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75: Disney Stock Analysis and Outlook with Levels and ScenariosDisney has been experiencing mixed results in its recent earnings, reflecting both strong progress in streaming profitability and ongoing challenges in its theme park operations. The stock is now approaching a crucial zone between $80 to $90, which is a point of interest for potential reversal. Here's a breakdown of possible scenarios: Bullish Scenario : If Disney can hold and reverse in the $80-$90 zone, we could see a rebound driven by continued strength in streaming, especially if fundamentals improve further. The company’s recent milestone of achieving profitability in streaming earlier than expected is a positive indicator. If Disney can sustain and build on this, combined with strategic investments in new content and attractions, the stock may attract buyers and see a move back towards higher resistance levels. Bearish Scenario : However, if Disney fails to hold this key $80-$90 support zone, we could see the price move lower, with the next areas of interest at $65 and potentially $50. The theme parks’ underperformance and increasing operational costs are key risks. If these challenges persist without a significant recovery in fundamentals, particularly in visitor numbers or cost management, further downside pressure on the stock is likely. Technical Outlook: - Support Levels: $80-$90 (Key zone), $65, $50 - Resistance Levels: $111, $145 The upcoming price action in the $80-$90 zone will be critical in determining the next major move for $DIS. Keeping an eye on both the technical levels and fundamental developments will be crucial for making informed trading decisions.
NYSE:DIS
by SeventyFive-Invest
Navigating Disney's Growth: A Bullish Outlook for Investors The Walt Disney Company ( NYSE:DIS ) has recently faced headwinds, witnessing a dip to its lowest level since 2014. However, astute investors may find silver linings in the company's transformative journey under the leadership of CEO Bob Iger, setting the stage for a potential resurgence. This idea delves into Disney's recent struggles, the strategic initiatives undertaken by Iger, and the compelling reasons why the entertainment giant could be a lucrative long-term investment. 1. Analyzing Disney's Recent Performance: A Temporary Setback Disney's stock performance in 2023 raised eyebrows as it lagged behind the S&P 500 by a significant margin. The company faced challenges from disappointing box office releases, streaming business losses, and a proxy battle with activist investor Nelson Peltz. However, this setback is not an isolated event; Disney's underperformance extends over three, five, and ten years. This trend prompts investors to question the sustainability of the iconic brand's appeal in a rapidly evolving entertainment landscape. 2. Bob Iger's Vision: Transforming Disney for the Future: Since Bob Iger's return as CEO in late 2022, he has spearheaded a series of strategic initiatives to reshape Disney's trajectory. This includes substantial cost-cutting measures, a renewed focus on theme parks, and a shift from aggressive streaming pursuits to prioritizing profitability. Iger's restructuring efforts, including the divisional reorganization and potential divestment of linear TV assets, reflect a departure from his predecessor's approach, emphasizing streaming. 3. Streaming Business: A Key Turning Point: Iger's commitment to reaching breakeven in Disney's streaming business by the end of the fiscal year is a pivotal milestone. If successful, it marks a significant reversal from perennial losses, potentially transforming the streaming segment into a net contributor by 2025. The impending launch of a direct-to-consumer platform for ESPN further highlights Disney's adaptability to evolving consumer preferences. 4. Financial Outlook: Projected Earnings and Cost-Cutting Measures: Disney's proactive approach to cost-cutting, with an expanded target of $7.5 billion in structural savings, is a positive signal for investors. The forecasted growth of 17.3% and 19.9% in earnings per share for fiscal years 2024 and 2025, respectively, aligns with Iger's commitment to enhancing shareholder value. These measures, if executed successfully, could lead to improved earnings and a potential reevaluation of the company's valuation multiples. 5. Technical Analysis: Positive Signs for Investors: Disney's stock is trading near the bottom of its 52-week range but has started to lose downward momentum. This suggests that while investors may have pushed the price lower, there are indications that sentiment is turning positive. The stock's position above its 200-day simple moving average adds further credibility to a potential upward trajectory. 6. Conclusion: A Bullish Forecast for Disney in 2025 Despite recent challenges, Disney's strategic repositioning under Bob Iger offers a compelling narrative for long-term investors. If the company successfully navigates its streaming business to profitability, achieves targeted cost cuts, and delivers blockbuster releases by 2025, it could witness an expansion in valuation multiples. With a current Street-high target price of $120, representing a 32% upside, and consensus estimates predicting robust earnings growth, Disney appears poised for a bullish revival. In conclusion, while past performance may have left investors cautious, the winds of change blowing through Disney, coupled with positive technical indicators, suggest that 2025 could be a turning point for the entertainment giant.
