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⚠️ VERY TELLING SIGN!! READ OR PAY THE PRICE 😉Now we see that the SPY has made over 12% drawdown since it major top in 04JAN22. Currently the correction in the Nasdaq Composite reached -19.72% peak to trough while the Russell 2000 came off -21.44%. This is the largest correction in the general market since the Covid crash in March of 2020. However, this indicator is a sign that we might not be out of the woods yet. What is telling us that? Well the buying patterns of traders and institutions. The Put-Call ratio is barely in the neutral level, which suggest that the participants in the markets have not been buying puts (aka equivalent to selling short) just yet. When they do, things can get really ugly. /for the chart we look at 10D SMA of the PCall ratio on the Daily timeframe/ This together with the high VIX should be more than enough to keep you on the sidelines. REMEMBER CASH IS A POSITION and if you were in our free discord service you would have already been out by 13JAN
USI:PCQShort
by TintinTrading
BTC What will happen to Bitcoin in the future?If we look at the bitcoin past We notice that in April we saw the fall of bitcoin . This move on September 7 seems to be similar to the move in April The market did not seem to gather at this point . The market may rise to the 20-day moving level That is the first goal of growth . . If you manage to break this difficult level Tests the 50,000 level again . But do not break until 52 thousand We are still in a short downtrend rally . But if my analysis is correct Level 40 thousand and level 37 thousand are tested again . . Financial advice is not merely the opinion of an analyst . . . Share your comments with us
by Fateh2047
Reverse Repos - Cross All Time Highs @ 1.183 TrillionNot a Fan of Drama(s). Consider this antithetical to Drama. Safety, a great deal of it is being bought in Size. Both, The Federal Reserve and the Unites States Treasury are removing it at a rapid pace - Liquidity. This would appear counter-intuitive as the Equities Complex continues to make ATH after ATH. _____________________________________________________________ From November 2019 to February 2020, the exact same pattern repeated. Liquidity was removed, Banks tightened lending. The rest is history. It does indeed repeat. Then as now, Margin Debt had exceeded prior Highs, everyone was in and heavily leveraged LONG. The Put/Call Ratio had reached an extreme LOW. Complacency was abundant. Market conditions then, as now created immense vulnerabilities. The potential for a FLASH CRASH had never reached this extreme then. As for now, the potential has never been higher. Sentiment plays an important role as well... Confidence in the everything. Not simply Stock, but our arrangements in every manner. These are horrific at best, by any metric. ______________________________________________________________________ Charts are not the end all be all. February 22, 2020 should have taught everyone this simple edict. Accidents happen and although they may "Appear" in our Charts, there is something FAR MORE IMPORTANT and that is the underlying Fundamentals. It is more than fair to suggest the Federal Reserve can and will provide unlimited support to the Equity Complex, Bonds, Real Estate, Money Markets as well as support Fiscal Malfeasance by our Government. To a point... Global Equities look terrible, there is an accident ahead, a large and insidious event that will arrive unannounced and undo what has been done at surreal expense. It has been a long time - An extreme divergence between US Equities and Global Markets. A large and important drop in Asia's Equities Markets implies a contagion is developing and with it a hyper selloff in global equities. Divergences within our Equities Complex have NEVER been this extreme. It is referred to as Capitulation, not by you or I - but by Global Central Banks under the direction of the BIS. ________________________________________________________________________ It is near. Extreme Caution is warranted in everything. There is no date, there is no time to project, A day, a week and even a month. That said, when it arrives, gains will be lost and then some. Everyone appears to be "Anticipating" this correction. They Hedge and become fuel for the next squeeze of protection. This is all that is driving this market now, nothing more other than the need for a higher Fill. It is be design and plan. ____________________________________________________________________ Cash is a position, it is an exceptional one at times when one is confused or inexperienced. We are preparing for it now. xoxo - Hunter Killer
FRED:RRPONTSYD
by HK_L61
10
$AMZN end of bull run - WARNING !!! Amazon made a lower high in July and gapped down after earnings on July 29. Bad sign !!! Refering to the Dow Jones Transportation (DJT) index declining for the past few months, this is a weak sign of the general economy. Transportation is very sensitive to the economy and as everyone knows, you need transports to shops finished products from one place to another, particularly for a business like Amazon. One exception would be software companies to an extent that they do not need to rely on transportation to deliver their products, they just do it over the internet in most cases. Fedex and UPS have also gapped down and trading sideways recently. Where to from here? I would expect businesses like Amazon, Etsy, Ebay to soften their sales and share price should be going sideways or down. I don't foresee the bull run to continue for a while. I'm expecting a minor correction in the markets (SPX & DOW & IWM) next few weeks or so.
