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Disney | Fundamental Analysis + Next TargetWhen it comes to the success story of 2021, one such example might seem to be the Walt Disney Company. This is the studio behind two of this year's highest-grossing movies. In addition, Disneyland in California reopened in the spring, and the company resumed its cruise ship voyages in the summer. In the latest quarter, the company's revenues grew 45% higher than expected, the biggest annual growth in the company's history, though of course, these numbers followed depressed results the year before. Disney is back in business, but the same cannot be said for its stock chart. After climbing 26% last year -- when the company was underperforming -- the stock is down 4% in 2021. That seems unfair, so let's break down why Wall Street isn't so happy about the House of Mickey Mouse's success these days. An assessment of this year's seemingly inexplicable decline must begin with an assessment of last year's inexplicable rise. Disney was hit hard by the pandemic, posting double-digit year-over-year revenue declines for four consecutive quarters before this year's spring rebound. With theme parks either closed or running at limited capacity and big-budget movies not being released in theaters, it's easy to see why last year was a tough one for the House of Mouse. Disney+, however, has proven to be a kind of silver bullet in this pandemic. Launched in late 2019, the premium streaming service has swiftly burst into homes around the world through 2020. There are now 116 million paid subscribers worldwide. Although it accounts for a small portion of Disney's revenue mix, the success of the new service has given investors reason to view the media giant as a promising streaming stock for which broader valuation multiples are acceptable. However, Disney+ was not a driver in the 2021 calendar year. Subscription growth slowed and average revenue per user declined as the service rolled out to new countries where monthly subscription rates are lower. The move has brought attention back to Disney as a blue-chip media mogul, and that's not as easy a sell as it might seem in the current environment. Income investors who rushed into Disney when the company suspended payouts in the early stages of the COVID-19 crisis have no intention of returning because the company has no plans yet to restore payouts Disney seems in no hurry to return money to its shareholders in cash payouts, especially when that money can be used to create streaming content, upgrade theme parks and expand its cruise ship fleet. As popular as Disney+ is, Disney doesn't expect it to turn a profit until the fiscal year 2024. Its broadcast and media networks division, which held up reasonably well last year as people spent more time watching TV at home, still faces a problematic future with consumer abandonment of cable and satellite TV services. If all this sounds bleak, let's end with a fabulous ending worthy of a classic Disney cartoon. Disney stunned investors when the theme park segment returned to profitability in the last quarter and the future became even brighter with new monetization initiatives that will lead to per capita spending growth next year. Disney is already winning at local theaters again but is holding back some of its biggest blockbuster releases in the coming quarters for now. The fiscal year 2022 -- which began less than two weeks ago -- will be a strong year for Disney. The company's stock may not reflect that right now, but with only a trading day or two left before a positive 2021, it wouldn't be a surprise if Disney rises higher by the end of this calendar year. Disney stock may drop for a while, but it's certainly not over.
