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Why Bitcoin's Halving Won't Save You if the Economy Goes Down As we navigate through an increasingly volatile economic landscape, similarities between the current market behavior and the period preceding the COVID-19 market crash have begun to surface, particularly concerning Bitcoin ( INDEX:BTCUSD ). This analysis delves into these parallels and discusses why the upcoming Bitcoin halving might not be the safety net investors hope for if a major economic downturn occurs. Historical Insights: The 2020 Pre-Halving Crash Back in early 2020, just before Bitcoin's much-anticipated halving, the cryptocurrency market experienced one of its most drastic crashes. Bitcoin's value plummeted by 41% in a single day, underscoring the rapid sentiment shift among investors from greed to fear. Notably, our Trend Model had signaled an exit from the market two weeks prior to this crash, prompted not by foreknowledge of the pandemic but by bearish behaviour on Bitcoin. At the time, the Crypto Fear and Greed Index was at a mere 39 out of 100, highlighting a market driven by fear— suggesting an oversold market. Current Market Conditions and Sentiment Fast forward to today, the echoes of the past resonate as the same indices and models show similar ominous signs. With geopolitical tensions escalating and the risk of major conflicts looming, our Trend Model recently signalled another exit. Interestingly, the current market sentiment, with a Fear and Greed Index score of 72, indicates a stark contrast: traders remain optimistic despite the negative price trends—a risky disconnect that could precede significant market corrections. Major market influencers continue to advocate bullish perspectives, with some viewing market dips as buying opportunities and others speculating about market manipulations linked to new ETF launches in Hong Kong. The general consensus among these influencers is that the impending halving will bolster Bitcoin prices. However, a closer look at historical data and market behavior suggests otherwise. The Halving: A Misunderstood Phenomenon The halving certainly impacts Bitcoin by reducing the reward for mining new blocks, theoretically increasing scarcity. However, the effect is neither immediate nor strong enough to counteract significant market downturns. After the 2020 halving, Bitcoin prices didn’t soar; instead, they entered a prolonged period of stagnation lasting 72 days. This historical precedent illustrates that halving does not inherently create upward price pressure but rather contributes to a slow, often muted, impact on the market. Technical Analysis and Future Predictions Applying Fibonacci Retracement to the current weekly Bitcoin charts suggests potential price corrections with levels possibly dipping between $38,000 and $45,000. Further analysis through the Limited Growth Stock-to-Flow (S2F) model indicates that Bitcoin is currently overbought. A retracement to $45,000 would align with this model’s estimation of Bitcoin's fair value. Conclusion: Navigating Uncertainty with Data While the hope for a market recovery persists, relying on the halving to safeguard Bitcoin investments in a turbulent economy is misguided. Our historical data and trend analysis underline the importance of cautious and informed trading strategies. Just as our model successfully predicted exits before major market crashes, including the COVID-19 downturn, Luna crash, and FTX collapse, it continues to guide us through these uncertain times. Investors would do well to remember that external factors such as geopolitical developments or economic crises can dwarf the effects of the halving, leading to sharp price declines. In this context, understanding and respecting the data’s warning signs is crucial for navigating the markets effectively, ensuring that decisions are based on insight rather than optimism.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by AlgoAlpha
4
Technical Analysis of RTX (Raytheon Technologies) Weekly ChartSubscribe & Follow For: ➞ Quick Chart Summary Breakdown ➞ Pertinent Supply Demand Zones and Considerations ➞ US Stocks / Crypto Only ➞ Before / After Analysis 🙏 Like & Subscribe 💬 Drop a line and let me know what you think 🍯 Coin donations always appreciated 🚀 Boost this post to share value NYSE:RTX is currently exhibiting a double megaphone pattern on the weekly chart, indicating a period of increased volatility and potential uncertainty in the market sentiment. This pattern typically suggests conflicting forces at play, with widening price swings signaling indecision among traders. Key Pattern: Double Megaphone A megaphone pattern, also known as a broadening formation, consists of two expanding trendlines that diverge away from each other. This pattern reflects growing volatility and uncertainty, with higher highs and lower lows being established over time. In this scenario with RTX we are showing two long term trends one inside of another. Explanation: Textbook Answer: This double megaphone pattern often signifies a struggle between bulls and bears, with neither side gaining a clear advantage. It also represents volatility & opportunity. It's up to us to determine price point where we can capitalize on positioning for profitability! Real World Answer: Manipulation & Perfect Timing As the price oscillates between the expanding trendlines, traders should exercise caution and closely monitor key support