Walmart (WMT) shares reach highest level since early MarchWalmart (WMT) shares reach highest level since early March
As shown on the chart of Walmart (WMT) shares, trading closed yesterday above the $94 mark – a level not seen since the beginning of March. This means that since the start of 2025, Walmart’s share price has risen by approximately 5.5%.
This positive trend stands in stark contrast to the S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen), which has declined by more than 8% over the same period.
Why are Walmart (WMT) shares outperforming the index?
Apparently, from the market’s point of view, this is due to the fact that Walmart’s supermarkets are a source of essential goods for Americans, giving the company an advantage in a scenario where the US economy may slide into recession.
According to Mizuho Bank analyst David Bellinger, Walmart is a sensible choice for investors trying to stay afloat in a volatile market. He forecasts that WMT’s share price could rise to $105 – around 15% higher than its current level.
Bellinger notes that Walmart continues to attract price-conscious shoppers and has made significant progress in e-commerce, helping the company remain resilient even amid the prospect of economic slowdown.
Technical analysis of Walmart (WMT) shares
The chart shows that the share price is moving within a long-term upward trend. The black dashed line, which had acted as support for many months, has been broken:
- This suggests that the line may now act as a median.
- Allowed us to widen the channel and find its lower boundary, which is expected to offer support.
Indeed, the lower boundary of the expanded channel provided support in the first half of April, with particular attention drawn to the large bullish candlestick on 9 April (marked with an arrow). According to the NYSE, over 46 million shares were traded on that day – more than twice the average volume. This highlights the strength of demand.
It is possible that WMT shares may continue to outperform the index going forward, forming fluctuations while:
- receiving support from the psychological $90 level (previously a resistance point);
- gradually approaching the median of the aforementioned channel.
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Walmarttrading
WALMART: Recovery will take time but it's worth the investment.Walmart is headed to an oversold condition on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 36.324, MACD = -2.580, ADX = 37.504) but remains marginally neutral on 1W (RSI = 45.418). Based on its 13 year Channel Up and the 1W RSI pattern, it got rejected on its top but this 2 month decline is a usual correction inside this Channel. In fact we do expect the 1W MA50 to break but most likely the trend will find support on the Channel's middle trendline and start to gradually recover in 2026. The recovery process will be long but the prices are already to low and oversold, still one can wait for the 1W MA50 to break in order to confirm that, and buy for the long term. After all, the stock gained more than +160% in less than 3 years and an investment on the world's biggest groceries company with such amazing return, is a worthwhile one. Our target is $140 by the end of 2027/early 2028.
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WALMART: The first buy opportunity of 2025 is here.Walmart has turned neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 52.502, MACD = 0.350, ADX = 31.554) as it is trading sideways on top of the 1D MA50. This is a strong support level that has been unbroken since August 14th 2024 but the sideways trending 1D RSI resembles all times since September 2022 that it crossed under it and then rallied. Consequently this is already a strong buy signal, regardless of whether the price breaks the 1D MA50 or not as, at worst it is expected to trade sideways for another 1-2 weeks and then rebound. We aim for a +22% price increase (TP = 108.00) like the last two bullish waves delivered.
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WALMART: Forming a Megaphone Top. Sell signal.Walmart is fairly bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 59.199, MACD = 0.980, ADX = 43.049) as the price is near the top of the 2024 Bullish Megaphone and has been forming a top since the September 16th High. This slowdown can be seen on the two prior top formations and is more obvious on the 1D RSI which prints a Channel Down when the price peaks on a Channel Up. This Bearish Divergence is the signal we need to go short next week. We aim for just under the 1D MA50 (TP = 77.50) or take the profit if the RSI hits the buy entry line first.
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WALMART Forming a peak pattern. Correction possible.Walmart is technically bullish on the 1D outlook (RSI = 66.294, MACD = 1.320, ADX = 41.735) but has reached the top of the 18 month Channel Up. With the 1D RSI Double Topped inside the overbought zone, the current price is increasingly unstable and the rally since the December 11th 2023 HL unsustainable withouth a correction. The three main pullbacks inside the Channel Up have been within the -10.20% and -11.92% region. A new -10% correction would test the 0.236 Channel Fib and come close to the 1D MA200. That is our target (TP = 54.50).
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