WAR
Bitcoin bull run time? 22.2.26Bitcoin is approaching below its resistance area, which can be revised up to 36,500 due to the weakness. But there are signs of a reversal of the downtrend. Breaking the 41,500 range and the downtrend line and stabilizing them above is necessary for the climb
⚠️ This Analysis will be updated ...
👤 Sadegh Ahmadi: @SDQ_Crypto
📅 26.Feb.22
⚠️(DYOR)
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How Will the Russian Invasion of Ukraine Affect Crypto?The Russian invasion of Ukraine has caused the Russian stock market to collapse (as low as 50%), taking crypto prices along for the ride in a very clear way. As the news unfolds we're likely to see more divergences in the way individual coins operate, but for now, the patterns between Russian/US stocks and crypto seem to be moving in parallel.
One thing to be wary of is that during wartime, misinformation and propaganda campaigns tend to intensify, so you need to take everything you read on the news/social media (on both sides) with a grain of salt. Some of the things to look out for to make sure you don't get misdirected during these turbulent times.
Note that while the US media has been saying how great their markets are doing right now, they're also in a precarious situation since a recession is looming just around the corner. What happens exactly, is TBD.
KEY Support & Resistance Zones.Let's keep an eye on these key S/R zones.
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Bitcoin Long Position 22.2.25Bitcoin was supported about 35K area and it can be move up to 50-51K. I think its formin head and shoulder pattern and if it return to 36500 area slowly and observe reversal candel, long position can be actived with 35K SL and 50500 last target. Other resistances can impress the price, so suggest you to save your profit step by step.
⚠️ This Analysis will be updated ...
Sadegh Ahmadi: @SDQ_Crypto
25.Feb.22
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Tesla: update: don't enter until reaching the strong resistanceAs the Ukraine - Russia war crisis boosted the down trend of stocks and the possibility of ranging inside of a triangle has expired, we expect tesla to reach at least the strong 500 - 550 resistance level. So, don't rush to enter long, because the whole market is downward now.
Bitcoin Claws Back.Bitcoin is trading higher Thursday, bouncing after seeing a strong dip when reports first hit that Russia invaded Ukraine.
Bitcoin now sits below $40,000, a key level that has held as both support and resistance in the past. The cryptocurrency saw a day of above-average volume, showing that the crypto could be pushing higher once again.
Bitcoin turned around and tested the $40,000 level Thursday afternoon. If it can cross above, it once again may see support near the level. If the $40,000 level is broken, the next area of resistance may be found near the $60,000 level.
If unable to break above $40,000, the $30,000 level is where support may be found.
The cryptocurrency trades below both the 50-day moving average and the 200-day moving average. This shows the crypto is trading with bearish sentiment and each of these moving averages may hold as an area of resistance in the future.
The Relative Strength Index has been climbing back higher once again and sits at 42. This shows buyers have pushed into the market throughout the past few days although there still remain more sellers overall. To see a cross back above the $40,000 level, traders want to see the RSI be able to cross above the middle line once again.
Bitcoin has strong volume on a day where it dipped lower but was able to recover those losses. The crypto looks like it could be heading back toward the $40,000 level once again and will be a key level in the future.
USDCAD LONG UPDATEPosted this on my page yesterday. Broke past our confirmation line and hit a high of 90 PIPS profit today📈 Still possible to get in now again.
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5 Defense stocks you might want to look at in WW3Here are 5 stocks that could profit from the Russia Ukraine Conflict!
Intro:
The Russian-Ukrainian conflict, which began on November 21, 2013, following the Ukrainian government's decision not to sign the association agreement between Ukraine and the European Union, is a diplomatic and military
conflict between Russia and Ukraine.17 The conflict was sparked by a series of large-scale demonstrations that led to the flight and subsequent removal of Ukrainian President Viktor Yanukovych, who was replaced by Oleksandr
Turchynia.
Large-scale demonstrations then broke out and led on February 22, 2014 to the flight and subsequent removal of Ukrainian President Viktor Yanukovych, who was replaced by Oleksandr Turchynov. A new government, led by Arseni
Yatsenyuk, is put in place.