and resistance levels for potential trading opportunities. I got a feeling this one is going to be a mover! RSI Breakout with Hidden Divergence: In addition to the double megaphone pattern, RTX is exhibiting a notable breakout on the Relative Strength Index (RSI) with hidden bullish divergence and the highs are currently compromised with clear and visible hidden bearish divergence leading me to believe that we will revisit the 5th swing level (or in the vicinity of) one more time and see how well prices hold. Current Situation: At present, NYSE:RTX is approaching a critical juncture within the double megaphone pattern. Traders must evaluate whether the price will push through the upper trendline or revisit the lower trendline, known as the 5th swing in Elliott Wave Theory. Potential Scenarios: Managing Breakout: If RTX manages to break above the upper trendline of the double megaphone pattern, it could signal a bullish continuation, with the potential for further upside momentum. Traders may consider initiating long positions with appropriate risk management strategies in place. Revisit of 5th Swing (Lower Trendline) Conversely, if RTX fails to sustain upward momentum and revisits the lower trendline, it could indicate a bearish reversal or consolidation phase. Traders should be prepared for increased volatility and monitor key support levels for potential downside targets. Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: Upper trendline of both of the megaphone patterns. Support: Lower trendline (5th swing) and previous swing lows within the pattern. Conclusion: In conclusion, the presence of a double megaphone pattern on the RTX weekly chart suggests heightened volatility and uncertainty in the market. Traders should remain vigilant and adapt their strategies based on the price action relative to the pattern's trendlines. Granted the series of unfortunate events occurring on the global stage I could almost anticipate what is going to happen here in the long term As always, it's essential to incorporate risk management techniques and exercise caution when navigating such volatile market conditions. Note: Ensure to identify your price levels accordingly. This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Traders should conduct their own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NYSE:RTXLong
by the_technical_trapper
⭐️ XAU/USD - $GOLD is going to fall again ? (READ THE CAPTION)By checking the gold chart in the 1-hour time frame, we can see that according to the latest analysis, the price was able to fall from the level of $2393 to $2369 and bring us more than 230 pips of profit! After that, the price was fluctuating in the same range. This morning, with the announcement of Israel's attack on Iran, gold was accompanied by a strong growth and increased to $2417, and after the regional tensions subsided, gold began to fall again. and it is currently trading in the range of $2373! If the price can stabilize below 2379$, we can expect more fall from gold! Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ArmanShabanTrading
64
⭐️ XAU/USD - WAR's effect on the $GOLD Price (IMPORTANT) Weekly Gold Market Analysis Upon examining the gold chart on a weekly basis, it was observed that last Friday marked a significant surge in gold prices. This increase was triggered by the announcement of a potential Iranian attack on Israel, propelling the price to $2431. Price Fluctuations and Corrections However, the ascent was short-lived, and the price underwent a sharp decline. In less than four hours, gold experienced a correction exceeding 1000 pips, eventually settling at $2344 by the market’s close. Market Reactions to Geopolitical Events The anticipated attack materialized on Sunday morning, leading to speculations of a price hike when the market reopened. As predicted, Monday saw gold’s value climb from $2344 to $2372. Despite this, the growth was modest, largely because the market had already factored in the news to a considerable degree on Thursday, resulting in diminished tensions. The Lingering Threat of Conflict Investors are advised to exercise caution as the specter of war continues to loom over the market. The coming days may witness escalating tensions, potentially driving gold prices higher. Technical Outlook and Price Projections It is crucial to monitor the $2404 threshold. Should the price fail to breach this level and instead retreat towards the $2200 channel, with the weekly candle closing within this range, there could be a further downturn in gold prices. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by ArmanShabanTrading
2
Invasion of Kuwait 1991 vs. Iran 2024Buildup prior to the invasion was a steady week of lower prices in January, until 17 Jan 1991 when coalition forces took control of skies over Baghdad and destroyed Iraqi air and ground forces. Overlay is Jan 1991. 17 Jan was the night invasion. 18 Jan the market took a moon shot. Once it became apparent that our guys were winning, bulls took over and the rise after the event was double the decline. The buying spree the day after the night bombing of Baghdad was phenomenal... a moon rocket. Be real careful shorting now. Soon it will become apparent the nutjobs cannot win these conflicts. Relief rally may reach new ATH at 5360+ within a few weeks. Everyone wants puts, all are short, VIX is jumping... that's not a good time to get short. Bottom of this shakeout sometime this week imo.