NYSE:DISLong
by DEXWireNews
✅ Daily Market Analysis - TUESDAY AUGUST 08, 2023Key News: USA - FOMC Member Harker Speaks USA - Exports USA - Imports USA - Trade Balance (Jun) USA - EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook Wall Street commenced the week on a positive note, recovering from initial volatility that followed a relatively lackluster performance during the previous week. Investors took the opportunity to establish positions in anticipation of the eagerly awaited US inflation report, scheduled for release on Thursday. In the preceding week, major stock indices experienced declines as investors capitalized on the chance to lock in profits after several months of consistent growth. This strategic move was prompted by apprehensions concerning economic data, mixed corporate earnings outcomes, and the ascending trajectory of Treasury yields. The year 2023 has witnessed a robust upswing in US stocks, highlighted by the remarkable performance of the benchmark S&P 500, which has achieved an impressive 17% rise year-to-date. This upward surge can be attributed to buoyant sentiment surrounding advancements in artificial intelligence and expectations of a controlled deceleration in the world's largest economy. S&P 500 daily chart The approaching week directs considerable attention towards the entertainment sector, as significant players like Walt Disney (NYSE: DIS), News Corp (NASDAQ: NWSA), and Fox (NASDAQ: FOX) prepare to unveil their reports. The spotlight is notably on Disney, given a string of less-than-expected film releases and difficulties faced by its theme parks, which have spurred apprehensions about its overall performance. Walt Disney Company stock daily chart Despite a marginal dip observed on Monday, oil prices are holding steady near their highest levels since mid-April. This trend is a direct consequence of the recent announcement by prominent oil producers Saudi Arabia and Russia. Their declaration to prolong output reductions for an additional month has been orchestrated to further constrict global markets and maintain supply-demand equilibrium. This week, the focal point rests on the forthcoming US consumer price data, scheduled for unveiling on Thursday. These figures are anticipated to provide valuable insights into the potential trajectory of the Federal Reserve's monetary policies. In the aftermath of a recent employment report that reignited concerns about prolonged elevated interest rates, this impending dataset is poised to wield substantial influence over the central bank's strategic decisions. Expected for the month of July, the consumer price index is projected to exhibit an uptick, reaching an annual rate of 3.3%, surpassing the previous month's 3.0%. On the contrary, the core figure, which excludes volatile components such as food and energy, is foreseen to display a deceleration, settling at a year-on-year rate of 4.7%. US Consumer Price Index The forthcoming inflation perspective will reach its culmination with the release of producer prices on Friday, where the core Producer Price Index (PPI) is anticipated to exhibit a year-on-year uptick of 2.3%. After a relatively subdued schedule on Monday, the current day boasts several appearances by Federal Reserve officials, including remarks from Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker. Simultaneously, the corporate landscape is entering the final phase of the second-quarter earnings season. As per FactSet data cited by CNBC, over 84% of S&P 500 companies have already reported, with approximately four-fifths of these surpassing Wall Street's expectations. A notable event this week centers around the US Treasury's quarterly refunding process, involving auctions of three, ten, and thirty-year US Treasuries worth a combined $103 billion from Tuesday through Thursday. Although instances of underwhelming Treasury refunding are rare, usually characterized by consistently low bid-to-cover ratios or analogous metrics, there's a potential risk that dealers might incorporate certain concessions into bond prices ahead of the auctions. This preemptive strategy could help maintain stability in US yields, contributing to a multifaceted investment landscape. Considering the current landscape, the probability of a substantial US Dollar decline facilitating a rally in other global currencies this week appears limited. Additionally, geopolitical developments in the Black Sea region and their potential repercussions on food and energy prices could leave investors cautious about fully embracing disinflationary trends. Presently, it seems improbable that statements from Fed speakers will exert substantial influence on the dollar's valuation. Consequently, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is projected to continue fluctuating within a range of 101.80 to 102.80. US Dollar Currency Index daily chart In today's trading session, gold prices saw a marginal decline, further extending the losses observed in the previous session. This decrease was linked to the ongoing uncertainty surrounding the Federal Reserve's forthcoming moves, compounded by anticipations of a substantial inflation reading for the week. These combined elements played a role in bolstering the US dollar's position and elevating Treasury yields. XAU/USD daily chart In today's trading session, gold prices saw a marginal decline, further extending the losses observed in the previous session. This decrease was linked to the ongoing uncertainty surrounding the Federal Reserve's forthcoming moves, compounded by anticipations of a substantial inflation reading for the week. These combined elements played a role in bolstering the US dollar's position and elevating Treasury yields.