In response, Crimea declared its independence and voted to join Russia, a move that was recognized by Russia, causing an international diplomatic crisis. Several other Ukrainian provinces with large Russian-speaking populations,
notably Donbass, experienced similar uprisings and in turn organized referendums on self-determination in order to separate themselves from the Ukrainian government in place. The later events led to the war in Donbass, with
Russia, the border country, being accused of providing military support to the insurgents by waging a hybrid war there.18,19
On July 17, 2014, a Malaysia Airlines flight carrying 298 passengers from Amsterdam to Kuala Lumpur was shot down in mid-air near the Russian border while flying over the Donbass. There were no survivors. The destruction of this
civilian plane amplifies the diplomatic crisis, the Ukrainian army and the pro-Russian separatists accusing each other.
On February 21, 2022, as part of the Russian-Ukrainian war of 2021-2022, in a televised address, Russian President Vladimir Putin announced Russian recognition of the independence of the self-proclaimed Donetsk and Lugansk
People's Republics and Russian armed forces invaded eastern Ukraine controlled by pro-Russian separatists.20,21 On February 23, Russian President Vladimir Putin announced that he was going to invade the eastern part of Ukraine
and that he was going to take over from the pro-Russian separatists.
On February 23, President Vladimir Putin announced the launch of a military operation in Ukraine. During the night of 23 to 24 February, the Ukrainian territory was bombed and Russian troops invaded the Ukrainian territory.
Stocks that could grow during WW3:
Lockheed Martin NYSE:LMT
Lockheed Martin is the world's leading U.S. defense and security company. Like its main competitors, it designs and produces a variety of products in which electronics and technology play a key role. In 2008, 84% of the company's sales were to the U.S. government, with the remainder primarily to other states.5 In 2010, of the 45.8% of the company's sales that were to the U.S. government, 84% were to other countries. In 2010, $17.3 billion of the company's $45.8 billion in sales came from contracts signed with the U.S. government ($10.9 billion in defense, $6.6 billion in civilian). The company products a large amount of combat planes and other defense engines, its role in ww3 would be very important and we could see the company benefit from diverse defense contracts in the future.
Boeing NYSE:BA
Boeing (official name: The Boeing Company) is an American aircraft and aerospace manufacturer. Its headquarters are located in Chicago, Illinois and its largest plant in Everett, near Seattle, Washington. This aircraft manufacturer specializes in the design of civil and private aircraft, but also in military aeronautics, helicopters and satellites and launchers with its Boeing Defense, Space & Security division. In 2012, it ranked second in military equipment sales worldwide5,6. The company is engaged in a commercial war in aeronautics with its main competitor, the European group Airbus Commercial Aircraft.
Boeing could be a discounted opportunity. The company is now playing a significant role in responding to Russian aggression via its RC-135 reconnaissance plane. While the monitoring of forces to provide real-world analytics is the primary goal, these flyovers serve a secondary purpose: Let the Russian military forces know that the eyes of the world are on them. It may not be the ultimate deterrent, but anything to help the situation from devolving into bloodshed is a positive.
L3-Harris Tech NYSE:LHX
When dealing with defense stocks amid tensions that could spill over into armed conflict, the natural instinct is to consider weapons systems and defensive platforms. Certainly, L3Harris Technologies features a broad range of air, land and sea-based solutions — even solutions that extend into space and the digital realm. However, communications is also a key component of warfare. Without the ability to coordinate offensive or defensive actions, a nation’s military force will not be utilizing its resources in the most effective and efficient manner possible. Considering that Ukraine will be grossly outnumbered in a hot conflict with Russia, efficiency is absolutely critical. Of course, the Russians are not unaware of this serious potential vulnerability. Inevitably, one of their actions in case of an invasion will be to cut off supply routes and disrupt communication lines. Therefore, the Ukrainian government’s relatively recent cooperation agreement with Harris Global Communications, a subsidiary of L3Harris, is significant. Irrespective of whether or not an armed conflict occurs in the coming days, the relationship between L3Harris and Ukrainian forces should grow closer.
