Warrenbuffet
Compounding (Course #2)The power of compounding is one of Warren Buffett’s success factors.
Compounding is why you can make a lot of money over time. You MUST understand the power of it, and use it. That’s it.
Compounding is basically reinvesting what you earned into earning more. Why is this so powerful?
Because each time you earn a percentage, that earning is in fact percentage of the initial + a percentage of the previous gains. Then, as you go on, the sum of all the small gains is growing exponentially, making you earn more and more!
Take a look below:
Day 1, I trade $1,000 and earn 2%. This is $20. My total account balance is $1,000 + $20 = $1,020.
Day 2, I trade $1,020 and earn 2%. This is $20.40. My total account balance is $1,020 + $20.40 = $1,040.04.
Day 3 … again, 2%
Day 4, …
….
Day 30, my account balance is now $1,775.84. I earn 2%. This is $35.52. My final account balance is now $1,811.36.
This is a $811.36 gain over $1,000. Or, it is a 81% gain.
See the first picture - Not impressed?
Check the second picture, doing it for 6 month.
Compare this to the third one, not compounding your gains.
You can see if you were not compounding your gains in the first month, you would make $600 (60%) instead of $800+ (80+%).
Conclusion: Compounding should be a no brainer. You won’t get rich by trading high leverage a few times and make big bucks. Yet, you can get very rich by compounding your gains, steadily, day-in and day-out.
US30 6H (BLACK ZONE...) US30 . have a sensitive zone with black zone so we can not say will break to up or down the special reason is the war and bad situation for know,
but we can say by the technically chart if the price break the black zone to up also black trend the direction will start upward strongly .
BLACK ZONE (34600 - 34800)
under black zone will be downward
above black zone will be upward
STNE backed by Buffett, names executive from JPMorgan ChaseSTNE StoneCo is a Brazilian payment-technology firm backed by Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway.
STNE is down 90% from the peak they hit in February 2021.
After another earnings miss, StoneCo named new senior managers one of them being the head of treasury, Diego Salgado, a former JPMorgan Chase & Co. director for Latin America debt capital markets.
My take profit area is between 15.60 and 19 usd.
Berkshire Hathaway B: Previous support provides good risk/rewardBerkshire Hathaway B - Short Term - We look to Buy at 275.30 (stop at 268.50)
We look to buy dips. We are trading within a Bullish Ascending Triangle formation. Previous support located at 275.00. The primary trend remains bullish. We look for a temporary move lower. The bias is still for higher levels and we look for any dips to be limited. Further upside is expected although we prefer to set longs at our bespoke support levels at 275.00, resulting in improved risk/reward.
Our profit targets will be 293.50 and 296.50
Resistance: 288.70 / 293.50 / 300.00
Support: 275.00 / 271.00 / 247.00
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KHC LONG TERM BUYHere is KHC creating a big green bullish candle on the monthly time frame. This is the perfect time to enter. We have a upward channel that I do believe it will be in support with. It hit a large area of support and plan on it creating new found Higher Lows and Higher Highs. This stock long term is looking great. Great potential.
KHC is the 5th holding of Berkshire. What can we expect? Today we will look at Kraft Heinz, a stock in the top 5 holdings of Berkshire Hathaway, that has not been performing yet with stellar results, but that may change, or not... So first, let's look at some conclusions from a technical perspective.
-From 2017 to 2019, the price was clearly on a bearish trend, defined for the most external trendline (white line)
-From 2019 until the beginning of 2021, we observed a consolidation period where the price moved sideways between 37.00 and 27.00
-From 2021 until now, we observed the beginning of a slightly bullish trend and the first breakout of the bearish trendline
-Now, we can see a corrective pattern on the edge of the previous trend (this type of behavior is typical to see when the price is about to break a key level (trendlines, or support/resistance. We will tend to observe any type of corrective patterns.
Ok, what now? What's your view? I have defined activation, invalidation levels, and targets based on all the previous elements. IF the price reaches the green horizontal line, I will consider that my analysis is active, and I will think it is no longer valid if the price reaches the red horizontal line. The target for this movement is 64.00 (on the next resistance level), which means a 60% increase from the activation level.
Regarding time , I think a movement like this will need around a year to happen (if it happens, of course...)
What if the price never reaches the activation level and keeps falling? Then I will cancel my view.
Are you trading this with your personal account? No, I'm not taking this setup. However, I find it an interesting chart, from a technical perspective and under the idea that it is the number 5 holding of Berkshire Hathaway.
