Nordstrom JWN - A Latent ScalpI hear that the economy is pretty bad right now. So bad that we're in a recession, although the Government doesn't like the word "recession."
The real word to describe the situation humanity is facing that nobody is saying yet, however, is "Depression."
Here in North America, we aren't quite there yet, but no amount of money printing and astroturfing is capable of keeping the true state of the environment, the food supply, the water sources, and our energy reserves hidden for all that much longer.
So, they say that for a company like Nordstrom, it's surely "a strong sell." After all, the whole sector is going down the drain because even the middle-upper class is spending less, and that surely is true.
Yet, one doesn't have to back up the dump truck to buy and hold something for 6 years, either.
Nordstrom's post-dump price action has some unique characteristics. Mainly, that for the better part of two weeks, it's been completely bearish.
It also has not retested the $20 psychological level to find buyers, or rebalanced the dump's gap. That all on its own is peculiar in a market that just loves to flirt with gaps after making them, at least a little bit.
With price trading as low as $16.84 on Friday, a run to $21 yields a 22% trade. Ideally, if price action is to do the pseudo fakeout dump I am expecting when markets open on Tuesday:
SPX / ES - Bull Whips and Bear Saws
One can get in cheaper than $16.84, and then the risk/reward is all the sweeter.
I believe it's without a doubt that an exceptional shakeout is coming in the markets, a fundamental correction that will crack the pre-COVID highs and have everyone questioning what's going to happen with their happiness and their investments.
So JWN Nordstrom is not something you would want to hold. You want to drop it like a hot potato. But its current setup does provide what may be an imminent opportunity.
Walmart
Walmart WMT Trade setup for 31-August-2022 Walmart(WMT) is in a no trade zone. We need to wait for the stock to show us some direction.
The trend based on the last 2 months shows upside, but the way the stock has fallen into the support area(130-133) doesnt look good.
If the stock moves above 133, we can go long with a price target of 143 and a stop loss of 130.
If the stock moves lower than 130, we can go short witht h price target of 124 and a stop at 133.
MSM gap up on Walmart offerNYSE:WMT , through its subsidiary, has made a R62/share offer to buyout JSE:MSM shareholders. Great for current shareholders, the offer represents a 62% premium!
Historically, share prices rarely move beyond the offer price, unless the offer price is revised a higher price is offered. If you missed this train, askies. Not expecting the share price to drop, but it's risky to buy at this level, especially if there's no meat left on the bone.
WMT Walmart LONG Swing TradeWMT beat earnings by 10% and has been upgraded for targets as a result.
The chart shows heavy relative volume ( 4X the running average) reacting to the earnings.
WMT has a 10% upside to the resistance of sell order blocks above.
WMT is now set up for a long swing trade with either the stock or call options at
an expiration a bit before the next earnings.
Walmart Bottoms Relative to S&P 500This chart shows three things. First, the candles show how Walmart performs relative to the broader market (S&P 500 ETF - SPY). Second, it shows how that ratio changes as the unemployment rate goes up (light blue line). Third, it shows the 25-year support line of Walmart's relative performance to SPY (red line).
Notice how Walmart's relative performance goes down as the unemployment rate goes down, and goes up as the unemployment rate goes up. Walmart typically fares relatively better during economic downturns presumably because more people seek out bargain prices.
Also notice that, following its inflation warning, Walmart's performance relative to SPY is near its 25-year support line. One could reasonably argue a couple of things: (1) We are possibly near a bottom in terms of Walmart's underperformance to the S&P 500, and (2) If this correlation is predictive, the unemployment rate may soon start to rise.
Just remember that this is a relative chart, so it does not mean that the price of Walmart's stock will go up from here. It just means that Walmart may soon begin to shift from underperforming the broader market to outperforming (if the stock market is falling, then Walmart may fall too but by a lesser magnitude). This shift can take weeks to months, but once underway, can last for years.
