Walmart support could prove difficult to breakdown.Walmart - 30d expiry - We look to Buy at 138.44 (stop at 133.86)
Levels below 138 continue to attract buyers.
The medium term bias is neutral.
138.27 has been pivotal.
Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
The stock is currently outperforming in its sector.
Support could prove difficult to breakdown.
Our profit targets will be 149.88 and 152.88
Resistance: 142.00 / 145.61 / 147.86
Support: 138.17 / 135.00 / 130.00
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Walmart
BBBY Bed Bath and Beyond - A High Risk Scalp Is All That's LeftBed Bath and Beyond is a classic case of why you stay the hell away from Reddit, which is partially owned by the Chinese Communist Party's Tencent, and good for very little besides indoctrinating readers with atheism, socialism, Marxist-Leninism's garbage, and a lot of pornography.
I remember during the $10+ August run seeing posts on WallStreetBets and the BBBY subs encouraging people to buy and file paperwork with their brokers for self custody because Buy Buy Baby was supposed to get split off and lead to a moon mission.
Also, RYAN F'IN COHEN!!!!
Other fun posts were propaganda like "Wow this BBBY store just opened near my house! Bullish!" and "Bought my entire family a membership for Christmas xD."
Reddit is not social media. It's a social marketing and social influencing platform where communities are organized from the ground up by professional public relations firms.
Enlighten to it, already.
If you risk your money on the basis of what some alpha-schtick avatar with slicked back hair, a suit, and sunglasses says, you really can only blame yourself when you wind up holding a 95% loser, which is what this thing has become.
Reuters reported on Jan. 5 that BBBY is on the verge of missing a $1.5 billion debt payment on Feb. 1, which will give it 30 more days before it will default, and is on the verge of bankruptcy.
And over the course of 2 days, you lost 47%.
Earnings is coming up on Jan. 10, and for those who bought $1.80 and $1.30 thinking you got a deal, the all time low isn't far away at 88 cents, which was the first month BBBY traded for all the way back in 1992.
You should absolutely expect Bed Bath and Beyond will post dumpster fire numbers with heavy warnings to investors about how things are about to get a lot worse before you buy the dip.
That being said, the only potential profitable trade on this thing before it declares bankruptcy is for it to do something like the piece of trash Upstart Holdings, another Reddit pump and dump, did on its last earnings after it reported a 200% miss on EPS, with a good old fashioned dump and squeeze before falling even farther towards the 12th Layer of Hell.
And the good news is that if you don't get stopped out, you might get lucky and get a retracement to the daily trendline at roughly $2.40 that you can sell at, if the markets go wild on a Thursday CPI miss and whatever ostensibly bullish narrative Wall Street wants to pump FOMC rate hikes with.
SPX500 / ES / SPY - Enjoy the Party While It Lasts
But what I would like to point out to you is that BBBY declaring bankruptcy means that the stock will approach $0.00 legit. In the best case scenario, you might get a buying opportunity before it gets delisted so that you can hold your bag until someone buys its assets and maybe the stock will be worth something again if they don't just liquidate the chain to pay creditors.
A good example is found in Hertz HTZ
It fell from $20 to 0.44 cents and got delisted, and stayed that way for almost 2 years. Then it was worth a lot.
This is called "gambling" not "distressed investing," however.
Another chance you have is found in the precedent of this piece of crap APE "All People Equal" (Thanks Karl Marx and Mao Zedong! Absolute egalitarianism and class struggle is sooooooooo cool!!!!) from the AMC split, which absolutely annihilated really, really bad short sellers trying to pile on to $0.00 once it fell into the 0.60s.
You might also get this kind of squeeze on BBBY if there is news that it somehow won't miss its debt payments, and then $3.50 is incoming. Maybe RYAN F'IN COHEN will Superman and cape in to save the day.
Bed Bath and Beyond is another one of those garbage-style retail outlets that existed to hustle stuff made in the Chinese Communist Party's factories to Americans and Canadians, and now that it's been replaced in usefulness by stuff like Amazon, truly has limited value as a business model.
