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WAR

Oil Short?! Yes thats right folks... and here's why. In this video we explain why we are now looking to take short positions in the Oil market. TLDR: - The fears of global supply problems from Russia/Ukraine conflict could be overplayed and that supply is able to be met by other suppliers increasing their supply within OPEC+ if Oil prices become a problem (which they already are). - Politically high Oil prices are bad for governments so expect some action from policy makers if the price continues to rise much more (already seeing these reports now). - Technical Analysis suggests we are entering levels of historic resistance. - Last week (at the height of the Russia / Ukraine outbreak the Oil market sold off significantly from the current levels we are at right now. Let me know in the comments below your own thoughts on where Oil is headed next.
TVC:USOILShort
by JoelWarby
5
Gold Consolidates as War Pressure Ramps UpThe price of gold is consolidating in a range between the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level at 1922.32 and 38.2% Fibonacci at 1890.01, as peace talks are threatened by Russia's intensified aggression . Depending on how the peace talks develop next, a breakout above the 23.6 per cent Fibonacci may be attempted, though this is then likely to be followed by a pullback to the resistance-turned-support at 1922.32. Conversely, a breakdown below the lower limit of the channel could allow for a subsequent dropdown towards the 38.2 per cent Fibonacci, which is about to be crossed by the 100-day MA (in blue) soon. This would make the 1890.01 threshold an even more prominent turning point, which is already evident given its close proximity to the psychologically significant level at 1900.00.
G
by Trendsharks
SACTION? TO THE MOON!Monthly Time-frame Bullish Harami Printed!!! Breakout to the upside is in play! Higher low is printed confirmed! Watch out for confirmed bulls back in the ball game. Russian sanction on Swift Banking was Bullish for Bitcoin as Russians transferred their funds to Cryptocurrency. Weekly Time-frame Bullish week, double bottom, Relative Strength Index (RSI) Bullish. Higher low, breaking the previous high. Awesome Oscillator (AO) printing green volume and Bullish RSI. Breaking the Ichimoku Cloud soon! If rejected at $44,070 it’s a good time to open a short for a retest at $40,972.87. 1D Time-frame Cheers for the bulls! We have broken the ichimoku Cloud, and made it a support, it looks weak breakout but will see if we can hold it as a Support. We are now ready to open a Positive Volume tomorrow. 4H Time-frame RSI is overbought, which is normal during an up-trend. Broken the cloud, printed a strong volume AO. We are done with the butterfly constriction now we are moving to the upside. We will discuss more on the possibility on our Live. Stay tune and check with us! Want more insights before US market open? Hit Like, Share, and Subscribe for more daily trading tutorial & cryptocurrency news Trade Scholar, the best cryptocurrency educational community online! Find the content above difficult to understand? Feeling lost about how to trade? Want to learn how to do your Own Price Prediction? We endeavour to share you our investment knowledge & experience in order to help you starting your path to financial freedom. Follow, Subscribe & Join our Community to trade together! Disclaimer: Above Technical Analysis is pure educational information, not Investment Advice. The information provided on this post does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, trading advice, or any other sort of advice and you should not treat any of the website's content as such. Do conduct your own due diligence and consult your financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Long
by Trade_Scholar
BITCOIN THE WARRIORDue to the confliction between Ukraine and Russia , I decided to look back in to the history , and see what happened to Bitcoin , Gold and SPX when we had war or confliction. Here is the list of the wars that I mentioned in the chart : ( I understand of the ongoing wars and some other I did not mentioned ! ) 1 . Iran shoots down US drone aircraft 2 . Iranian General Assassinated 3 . Operation Martyr Soleimani 4 . Nagorno-Karabakh war 5 . Tigray War 6 . Fall of Kabul According to my studies all of the war news has been bullish for the 3 assets ! (Except for one time for gold on Tigray War which can be ignored. ) Just to be said , this would be far different if we get in to a world war ! The question is : in case of starting a war between Russia and Ukraine , what would happen to cryptocurrencies ? As a technical analyst , we always look backward and see what happened in history , then we get some information and that's where analysis starts ! So , we can say BTC and Gold are safe assets during the war , and also SPX ( focus on arms stock! they are to sell weapons ! ) Its just the same for fuel carriers and oil! Be aware , this is not financial advise , It's just a study of what happened in the history and there is no guarantee for now.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by JavadisHere