NASDAQ:AMZN
by fredpui
1
Warning BTC broke the trianglefrombelowAccording to the previous analysis, the triangle pattern was broken from the bottom. If you pull back, you can leave the market in 4-hour timeframe. According to the new analysis, the targets of the descent have been identified in order and you can take a short position I hope you are safe from harm Bitcoin can only return to the market with a few good news, which is very unlikely Thank You! Finglish ( Persian ) : Tebghe Tahlil ghabli btc mosalas khodesh ro az paeen shekast va ravand nozoli shod , dar soorat pullback zadan dar time 4 saate mitavanid az bazar kharej shavid , agar pullback nazad tebghe candel 1D baadi az bazar kharej shavid, Tebghe chart , ahdafe nozool moshakhas kardam va mitavanid position short begirid va az rizesh sood konid moafagh bashid !
Short
by danialmt
NASDAQ Price Action Sends a ClueThe tech-heavy NASDAQ 100 E-Mini futures contract (NQ) hit a high of 4,884 in March 2000, nearly four years after Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan said that there was “irrational exuberance” in the internet stocks. By October 2002, the index fell to 797.50 as the tech sector bubble burst. The best-performing index in 2020 The pandemic accelerated technology’s role The leading tech companies face regulatory headwinds A bearish cocktail of rising taxes and inflation The risk of a significant correction remains high It took the NASDAQ over sixteen years to climb back to the March 2020 high. Since then, the rise has been meteoric, with the index reaching its most recent peak on April 29, 2021, at the 14,064 level. Since the late April peak, the index has made lower highs and lower lows, which is never a good technical sign for a market. The NASDAQ was the place to be in 2020 as the index exploded higher on a year-on-year basis. However, the best performing sector during one period often becomes the worst or lags during the following periods. The tech sector faces more than a few challenges as we move towards the second half of 2021. The best-performing index in 2020 The E-Mini NASDAQ 100 rose from 8,752.25 on December 31, 2019, to 12,885.50 on December 31, 2020, an over 47% gain. The rise from the March 2020 pandemic inspired low at 6,628.75 was even more impressive at more than 94%. The chart shows that at the most recent 14,064 late April high, the contract was up over 9% for 2021. At the 13,387 level at the end of last week, the gain was around the 3.9% level. The NASDAQ was the best performing stock market index in 2020. The DJIA gained 7.25% last year while the S&P 500 moved 16.3% higher. The over 40% gain left the other stock market benchmarks in the dust. Meanwhile, COVID-19 set the stage for incredible gains in technology stocks. The pandemic accelerated technology’s role The worst worldwide pandemic since the 1918 Spanish Flu caused a dramatic change in human behavior. Government-mandated shutdowns and social distancing guidelines made society worldwide highly dependent on technology for communication, shopping, work, entertainment, and the aspects of daily life. As the economy suffered, central bank monetary policy and government fiscal stimulus provided stability to the financial system. The demand for technology in 2020 caused earnings to soar and hastened the decline of retail businesses. The leading technology companies rose to new all-time highs, with earnings reports far-exceeding even the most bullish analyst expectations. However, as the pandemic fades into the market’s rearview mirror, technology companies could find themselves victims of their success, which has spotlighted the wealth and dominance by the companies, their founders and CEOs, and key employees. The leading tech companies face regulatory headwinds During the 2020 Presidential campaign’s primary for the Democrats, the party’s progressive wing took a position that billionaires should not exist. The torch carrier for progressives, Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders, said just that during the primaries. Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren said that the US system provides the most successful people the ability to amass incredible wealth. President Joe Biden’s administration has taken a far more progressive approach to governing than even Senators Sanders and Warren had expected. The administration and Congress, along with the Republican opposition, have expressed more than a few concerns about the dominant position that market caps near or over the trillion-dollar level affords the technology leaders like Apple (AAPL), Microsoft (MSFT), Alphabet (GOOG), Amazon (AMZN), Facebook (FB), and other top social media companies. Technology companies are global, the potential for increased regulations that puts a leash on the dominance that interferes with competition could weigh on earnings over the coming months and years. The EU and US legislators seem to be in lockstep in wanting to control the growing power of these technology companies with regulations. A bearish cocktail of rising taxes and inflation Senators Sanders and Warren have proposed an annual wealth tax with little chance of passage through the US Senate. However, President Biden will increase corporate and individual tax rates. He is looking to boost the capital gains rate for the wealthiest Americans, making over $1 million per year, to 43.4%. With state and local tax rates, that would boost capital gains to well over 50%. Moreover, the administration has been making noises about lowering the threshold for inheritance taxes and eliminating step-up valuation practices. And, savings in retirement plans could push many into higher tax brackets. The President pledged he would not increase taxes on those who make under $400,000 per year, but we could see stock holdings and inflationary pressures push gross incomes over that level. The substantial gains in technology stocks put a bullseye on the shares in a rising tax