While I am not providing financial advice, and encourage everyone to fully analyze the risks of their own trades, I am considering adding Walmart to my portfolio as a form of recession hedging. I am waiting for the possibility of Walmart to fall as much as 10% more in terms of its relative performance to the broader market (SPY), once it consolidates there I will likely begin accumulation. To read more about why I think a recession is coming you can click the link below in the related ideas section.
Walmart (NYSE: $WMT) Trading Under Golden Pocket! 👌Walmart Inc. engages in the operation of retail, wholesale, and other units worldwide. The company operates through three segments: Walmart U.S., Walmart International, and Sam's Club. It operates supercenters, supermarkets, hypermarkets, warehouse clubs, cash and carry stores, and discount stores; membership-only warehouse clubs; ecommerce websites, such as walmart.com, walmart.com.mx, walmart.ca, flipkart.com, and samsclub.com; and mobile commerce applications. The company offers grocery and consumables, which includes dairy, meat, bakery, deli, produce, dry, chilled or frozen packaged foods, alcoholic and nonalcoholic beverages, floral, snack foods, candy, other grocery items, health and beauty aids, paper goods, laundry and home care, baby care, pet supplies, and other consumable items; and health and wellness products covering pharmacy, over-the-counter drugs and other medical products, and optical and hearing services. It also provides gasoline stations and tobacco; home improvement, outdoor living, gardening, furniture, apparel, jewelry, tools and power equipment, housewares, toys, seasonal items, mattresses, and tire and battery centers; and consumer electronics and accessories, software, video games, office supplies, appliances, and third-party gift cards. In addition, the company offers fuel and financial services and related products, including money orders, prepaid cards, money transfers, and check cashing and bill payment, as well as various types of installment lending. It operates approximately 10,500 stores and various e-commerce websites under 46 banners in 24 countries. The company was formerly known as Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. and changed its name to Walmart Inc. in February 2018. The company was founded in 1945 and is based in Bentonville, Arkansas.
Walmart stock close to be in a big bearish movehello,
Walmart is in critical stage because we are close to break down an important level
what we should keep eye on is these level bellow, when they are broken with a nice volume the stock will have a free fall toward the other level shwon on myu chart.
Remeber that i am not using cristal ball predicting markets' future but i try to be more effecient end mor rationnal on may markets analysis.
Do not hestate asking me some markets' analysis' i will be glade to answer you
Good luck
What to expect from Walmart. I wouldn't buy if I know this.There are a lot of people saying about buying now, giving signals like if there is no tomorrow, like if buying stocks is free... I don't see the point in buying anything for the long term right now because of many different reasons:
1. April Consumer Credit +$38.07BN, Exp. $35.0BN . The revolving credit increase was $17.8BN. The second-highest on record.
When investors devote too much of their cash to equities in aggregate, the market underperforms over the next ten years. This predicts that stocks will produce lower-than-average returns over the following ten years. While you don't have to shun equities entirely, you should adjust your expectations properly. Alternatively, wait for the stock allocation to drop down considerably before buying, which can happen if the market truly capitulates.
The average stock allocation of investors is presently close to 50%, which is the second-highest level in history. Equity prices will fall over the next decade unless investors maintain a larger stock allocation (which I believe is improbable) - by about 4% each year over the next decade.
2. The US consumer sentiment index from the University of Michigan goes back to 1952 . It has never been lower than it is today.
3. Earnings Recession . With the first quarter earnings season nearly complete (97% of companies reported), S&P 500 earnings are down 14% versus Q4 2021 and up less than 1% year-over-year.
4. Critical shortage . The baby formula shortage continues to worsen, with 74% of stores across America out-of-stock (a year ago the rate was less than 5%). 10 US states now have out-of-stocks rates that are 90% or higher, including the most populous state (California).
5. U.S. Inflation
Dec '20: 1.4% (Trump's last full month in office)
Feb '21: 1.7%
Apr '21: 4.2%
June '21: 5.4%
Aug '21: 5.3%
Oct '21: 6.2%
Dec '21: 7.0%
Feb '22 : 7.9% (Putin invades Ukraine)
Apr '22: 8.3%
6. Walmart is making offers in order to sell some stock that they have , which may change the psychology of the clients making them think that the quality is becoming worst and also becoming hard to rise prices in the future.