by FOREXN1
3
Disney: Fairy Tale Forest 🌲🌳🪄Disney is currently strolling through the dark green fairy tale forest between $103.29 and $88.41, where it should soon finish wave 2 in dark green. Afterward, the share should be enchanted enough to conjure a convincing upwards movement above the resistance at $122.50. There is a 38% chance, though, for Disney to leave the forest on the southern side, dropping below the support at $84.07. In that case, the course would develop a new low in the form of wave alt.II in light green first before starting the ascent.
NYSE:DIS
by MarketIntel
Walt Disney Company Analyze🐭 !!!The Walt Disney Company, commonly known as Disney, is an American multinational mass media and entertainment conglomerate headquartered at the Walt Disney Studios complex in Burbank, California. Walt Disney Company runs near the Resistance line and my PRZ(Price Reversal Zone). Also, we can see Heavy Hidden Divergence(HD-) between Price and MACD Indicator. I expect Walt Disney Company can lose ❗️20%❗️of its value. Walt Disney Company Analyze (DISUSD), Daily Timeframe (Log Scale /Heikin Ashi)⏰. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position that you want to open). Please follow your strategy, this is just my Idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
NYSE:DISShort
by pejman_zwin
7
Disney | Fundamental Analysis | MUST READ ⚡️In determining whether a company is suitable as a great dividend asset, you first need to ask yourself a few basic questions. First, has the company paid dividends over time? Second, has it been able to increase its payouts on a regular basis? And finally, does it have the means to continue to do so? Disney suspended its dividend payments in the early days of the pandemic in May 2020 and has yet to pay them back. While the decision was understandable at the time in light of the uncertainty created for its theme parks and other ventures, now is a good time to see if Disney can achieve dividend greatness again. The Disney empire encompasses valuable properties, including networks such as ABC, Disney Channel, and ESPN, streaming services such as Disney+, movie studios, and theme parks. A testament to the combined strength of the business is that Disney's revenues for the first half of its fiscal year (ended April 2) rose 29 percent to $41.1 billion. In a sign of how quickly the company has recovered from last year, when results suffered after COVID-19 began, adjusted diluted earnings per share nearly doubled to $2.14 in the same time period. Disney's outlook also looks good. The company is preparing to release a sequel to its popular movie, and other trends, such as park spending, are improving. Its streaming business also continues to do well. In the second quarter, the number of paid subscribers to Disney+ increased 33 percent year over year to 137.7 million. This comes amid stiffer competition. For example, Netflix lost nearly 1 million subscribers in the last quarter, in addition to 200,000 subscribers in the previous quarter. When looking at Disney's free cash flow (FCF), it is best to look at the full year as it eliminates seasonality. Last year, despite orders and blackouts negatively affecting business, the company generated about $2 billion in FCF, down from $3.6 billion. Before the board suspended the 2020 dividend, Disney was making semiannual payments. In addition, the company has regularly increased its dividend. In 2012, it paid $0.75 a year, increasing the amount to $1.76 before the suspension. Disney previously said, "Over the long term, we expect dividends to remain part of our capital allocation strategy." However, the company does not plan to resume payments until "we return to a more normal environment." The company has good characteristics that investors will undoubtedly find attractive. These include terrific properties that have contributed to sales and profits. But without a fixed date or the promise of an imminent renewal of payments, income-seeking investors should look to other companies to find great dividend stocks. Investors looking for the best dividend stocks can start with dividend aristocrats - members of the S&P 500 who have raised dividends for at least 25 consecutive years. If you want to cut the list even further, you can look at Dividend Kings, an even more elite group. These are S&P 500 companies that have been raising dividends for at least half a century.