TVC:SPXLong
by DaddySawbucks
3
Bullish Oil Options Traded at Record Pace Before Iran AttackOil investors piled into the options market days before Iran launched its attack on Israel and traded a record amount of contracts that profit from higher prices. Just over 1 million calls on the global Brent crude benchmark traded last week, surpassing a previous record, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The volumes were focused on contracts at $95 and above $100, with bullish calls trading at hefty premiums to bearish puts in recent weeks. Traders have been flocking to the oil options market in order to hedge themselves against the risk of prices moving higher if the conflict between Israel and Iran widens further. Options are often used to protect against major geopolitical risks as they allow a cheaper way of profiting from a spike in prices. Many of the bets won’t have profited yet given that crude prices and market volatility retreated when the market opened early on Monday, with the benchmark now changing hands below $90. However, as tensions in the region remain high such hedges are likely to remain in place over the coming weeks. Calls at $100 and $110 are the most held options contracts over the next 12 months for Brent, according to ICE Futures Europe data compiled by Bloomberg. On Thursday alone, about 29 million barrels of new call option contracts were opened on the nearest trading month.
BLACKBULL:BRENTLong
by Elite_Forex
📈Bitcoin: Geopolitical Tensions Impact Market Dynamics🚨🔍Today, we're focusing on Bitcoin, which has formed a range box in the 4-hour timeframe between 63054 and 73305. Following the uptrend from 40k, this consolidation phase is a logical pause, potentially leading to a correction in the weekly timeframe, especially considering the imminent Halving event, which may precede a bullish rally. ⚡️In range-bound markets, whales often execute buy or sell orders within these ranges. We shouldn't play into the hands of these whales; therefore, it's better to be patient and wait for a breakout above 73305 for a long position, or wait for the candle to close below 63054 for a short position. 📊The volume of red candles is significantly high, partly due to the sharp decline we witnessed last night following Iran's attack on Israeli soil, causing a 20-40% decline in most altcoins. However, Bitcoin found support at 63054, preventing further decline. 💥The RSI indicator dipped into oversold territory and bounced back, currently oscillating near the 30 mark. A move into oversold territory coupled with candlestick confirmation could trigger another sharp decline, potentially coinciding with news of further conflict between Iran and Israel. ⚡️The POC (Point of Control) in the fixed range volume profile was lost last night, with attention now focused on 63054. If this level is breached, Bitcoin could test the 52k range. 📝Finally, it's essential to note that at the onset of a conflict, markets initially experience a downturn as governments aim to increase liquidity. However, Bitcoin tends to appreciate afterward, as individuals in conflict-stricken countries seek to move their assets abroad, making Bitcoin the preferred choice. This could mark the beginning of the 2024 bull run. 🧠💼It's important to acknowledge the inherent risks in futures trading, with the potential for margin calls if risk management is neglected. Always adhere to strict capital management principles and utilize stop-loss orders, ensuring that the initial target offers a risk-to-reward ratio of 2
by itsparham96
A Speed Bump or a Sign of Things to Come?The recent dip in the crypto market, triggered by escalating tensions between Iran and Israel, serves as a stark reminder of the market's volatility. Bitcoin prices plummeted to GETTEX:59K before a swift recovery, leaving many investors wondering: was this a blip on the radar or a harbinger of things to come? **The Iran-Israel Factor:** Geopolitical tensions have historically impacted traditional markets, and crypto appears increasingly susceptible as well. The news of a potential war undoubtedly spooked investors, leading to a sell-off. However, the market's swift bounce back suggests that the long-term outlook might remain bullish. **Bull Run on Hold?