Thanks for reading; feel free to share your view in the comments.
Retest after the breakout on Berkshire.Today we will take a look at Berkshire Hathaway's price action .
On this chart, we can see two major technical elements.
1) The current ascending trendline started at the bottom of the pandemic sell-off. While the price stays above that line, we should be open to bullish movements coming.
2) The current consolidation. Those structures are great situations to look for the beginning of new impulses. Berkshire has been moving sideways for the last 280 days, and a few days ago, we saw a new ATH, and now the restest is happening.
That's why I have defined an activation level. IF the price makes a new ATH, I expect a bullish movement towards the fibo extensions. An invalidation level in case that happens is below the current correction around 268.77
In case everything goes as planned, my estimate is a 150 days movement towards the target.
IF the activation level is never reached because the price keeps falling, then that's great "your order, or view" was never executed, and you stayed on the sideway. However, if the price reaches the activation level and goes below the corrective structure, that's why you use a stop loss, and you need to securely leave the market, paying your stop loss (which is never higher than 3% of my trading capital)
Thanks for reading, feel free to share your view and charts in the comments!
Mother Sumi probable 30% over Next Three Months Great Fundamentals , Forming a triangle pattern , Can Easily go to Recent High which is around 30%
Rules By Warren Buffett (Educational)Hello everybody, today, we are going to talk about Warren Buffett and his rules and advice.
Who is Warren Buffett?
In an abbreviation, he is an american businessman and investor with an property of over 100 billion dollars.
He is an old-school, but in some way, his rules are really impressive and are working.
He also wrote an preface for the best book ever written on investing, The Intelligent Investor by Benjamin Graham.
1. Reinvest Your Profits
When you first make money, you may be tempted to spend it. Don’t. Instead, reinvest the profits.
2. Be Willing to Be Different
Don’t base your decisions upon what everyone is saying or doing. Have your own reason to buy the stock.
3. Limit What You Borrow
Buffett has never borrowed a significant amount — not to invest, not for a mortgage.
In other words, if you can´t buy it twice, you can´t afford it.
4. Be Persistent
A young boy who sold Coca-Cola for a nickel ended up being a majority shareholder of Coca-Cola. This transition does require persistence.
Warren is an Realistic Optimist. He believed they will succeed but with planning, effort, and persistence even when times are tough.
You don´t have to make deals every day, just watch markets and paper trade.
5. Know When to Quit
Once, when Buffett was a teen, he went to the racetrack. He bet on a race and lost. To recoup his funds, he bet on another race. He lost again, leaving him with close to nothing. Buffett never repeated that mistake.
6. Know What Success Really Means
Despite his wealth, Buffett does not measure success by dollars. In 2006, he pledged to give away almost his entire fortune to charities.
7. Stay In Your Circle Of Competence
Imagine Circle with 3 layers. In the smallest layer, inside the circle, are things that you really know. In middle of circle are things that you think you know, but you don´t. And in an outer layer, the biggest one, are things that you don´t know.
Warren recommends to stay in the smallest layer and just buy what you really understand.
Otherwise it doesn´t mean that you have to be closed to every opportunities, but first of all, learn something about it. And this leads us into another topic:
8. Always Learn
This is really important to understand, because you have to learn new things, that´s no rule, it´s an habit that you need to make.
Learn about market every day, read articles, books, papertrade, watch youtube.
In these days is super easy to learn something, all you need to have is good wifi connection and phone or notebook.
Warren reads up to 500 pages every day. Try to beat him :) (good luck)
9. Two Legendary Rules
These 2 rules are good to know, it seems really clear, but someone had to tell you:
1. Never Lose Money
2. Never Forget Rule Number One
And that´s serious guys! Never lose money, that´s not your style.
10. Diversify
When you are buying penny stocks, you have to buy one large-cap stock, because penny stocks are volatile and can drop to 0. It can make you big profits or big losses.
With a large-cap stock, you will protect your portfolio from total crash, because large-cap stocks are not as volatile and as risky as penny stocks.
You should diversify in sectors too. If in your portfolio are only oil companies and price of oil will go rapidly down, well, good luck. When you have money in oil companies, you should buy some stock from another sector, for example real estate or healthcare.
Quotes By Warren Buffett
„Cash was never a good investment."
„I´d rather buy a wonderful business at a fair price, than a fair business with a wonderful price."
„Big oppportunities in life have to be seen."
„No matter how great the talent or efforts, some things just take time. You can´t produce baby in one month by getting nice women pregnant."