NYSE:DISShort
by FOREXN1
WALT DISNEY:FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS+PRICE ACTION|NEXT TARGET|LONG🔔Over the past 18 months, investments in the Walt Disney Company have been very risky. Virtually every aspect of the company's business has been severely limited or even halted at various points because of the pandemic. At present, it appears that Disney's recovery will be a mixed success. Disney management made the right decisions early in the crisis when it took steps to shore up its balance sheet by suspending dividends and raising new capital and accelerating the expansion of its Disney+ streaming TV service. But risks remain, and it's worth examining whether they can be overcome to help the stock outperform the S&P 500 index over the next 10 years, as it has in the past. The irony of the recent conflict between Disney and "Black Widow" star Scarlett Johansson has not gone unnoticed by investors. The award-winning actress sued Disney, claiming that her contract was breached when the company released the long-awaited movie for purchase on Disney+ at the same time as the theaters. Since the lawsuit was announced, Disney's stock price has fallen for five straight days, dropping nearly 4 percent, a far greater potential blow to profits than what Johansson claims she did not receive in compensation for her work. The company's streaming service, considered the only shining star during a painful pandemic when user numbers exceeded expectations, has suddenly become a new and very public risk. In the first six months of 2021, Disney's share of the direct-to-consumer media and entertainment segment grew 65% year over year. This was driven in large part by growth in the Disney+ segment. As of April 3, the company had increased the service's paid subscribers to 103.6 million in just 18 months after its launch. However, growth began to slow in the last quarter, which disappointed investors. Now the situation has become even more complicated as Disney argues that the lawsuit has no merit. But even if the company wins the dispute on legal grounds, it could cause negative publicity among movie fans and also change the company's film distribution strategy. The streaming strategy and its potential to boost future profits have received much publicity since the launch of Disney+, but the overall business still relies heavily on Disney theme park operations. Before the pandemic, the parks segment generated 38% of revenue in the fiscal year ended Sept. 28, 2019. In the first six months of 2021, that share of total revenue dropped to 21% as the parks opened slowly and with some capacity constraints. Now the delta variant is causing a new spike in COVID-19 cases. As a result, Disney has reinstated the mandatory use of masks for all theme park visitors in the U.S. over the age of 2, and business recovery in the parks has become more uncertain. Another area of the company's business affected by the pandemic condition is, of course, Disney's cruise business. Undoubtedly, the risks to the company remain as long as the pandemic continues. Investing in any stock involves risks, and those risks are unique. The company currently believes it will operate at a Disney+ profit in the fiscal year 2024, but this is not a given. Without knowing how the rest of the business will evolve, it is difficult to determine a short- or even medium-term stock valuation. However, the company has proven that it can succeed over the long term. As mentioned earlier, it has significantly outperformed the S&P 500 Index over the past decade. At some point, the pandemic will officially end. Also, at some point, Disney will feel confident enough to either recover its dividend or use its excess cash flow to invest in the business -- or a combination of both. Long-term investors should feel confident that the brand will remain strong enough to support any future direction of the business. That brand and the diverse businesses built around it are what make an investment in Disney worth the risk in a portfolio built for the long term. The company will report its fiscal third-quarter earnings today, and then investors will have an update on the success of all segments of the company.
NYSE:DISLong
by FOREXN1
13
Walt Disney - Ending Diagonal PatternIn the 240-minute chart, we have 5 descending waves, which have ended in the range of 79.09, in continuation, the correction of this downtrend is in the form of Double Zigzag, which has reached the range of $ 153.91. The Diagonal pattern has been formed in this range, of which the targets can be 128.60 and then $ 117.25. In case the visualization of this analysis become true, the main pattern will be Expanded Flat and we can consider the expansion of the bearish trend up to the range of $ 79.09.
NYSE:DISShort
by NirmataFX
1
Disney: Bullish Consolidation Analysis 1H (Apr. 21)X FORCE GLOBAL ANALYSIS: In this analysis, we explore the bullish probabilities for Disney's case (DIS) based on its bullish consolidating technicals and strong fundamentals. Technicals - We see a textbook ascending triangle pattern, which is a bullish consolidation pattern - An ascending triangle pattern in a downtrend signals a potential bullish trend reversal - We can count Elliott Triangle Waves (ABCDE), and see that wave E has completed forming as well - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) shows great strength on the daily, creating higher lows and higher highs - The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) also shows increasing bullish histograms on the daily as a sign of momentum Fundamentals - When Disney is not aggressively investing into its direct-to-consumer business, it has generated close to $8 billion of free cash flows. - Disney's balance sheet is strong and affords Disney plenty of flexibility - With that said, half of Disney’s operating income is generated from its Parks, Experiences and Products segment - Considering the Parks closed so far and the potential closure of others will have a substantial effect on Disney’s near-term overall profitability - However, Disney's fundamentals remain exceptionally strong, and the long term picture still remains intact What We Believe We believe that Disney is an impressive business, with broad diversification, expected to grow consistently over the medium-term. While this company was hit by the Corona Virus (COVID-19) more severely so than other companies, technicals demonstrate potentiality for a breakout, leading to a small bullish rally. Trade Safe.