** The upcoming Bitcoin halving, scheduled for sometime in 2024, is a highly anticipated event that often precedes bull runs. While the recent crash might cause a temporary setback, historical data suggests that these halvings often lead to price increases due to a reduced supply of new Bitcoins. **Full-Fledged War? A Bearish Threat?** A full-blown war would undoubtedly have a significant negative impact on global markets, including crypto. Increased risk aversion and economic uncertainty could trigger a prolonged bear market. It's important to monitor the situation closely and adjust your strategy accordingly. **The Power of Diversification:** Regardless of the bull or bear market predictions, diversification remains a crucial strategy. Spreading your investments across various cryptocurrencies and asset classes can help mitigate risk. **The Final Word: It's All Speculation** The future of the crypto market, especially in light of geopolitical events, is inherently uncertain. While a bull run is still possible after the halving, external factors can always play a role. Here's where **you** come in! Join the discussion in the comments below!** Share your thoughts: * Do you think the recent crash is a sign of a larger correction? * How will a potential full-fledged war impact the crypto market? * What strategies are you using to navigate the current market climate? **By fostering a community of informed investors, we can all navigate the ever-evolving world of cryptocurrency.** **Disclaimer:** This is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
by OMGiTzREALHASSAN
2
Why both Gold & U.S. Dollar Index are rising ? (IMPORTANT)The Intricate Dance of Gold and the U.S. Dollar The relationship between the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) and Gold prices is a fascinating study in economics. Typically, these two have a reverse correlation. The reason for this inverse relationship is that gold is priced in U.S. dollars. Therefore, when the dollar strengthens, gold becomes more expensive for investors using other currencies. This can decrease demand for gold and subsequently lower its price. However, this correlation is not set in stone. There are times when both the DXY and gold prices can increase simultaneously. This can occur due to a variety of factors such as geopolitical tensions, market uncertainty, or changes in monetary policy. For instance, from early 2022 to the beginning of 2024, the correlation between gold and the DXY has seen periods of both synchronicity and divergence. This indicates that other factors are influencing gold prices. Currently, despite the rising DXY, gold prices are also on an upward trend. This could be attributed to investors seeking safe-haven assets amidst economic or geopolitical uncertainty. This increases the demand for gold, driving up its price even as the dollar strengthens. Additionally, expectations of changes in monetary policy, such as interest rate cuts, can also affect gold prices. In conclusion, while the DXY and gold prices often move in opposite directions, there are times when they dance to the same tune. This intricate dance is influenced by a myriad of factors, making the relationship between the DXY and gold prices a complex and intriguing aspect of global economics. Prepared by : Arman Shaban
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by ArmanShabanTrading
7
TSLA - Weekly Inflection PointDaily is winding up to an inflection point, while the weekly is getting close as well. I'm favoring the bearish break; but there is a chance for a bullish reversal- so time will tell. What I can say is that we're approaching a conclusive point in time that will send price with signifcant momentum in either direction. When I look for an inflection point I watch for consolidating momentum. In turn I watch for breaks that releases the built up energy. Previous Analysis:
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by Mikhiavelli
China - U.S. War Preparations!We are still at the start phase of the China - U.S. war & seeing it slowly brew into something bigger. 2025 - 2026 should be when we see a full out war, weather that's a physical war, economical war or a cyber war. Ahead of this war it'll be interesting to see how China prepares for sanctions from western nations; ⭕️Which financial asset classes they divert into. ⭕️Which industries they become reliant on. ⭕️Which countries they turn into allies.