Northrop Grumann NYSE:NOC
The U.S. government has already shipped weapons systems to Ukraine and authorized its European partners to send their own shipments. Now, Ukrainian forces have even more resources with which to defend themselves. Given this dynamic, tensions may rise higher. That’s where Northrop Grumman could come into play with its MQ-4C Triton drone. Specializing in real-time intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance, the Triton can provide valuable information while keeping servicemembers away from harm.
United Tech - Raytheon Technologies NYSE:RTX
United Technologies Corporation (UTC) was an American multinational conglomerate headquartered in Farmington, Connecticut. It researched, developed, and manufactured products in numerous areas, including aircraft engines, aerospace systems, HVAC, elevators and escalators, fire and security, building automation, and industrial products, among others. UTC was also a large military contractor, getting about 10% of its revenue from the U.S. government. Gregory J. Hayes was the CEO and chairman. It merged with the Raytheon Company in April 2020 to form Raytheon Technologies. Raytheon has partnered with Lockheed on the Javelin Weapon System, the missile of the hour.
Marketed as an “anti-tank guided munition that can be carried and launched by a single person,” the Javelin offers serious implications for how the Ukrainians can defend themselves against a much larger enemy.
Credits to - xtekky -
BCH Trying to Bounce BackBitcoin Cash is struggling along with the rest of the market, as Bitcoin (BTC) also experienced a sharp drop yesterday. That top crypto coin is on the road to recovery as well but down 7.25% over the last 24 hours. Bitcoin’s trade volume is up 76% in that period, and it is still trading with healthy numbers over $37 billion.
Bitcoin Cash is having a tough time making much progress back up to where it was yesterday, which is obviously because the global markets are trending down. The reason for that has been attributed to Russian President Vladimir Putin’s declaration to invade Ukraine yesterday, followed by action today that held good on his promise. The global markets are preparing for a state of war, which means the economy will likely suffer for a while as the conflict is engaged. Excess resources normally poured into investments will instead be moved into wartime efforts.
That is the fear at the moment, while many countries are preparing sanctions to level at Russia and hoping that war can be avoided by these mildly confrontational sanctions. Investments like cryptocurrency may be put on the back burner for millions of people around the world as they buckle down in their finances and prepare to live more frugally for what could be a coming wartime period.
What this means is that unless there’s a major turnaround for President Putin’s plans, the market will continue to see a downturn. Further news that solidifies global wartime efforts will continue to cause steep declines like what we saw yesterday. For investors, that’s bad news, and it would indicate that it’s best for them to hold off for now on investing in crypto. The Bitcoin Cash price is likely to plummet, as the wider cryptocurrency market should see a bearish trend. There’s no telling how far the prices will go down, but investors should be watching news related to the Ukraine invasion to get some idea of their direction.
War and Financial Markets: Things to do and NOT to doGiven the current fundamental situation - Russian-Ukrainian conflict - we would like to remind some good practices for the small investor and retail trader taking inspiration from the excellent book by Cosimo Natoli and Stefano Natoli "Terrorism, War and Financial Markets" published by Trading Library. In this interesting book the authors analyze how financial markets have reacted to important events such as terrorist attacks and wars.
As we know one of the principles of technical analysis described in the very famous "Technical Analysis of Financial Markets" by John J. Murphy is that: "the market discounts everything" and that is that the price movement already incorporates all those factors of fundamental, political, psychological etc.....
Let's go back to the above advice for the trader and the retail investor - assuming that the professional trader already has strategies and procedures to handle this type of situation (one of all derivative hedging):
Things NOT to do:
- Do not panic, normally markets bounce back and therefore don't close the position immediately as a panic selling
- Do not be influenced by news - that tend to amplify events - by "experts" that you do not know or by friends
- Do not trade intraday if you cannot follow real-time positions (this is always true) and if you do not have experience, in general do not take positions in moments of uncertainty and do not mediate at a loss
- Don't be disheartened by losses (possible stop-losses).
Things to do:
- Remain calm and have a positive attitude
- Inform yourself appropriately from different sources about the situation, keeping a critical spirit about what you read and listen to
- Continue to follow your plan and strategy
- Keep a note of lessons learned and the emotions and feelings you have, including lessons learned from losses, take the opportunity to study and learn something new.
