its DowntrendWith Target, we have another major player in the US retail market, and we prefer its price structure over Walmart's. After completing Wave (3), Target experienced a significant sell-off, forming Wave (4). Currently, it appears that an inverse head and shoulders pattern is developing, which could signal a bullish reversal. The neckline looks particularly strong, and I will have a bullish outlook once this neckline is reclaimed.
There is a breakout gap following the completion of Wave (4), which might be revisited. However, for a well-formed head and shoulders pattern, we should see some momentum soon to create two shoulders at the same level. As long as the Wave (4) level at the Point of Control (POC) holds, we expect more upside, either after a slight dip into the breakout gap or immediately following the earnings report next week.
Walmart Surges on Strong Q2 Results, Raises OutlookWalmart (NYSE: NYSE:WMT ), the world’s largest retailer, has once again defied economic expectations, reporting robust second-quarter results that prompted the company to raise its sales and profit forecasts for the second time this year. As inflation begins to moderate and consumer spending remains unexpectedly resilient, Walmart’s performance provides critical insight into the current state of the U.S. economy.
Impressive Earnings Beat
Walmart reported quarterly earnings of 67 cents per share, surpassing analysts' expectations of 65 cents per share and marking a 10% year-over-year increase. The company's revenue rose by nearly 5% to $169.34 billion, also exceeding market estimates. This growth, while slightly below the prior quarter's average, demonstrates Walmart's ability to attract customers despite ongoing economic headwinds.
The increase in sales was driven by a 3.6% rise in average transactions during the second quarter, with online sales surging 22%. Walmart's U.S. stores saw particularly strong demand for fresh food, high-quality meats, and personal care products, underscoring the retailer’s ability to meet consumers' essential needs.
Resilient Consumer Spending
Walmart’s results are particularly notable given the broader economic context. Despite fears of a recession fueled by a deteriorating labor market, Walmart's performance suggests that U.S. consumers are still willing to spend, particularly on everyday essentials. The company's ability to draw higher-income customers, especially those earning over $100,000 annually, played a significant role in its success this quarter. These affluent shoppers boosted sales of home furniture, appliances, clothing, and toys, contributing to Walmart's market-share gains in these categories.
Walmart Plus, the company's $98-per-year subscription service, also saw a significant 16% increase in membership. This service, which offers benefits like unlimited free deliveries, curbside pickup, and discounts on fuel, has been instrumental in driving customer loyalty and increasing sales. The growth in Walmart Plus memberships contributed to the 22% rise in U.S. online sales, which was largely fueled by a 50% increase in store-fulfilled deliveries.
Strategic Growth and Market Position
Walmart’s strong performance this quarter is not just a reflection of consumer resilience but also a testament to the company’s strategic initiatives. The retailer has successfully expanded its higher-margin services, such as advertising, data monetization, and fulfillment services. These efforts are expected to enhance profitability over the next few years, allowing Walmart to grow its operating income faster than sales.
The company’s ability to adapt to changing consumer behavior has also been a key factor in its success. With inflationary pressures easing, Walmart has managed to maintain its position as a go-to destination for cost-conscious consumers. This has allowed the retailer to continue capturing market share from competitors, including higher-end retailers and discount-focused platforms.
Raised Outlook and Market Reaction
Given its strong second-quarter performance, Walmart (NYSE: NYSE:WMT ) has raised its full-year earnings guidance to between $2.35 and $2.43 per share, up from its previous forecast of $2.23 to $2.37. This revised outlook reflects the company’s confidence in its ability to navigate potential economic challenges while continuing to attract customers.
The market responded positively to Walmart's earnings report, with shares rising more than 7% in premarket trading. This surge in stock price indicates investor confidence in Walmart's strategy and its ability to perform well even in uncertain economic conditions.
Broader Implications
Walmart's results have broader implications for the retail industry and the U.S. economy as a whole. As one of the first major U.S. retailers to report quarterly results, Walmart’s performance is often seen as a bellwether for consumer sentiment. The company’s ability to deliver strong results despite economic uncertainty suggests that consumer spending may remain stable in the near term, providing some reassurance to investors and policymakers.