TVC:DXYLong
by BA_Investments
🔥❤️GOLD TO 2370-2390🔥❤️❤️MY FOREX TEAM❤️ INFORMATION Gold price continues to rise amid growing geopolitical tensions. Gold prices hit record highs above $2,350 even as rate cut bets ease. A rally in gold persisted even as technical indicators showed the yellow metal was squarely in overbought territory. 💲BUY / SELL SIGNAL UPDATES SHORTLY💲 Follow channel for regular updates Everyone success..👍👍👍 ❤️MY FOREX TEAM - Technical Analysis Technical indicators SMA | EMA | MACD | SAR | VWAP | RSI | MARKET TREND | NEWS ❤️NOTE Gold price soars, supported by weakening US Dollar in face of high Treasury yields. XAU/USD was boosted by Fed Chair Powell hinting at rate cuts within the year, contingent on sustained inflation decline. Despite a strong job market as shown by ADP data, indications of a slowdown in services activity contribute to the precious metal's gains. ❤️MONEY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT ⚡️ Only Trade With Risk Capital ⚡️ Cut Losses Short, Let Profits Run On ⚡️ Avoid Using Too Much Leverage ⚡️ Avoid Taking Too Much Heat ⚡️ Do Not Give in to Greed ⚡️ Take profit equal to 4-6% of your capital ⚡️ Stop lose equal to 2-3% of your capital
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by My_Forex_Team
🔥🔥GOLD TO 2330🔥🔥❤️MY FOREX TEAM❤️ INFORMATION Gold price climbs steadily, eyeing Wednesday's $2,300 psychological figure amid high US Treasury bond yields and a soft US Dollar. Speeches from Federal Reserve officials, strong jobs data, and a dip in services business activity weighed on the American currency. Therefore, the XAU/USD spot price is at $2,295, refreshing all-time highs and gaining more than 0.60%. Recently, Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated the US central bank has time to deliberate about rate cuts, given the strength of the economy and the inflation readings. He reiterated that if the economy evolves as expected, they will cut borrowing costs “at some point this year.” 💲BUY / SELL SIGNAL UPDATES SHORTLY💲 Follow channel for regular updates Everyone success..👍👍👍 ❤️MY FOREX TEAM - Technical Analysis Technical indicators SMA | EMA | MACD | SAR | VWAP | RSI | MARKET TREND | NEWS ❤️NOTE Gold price soars, supported by weakening US Dollar in face of high Treasury yields. XAU/USD was boosted by Fed Chair Powell hinting at rate cuts within the year, contingent on sustained inflation decline. Despite a strong job market as shown by ADP data, indications of a slowdown in services activity contribute to the precious metal's gains. ❤️MONEY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT ⚡️ Only Trade With Risk Capital ⚡️ Cut Losses Short, Let Profits Run On ⚡️ Avoid Using Too Much Leverage ⚡️ Avoid Taking Too Much Heat ⚡️ Do Not Give in to Greed ⚡️ Take profit equal to 4-6% of your capital ⚡️ Stop lose equal to 2-3% of your capital
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by My_Forex_Team
Buy Buy! Ultra-bull Niocorp DevelopmentsI have been following this stock for some time, and it is getting better and better. their long standing goals, producing commercial, industrial-grade niobium, scandium products are coming to fruitition. This includes securing the finances to embark on the endeaver (unofficial). In the mining scene we have to be wary off the juristiction/country the mine is located in. it could get seized, laws could get passed that could dampen revenue or export be banned. But this is the opposite . It is located in Nebraska, U.S. and has tremendous political support . Niocorp Investor Presentation Target is AT LEAST 25. This stock is very resiliant against war, and will actually benefit from it. more supply chain issues abroad , inflation, demand to name a few. I like the price right now, but could surely fall further. We are near the support zone around 5.3, next is 4.7 zone then 3.9 zone. bargain zone: 2.6 - 2 Strategy: DCA GL
NLong
by leamese