NYSE:DISShort
by FOREXN1
25
DIS Disney Price TargetsTwo weeks ago you could have bough DIS at the October 2020 level. What an opportunity that was, with one year and 4 months gains washed away. But now they reported a strong Q1 earnings: earnings of $1.06 per share vs 57 cents in the Zacks consensus revenues of $21.8 billion vs $21.2 billion analysts expectations Disney+ subscriber numbers: 129.8 million vs 125.8 million expected. That was somehow to be expected after the NFLX earnings . Parks, Experiences and Products segment growth of over 100% YoY My price target is the $159 resistance and, if they continue like that in the second quarter, $175. Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
NYSE:DISLong
by TopgOptions
4
Disney | Fundamental Analysis | MUST READ ! LONG SETUPAs you know, Disney World is getting ready for the holiday tour season, and an influx of guests at levels not seen in two years. Recently, the media titan's theme parks have been a positive aspect of its financial performance. The parks, entertainment, and products segment stunned analysts by returning to profitability two quarters ago, and park revenues virtually tripled in the quarter ended Oct. 2. There may have been some obstacles along the way, but the House of Mickey is making sure Disney World is all set to surge in business. Let's see what changes this week. Residents of California must have heard the explosions coming from Disney's Hollywood Studios shortly afternoon on Sunday. It was just the sound of The Indiana Jones Epic Stunt Spectacular returning to the park for the first time since the resort closed from the pandemic in mid-March 2020. Due to quarantine issues and staffing difficulties, the corporation has not hurried to resume live shows since the park reopened. Nevertheless, they are slowly returning to the resort's four closed theme parks, and the Indiana Jones-themed extravaganza is a pretty big deal given the show's large capacity. If your objective is to keep the seasonally increasing crowd of visitors scattered throughout the park complex, you'll want to make sure they have something to do. Another welcome development this weekend was the return of streetcars to the parking lot. Streetcars play an important role in moving guests from the huge parking lots to the entrance gates. Since most guests are walking through the gates, they will no doubt be glad to be spared the long walks to and from their cars. In addition, Disney World will expand its hours of operation slightly over the next two weeks. Usually, guests staying at fine Disney resorts can get into the park 30 minutes before the official opening. During the holiday season, they will be able to get into the park a full hour earlier. This will help reduce early traffic at the turnstiles, which is certainly a good thing. This is the first holiday season for Disney World with Genie, Genie+ and Lightning Lane+, which the company launched two months ago. The new park optimization app and the more contentious replacement of the old FastPass system at a premium price show that Disney is raising the bar when it comes to using machine learning to deliver more personalized recommendations. Guests can use Genie for free but must pay $15 a day for access to Genie+, which permits booking return windows for access to the Lightning Lane expedited queues that replaced the old FastPass system. And for the two attractions in each of the complex's four parks that require the longest wait times, Disney has added so-called Lightning Lane+ -- guests can pay an additional fee for one-time access to one of these expedited queues. Over the next two weeks, however, Disney will move several attractions from the Lightning Lane+ system to the Genie+ platform. It may seem like Disney is losing money by doing this at the busiest time of the year, but the fuss makes sense. Genie+ has been criticized by novice users who feel the key return windows fill up quickly. Adding some Lighting Lane+ attractions to the Genie+ options will help boost supply at a time when demand is skyrocketing. Four weeks ago, Disney World suspended the sale of most annual passes to new customers. It was a rather unexpected move for Florida, but it's a strategy that has been used for years at Disneyland in California. Annual pass holders are some of the biggest fans of the resort, but they also pay $1 to $4 a day for year-round access. This is in stark contrast to the high prices guests who buy single-day tickets have to pay. Disney also recently made changes to the annual pass system, specifically adding more blackout dates during peak periods for less expensive options. The suspension of annual pass sales -- and the introduction of additional restrictions on when they can be used -- will cause Disney World's average revenue per guest this season to be much higher than in previous years. The unpleasant backdrop to all of this is that cases of COVID-19 are on the rise again in Florida, across the country, and the planet. The omicron variant is highly virulent, even among people who have been fully vaccinated. Disney World is not about to close, however. The company has already learned how to deal with fluctuating COVID-19 cases since it reopened last July. It has precautions and measures it can take, which tend to work, allowing it to operate safely in the new normal. Guests will still come, and Disney, as a leading company in the entertainment industry, knows - the show must go on.