However, the retailer is not immune to the challenges facing the broader economy. Walmart executives have acknowledged the potential risks of a consumer slowdown, particularly if inflationary pressures resurface or if the labor market weakens further. Nevertheless, the company’s diverse product offerings, strategic growth initiatives, and strong customer base position it well to weather any potential downturns.
Conclusion
Walmart’s strong second-quarter performance and raised outlook underscore the company’s resilience in the face of economic challenges. With consumer spending remaining robust and strategic initiatives bearing fruit, Walmart is well-positioned to continue its growth trajectory. As the retailer navigates the evolving economic landscape, it remains a key player to watch in the retail sector and a crucial indicator of broader economic trends.
WMT Walmart Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought WMT before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of WMT Walmart prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 67usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-8-16,
for a premium of approximately $1.46.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Walmart ($WMT) Set to Report Q2 Earnings Result on Aug 15, 2024For investors who prioritize dividends as a critical component of their wealth-building strategy, Walmart Inc. (NYSE: NYSE:WMT ) stands out as a company worth serious consideration. With the ex-dividend date fast approaching in just four days, there’s an immediate opportunity for those who act swiftly to secure their place in receiving Walmart’s next dividend payout. Understanding the timing and mechanics of this dividend payment is crucial for maximizing returns, especially for investors keen on reliable income from their stock holdings.
Dividend Snapshot
Walmart ( NYSE:WMT ) is set to pay out a dividend of $0.2075 per share on the 3rd of September, but to be eligible for this payout, you need to own the stock before the 16th of August. Last year, the retail giant paid out a total of $0.83 per share, resulting in a trailing yield of 1.2% based on the current share price of $67.95. While this yield might not appear overwhelmingly high, it’s the sustainability and growth potential of Walmart’s dividends that make it an attractive option for long-term investors.
The Health of Walmart’s Dividend
A company’s ability to maintain and grow its dividend payments over time is paramount for dividend-focused investors. Walmart has demonstrated a robust approach to dividend management, with a payout ratio of just 33% of its earnings. This conservative approach ensures that the company is not overextending itself in returning capital to shareholders, thus preserving funds for reinvestment and growth.
Moreover, Walmart’s dividend is comfortably covered by its free cash flow, with only 43% of cash flow being distributed as dividends. This balance between profit reinvestment and shareholder returns signals a healthy and sustainable dividend policy, giving investors confidence in the company’s future dividend payments.
Growth Prospects and Innovation
Walmart’s financial health is underscored by its impressive earnings growth. Over the past five years, the company’s earnings per share (EPS) have surged by an annual rate of 25%, a remarkable achievement in the retail sector. This rapid growth, coupled with a low payout ratio, suggests that Walmart has significant potential to increase its dividend payments in the future.
In addition to its strong financial performance, Walmart has been a frontrunner in embracing technology to drive growth. The retail sector is undergoing a transformation, with technology and artificial intelligence (AI) playing pivotal roles in enhancing operational efficiency and customer experience. Walmart’s strategic investments in technology, such as its online subscription service Walmart+, are positioning the company to gain market share and boost profitability.
The Impact of Tech and AI on Retail
The rise of tech and AI is not just reshaping the tech sector but also revolutionizing retail. Walmart has been at the forefront of this shift, integrating AI into various aspects of its operations. From improving the frontend shopping experience to optimizing backend processes, Walmart’s tech-driven approach is setting a new standard in retail. This focus on innovation is not only helping Walmart maintain its competitive edge but also attracting the attention of investors looking for growth opportunities in the retail sector.
Retail Sector Outlook 2024
The outlook for the retail sector in 2024 is promising, with a significant number of retailers expecting higher profitability within the next two years. The WTW Global Retail Survey for 2024 revealed that 48% of retailers are actively incorporating AI into their operations to deliver personalized shopping experiences. Despite concerns about cybersecurity risks, the drive towards AI adoption is evident, particularly among online and electronic retailers.
Walmart’s commitment to tech-enabled innovation aligns with broader industry trends, making it a strong contender in the evolving retail landscape. As the company continues to invest in technology and adapt to changing consumer demands, its prospects for sustained earnings growth and dividend increases look bright.