End
So, seems like we are at the end. Thanks for your effort to read it all, because my view is that it is really educational and you should know it.
If you agree with me and Warren Buffett, please make sure you liked and i´ll see you again at another post. Have a nice day.
ETFs and rising concerns (TL;DR at end)ETFs are by far the most popular form of investment, regardless of whether you are a parent saving up for your child's college or you're a multi-millionaire/billionaire banker, a good portion of your investments will be in exchange traded funds, regardless of whether that fund is for commodities, industries or indexes.
Since their first implementation in the 1990s, they've have grown rapidly as seen in the thumbnail of this idea ( AMEX:VOO ). In the words of Mr. Buffett himself, there is only one problem with index funds: "they're boring". You can't stand with your friends on the weekend at the barbecue and talk about all the trades you've made in response to crazy market action because you've got some fund manager who just holds the stock of everybody worth holding (in theory). All you do is put more money into it, or take money out of it.
However, recently I came to the realisation (like many other investors), they're becoming ludicrously priced. Not just the individual price but the overall market cap with companies like Blackrock and Vanguard holding quite conceivably hundreds of billions if not trillions of dollars within ETFs. Now there are concerns regarding a potential crash in the ETF market or at least the funds that trade through indeces. As far as the cause of such crash, I wouldn't dare attempt to make some degree of educated guess as anything could happen. One may consider me rather cynical when it comes to this topic but I'm sure I'm not the only person who has a problem with losing money.
Now there is absolutely nothing one can do about a crash but there are other solutions to minimise losses especially in a market that is trading so dangerously high. I would personally (assuming I had the financial capacity) take out around 60-75% of my overall investments in ETFs and transfer them to AAA rated state issued bonds or simply reinvest the money in stocks I already hold. Then I would continue my regular dollar cost averaging approach to investment in ETFs (or whatever the frequency is that you add money to such funds) until such a crash may occur. At a given point, (depending on the fund and how severe the crash is) I would increase the frequency and amount of money I add to such funds as the price drop should cause them to appear very attractive. Understandably, many people will disagree with this approach as you are still setting yourself up to lose money (unless you remove all your money from the funds, while you still could potentially continue earning. This results in the investor being left in some sort of dilemma. Although this is another discussion for another day) and "past performance is no indicator of future results" but this is the approach I would take.
As usual, other opinions, facts, news and comments are always welcome so comment away and stay safe!
TL;DR: ETFs are trading very high in price (dangerously) and a potential crash is luring (if you have a cynical outlook).*
*See the last paragraph on what I would do, due to such a situation being upon us.
Apple and the price climbOnce again I'm investigating the financial condition and potential performance of a tech company as they do hold great interest to me. Today, I'm taking a look at NASDAQ:AAPL , a company I once despised for their obscene operating scheme. Where 85% of their business was through reputation, the idea that a person is only cool if they have the latest iPhone and a Macbook and the other 15% was through corporate deals and actual entertainment production professionals.
After doing some investigation into the company, I've come to realise quite a number of interesting things that shoot all my prior grudges with them straight out of the sky. First of all, looking within the market itself, their obscene prices are no longer that astronomical and are actually practical and reasonable given the current technology market and second, when they claim to cater for professionals and a particular minimalist "ease-of-use" customer, they're actually covering their needs now. With the development of the new M1 chip and hopefully the M2 soon to come and the development of the new iPads and Mac Minis, the company's physical product is appearing very attractive.
Now to the actual financial side of things, starting off with the most basic of indicators, Apple has considerably low debts in comparison to other tech giants and their respective growth rates and as far as their current P/E ratio is considered they're showing more hope than any other technology giant with a PE just less than 30 (28.58 at time of writing). Within the market competitors are looking at frightening volumes of debt due to the Corona Virus pandemic but Apple seems to stay relatively clear. This would probably explain why Warren Buffett has poured such large volumes of Berkshire Hathaway's money into the company. Ironically, since BRK's interest in Apple, their prospects seem to have changed for the better and future expected growth in earning's increased by more than 4 percentage points after BRK's investment. As we all know Mr. Buffet wouldn't pour money into a company if he did not believe their long term results were unsatisfactory.
In conclusion, Apple is beginning to look like quite the appealing investment if an investor would like to uplift their tech side of their portfolio. If anybody has any other opinions or facts that I may not be aware of, feel free to comment. I always appreciate the exchange of ideas :D
TL;DR: Apple is beginning to look like one of the best performing long term investments of all the tech giants.