Amazon AMZN - Manufacturing Support
But they have a lot of stores and a lot of infrastructure, so maybe someone will come along and buy them on the cheap, resurrect BBBY, split Buy Buy Baby, and you'll make a fortune.
If not, you can always complain about Ken Griffin and Citadel with the Redditor Wumao that you still think are fellow bagholders because you don't want to sober up and get off the damn computer already.
Look, if you take this trade, it's a scalp. And it's a risky scalp that might be nice. You literally need to buy the earnings crash, wait and see if Nasdaq wants to go up on Jan. 12, and get out in a profit.
This isn't something to buy and hold, no matter how some "alpha" kid with a bored apes NFT for a profile picture barks about how they "like the stock."
Good. Grief. Don't. Hold. This. Piece. Of. Crap.
Some influencer might "like the stock," but don't you "like" your money?
You can't take BBBY shitcoins to the grocery store to buy rice and you can't take them to the gas station to buy gas.
Never forget this. And never forget to ditch Reddit and the Chinese Communist Party forever.
Get off the computer and go outside more. You'll trade better and lose less/make more money, too.
WMT Walmart Inc. Options After The EarningsLooking at the WMT Walmart Inc. options chain after the earnings, i would buy the $145 strike price Puts with
2023-1-20 expiration date for about
$3.65 premium.
If the options turn out to be profitable Before the earnings release, i would sell at least 50%.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
WALMART may be approaching the end of this rallyWalmart Inc. (WMT) has been rising since the low of the June 13 2022 weekly (1W) candle. Along the way it broke above the key Resistance of the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and after it held the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), it has established both as Support levels long-term.
There are however two longer term patterns to consider that supersede those MA periods, and those are the Megaphone pattern since November 2020 and the Higher Lows trend-line/ Zone since November 09 2015.
As the 1W RSI enters the Resistance zone that is holding since 2016 and only broke once, we have to start considering that the top is near especially as the price is approaching the Higher Lows zone of the Megaphone. As you see since 2016, every major test of the 1W RSI Resistance Zone hit at least the 1W MA50. This suggests that if you bought Walmart a few weeks back, you may start looking to book profits and re-buy lower either on the 1W MA50 or even a little lower, the closer to the Higher Lows trend-line, the better.
If the price breaks first above the Megaphone's top (Higher Highs trend-line), it is an instant buy and a new bullish pattern will emerge.
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Walmart, Target unveil diverging economic outlooksWalmart and Target released diverging outlooks for the final quarter of 2022 as the companies' respective recent financial results show how rising inflation prompts consumers in the US to be extra mindful and plan their purchases instead of becoming abrupt buyers who will end up buying more than intended.
The change in consumer behavior benefited retail corporation Walmart, which generates much of its sales from groceries, and somehow took away sales from big box department store chain Target, which is a destination more for top-up shopping.
Consumers becoming extra careful of their spending can be attributed to inflation and concerns about the US economy heading into a recession.
The annual inflation rate in October slowed to 7.7%, compared with the 8.2% in September, according to figures released in November. The latest figure is lower than the consensus estimates of 8% and marked the lowest inflation figure since Jan. 22.
However, consumer confidence across the country fell during the month to a three-month low of 102.5 from a 107.8 reading in September despite the slowdown in inflation amid growing concerns regarding the economy.
Opposing outlooks
In the third quarter, Walmart upgrraded its financial outlook for the year after reporting an 8.2% growth in comparable sales and a sustained gain in market share of the grocery sector.
On the other hand, Target downgraded its forecast for the fourth quarter following a 2.7% hike in comparable sales, attributable to a 1.4% rise in traffic growth and a 1.3% increase in average ticket.
Since the release of their respective results, Walmart is up ~10% while Target has fallen ~8%.
Target's failure to hit its profit and revenue targets for the quarter paints a picture of how consumers are becoming more selective of what they spend on.
Saunders said the company's financial results show that people are now spending more on food and grocery staples and not as much on apparel and home goods, which provide better margins for the company.