NYSE:DISLong
by FOREXN1
1
Disney | Fundamental Analysis | Long Setup | Must Read ⚡️Walt Disney Company may have a variety of businesses under its corporate aegis, but almost every one of them has been severely affected by the onset of the pandemic. Disney management quickly rebuilt, accelerating the launch of its streaming strategy (led by Disney+) and strengthening its balance sheet. Investors kept the faith through 2020, believing that tourism and travel would recover and, as a result, the company would have a tiered growth strategy for the future. But now a slowdown in streaming subscriber growth, as well as recent pandemic-related uncertainty, has caused Disney stock to pull back in 2021. However, a deeper look at the situation will show that this is a great opportunity for investors to get into a company with unparalleled brands and a truly unique franchise. The company said it expects Disney+ subscriber growth to slow down from the level it reached during the pandemic. But when the company reported Q4 earnings for fiscal 2021 on Nov. 10, investors were still surprised. In the three months ended Oct. 2, 2021, the company had attracted only 2.1 million additional paid subscribers. This accelerated a downtrend that saw the company's stock fall 17% year over year. For investors who believe in the company's long-term outlook, this presents an opportunity that doesn't often fall to blue-chip stocks. In addition, let's turn to the subscriber growth situation. The news that investors paid the most attention to in Disney's recent quarterly report was the slowdown in Disney+ subscriber growth. But that single data point aside, we can see that the streaming service and other direct-to-consumer (DTC) streaming options offered by Disney are performing well. Until November 2019, Disney only offered ESPN+ and Hulu services. Last year, the rollout of Disney+ was accelerated, and it grew quickly along with the entire DTC segment. While the flattening of the growth trend may have spooked investors, Disney itself wasn't embarrassed. In a fourth-quarter earnings call, company executives assured investors that the company was still on track for its overall goal. Disney CEO Bob Chapek said: "We are confident that we are on the right trajectory to achieve the forecast we presented at last year's Investor Day - reaching 230 million to 260 million paid Disney+ subscribers worldwide by the end of the fiscal year 2024 and achieving Disney+ profitability in the same year." With all the attention on Disney+ and the growing cable TV market, some investors seem to have completely forgotten about Disney's traditional businesses. The company relies heavily on travel, tourism, and consumers' desire for entertainment. Although recovery from the pandemic has been intermittent, there should eventually be a complete resurgence of a desire to visit theme parks, go on cruises, play sports and have fun. U.S. travel data show that air travel is now returning to near pre-pandemic levels, which is nothing short of encouraging. Disney relies on cross-selling in various areas of its business. Sales of toys and character puppets keep kids interested in movies and television. Kids and parents want to visit theme parks, where the company continues to add new rides and attractions, such as Star Wars: Galaxy's Edge. The Disney brand is unmatched, and its franchisees are also impossible to replicate. The recent stock decline should be seen as a buying opportunity for investors looking to hold onto the stock through 2022 and beyond.
NYSE:DISLong
by FOREXN1
11