environment. We could see shareholders forced to sell significant percentages of their holdings to pay inheritance and other taxes. Over the past years, the path of least resistance of the stock market has been higher thanks to natural buying each day from tax-protected IRA, 401K, SEP, and other accounts. As taxes rise, we could see natural buying turn to natural selling, pushing stocks lower. Meanwhile, commodity prices have been rising, and interest rates further out along the yield curve have increased over the past year. In May alone, copper, palladium, and lumber prices reached all-time highs. Grain prices recently rose to the highest levels since 2012-2013. The latest April CPI data came in at 0.8% compared to forecasts at 0.2%. Increasing inflationary pressures could cause the Fed to begin to taper asset purchases and increase the short-term Fed Funds rate over the coming months. Rising interest rates are typically bearish for the stock market as higher fixed-income yields attract capital that has been flowing into stocks. The risk of a significant correction remains high The NASDAQ remains at a lofty level, even after the latest correction since April 29. The pattern of lower highs and lower lows could be a harbinger of a coming correction. With a regulatory bullseye on its back, rising taxes, and inflationary pressures, the technology sector could become the leader on the downside over the coming months as it had been the leader on the upside in 2020. Moreover, the market has become accustomed to earnings levels that could be unsustainable in the post-pandemic era. After being cooped up for more than a year, people are venturing out and returning to the workplace, which could cause a decline in the dependence on technology. Four years after Alan Greenspan called the rise in technology stocks “irrational exuberance,” the market collapsed. It took sixteen years for it to recover to a higher high. It may not be a question of if a severe correction in the technology sector happens, but when it will occur. Be careful out there. Markets reflect the political and economic landscapes, which are problematic for the tech sector. Read more articles using the link below. Trading advice given in this communication, if any, is based on information taken from trades and statistical services and other sources that we believe are reliable. The author does not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects the author’s good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice the author provides will result in profitable trades. There is risk of loss in all futures and options trading.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by Andy_Hecht
1
Watch your GOLD!Wanted to pay attention to the gold position at the moment. As you can see on the chart, there is a difference between a clean breakout VS, not a clean breakout. In Jesse Livermore terms: Clean breakout = "The stock is acting right" Not clean breakout = "The stock is Not acting right" ===> WARNING SIGNAL according to Livermore system --> you need to watch the market closely. ------------------- There is a possibility of a much bigger correction than you think. Keep eye on it.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ZoharCho
1
HIGH ALERT: To Bitcoin latecomersThe position shown is a potential crash zone. I'm well aware that 'everybody' thinks BTCUSD is going to $100,000 soon. There are problems ahead that 'everybody' is not factoring in. Firstly the technical set up is showing something important in this analysis. Bitcoin has had a major long run up to approx $58,200. Next - there is an important trend switch. 'Everybody' can see the importance of that conspicuous amber trend line. The seeming recovery is about latecomers and greed. Then there is another problem lurking. What's that? Central Banks are quietly planning their own brand of digital currencies, and regulation is likely to squeeze Bitcoin. Loyalists will say that Bitcoin is bound to survive. Sure - but will price survive? The technicals are clear for everybody to see. The greater probability is for the south - this is not a prediction. It is only a probability - which means there is also a probability that Bitcoin does not 'obey' the technical picture. Disclaimers : This is not advice or encouragement to trade securities on live accounts. Chart positions shown are not suggestions. No predictions and no guarantees supplied or implied. Heavy losses can be expected if trading live accounts. Any previous advantageous performance shown in other scenarios, is not indicative of future performance. If you make decisions based on opinion expressed here or on my profile and you lose your money, kindly sue yourself.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Captain_Walker
18
Keep an eye on GXChain (GXS)Guys, pay special attention to this: I advised to you the AVAX exponential rally some weeks ago (see my AVAX chart) and some laugh, but see AVAX price now. AVAX total supply: 720 M Price before my advise: $3,5 Now: $23 Now, I'm warning you about GXS exponential rally. The chance is in your hands. GXS total supply: ONLY 20 M GXS price right now: $0,4 GXS future price: + $10 This crypto started a bullish trend, with a lot of confirmations. See my most recent ideas about GXS.
BLong
by BullSecret
1
BTCUSD WARNING converging bearish signsQuick update on facts 4H candle to close on a doji (reversal sign) 4H SHS pattern STILL not invalidated (right shoulder needs to go ABOVE head, A on the chart) We are forming another ascending wedge (like previous to on this chart), the pullback on ascending wedges is the beginning of the channel which would lead to approx 32.2K So from now (after hitting 40K) we start to see some sort of resistance / rejection. I'd be VERY cautious on opening long trades. As always, better to stay on the side and see how it unfolds. Don't bet, safe trade !
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by shirocrypto
2