This is how the behavioral shift becomes beneficial for Walmart. The company prides itself on offering products at "everyday low prices." As Americans become more careful with their spending, this mantra becomes even more appealing.
In addition, grocery items are always a necessity regardless of the soaring prices of products. With the bulk of its sales coming from groceries, this change could be very lucrative for Walmart.
Possible ray of light for the economy
Retail sales across the US in October saw a 1.3% uptick after being unchanged in September. Year over year, sales grew 8.3%.
The better-than-expected growth in retail sales across the US in October suggests consumer spending has picked up early in the fourth quarter of 2022. According to Reuters, this could be beneficial for the US economy, especially amid fears of an incoming recession.
Along with the slowdown in inflation, the solid retail sales for the month elicited cautious optimism that perhaps, the US economy could avoid the expected recession or at least only experience a mild downturn.
But Target's warning of "dramatic changes" in consumer behavior that dragged its third-quarter sales still hangs in the air, eliciting concerns that it may affect sales over the holidays.
Expectations for retail sales in November is a 0.9% rise. The National Retail Federation is forecasting holiday sales for 2022 will grow between 6% and 8% this year. If realized, the expected figure would be lower than the 13.5% hike recorded in the prior-year period even at top end of the range. Even so, it will still be higher than the 4.9% growth average over the past 10 years.
Could WMT be starting its death drop?Here I have market off major zones where price tends to retrace too before a major change of direction. You may also notice the rising wedge headed back that has already started playing itself out. This move will happen over a short period of time. I say this because once enough selling pressure has been established, buyers will fearfully close their longs causing price to move lower which will of course attract more sellers leaving the price only to do one thing...
Nordstrom JWN - A Latent ScalpI hear that the economy is pretty bad right now. So bad that we're in a recession, although the Government doesn't like the word "recession."
The real word to describe the situation humanity is facing that nobody is saying yet, however, is "Depression."
Here in North America, we aren't quite there yet, but no amount of money printing and astroturfing is capable of keeping the true state of the environment, the food supply, the water sources, and our energy reserves hidden for all that much longer.
So, they say that for a company like Nordstrom, it's surely "a strong sell." After all, the whole sector is going down the drain because even the middle-upper class is spending less, and that surely is true.
Yet, one doesn't have to back up the dump truck to buy and hold something for 6 years, either.
Nordstrom's post-dump price action has some unique characteristics. Mainly, that for the better part of two weeks, it's been completely bearish.
It also has not retested the $20 psychological level to find buyers, or rebalanced the dump's gap. That all on its own is peculiar in a market that just loves to flirt with gaps after making them, at least a little bit.
With price trading as low as $16.84 on Friday, a run to $21 yields a 22% trade. Ideally, if price action is to do the pseudo fakeout dump I am expecting when markets open on Tuesday:
SPX / ES - Bull Whips and Bear Saws
One can get in cheaper than $16.84, and then the risk/reward is all the sweeter.
I believe it's without a doubt that an exceptional shakeout is coming in the markets, a fundamental correction that will crack the pre-COVID highs and have everyone questioning what's going to happen with their happiness and their investments.
So JWN Nordstrom is not something you would want to hold. You want to drop it like a hot potato. But its current setup does provide what may be an imminent opportunity.
Walmart WMT Trade setup for 31-August-2022 Walmart(WMT) is in a no trade zone. We need to wait for the stock to show us some direction.
The trend based on the last 2 months shows upside, but the way the stock has fallen into the support area(130-133) doesnt look good.
If the stock moves above 133, we can go long with a price target of 143 and a stop loss of 130.
If the stock moves lower than 130, we can go short witht h price target of 124 and a stop at 133.
MSM gap up on Walmart offerNYSE:WMT , through its subsidiary, has made a R62/share offer to buyout JSE:MSM shareholders. Great for current shareholders, the offer represents a 62% premium!
Historically, share prices rarely move beyond the offer price, unless the offer price is revised a higher price is offered. If you missed this train, askies. Not expecting the share price to drop, but it's risky to buy at this level, especially if there's no meat left on the bone.
