WAR
SACTION? TO THE MOON!Monthly Time-frame
Bullish Harami Printed!!! Breakout to the upside is in play! Higher low is printed confirmed! Watch out for confirmed bulls back in the ball game. Russian sanction on Swift Banking was Bullish for Bitcoin as Russians transferred their funds to Cryptocurrency.
Weekly Time-frame
Bullish week, double bottom, Relative Strength Index (RSI) Bullish. Higher low, breaking the previous high. Awesome Oscillator (AO) printing green volume and Bullish RSI. Breaking the Ichimoku Cloud soon! If rejected at $44,070 it’s a good time to open a short for a retest at $40,972.87.
1D Time-frame
Cheers for the bulls! We have broken the ichimoku Cloud, and made it a support, it looks weak breakout but will see if we can hold it as a Support. We are now ready to open a Positive Volume tomorrow.
4H Time-frame
RSI is overbought, which is normal during an up-trend. Broken the cloud, printed a strong volume AO. We are done with the butterfly constriction now we are moving to the upside.
We will discuss more on the possibility on our Live. Stay tune and check with us!
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BITCOIN THE WARRIORDue to the confliction between Ukraine and Russia , I decided to look back in to the history , and see what happened to Bitcoin , Gold and SPX when we had war or confliction.
Here is the list of the wars that I mentioned in the chart : ( I understand of the ongoing wars and some other I did not mentioned ! )
1 . Iran shoots down US drone aircraft
2 . Iranian General Assassinated
3 . Operation Martyr Soleimani
4 . Nagorno-Karabakh war
5 . Tigray War
6 . Fall of Kabul
According to my studies all of the war news has been bullish for the 3 assets ! (Except for one time for gold on Tigray War which can be ignored. )
Just to be said , this would be far different if we get in to a world war !
The question is : in case of starting a war between Russia and Ukraine , what would happen to cryptocurrencies ?
As a technical analyst , we always look backward and see what happened in history , then we get some information and that's where analysis starts !
So , we can say BTC and Gold are safe assets during the war , and also SPX ( focus on arms stock! they are to sell weapons ! ) Its just the same for fuel carriers and oil!
Be aware , this is not financial advise , It's just a study of what happened in the history and there is no guarantee for now.
EURUSD - Huge Drop Expected - Eyes on 1.10000Here is a new SELL Scenario, i expect a huge drop toward 1.10000 during theses days week
The risk aversion to the benefit of the greenback ! (Safe Heaven)
With all the sanctions, and the war ongoing, the situation is not going to improve !
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Bitcoin sharp move to 51K?Bitcoin is forming a pattern of head and shoulders
I see BULLISH HD+ ( Bullish Positive Hidden Divergence ) in Weekly and Monthly timeframes.
About one day remaining to close monthly candle and its forming Doji
Unusual news was afected on market and its time to have uptrend to 51K a d then move down again.
This upward trend can be a bit sharp and if you want to open long position i prefer to save some of your profit in specified resistances.
⚠️ This Analysis will be updated ...
Sadegh Ahmadi: @SDQ_Crypto
27.Feb.22
⚠️(DYOR)
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How Bitcoin Could Go to $3 million This Year (Elliott Wave)Bitcoin and many cryptocurrencies look like they are completing a contracting triangle with reverse alternation which began in 2018. On Bitcoin it looks like this could be the end of F-wave, right before we get the final blow-off wave-G. This wave could be as big as Wave-C from 2013, which is also equivalent to 161.8% of wave-d that began in 2020 and ended last year.
The time target of waves D+E being equivalent in time to wave-F (big red boxes) means that we are at a major long-term inflection point this month. This could likely be linked to Biden's executive order related to "national security" and cryptocurrency, as well as a potential invasion of Ukraine by Russia. The EO could promote US cryptocurrency innovation and to compete with Russia and China and help him win votes for mid-terms while sanctioning Russian and Chinese central bank digital currencies which will be presented as an alternative to SWIFT when Russia is removed from SWIFT for invading Ukraine.
If China invades Taiwan after the Olympics and is removed from SWIFT, then we could see China finalize their CBDC which has already been in public beta stage for the last year, and present it as an alternative to SWIFT and Russian CBDC's
These factors as well as spiraling inflation could lead to speculative mania which sends Bitcoin to $3 million before seeing a massive crash that will take many years to fully recover from.