Gold will be Slave or Master❗️Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈 After breaking above the $2100 resistance, XAUUSD surged by 5%. How high can Gold climb? The marked red circle represents a significant resistance and overbought zone as it marks the intersection of: 1- $2250 round number. 2- Upper red trendline from weekly. 3- Upper blue trendline from daily. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle denotes a robust area to anticipate a potential reversal. And keep in mind: the bigger the impulse, the bigger the correction. Therefore, when Gold begins to trade lower, be prepared! 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TheSignalyst
3
Israel War and Gold ConspiracyIn September 2023, gold prices had a sell-off for the whole month, reaching daily support levels while the RSI was oversold below average. Interestingly, during this period, the announcement of the conflict involving Israel coincided with gold's approach to a crucial support area, prompting speculation about foreknowledge or market pricing in of this event. This scenario recalls a fictional scene from a movie where terrorists hijack an airplane, disguising it as a system failure to profit from short-selling airline stocks. While fictional, it highlights the potential manipulation of events for financial gain. This raises broader questions about the influence of powerful entities, often termed the "elite," in shaping global events to their advantage. Coincidence or orchestrated?
OANDA:XAUUSD
by infamous7
GOLD, will NFP finally start wave C?Hello everyone, Gold currently confusing traders as it switches between correctional movements and speculative pullbacks. From a technical point of view the 2067 level is now very important for the next move, which I expect to be a short one. Only a daily candle close above can invalidate the short scenario which would have the targets 1980 , 1920 and 1895 . The yellow triangle is a possible reversal zone for a wave 2 bottom and bullish move towards new ATH with targets at 2300 and 3000 . Looking at the big picture of Gold, it has been in a very long consolidation in the 1640 - 1980 range. So far every breakout attempt over the upper boundary has been sold within a few days. But with the break above 2000 related to the middle east conflict Gold was able to stabilize above 1980. Most likely the 1980 will be retested to built liquidity for a bullish move first. I suggest to go short to anticipate in wave C of wave 2. The reversal zone for this move is the current resistance 2060 - 2067. I will keep you updated if I see conformation or trading opportunities. If you have any questions feel free to contact me.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by Kyrean
DEFENSE WINS CHAMPIONSHIPS (Global Conflict Summary EDITION)Per the council of foreign relations, these are the following current global conflicts. I've included a brief description of each conflict. It's important to understand these if you're planning or already are investing in defense stocks. Per TA, I've labeled bearish price targets, bullish price targets, relevant trends. It looks overvalued from analysis on ITA, but there is upside. I'd say that short term probably favors bulls (talking maybe weeks if not less), mid term probably favors the bears (multiple months), long term will likely favor bulls, but it will depend on the movement we see over FEB and March. Global Conflict Summary Americas Criminal Violence in Mexico The criminal violence in Mexico involves various organizations such as Sinaloa, Los Zetas, Tijuana/AFO, Juárez/CFO, Beltrán Leyva, Gulf, La Familia Michoacana, the Knights Templar, and Cartel Jalisco Nuevo Generación (CJNG). The violence is attributed to the increase in crime rates and the limited interventions by the state and municipal police. Instability in Haiti The instability in Haiti involves the government, opposition parties, and the international community. The crisis revolves around the dispute over the presidential term and the government’s inability to control skyrocketing prices of commodities. Instability in Venezuela Venezuela is facing an unprecedented social and humanitarian collapse due to poor economic policies, political conflict, and the international community’s unsuccessful attempts to bring about positive change. The conflict involves the government under President Nicolás Maduro and opposition groups. Asia Instability in Afghanistan Since the Taliban reclaimed control of