Technical Outlook
As of the present writing, Walmart stock ( NYSE:WMT ) has observed a 0.29% increase in premarket trading. The stock recently concluded with a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 45, which presents a moderately positive outlook as trading commences on Monday. Investors are eagerly anticipating the forthcoming earnings reports scheduled for August 15, 2024.
The daily price chart reveals a bullish engulfing pattern, notably distancing itself from the one-month low. The accentuation of the bullish engulfing pattern necessitates Walmart ( NYSE:WMT ) stock to transition to the pivot retracement zone, a prospective move that may align with the imminent earnings outcomes.
Final Takeaway
Is Walmart a buy for dividend investors? The answer appears to be a resounding yes. With strong earnings growth, a conservative payout ratio, and a strategic focus on technology, Walmart is well-positioned to continue delivering value to its shareholders. The company’s dividends are not only sustainable but also have the potential to grow, making Walmart a compelling choice for investors seeking both income and growth.
As Walmart continues to innovate and capture market share, particularly through its tech and AI initiatives, it stands out as a dividend powerhouse in the retail sector. For those looking to secure a reliable income stream while benefiting from the company’s growth, Walmart’s stock is certainly worth a closer look.
$WMT 10D, $56 incoming, Tower Top BreakdownTower Top Breakdown in the works. Seems like whatever or whenever it happens, it will be close to next Friday. Remain Bearish unless new highs are established. Seemingly easy Trade here. MACD in same positioning as well as RSI. Seems like WMT doesn't get much volume in general. Not necessarily a bad thing. Options could pay well here.
WMT Walmart Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on WMT:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of WMT Walmart prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 60usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-5-24,
for a premium of approximately $1.73.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Walmart Inc Reports Profit Growth of Almost 10% in Q1 EarningsWalmart ( NYSE:WMT ) reported Q1 FY 2025 earnings, which were positive and largely beat analysts' expectations, with income up almost 10%. The company is betting on easing inflation to boost demand for essentials and bring a rebound in sales of discretionary products like apparel and electronics. Shares of the Bentonville, Arkansas-based company were up 6% in premarket trading, and if these gains hold, the stock will hit a record on Thursday.
The strong performance by Walmart ( NYSE:WMT ) could assuage some investors' fears about ebbing U.S. consumer spending. Americans have largely been able to weather higher prices, but a long bout of inflation has raised concerns that shoppers could become more constrained and a recovery in spending will be slower than previously expected.
Walmart ( NYSE:WMT ) reported total U.S. comparable sales up 3.9%, excluding fuel, for its first quarter ended April 30. Adjusted earnings per share came in at 60 cents, easily beating the 52-cent average forecast. Total revenue of $161.51 billion also topped estimates.
The retail bellwether now expects annual consolidated net sales to rise at the high end or slightly above its prior forecast of 3% to 4% growth. It also expects adjusted profit per share to be at the high end or slightly above its prior estimate of $2.23 and $2.37.
COSTCO 820 Costco’s stock price has seen a significant increase recently, and there are several reasons behind this rise to $820:
Strong Sales Performance: Costco posted net sales of $19.8 billion for April, up 7.1% from $18.48 billion in the year-earlier period1. Net sales for the fiscal 35 weeks were $166.44 billion, up 7% from $155.62 billion a year earlier.
Shift in Consumer Behavior: Due to rising restaurant prices, many consumers are opting to buy groceries and cook at home instead. This shift in consumer behavior is benefiting grocery businesses like Costco.
Membership Model: Costco’s membership model is also a significant contributor to its success.
The warehouse club’s members pay $60 a year for a basic Gold membership or $120 for an Executive membership, which comes with 2% cash back up to $1,000.
Analyst Upgrades: After reviewing Costco’s strong April sales data, analysts have raised their price targets for the company. For instance, TheStreet Pro’s Chris Versace raised his price target on Costco to $830 from $800. Similarly, Loop Capital analysts raised the firm’s price target on Costco to $840 from $820.
Earnings Expectations: Costco is expected to report earnings on May 30, 2024, for the fiscal quarter ending May 2024. The consensus EPS forecast for the quarter is $3.69, which is higher than the reported EPS for the same quarter last year ($3.43). This positive earnings expectation could also be driving the stock price up.