NYSE:DISLong
by XForceGlobal
9
Walt Disney Company (DIS) - Opportunity to SELLHey everyone, here's the analysis on DIS. Hit the LIKE button, follow us & leave a comment on ideas you would like to see next! Summary: Current price could drop from our R1 zone to our S1 zone, presenting us with a good opportunity to sell. Action: Sell Limit: 109.65 - 112.00 Stop Loss: 123.00 Take Profit: 96.40 Analysis: On the monthly chart, R1 zone was a key breakout zone along with a strong fibonacci confluence and a pullback of our trend line. There is limited upside in the current price and it could drop to our S1 zone, as illustrated by the yellow dotted lines. If the S1 zone does not hold, we could see price drop lower to our S2 zone before a bounce there. Disclaimer: There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading and investing. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Trading BEAN and all individuals affiliated with this site assume no responsibilities for your trading and investment results. All contents featured here are solely for educational purposes and ARE NOT investment or trading advices. Please do your own due diligence and trade at your own risk.
NYSE:DISShort
by TradingBean
5
Walt Disney Gave Warning in its Fox DealWalt Disney warned investors and analyst that the Fox deal, which closed last March would further affect earnings. On Tuesday, CFO Christine McCarthy stated the firm’s assumption in its fourth-quarter profit would be lower due to the acquisition. And it will be down by around 45 cents per share. But the house of the mouse remains to have a positive outlook on the benefits of acquiring the entertainment giant. Aside from that, the studio came with titles like The Simpsons and X-Men. And this gives Walt Disney a better chance to compete toughly with other streaming services such as Netflix and Amazon for viewership and dollars. Then, Disney in November will launch Disney+, its own streaming service. And aside from its vast library content, it also has all of the entertainment assets of Fox. CEO Bob Iger stated during the earnings call on Tuesday, “We analyze the 21st Century Fox opportunity entirely through the lens of our business.” Earnings of Walt Disney In the extended trading on Tuesday, shares of Walt Disney slipped after failing o reach the analysts’ expectations. And it blamed the earnings miss on the $71 billion deal and the cost of merging with the Fox entertainment assets. Moreover, Alan Horn and Alan Bergman will supervise the integration of 21st Century Fox’s film strategy under the Walt Disney umbrella. Also, these two have been veterans at the firm and were responsible for most of the success with the Pixar, Marvel, and Lucasfilm acquisitions. During the third quarter, the house of mouse said that Fox’s Dark Phoenix was the reason for dragging on the company’s massive box office haul. And now, the company will have complete creative control over its upcoming films. Walt Disney is already dominating the 2019 box office. And the firm earned over $8 billion worldwide from ticket sales so far.
NYSE:DIS
by Financebroker
3
Breakdown: Walt $DIS Company. +$150 EOY target based! $DISOne of the best holdings for 2019: Walt Disney Company Disney this year: - Disney+ announcement, which caused an 33% gain on the stock. - Avengers Endgame who broke the box-office record, most $ gained from 1 movie all-time. Most $ in 2 weeks also. 2billion in 2weeks. - Aladin movie coming out. - Disney+ launch is set to Novembre, so Netflix is not going to have Disney/Marvel movies from then. Disney+ will get a $7/month for unlimited Disney movies and series. Also it will launch every year new movies and series from then on. - Another Starwars-movie is ready to go on screen in Decembre. Also a big box-office gainer and merchandise $ gainer. - Disney also stacked up their Hulu-stocks. Owns Hulu now fully 100%. Netflix competitor for the non-Disney movies. - More news. I think Q2 earnings will give a big boost to the stock, because of the movies who are pushing a lot of money in Disney. Avengers only 2billion box office, Aladin also set to be a big gainer. \u2028 Fundamental target EOY 2019: +150/share.
NYSE:DISLong
by void_491