GBPAUD SHORT BUY OPPORTUNITYTechnical Analysis
On the 4HR to the downside we experienced a shallow retracement and price appears to have stalled at the 1.27 and 1.18 level. Anticipating potential retracement to 1.888X to 1.894X area before a potential continuation to the downside.
Fundamental Analysis
Australian Dollar has weakened as a result of Russia invading Ukraine. Australian wages grew less than anticpated, coming in at 2.3% rather than 3%. There is uncertainty as to the direction of the monetary policy. The RBA's minutes were released from the last meeting and the Board wasn't yet convinced that the acceleration in inflation would be sustained and wanted to see wages respond before lifting rates.
TRON UPDATEUkraine has a sizable pool of software developers ready to break into the blockchain technology space.
Last year, Dutch IT company Daxx ranked Ukraine as the most desirable country for information technology outsourcing and the No. 1 in the world for hiring programmers.
Ukraine processes more cryptocurrency transactions per day than it does in its domestic currency, the hryvnia, a 2021 report by The New York Times shows.
$8 Billion In Crypto Enters Ukraine Annually
According to The Times’ report, more than $150 million worth of cryptocurrency is traded in Ukraine everyday, and approximately $8 billion worth of cryptocurrency enters and departs the country each year.
Ukraine’s parliament enacted laws legalizing cryptocurrencies last week, laying the groundwork for a regulatory framework to effectively oversee the flow of digital assets such as Bitcoin.
Ukraine’s policymakers are optimistic that the new law and its crypto adoption would draw additional international investment into the country’s developing crypto economy, however frictions — and now a full-scale war – with Russia looks to dampen financial inflows.
XAUUSD , The risk of a more severe increase ⚠️❌Gold
🔖As mentioned in the previous analysis, we were likely to grow sharply to these levels, which went as expected
📌Unfortunately, the war and this bad news for the world severely affected all world markets
This growth is still expected to continue and grow again with some modification
💹 But due to the news, any scenario will probably fail in the shortest possible time
Hope for a day when there is no war anywhere in the world 🙏🏻🙏🏻
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All supports and resistances are marked on the chart. As we can see, the price is in an important range and recommended to keep an eye on it ...
Follow our other analysis & Feel free to ask any questions you have, we are here to help .
⚠️ This Analysis will be updated ...
📊 #XAUUSD ( Gold )
💹 Time Frame : Weekly
👤 Saeid.Mahbob
📅 24.Feb.22
❤️ If you apperciate my work , Please like and comment , It Keeps me motivated to do better ❤️
Charts can really help during periods of uncertaintyRussia invades Ukraine is the headline and every market in the world it feels like is moving and it is very easy to feel overwhelmed almost to the point of panic, a very quick glance around the markets can see that gold is up, stocks down, the US Dollar is up, and oil looks to be heading above 100.
It's hard to know where to focus one’s attention or even where to start and it really helps to be able to just look at some charts and put some of these moves in context. Yes, the price of Crude Oil is high, but it’s been higher – back in 2011 and 2012 it was regularly above 110 and in 2008 we were a lot nearer to 150.
The stock markets are down a lot, take a look at a chart and see where the support is – I wrote about this recently. For the S+P, the base of the cloud is nearer to 3875…the 200-week ma is down at 3387. By the way a good thing to note is that during periods of uncertainty that markets tend to mean revert to their long-term moving averages and in particular I like to watch to 55 and 200- week moving averages – if you are not a sophisticated chart watcher – no bother, if you just know where these 2 moving averages are you can use these as a proxy for a target zone.
The 2020 high on gold was nearer to 2030 BUT we know that gold is in a long term up move and the chances are we are going to make a new high. What do we use if we are in all-time highs for targets, there are many techniques - Fibonacci extensions, point and figure (probably my favourite), channels, and patterns to name but a few are all ways to give you upside targets. I have a Fibonacci extension on the topside at 2110 ish, but I also have another more important target nearer to 2150.
So, my advice is do not panic – LOOK AT A CHART!!
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