Salesforce’s Stock Surge to $298.14 AFTER EARNINGS ?NYSE:CRM
Analyzing Salesforce’s Stock Surge to $298.14
Salesforce, a global leader in cloud-based software, has recently seen its stock price soar to an impressive $298.14. This significant increase is not a random occurrence but the result of a combination of factors that have played out in favor of the company.
Strong Earnings Reports: Salesforce has consistently reported strong earnings, demonstrating robust financial performance. These positive reports have instilled confidence in investors, leading to increased demand for the stock.
Innovative Product Portfolio: Salesforce’s diverse and innovative product portfolio has been a key driver of its success. The company’s offerings, ranging from sales and service automation to marketing and analytics, have kept it at the forefront of the industry.
Market Leadership: Salesforce’s position as a market leader in the Customer Relationship Management (CRM) space has contributed to its strong stock performance.
The company’s dominance in this sector has made it a preferred choice for investors looking for stable returns.
Strategic Acquisitions: Salesforce’s strategic acquisitions have also played a role in boosting its stock price. These acquisitions have not only expanded the company’s product offerings but also opened up new markets, contributing to revenue growth.
WALMART: Correction to the 1D MA100. Strong buy after.Walmart is pulling back aggressively on what is a technical correction following deeply overbought RSI levels on the 1W timeframe. The 1D technical outlook has already turned bearish (RSI = 41.808, MACD = 0.470, ADX = 29.295) and is expected to extend towards at least the 1D MA100, as per all prior systemic pullbacks inside a logarithmic Channel Up pattern that started in November 2015.
We estimate a low risk buy entry level at 57.00, with the ideal extension being on the 1W MA50. Our end of year target is a little under a +96.90% rise (TP = 73.00). The stock has completed this kind of rise on both prior Bullish Waves of the Channel Up before deep corrections near its bottom.
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WALMART RSI Bearish Divergence points to $58.00Walmart (WMT) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the May 20 2022 Low. The current Bullish Leg is approaching the pattern's top (Higher Highs trend-line) and the probability for a correction becomes greater on every up move.
As the 1D RSI has been on a Bearish Divergence since February 20, similar to the April - May 2023 Divergence, we are expecting a symmetrical decline of roughly -6.00%. That gives us a short Target of $58.00.
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Walmart's Bold Step Towards Fashion: A Partnership With UnspunIn a groundbreaking move aimed at revolutionizing the apparel industry, retail giant Walmart (NYSE: NYSE:WMT ) has embarked on a visionary collaboration with unspun, a trailblazing fashion tech company. This partnership signals a significant stride towards reducing environmental impact, fostering sustainability, and revitalizing U.S.-based manufacturing.
At the core of this alliance lies unspun's pioneering 3D weaving technology, a game-changer poised to reshape conventional garment production methods. Unlike traditional flat weaving processes, unspun's innovative approach dramatically minimizes fabric waste and streamlines manufacturing, marking a pivotal shift towards a more sustainable future.
The pilot project, centered in Oakland, California, represents a tangible commitment to tackling the pressing challenges facing the apparel industry. By leveraging unspun's cutting-edge technology, Walmart aims to address concerns surrounding waste, carbon emissions, and offshore manufacturing, aligning with its broader sustainability goals.
Andrea Albright, Walmart's Executive Vice President of Sourcing, underscores the company's unwavering dedication to innovation and sustainability. She emphasizes the potential of this collaboration to not only revolutionize supply chain dynamics but also create skilled job opportunities and meet consumer demand for locally made garments.
The pilot project will initially focus on producing workwear-style pants under a Walmart house brand, showcasing the versatility and efficiency of 3D weaving technology. This innovative approach, which eliminates the need for multiple manufacturing steps, holds immense promise for driving efficiency and reducing environmental impact.
WALMART Forming a peak pattern. Correction possible.Walmart is technically bullish on the 1D outlook (RSI = 66.294, MACD = 1.320, ADX = 41.735) but has reached the top of the 18 month Channel Up. With the 1D RSI Double Topped inside the overbought zone, the current price is increasingly unstable and the rally since the December 11th 2023 HL unsustainable withouth a correction. The three main pullbacks inside the Channel Up have been within the -10.20% and -11.92% region. A new -10% correction would test the 0.236 Channel Fib and come close to the 1D MA200. That is our target (TP = 54.50).
