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WAR

GBPUSD: POUND THE BUCKDespite what seems to be an everlasting downfall, the GBPUSD pair is currently in an uphill battle, literally. Climbing up in its current channel, the price point has recently tested what I consider a 'break-out' but failed. Not losing too much of its momentum, the price point fell from 1.35052 to 1.30844 where it rebounded with nice support. A 'break-out' was then again restested on December 31st but also failed. Despite failure, the price point found support at 1.36012 (higher than the previous support level). Also sitting on the bottom of its uptrend channel, it looks like the Pound is posed for a successful 'break-out' in the coming days. With worldwide tensions rising and pressures mounting against the USD, would this be of much surprise? P.S. The 12H chart also shows support under the current price level. Both 50 & 200 EMAs are sitting close by. Seemingly, awaiting the right time to push the price point up.
Long
by UnknownUnicorn5320750
4
AND WHEN MARKETS PANIC AFTER GOING WILD!The DJI was dented significantly over night by three main events: 1. Trouble in Iran. 2. China - withdrawing some companies from the LSE 3. North Korea - powering up to cause America a headache. There was panic selling in the middle of the night which started with the news on Iran. Important trend lines up to 2 hourly were penetrated. Could this be the pinprick that pops the bubble? We'll only discover - after the pop! LOL
FOREXCOM:US30Short
by Captain_Walker
ORBEX: US Air Strike Sends Oil and Gold UP!A US airstrike at the Bagdad airport killed Iranian General Qassem Soleimani’s. Not only this is going to increase geopolitical instability in the region but it also questions the legality of the President's decision as he acted without Congressional approval! US-Iran relations are taking a sour turn early in the year following an “extremely dangerous” attack that could set off a war. See how oil and gold have been affected so far and how they are likely to perform in the short-term. Timestamps WTI 3H 01:50 GOLD 3H 04:15 Trade safe Stavros Tousios Head of Investment Research Orbex This analysis is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by Orbex
COLD WAR 2.0 / WW3 / NUCLEAR HOLOCAUST investingThis is what a market bottom could look like. Currently some nice rsi bullish div. Looking like it is in a bull flag. Appear to have had our capitulatory move. Fundamentally speaking we are working our way to the end of the world so we can see a catalyst like a nuclear arms race or world war breaking out. Is this chart the hourglass for humanity? If we break the green line and can close above $11.74 this is my buy signal and the hour glass will begin. Stop loss will be if we break the low at $10. 10% risk for possible 10x reward IMO. Significant levels are the white lines. Doomsday clock in a chart. Like and follow if you don't wanna die. G-D HELP US
AMEX:URALong
by ceesounds
2
15 December, the US will implement tariffs on $156B on ChinaTo offset the additional tariffs the CNY would have to depreciate - although the Chinese authorities have said that they won't pursue quantitative easing. If there is a formal announcement to suspend or delay the tariffs, the market would expect a more positive risk reaction and that is currently being priced in. WIth the USDCNY trading around the 6.90 and below the 7.00 psychological level that was key back in the summer. If Phase one of the deal does not pass and the tariffs go-ahead, we would expect the USDCNY to trade above the 7.100
by ForexVox
AUDEURDespite the RBA setting a dovish when it comes to all things $AUD this spike in price action has caught my eye, enough for me to justify a pre-emptive move in the name of $AUD strength. Trump's impeachment at the house will not have an impact because the senate where Republicans hold the majority will not vote against their own political leader (well at least that is what the general consensus is); however this does not make Trump look good in the public eye and with elections around the corner this threatens his re-election prospects. Which is enough to garner a few smiles across the pacific in China, where a scenario of Trump not in office would surely improve Chinas seat at the table of negotiations.
Long
by AtacamaFund
S&P 10 year trend, a case for 3800 upside, 600 downsideI use the S&P versus DOW and Nasdaq in order to cast a broader net across more assets however, the other markets seem to echo similar despite having choice selection of underlying assets. For the last 10 years since the recession pounded the markets, we have maintained a clear ascending channel exhibiting strong support and resistance trend lines. The trend line held to mid-channel nicely through 2017. The USG gave corporations a $500B USD a year tax break at the beginning of 2018 and the markets rallied but still fell well short of top of channel. As we saw bolstered earnings quickly dissipate over the year, the S&P came back to its comfort zone, mid-channel until the 4th quarter when trade wars escalated and markets struggled (breaching support at levels not seen since the recession). In an effort to prevent the stock markets from turning, the feds started printing money (QE) & reduced the prime interest rate 3 times this year(2019). These are tools we had last relied on heavily during the height of the recession. With each rate cut, we see a small and repeatedly diminishing wave up. It appears as though, despite all the fuel the government is feeding the market, it just doesn't seem to be enough. There have been a lot of false alarms for a trade deal between the worlds two largest economies but once its inked, it has a high probability of fueling the fire. There is a great chance that an America/China trade deal along with significant reductions in global tariffs could catapult the S&P to 3800 for 25% gains from today's value (along with global markets). It looks like the US has to make a trade deal with China soon to prevent the markets from souring on us. In the event a trade deal isn't inked soon, it seems like the bears may take over and who knows how far the markets will retrace - 40%(S&P@1800), 50%(S&P@1500), 60%(S&P@1200)? How about this, scary (possible not probable), definite possibility >>> We may be seeing an overall downtrend forming, indicated with a light grey line at the bottom of the chart. If this a hard trendline forming, we could see S&P spiral out of control down to 500-600 before it finds support. Disclaimer: I am currently holding S&P ETF options and see a great opportunity to straddle here.