3
Bitcoin sharp move to 51K?Bitcoin is forming a pattern of head and shoulders I see BULLISH HD+ ( Bullish Positive Hidden Divergence ) in Weekly and Monthly timeframes. About one day remaining to close monthly candle and its forming Doji Unusual news was afected on market and its time to have uptrend to 51K a d then move down again. This upward trend can be a bit sharp and if you want to open long position i prefer to save some of your profit in specified resistances. ⚠️ This Analysis will be updated ... Sadegh Ahmadi: @SDQ_Crypto 27.Feb.22 ⚠️(DYOR) ❤️ If you apperciate my work , Please like and comment , It Keeps me motivated to do better ❤️
Long
by SDQ_Crypto
9
How Bitcoin Could Go to $3 million This Year (Elliott Wave)Bitcoin and many cryptocurrencies look like they are completing a contracting triangle with reverse alternation which began in 2018. On Bitcoin it looks like this could be the end of F-wave, right before we get the final blow-off wave-G. This wave could be as big as Wave-C from 2013, which is also equivalent to 161.8% of wave-d that began in 2020 and ended last year. The time target of waves D+E being equivalent in time to wave-F (big red boxes) means that we are at a major long-term inflection point this month. This could likely be linked to Biden's executive order related to "national security" and cryptocurrency, as well as a potential invasion of Ukraine by Russia. The EO could promote US cryptocurrency innovation and to compete with Russia and China and help him win votes for mid-terms while sanctioning Russian and Chinese central bank digital currencies which will be presented as an alternative to SWIFT when Russia is removed from SWIFT for invading Ukraine. If China invades Taiwan after the Olympics and is removed from SWIFT, then we could see China finalize their CBDC which has already been in public beta stage for the last year, and present it as an alternative to SWIFT and Russian CBDC's These factors as well as spiraling inflation could lead to speculative mania which sends Bitcoin to $3 million before seeing a massive crash that will take many years to fully recover from.
BNC:BLXLong
by Intuit
14
Will Gold stay the stable investment in future? XAU/USD visionHi there! I want to show some critical points to Gold investors which they can face in 5 years period. There are no reasons to analyze, either Gold will rise eternally or not. Anything has a beginning and an end. Until this fiat system is existing, gold will always stay as a defensive asset to inflation. Only black swan can destroy this hundred years building. Gold as the rest of the assets which showed a huge rise before is keeping to rise only on people's faith. It is like a default setting for each person to realize from childhood that gold is something valuable. Just think, who could imagine a year before that we would pray for digital pictures (NFT) , spending millions on them. It's ridiculous, isn't it? (Maybe no, yet haha) . So I won't discourse what will happen, as I am a trader, not an employee department of economic forecasting Goldman Sachs. Technically: the point of ascending wedge after the fifth wave growth is put on a graph. Mostly it is the place with the biggest trade volume, placed ob graph as well. The more reasonable act for now with gold, even including the situation in Ukraine (where I am from and stay now by the way) is to observe and wait for long-term short. Stay safe! Bye!
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by Trading_Surfer
How to trade in times of war. What if WWIII begins.In this chart you can visualize how the Dow Jones performed during WWII. The Dow experienced high volatility during WWII. Its lowest point (-29%) was reached on april 1942. But, surprisingly, the Dow gained 33% in the period between the beginning (September 1, 1949) and the end of the WWII (May 7, 1945). Source: United States Holocaust Memorial Museum. “WORLD WAR II TIMELINE.” Holocaust Encyclopedia. encyclopedia.ushmm.org
DJ:DJI
by Reynaldo_Villafuerte_Aguilar
3
Oil making it's way back to $100?oil drove to $100 due to fear of supply with Russia invading Ukraine. This is the first time oil has hit $00 since 2014, so of course it will not just bust through like we all wish it would. The market needed to correct itself first, pulling back to $90.50.on the 4hr time frame you see a fakeout of the trendline, indicating oil is going to push up some more. it is respecting the current uptrend as of right now. I see oil atleast going to $94 as of right now. I will watch the market and the news before making further decision. on smaller timeframe there is a small bullish divergence indicating a buy is coming as well.