Afghanistan in 2021, the country has further plunged into political and economic instability. The conflict involves the Afghan government, the Taliban, and various local and international actors. Territorial Disputes in the South China Sea China’s sweeping claims of sovereignty over the sea have antagonized competing countries. The key parties involved in this territorial dispute are China, the Philippines, and the US. North Korea Crisis North Korea could resort to nuclear weapons in a crisis as it is making significant progress toward implementing a more robust nuclear strategy. The crisis involves North Korea, South Korea, the United States, Japan, and other international actors. Instability in Pakistan Pakistan continues to face multiple sources of internal and external conflict. Extremism and intolerance of diversity and dissent have grown, threatening the country’s prospects for social cohesion and stability. The conflict involves the Pakistani government, opposition groups like the Pakistan Muslim League and the Pakistan Peoples Party, and militant groups like the Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP). Conflict Between India and Pakistan Since 1947, India and Pakistan have been involved in a number of wars, conflicts, and military standoffs, with the Kashmir conflict serving as the catalyst for every war between the two states. The conflict primarily involves India and Pakistan, with the disputed region of Kashmir being a major point of contention. Confrontation Over Taiwan Tensions are rising over Taiwan as China’s power and assertiveness grows, competition between the U.S. and China spreads, and the Taiwanese people develop a distinct identity increasingly disassociated from the mainland. The key parties involved in this conflict are China, Taiwan, and the US. Civil War in Myanmar The civil war in Myanmar escalated significantly in response to the 2021 military coup d’état and the subsequent violent crackdown on anti-coup protests. The conflict involves the National Unity Government, People’s Defence Force, Chinland Defence Force, Chin National Defence Force, Karenni Nationalities Defence Force, and other ethnic armed organizations against the State Administration Council and Tatmadaw. Europe and Eurasia War in Ukraine The war in Ukraine involves Ukraine and Russia. The conflict is over the sovereignty of Crimea and parts of eastern Ukraine, which Russia annexed in 2014. Nagorno-Karabakh Conflict The Nagorno-Karabakh conflict involves Armenia and Azerbaijan. The dispute is over the Nagorno-Karabakh region, which is internationally recognized as part of Azerbaijan but is governed by ethnic Armenians. Middle East and North Africa Conflict in Syria The conflict in Syria involves the Syrian government, opposition groups, and various international actors. The civil war began in 2011 as part of the Arab Spring protests and has since escalated into a multi-sided conflict involving numerous factions and foreign powers. Instability in Iraq The instability in Iraq involves the Iraqi government, various ethnic and religious groups, and international actors. The conflict stems from sectarian tensions, political instability, and the presence of ISIS. Israeli-Palestinian Conflict The Israeli-Palestinian conflict involves Israel, Palestine, and various international actors. The conflict is over the sovereignty of the Palestinian territories and the establishment of a Palestinian state alongside Israel. Sub-Saharan Africa Conflict in the Central African Republic The conflict in the Central African Republic involves the government, various rebel groups, and international actors. The conflict stems from political instability, ethnic tensions, and control over the country’s rich natural resources. Conflict in Ethiopia The conflict in Ethiopia involves the Ethiopian government, the Tigray People’s Liberation Front, and various ethnic and regional groups. The conflict stems from political tensions, ethnic disputes, and disagreements over the country’s system of ethnic federalism. Please note that this is a brief summary and does not cover all aspects of the conflicts. For more detailed information, please conduct further research.