Will Gold stay the stable investment in future? XAU/USD visionHi there!
I want to show some critical points to Gold investors which they can face in 5 years period.
There are no reasons to analyze, either Gold will rise eternally or not. Anything has a beginning and an end. Until this fiat system is existing, gold will always stay as a defensive asset to inflation. Only black swan can destroy this hundred years building. Gold as the rest of the assets which showed a huge rise before is keeping to rise only on people's faith. It is like a default setting for each person to realize from childhood that gold is something valuable.
Just think, who could imagine a year before that we would pray for digital pictures (NFT) , spending millions on them. It's ridiculous, isn't it? (Maybe no, yet haha) .
So I won't discourse what will happen, as I am a trader, not an employee department of economic forecasting Goldman Sachs.
Technically: the point of ascending wedge after the fifth wave growth is put on a graph. Mostly it is the place with the biggest trade volume, placed ob graph as well.
The more reasonable act for now with gold, even including the situation in Ukraine (where I am from and stay now by the way) is to observe and wait for long-term short.
Stay safe! Bye!
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How to trade in times of war. What if WWIII begins.In this chart you can visualize how the Dow Jones performed during WWII.
The Dow experienced high volatility during WWII. Its lowest point (-29%) was reached on april 1942.
But, surprisingly, the Dow gained 33% in the period between the beginning (September 1, 1949) and the end of the WWII (May 7, 1945).
Source:
United States Holocaust Memorial Museum. “WORLD WAR II TIMELINE.” Holocaust Encyclopedia.
encyclopedia.ushmm.org
BTC CAN GO LOWER!hi trades. After the rsi line was broken, the sellers regained power, so we enter the sell position with a stop loss of 38,600.i think the price can see the pervious low.
if you agree with this idea please like and comment blow
on the fundamental and momentum view i think the gold will open high base on the btc move in this hours!
Oil making it's way back to $100?oil drove to $100 due to fear of supply with Russia invading Ukraine. This is the first time oil has hit $00 since 2014, so of course it will not just bust through like we all wish it would. The market needed to correct itself first, pulling back to $90.50.on the 4hr time frame you see a fakeout of the trendline, indicating oil is going to push up some more. it is respecting the current uptrend as of right now. I see oil atleast going to $94 as of right now. I will watch the market and the news before making further decision. on smaller timeframe there is a small bullish divergence indicating a buy is coming as well.
USDRUB Long entry (Long live Ukraine)Firstly, my sincere best wishes go out to all of the Ukrainian residents, their families and loved ones staying behind to protect their land, my thoughts are with you.
Putin lost his mind back in 2014, now he's gone on another bender with this terrible act.
I was wanting to take a look at the Russian stocks market website, but it seems to have been shut down, by "Anonymous" maybe? LOL. Shame I was wanting to see which Russian stocks to short. Does anyone have any Russian stocks to share they feel will tank?
The Russian economy has already lost $150 billion, and counting so far. Ruble had lost 33% of its value and there's still room for it to lose even more as the West impose Sanctions on Russia ability to transfer funds around the world. It's not completely cut off. The Russian Federation still has the ability to use crypto to move funds around. And of course, I bet China will also help Russian Federation with that too.
Should the western world get a sniff of China helping Russia move funds then another **** storm won't be far away.
So, I've gone long here target is 90.00, I'd expect this to reach the High of the pin within two weeks. If successful I'm looking for a return of around $34,000.00
EURUSD's Snap Bullish ReboundEURUSD's price action rebounded promptly from the previous swing low at 1.11250, as per the expectations of the Wyckoff method. It is now set to probe the 61.8 per cent Fibonacci retracement level at 1.12642, as adverse volatility from the war in Ukraine mounts .
The behaviour of the price action around this crucial threshold will determine the next most likely direction for the pair.
GBPUSD Bearish, Short Short ShortGBPUSD
1DTF
The market took a turn this week. The main news came from Ukraine-Russia. We hope peace will be restored soon.
Observation:
Look for the opportunity to Short
KAJU X: Bear since 23Feb
KAJU FUSION: Bear since 24Feb
RSI oversold on 24Feb but not on 25Feb (retracement to ema3)
MA100,MA50,MA20,EMA10 are close to each other and act as the current Resistance.