WMT Walmart LONG Swing TradeWMT beat earnings by 10% and has been upgraded for targets as a result.
The chart shows heavy relative volume ( 4X the running average) reacting to the earnings.
WMT has a 10% upside to the resistance of sell order blocks above.
WMT is now set up for a long swing trade with either the stock or call options at
an expiration a bit before the next earnings.
Walmart Bottoms Relative to S&P 500This chart shows three things. First, the candles show how Walmart performs relative to the broader market (S&P 500 ETF - SPY). Second, it shows how that ratio changes as the unemployment rate goes up (light blue line). Third, it shows the 25-year support line of Walmart's relative performance to SPY (red line).
Notice how Walmart's relative performance goes down as the unemployment rate goes down, and goes up as the unemployment rate goes up. Walmart typically fares relatively better during economic downturns presumably because more people seek out bargain prices.
Also notice that, following its inflation warning, Walmart's performance relative to SPY is near its 25-year support line. One could reasonably argue a couple of things: (1) We are possibly near a bottom in terms of Walmart's underperformance to the S&P 500, and (2) If this correlation is predictive, the unemployment rate may soon start to rise.
Just remember that this is a relative chart, so it does not mean that the price of Walmart's stock will go up from here. It just means that Walmart may soon begin to shift from underperforming the broader market to outperforming (if the stock market is falling, then Walmart may fall too but by a lesser magnitude). This shift can take weeks to months, but once underway, can last for years.
While I am not providing financial advice, and encourage everyone to fully analyze the risks of their own trades, I am considering adding Walmart to my portfolio as a form of recession hedging. I am waiting for the possibility of Walmart to fall as much as 10% more in terms of its relative performance to the broader market (SPY), once it consolidates there I will likely begin accumulation. To read more about why I think a recession is coming you can click the link below in the related ideas section.
Walmart (NYSE: $WMT) Trading Under Golden Pocket! 👌Walmart Inc. engages in the operation of retail, wholesale, and other units worldwide. The company operates through three segments: Walmart U.S., Walmart International, and Sam's Club. It operates supercenters, supermarkets, hypermarkets, warehouse clubs, cash and carry stores, and discount stores; membership-only warehouse clubs; ecommerce websites, such as walmart.com, walmart.com.mx, walmart.ca, flipkart.com, and samsclub.com; and mobile commerce applications. The company offers grocery and consumables, which includes dairy, meat, bakery, deli, produce, dry, chilled or frozen packaged foods, alcoholic and nonalcoholic beverages, floral, snack foods, candy, other grocery items, health and beauty aids, paper goods, laundry and home care, baby care, pet supplies, and other consumable items; and health and wellness products covering pharmacy, over-the-counter drugs and other medical products, and optical and hearing services. It also provides gasoline stations and tobacco; home improvement, outdoor living, gardening, furniture, apparel, jewelry, tools and power equipment, housewares, toys, seasonal items, mattresses, and tire and battery centers; and consumer electronics and accessories, software, video games, office supplies, appliances, and third-party gift cards. In addition, the company offers fuel and financial services and related products, including money orders, prepaid cards, money transfers, and check cashing and bill payment, as well as various types of installment lending. It operates approximately 10,500 stores and various e-commerce websites under 46 banners in 24 countries. The company was formerly known as Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. and changed its name to Walmart Inc. in February 2018. The company was founded in 1945 and is based in Bentonville, Arkansas.
Walmart stock close to be in a big bearish movehello,
Walmart is in critical stage because we are close to break down an important level
what we should keep eye on is these level bellow, when they are broken with a nice volume the stock will have a free fall toward the other level shwon on myu chart.
Remeber that i am not using cristal ball predicting markets' future but i try to be more effecient end mor rationnal on may markets analysis.
Do not hestate asking me some markets' analysis' i will be glade to answer you
Good luck
What to expect from Walmart. I wouldn't buy if I know this.There are a lot of people saying about buying now, giving signals like if there is no tomorrow, like if buying stocks is free... I don't see the point in buying anything for the long term right now because of many different reasons:
1. April Consumer Credit +$38.07BN, Exp. $35.0BN . The revolving credit increase was $17.8BN. The second-highest on record.