TVC:USOILLong
by UnknownUnicorn11654040
USDRUB Long entry (Long live Ukraine)Firstly, my sincere best wishes go out to all of the Ukrainian residents, their families and loved ones staying behind to protect their land, my thoughts are with you. Putin lost his mind back in 2014, now he's gone on another bender with this terrible act. I was wanting to take a look at the Russian stocks market website, but it seems to have been shut down, by "Anonymous" maybe? LOL. Shame I was wanting to see which Russian stocks to short. Does anyone have any Russian stocks to share they feel will tank? The Russian economy has already lost $150 billion, and counting so far. Ruble had lost 33% of its value and there's still room for it to lose even more as the West impose Sanctions on Russia ability to transfer funds around the world. It's not completely cut off. The Russian Federation still has the ability to use crypto to move funds around. And of course, I bet China will also help Russian Federation with that too. Should the western world get a sniff of China helping Russia move funds then another **** storm won't be far away. So, I've gone long here target is 90.00, I'd expect this to reach the High of the pin within two weeks. If successful I'm looking for a return of around $34,000.00
Long
by EDTAcademyIntGroup
GBPUSD Bearish, Short Short ShortGBPUSD 1DTF The market took a turn this week. The main news came from Ukraine-Russia. We hope peace will be restored soon. Observation: Look for the opportunity to Short KAJU X: Bear since 23Feb KAJU FUSION: Bear since 24Feb RSI oversold on 24Feb but not on 25Feb (retracement to ema3) MA100,MA50,MA20,EMA10 are close to each other and act as the current Resistance. Strong Support: 1.31601-1.32125 Watch NATO, USA news for Trend updates Trade Idea Sell: 1.35074 - 1.35351 TP1: 1.34074 TP2: Let Profit Run SL: 1.36351
Short
by KajuFusion
2
The Effect of Regional Conflict on the MarketIn this post, I'll demonstrate the impact of regional conflicts on the market; whether what we're seeing is the beginning of a recession, or a reversal. I'll be going over Russia's invasion of Ukraine, referring to historical examples of regional conflicts and the impact they had on the market. War is tragic. I would like to clarify upfront that this post is apolitical. It simply assesses current events and market movements from the perspective of an investor. This is not financial advice. This is for educational purposes only. Analysis - With Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, we have seen this bull market’s first correction. - Many fear that this may simply be a deadcat bounce before further downside, but this once again proves that this event was a case of ’sell on fear, buy on the bullets’. - Pressure is applied to the financial markets as fear of war starts, and is relieved when the actual conflict starts. - So contrary to common belief, the beginning of war, as tragic as it is, is a bullish sign for the markets. - Markets move on surprises, and what’s happening in Ukraine is nothing new or surprising. - Not only has there been tension building up for the past few weeks, we were aware of such a scenario for the past few years, with Russia’s takeover of Crimea. - The point is that the more discussions there are about the plethora of probable scenarios and possibilities, the less likely it is for the market to crash when something worse occurs. - Unless this war spreads to a global scale, which I doubt it will, I think the damage will be regional, and thus unlikely to cause a bear market. - We’ve seen this through multiple cases in history: the Korean War, the Vietnam War, Gulf War, Afghanistan War, Iraq War, and the Crimean Crisis. - This isn’t because armed conflict is good for the market. - The conflict ending uncertainty is what drives the market upwards. Conclusion Headlines, responses from communities online, and fake news can drive short term reactions via sentiment, but it’s important to take a deep breath, and listen to what the market is trying to tell you. Taking all of this into account, I believe that it’s more likely for us to see a recovery or return to the uptrend sometime later this year, with some turbulence early on. However, remember that the name of the game is to buy when it’s cheap, and sell when it’s expensive. By the time you realize that we’ve returned to a steady, sturdy bull trend without any factors of fear and bearishness to hinder the momentum, it may already be too late to buy cheap. Hence, my preference to buy 1000 shares of $SPY at $430, rather than buying 10 shares at $350. While my entire long term outlook on the market remains optimistic, it’s important to remember that volatility is unpredictable. But that doesn’t necessarily mean that it’s everlasting either. I anticipate that there’s a high probability that the bull market continues, but volatility will play its role in shaking out the weak hands. If you like this educational post, please make sure to like, and follow for more quality content! If you have any questions or comments, feel free to comment below! :)
TVC:SPX
by Michael_Wang_Official
6