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Box Store Giants: Macro Fib SchematicsWalmart, Costco, Target, CVS, Home Depot, and Walgreens are the largest box store giants in the market. Proctor and Gamble along with Nike are in here because they are both also mega corporations and since P&G has so many products in these stores. Nike is also a staple in these stores but Proctor and Gamble especially belongs here.
These Fibonacci Schematics are extremely clean and probably the best looking structure I have ever seen. This is an excellent example of market mechanics working through Fib Schematics.
If we were to talk about what we see here 2/27/24 then we see....
- Walmart at a couple resistances.
- P&G launching off massive Fib Cluster support.
- Costco testing the waters above and getting ready to jump into next levels.
- Home Depot testing its midpoint from its high with a massive front run from the Thick Orange Fib Line after the actual rejection at the high. This means we are set to launch through the high at 420.
- Target barely rejected the high (FRONTRUN) and found reasonable support on the same supports it FRONTRAN. Target is poised to go crazy high.
- Nike looks like it can do anything.
- CVS also looks like it can do anything but looks more bearish tbh.
Looking at WMT before the splitWMT split 3/1 today. Looking back over the years, the WMT stock almost looks like a crypto that never crashed. Its gone up consistently over the years.
WMT can be traded technically of course. But one of my friends who is a successful options trader likes WMT for its fundamentals. And I think that shows in this chart over the decades of Walmart's history.
Some people hate Walmart for some of their business practices, but people continue to choose to work there, and people continue to choose to shop there. That says a lot.
Chart patterns are fun to trade if technical analysis is your focus, but if you're looking long term at all, fundamental analysis is not to be ignored.
With the split, there are some benefits to us traders. At a cheaper price, more of us can trade more. That means more volume and liquidity in the market. If you sell options, you might be able to afford WMT options now if you couldn't before.
I'm not sure how the split will affect price...there is an active bearish pattern. But in the long term, no doubt WMT will continue to grow its business and maintain its decades-long trajectory.
Happy trading out there!
🌟 Walmart's Stock Split: What Investors Need to KnowWalmart, the retail giant known for its everyday low prices, is embarking on a significant change that has investors buzzing. On February 26, 2024, Walmart will undergo a 3-for-1 stock split, a move aimed at making its shares more accessible to a broader range of investors.
CEO Doug McMillon attributes this decision to the vision of Walmart's founder, Sam Walton, who believed in making the company's stock affordable for its associates. McMillon sees the stock split as an opportunity to encourage greater participation from Walmart employees in the company's future growth.
But what does this mean for investors, and how might Walmart's stock perform following the split? Let's take a closer look at Walmart's historical stock split performance to find some clues.
Historically, stock splits have been viewed as potential catalysts for driving share prices higher. The rationale behind this theory is that lower share prices resulting from a split may attract more retail investors, leading to increased demand for the stock and, consequently, higher prices.
In Walmart's case, the company has undergone nine 2-for-1 stock splits in its history. While some of these splits have been followed by significant share price increases, others have yielded more mixed results.
For example, Walmart's stock split on Dec. 17, 1980, marked a turning point for the company, with shares rebounding considerably post-split. Similarly, splits in July 1982 and October 1985 were followed by share price jumps.
However, the pattern is not always consistent. Some splits, such as those in 1990 and 1999, did not clearly correlate with sustained share price increases.
Looking ahead, Walmart's fundamental strengths remain a key consideration for investors. With projected revenue of $645 billion for fiscal 2024 and a solid track record of profitability, Walmart continues to be a dominant force in the retail industry.
That said, concerns about valuation persist, with Walmart's forward price-to-earnings multiple hovering around 23.8x. While the stock may not be considered cheap, its strong underlying business and growth prospects make it an attractive long-term investment.
In conclusion, while Walmart's stock split may generate short-term excitement, investors should focus on the company's fundamentals and long-term prospects. As always, exercising patience and conducting thorough research are essential when making investment decisions in the ever-evolving market landscape.