When investors devote too much of their cash to equities in aggregate, the market underperforms over the next ten years. This predicts that stocks will produce lower-than-average returns over the following ten years. While you don't have to shun equities entirely, you should adjust your expectations properly. Alternatively, wait for the stock allocation to drop down considerably before buying, which can happen if the market truly capitulates.
The average stock allocation of investors is presently close to 50%, which is the second-highest level in history. Equity prices will fall over the next decade unless investors maintain a larger stock allocation (which I believe is improbable) - by about 4% each year over the next decade.
2. The US consumer sentiment index from the University of Michigan goes back to 1952 . It has never been lower than it is today.
3. Earnings Recession . With the first quarter earnings season nearly complete (97% of companies reported), S&P 500 earnings are down 14% versus Q4 2021 and up less than 1% year-over-year.
4. Critical shortage . The baby formula shortage continues to worsen, with 74% of stores across America out-of-stock (a year ago the rate was less than 5%). 10 US states now have out-of-stocks rates that are 90% or higher, including the most populous state (California).
5. U.S. Inflation
Dec '20: 1.4% (Trump's last full month in office)
Feb '21: 1.7%
Apr '21: 4.2%
June '21: 5.4%
Aug '21: 5.3%
Oct '21: 6.2%
Dec '21: 7.0%
Feb '22 : 7.9% (Putin invades Ukraine)
Apr '22: 8.3%
6. Walmart is making offers in order to sell some stock that they have , which may change the psychology of the clients making them think that the quality is becoming worst and also becoming hard to rise prices in the future.
All these points combined (inflation + shortage + fewer earnings + lower consumer sentiment + people investing money they cannot afford to lose) make me think that investing in Walmart right now can be an 8-10 years trap where you would lose even less by just leaving your money under your bed.
7. The technical analysis neither seems good as you can see. With all these conditions is something expectable that Walmart goes at least to the 61.8 Fibonacci level or even to 55$ per share...
This is not a recommendation for buying or selling, this is just an analysis to make people have a more global vision before falling into the traps of the people that invite you to buy at this level.
Do you have a Reward to Risk ratioIn the world of trading, do you know what a Rw/Rs (Reward to Risk) ratio is? if you dont this article will be beyond your understanding. I suggest you read up on Reward to Risk ratio & come back to read this. If you do know what a Rw/Rs ratio & assume most of you do, we can continue our merry trade discussion ;D
My Rw/Rs ratio for Swing trades that i take on a Weekly (W) chart is factor of 4 to 6, am happy to see more. with my Day trading strategy; am a little more aggressive & will settle for a Rw/Rs factor of 3-4 to take on a day trade.
Once a while, a trade opportunity arises that offer such a large room for Reward to run, as in this (W) chart of WMT WalMart Corp. if the trades goes my way, look at this room for profit to run, with no resistance of supplyzone in sight this can go up.....sweet mama, she got my attention.
First; (Disclaimer) I will never take a trade solely based on a sweet Rw/Rs the odds are not in my favour. Back to the trade. So i have a sweet Rw/Rs ratio what else is going on? Price is crashing into a DZ from the (M) & this DZ happens to be the HL of the month (M) uptrend. This is good, The week (W) price chart is into the long-term chart DZ (Demand zone). This qualifies only if the (M) is still in a technically defined in uptrend. This is a Classic trade set-up I love.
Like a Snipper I set my LNG (long) entry at 117 level slightly above the lower band of the DZ, my entry was so low that my risk was less than a dollar before my STP triggers. I took the Long position, the market rallied & so did WMT, & I closed 1/2 my position once price reached 128, I took a good 10 Rw (Reward) pressure if off. already the trade made its money. & I let the 1/2 of the position run. Lets see how it goes when the market is open on Monday. This was a swing trade using the (W) chart to identify the setup. Long-term would be the (M) chart & I used the (D) daily chart to enter & set my STP.