SP:SPX
by EncryptShawn
DxY 2020This Possibility Source in My DowJons Idea My Unconsciously Forecast Considering the technical and fandamental is inaction for Dow and Dxy in 2020 Challenges Related to Electronic Companies Economic War Supply and demand of weapons and arms sales US sanctions on big countries like Iran annnnnnnnnnnnd its very impotant >>>>>>>>>>>>5G<<<<<<<<<<<<<<< technology we most see america can sell this Equipment in euro and asia Great contribution of economic war is >>>>5G<<<<<
TVC:DXYLong
by MrNoise
ORBEX: Syria Operations Weaken TRY, Brexit Looks Good Pre-SummitIn today's #marketinsights video recording I analyse #USDTRY and #EURGBP #FXMinors! Turkish Lira Under Pressure on: - Risk of sanctions - Launch of military operations in Syria - Bank charges for money laundering and fraud - Breather short-term amid US Retail Sales Pound Higher on: - Negotiations optimistic ahead of EU Summit - BoJo's attempts to get deal through better than May's - New customs border in the Irish sea; proposal - EU likely to agree on that deal, then through parliament Stavros Tousios Head of Investment Research Orbex This analysis is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice
by Orbex
WAR WITH IRAN AND SLOWING US ECONOMY || The Higher We Climb...I could've titled this one as "what goes up must come down" and all that BS.. But the point is clear, RECESSION is not a possibility anymore. FED lowering rates just to keep economy afloat. FED had to make emergency injection of more than $125B over the past 3 days. JUST TO KEEP THOSE RATES BELOW 2.25%!!!!!!!!!!!!!! RECESSION fears keep on rising. Strange shit is going on with Middle East (more strange than usual). If war with IRAN won't start till the end of the year, U.S. economy is fucked. I think it's not a secret that the key basis of U.S.' economy is WAR, proxy-war for natural resources kept U.S. economy and all your precious indexes up and going for almost two decades. It's time for U.S. to double down on their way of doing business by starting yet another WAR or rip the consequences...
DJ:DJIShort
by BillyHomeless
Defense and aerospace stocks could get breakout to new highsOne of the items on my watch list is DFEN, the Direxion Daily Aerospace and Defense Fund. This ETF tracks companies like Boeing that would supply the US government with jets and drones in the event of a war with Iran. I'm not buying the fund yet, because it's at the top of its month-long parallel channel, and it's very close to its all-time high at 64.50, without much support on the volume profile. However, if it does start to look like we're going to war with Iran, I think we may see a breakout. I am watching closely to buy any breakout above either the parallel channel or the all-time high.
AMEX:DFENLong
by ChristopherCarrollSmith
Nzd.Chf Buy zoneNZD fundamentally is pretty weak, with all 5 of its major trading partners facing some form of political/financial upheaval. This is important to know because NZD economy is compromised in large part of its exports. However, data has shown that New Zealand has been becoming a favorable investment due to its free market policies that have kept the financial sector pretty solid. China's market, which is affecting NZD the most and is her main trading partner, gateway at Hong Kong has seen protest that have been slowly turning more ambitious. This has helped NZD turn south, as well as the Chinese yuan. However with all eyes on Hong Kong from the international community I truly hope China will play it safe and back off a bit for a while.
Long
by LuisLizama
War must be good for business, LMT Target 385-390 USDHey All, When wall street and some fo the major NYSE and Nasdaq listed companies are experiencing a slight turmoil, Lockheed Martin (LMT) stands head and shoulders above them all which hints that there might be stuff in play that might not be obvious to us, mortals. Yet the expectations are priced in and it looks like USA's war machine is being lubed up right about now. Wall Street was expecting big things from Lockheed Martin's (NYSE:LMT) first quarter, and the company more than delivered. Lockheed reported earnings of $5.99 per share, easily beating the $4.32 consensus estimate and well above the $4.02 per share it earned a year prior. The company also reported a massive backlog and stronger-than-expected operating margins, and raised its outlook for the full year. Another year ahead and investors are again expecting great things from LMT and judging from the price trajectory, and overall strength of the trend I suspect that we will see a surge of the company's stock price and new levels of 385-390 USD per share. Keep that war machine lubed up and enjoy your earnings! Cheers Archie
NYSE:LMTLong
by akublashvili