Strong Support: 1.31601-1.32125
Watch NATO, USA news for Trend updates
Trade Idea
Sell: 1.35074 - 1.35351
TP1: 1.34074
TP2: Let Profit Run
SL: 1.36351
Are Bullish for the Gold?Effect Rusia VS Ukraina it's warning for the Gold and the market. I see August 2020 had a same happening at Beirut and it's make the Gold Fly high and i think the gold can be fly high again and reach the top 2075 like before. Now, all the market is messy and be affected.
That's my opinion...
Have a nice day...
The Effect of Regional Conflict on the MarketIn this post, I'll demonstrate the impact of regional conflicts on the market; whether what we're seeing is the beginning of a recession, or a reversal.
I'll be going over Russia's invasion of Ukraine, referring to historical examples of regional conflicts and the impact they had on the market.
War is tragic. I would like to clarify upfront that this post is apolitical. It simply assesses current events and market movements from the perspective of an investor.
This is not financial advice. This is for educational purposes only.
Analysis
- With Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, we have seen this bull market’s first correction.
- Many fear that this may simply be a deadcat bounce before further downside, but this once again proves that this event was a case of ’sell on fear, buy on the bullets’.
- Pressure is applied to the financial markets as fear of war starts, and is relieved when the actual conflict starts.
- So contrary to common belief, the beginning of war, as tragic as it is, is a bullish sign for the markets.
- Markets move on surprises, and what’s happening in Ukraine is nothing new or surprising.
- Not only has there been tension building up for the past few weeks, we were aware of such a scenario for the past few years, with Russia’s takeover of Crimea.
- The point is that the more discussions there are about the plethora of probable scenarios and possibilities, the less likely it is for the market to crash when something worse occurs.
- Unless this war spreads to a global scale, which I doubt it will, I think the damage will be regional, and thus unlikely to cause a bear market.
- We’ve seen this through multiple cases in history: the Korean War, the Vietnam War, Gulf War, Afghanistan War, Iraq War, and the Crimean Crisis.
- This isn’t because armed conflict is good for the market.
- The conflict ending uncertainty is what drives the market upwards.
Conclusion
Headlines, responses from communities online, and fake news can drive short term reactions via sentiment, but it’s important to take a deep breath, and listen to what the market is trying to tell you.
Taking all of this into account, I believe that it’s more likely for us to see a recovery or return to the uptrend sometime later this year, with some turbulence early on. However, remember that the name of the game is to buy when it’s cheap, and sell when it’s expensive. By the time you realize that we’ve returned to a steady, sturdy bull trend without any factors of fear and bearishness to hinder the momentum, it may already be too late to buy cheap. Hence, my preference to buy 1000 shares of $SPY at $430, rather than buying 10 shares at $350.
While my entire long term outlook on the market remains optimistic, it’s important to remember that volatility is unpredictable. But that doesn’t necessarily mean that it’s everlasting either. I anticipate that there’s a high probability that the bull market continues, but volatility will play its role in shaking out the weak hands.
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WAR WeStarter most undervalued crypto incubatorWAR WeStarter will soon launch CryptoSteam
Aaron Pulkka, former vice-president of Activision Blizzard , founded CryptoSteam, a crypto-games publishing platform, and invented the concept of GameFi 2.0.
The vision of CryptoSteam is to become the infrastructure provider of Metaverse, and be the bridge to connect all other meta-universes together.
WAR WeStarter is a cross-chain token initial swap platform which selects high-quality crypto projects that need fundraising before listing to major exchanges.
It was launched in May 2021 at $2. Due to market conditions, the price is now $0.06 and the market cap is less than $1 million.
The first financing was completed on April 15th, and the participated investment institutions include Continue Capital, SevenX Ventures, NGC Ventures, AU21 Capital, Spark Digital Capital, LD Capital, Power Law Capital, Kyros Ventures, DoraHacks Ventures, SkyVentures, DEFI TIMES CAPITAL and others.
A similar incubator is SFUND Seedify, has a mk cap of $143Mil.
So The upside potential is 143X from here just to reach SFUND`s market cap.
Extremely low circulating supply, with few thousands usd, you ca substantially move the price.
The RSI shows a massive bullish divergence. Increase in volume while decrease in price. Oversold area!
Minimum upside potential is 10X in my opinion.