All these points combined (inflation + shortage + fewer earnings + lower consumer sentiment + people investing money they cannot afford to lose) make me think that investing in Walmart right now can be an 8-10 years trap where you would lose even less by just leaving your money under your bed.
7. The technical analysis neither seems good as you can see. With all these conditions is something expectable that Walmart goes at least to the 61.8 Fibonacci level or even to 55$ per share...
This is not a recommendation for buying or selling, this is just an analysis to make people have a more global vision before falling into the traps of the people that invite you to buy at this level.
Do you have a Reward to Risk ratioIn the world of trading, do you know what a Rw/Rs (Reward to Risk) ratio is? if you dont this article will be beyond your understanding. I suggest you read up on Reward to Risk ratio & come back to read this. If you do know what a Rw/Rs ratio & assume most of you do, we can continue our merry trade discussion ;D
My Rw/Rs ratio for Swing trades that i take on a Weekly (W) chart is factor of 4 to 6, am happy to see more. with my Day trading strategy; am a little more aggressive & will settle for a Rw/Rs factor of 3-4 to take on a day trade.
Once a while, a trade opportunity arises that offer such a large room for Reward to run, as in this (W) chart of WMT WalMart Corp. if the trades goes my way, look at this room for profit to run, with no resistance of supplyzone in sight this can go up.....sweet mama, she got my attention.
First; (Disclaimer) I will never take a trade solely based on a sweet Rw/Rs the odds are not in my favour. Back to the trade. So i have a sweet Rw/Rs ratio what else is going on? Price is crashing into a DZ from the (M) & this DZ happens to be the HL of the month (M) uptrend. This is good, The week (W) price chart is into the long-term chart DZ (Demand zone). This qualifies only if the (M) is still in a technically defined in uptrend. This is a Classic trade set-up I love.
Like a Snipper I set my LNG (long) entry at 117 level slightly above the lower band of the DZ, my entry was so low that my risk was less than a dollar before my STP triggers. I took the Long position, the market rallied & so did WMT, & I closed 1/2 my position once price reached 128, I took a good 10 Rw (Reward) pressure if off. already the trade made its money. & I let the 1/2 of the position run. Lets see how it goes when the market is open on Monday. This was a swing trade using the (W) chart to identify the setup. Long-term would be the (M) chart & I used the (D) daily chart to enter & set my STP.
No Bearish VolumeShort & simple. No, I'm not your bitcoin support group leader. Yes you could be buying at these levels & even at 20K but that's none of my business. What I noticed since looking at the Monthly BTC Chart is that there is no bearish volume to cause real fear. Again, I've been doing this since BTC $800 so BTC 10K doesn't bother me either. Make your own choice but adoption happens during Bitcoin "Bear" markets & we've seen adoption from a few countries around the world. Zoom out & have a nice Memorial Day Weekend.
$WMT Walmart back down to $122?I think we're in the process of seeing a fake breakout above resistance. Over the past few weeks, price has moved up past the $152 resistance, but price looks like it's now rolling over. Upon a break of that $152 resistance on support, it sets up the possibility for price to crash back to the $122 region before finding support.
I've put key dates on the charts for changes in price action, let's see what happens over the next month or two.
WMT BUY BUY BUY Hey everyone! Thank you for being apart of one of the worlds greatest community!!
Now back to business. Walmart stock is way undervalued set up BUY limits at 142.47 and 135.84
And let that ride out until 2025 thank me then. Until now thank you for being here!
I will be selling courses on which indicators I use here on Trade View to be 100% accurate. Stay tuned.
Walmart losing lard off its backside. WMTImmediate targets 130, 128. Invalidation 154
We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in purple with invalidation in red. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe
WMT: Sell Zone is 164-168Walmart has been on a tear while the broader market has been correcting over the last few days. Walmart is in the heart of its 3rd wave right now, and my price targets for W-3 are 164-168. Once Walmart completes its W-5 up to the 172-175 region, it will experience a correction for about 4-8 weeks back down to the 150s.