CBOE:ITA
by nicktussing77
🔥 XAU/USD - Shadow of WAR in the market ? (READ THE CAPTION)As you can see, last night, after the analysis we had, the price was able to experience a strong drop and correct it until $2013! After that, the price was accompanied by relative demand to be able to fill the liquidity void that had been created! After the price had grown to about $2030, the news of the war was published in the market, and this caused gold to grow strongly and grow up to $2056! Probably, this growth will continue until the range of $2061 to $2066 as the first target, and then we have to wait for the price reaction to this level! Pay attention that during times of war, gold is regarded as a safe asset and this will increase its demand and price of it! This analysis will be updated step by step! In addition, the growth that gold has had from $2013 to $2056 has created a large liquidity gap, which is expected to be filled in the short term with the drop in price! Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ArmanShabanTrading
21
War/Defence Stocks: Macro Fib SchematicsThis handcrafted idea using Advanced Fibonacci Tools beholds 6 of the largest War Mongering "Defence" contractors. ( Raytheon, Boeing, Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman, General Dynamics, L3 Harris Tech ) These Fibonacci Schematics show all price manipulation of Support and Resistance. I've started the timeline at 1999 for many reasons. One being the already conceived and "soon to be" conflicts of the Middle East with the "war of terror." (Give me a break) 2001 kickstarted another HUGE flow of stimulus into these defence contractors to fund the West's newest war to keep people "proud to be an American". Solely by continuing the collective punishment of millions of people in the Middle East region. This had already been going on for about 2 decades at least before 9/11. The American Government killed hundreds of thousands to millions of Iraqis and Afghanistan people through this collective punishment. They needed a way to continue their genocidal intent and ethnic cleansing with a false flag terror attack to get the American People back on their side. 9/11 brought out the worst in our country and the "PatRioTiC" US citizens green lit their leaders to dish out more collective punishment even though their leaders had been lying though their teeth for countless years.... I need give only one example with "weapons of mass destruction" Obviously this matters because these Defence Contractors have blood all over their hands that they are basically swimming in it. Anyways, this is just a Macro Analysis. These lines represent death and destruction so investing in them is a moral dilemma which I obviously advice against.
NYSE:NOC
by MichaelBsul
EURUSD Pair Projections for Q1, Q2, and Q3 2024Financial Analysis: EURUSD Pair Projections for Q1, Q2, and Q3 2024 Disclaimer : This analysis is based on the information available as of the provided date and is subject to change. It should not be considered as financial advice. Readers are encouraged to conduct their own research before making investment decisions. Ifo Report and Current Business Climate The recent Ifo report reflects a clouded sentiment in the German business landscape, with companies expressing dissatisfaction with their current business situations and heightened skepticism regarding the first half of 2024. Notably: Manufacturing The Business Climate Index in manufacturing witnessed a noticeable decline, with companies perceiving their current business situation as significantly worse. Expectations in the manufacturing sector grew more pessimistic, particularly affecting energy-intensive industries. Service Sector The service sector experienced a slight improvement in the business climate, driven by increased satisfaction with current business situations. Service providers displayed reduced skepticism about the outlook for the next six months, although expectations in restaurants and catering saw a nosedive. Trade The trade sector suffered a setback, as companies assessed their current situations as notably worse. Holiday trade for retailers, in particular, disappointed. Construction The Business Climate Index in construction hit its lowest level since September 2005, with companies reporting a worsened current situation. Approximately half of the companies anticipate further deterioration in the months ahead. Projections for EURUSD in Q1, Q2, and Q3 The Ifo report's insights into the German business sentiment set the stage for assessing the FX:EURUSD pair's projections: Q1: Sluggish Momentum The current scenario suggests a sluggish start for EURUSD in Q1. The clouded business sentiment in Germany may contribute to a sideways market, marked by cautious trading. Q2: Anticipating Improvement As Q2 unfolds, there is an expectation of an improvement in the financial situation in Europe. Despite the challenging Q1, signs of stabilization and potential positive developments could influence a more favorable outlook for the EURUSD pair. Q3: Inverse Head & Shoulders Pattern An analysis of the larger fractal, specifically the Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern forming in the EURUSD pair, points towards robust bullish momentum. This projection aligns with a potential turnaround by the end of Q2 and the beginning of Q3, indicating a shift towards a more positive market sentiment. Conclusion In conclusion, the EURUSD pair is likely to face challenges in the early part of 2024, reflecting the clouded sentiment in the German business landscape. However, signs of improvement are anticipated in Q2, with the formation of an Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern suggesting a strong bullish momentum in the currency pair by the end of Q2 and the beginning of Q3. Traders and investors should closely monitor economic indicators, global events, and the evolving business climate for timely decision-making in the dynamic forex market.
Long
by wikitrades