Low Cost Index Funds and the "bubble"As the majority of the investment community is aware, low cost index funds such as the iShares CSPX are a great way of investing your money in such a way that it will beat inflation and any other factors that will reduce the overall value of your money. Warren Buffett (CEO of Berkshire Hathaway) is notorious for recommending low cost index funds to those who are inexperienced in the stock market and even long term investments. There have recently been many arguments that made me question the integrity of this seemingly flawless investment ideology. Even Buffett said the "only" downfall to index funds is that they are, and I quote, "boring". These arguments that have sparked up across the internet are by those who fear that the inherent price of these index funds are far beyond their actual value despite them holding the top performing stocks in the market. Thus removing the need for investors to investigate individual companies and rather stand at the sidelines and say "Just buy them all and see what wins". This attitude towards index funds and the ludicrous prices/growth (in comparison to any other listed entity and their own past) has sparked major concern. I have provided a link to a video below that discusses the 2 opposing ideas presented by Warren and Michael Burry (Famous for his prediction of the stock market crash of '08) and what each of them mean. From my view point (albeit mildly inexperienced) has led me to believe that in the long run despite the concerns, there will be crashes, like every other market ever, but these crashes will be shrunk by the overall growth in the following years and or decades, therefore making it worthwhile to invest in such index funds while dedicating at least 5% of your portfolio in individual stock.
TL;DR: It is inevitable that there will be a crash in all index funds at some point or another (that cannot be changed) but in the far longer term view, it will still be worth your time, money and effort to invest in such equities.
StoneCo (STNE) | Warren Buffet Stock To BUY!Hi,
StoneCo is one of them that is on the Berkshire Hatheway list. Warren Buffett's advice to be "fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful" is probably one of the world's most famous and frequently repeated investing quotes. Considering that, STNE looks promising.
StoneCo is a leading provider of payment-processing and other financial technology services in Brazil, but the company's share price has been crushed by what could be described as a perfect storm of headwinds. In addition to inflation and political concerns, regulatory changes in the country have dampened the performance and outlook for the company's credit business.
The company's share price is now down roughly 67% from the high that it hit earlier this year, and many investors appear to have given up on the stock. I think that's probably premature, and I'll be adding it to my holdings in the near future.
When it comes to growth stocks, I like to look for companies that are on track to benefit from powerful long-term trends. StoneCo certainly fits the bill. Cash is still a more popular payment method than credit cards and mobile payments in Brazil, but that's starting to change, and StoneCo is helping businesses adapt to the shift. E-commerce is also on track for huge growth in Brazil and other Latin American markets, and the fintech specialist stands out as an appealing "pick and shovel" stock for benefiting from the trend.
While the overall stock market continues to look volatile, StoneCo looks attractively valued and has big upside at current prices. Pushing through the fear surrounding the stock could prove very rewarding for patient investors.
Considering long-term goals and considering that it is technically inside a quite strong buying zone I can recommend it here as an idea for you.
Do your own research!
Regards,
Vaido
H4 DIRECTION for GJPrior daily support has broken, H4 and another lower timeframes
are currently doing "pullback buy for sell".
After the pullback has completed, price might be reaching the next
Daily support below :D
This is price action, mfs :)
Zone to zone. If price really does bearish continuation breakout,
bear in mind to monitor again at the nearest Daily support below
as that level is aligned with Weekly + Monthly support!
OGN Major Upside PotentialHello traders / investors, im looking at OGN as a potential swing opportunity to the the upside, its IPO date was June 7th 2021 with an all time high of 38.24 and then sold off followed by a period of consolidation.
The Weekly chart is showing Bull interest is kicking in.
I do not know much about this IPO nor do I care about their fundamentals, My plan is to swing this stock on a break above 36 with volume.
as long as the techncials line up with solid risk reward I believe we have solid opportunity here.
Be greedy when others are fearful.One of Warren Buffett's most famous investment sayings is “Be fearful when others are greedy. Be greedy when others are fearful.”
Bullish falling wedge looks ready to brakout!
The Falling Wedge is a bullish pattern that begins wide at the top and contracts as prices move lower. This price action forms a cone that slopes down as the reaction highs and reaction lows converge. ... However, this bullish bias cannot be realized until a resistance breakout occurs.
First target is 42000$
APPLE: THINK DIFFERENT ITS FOR LEARNING DIFFERENT KINDS OF PATTERNS AND THE PRICE ACTION INVOLVED.
Currently its in a RISING WEDGE format and consolidating below the wedge with good number of volumes.
W PATTERN is completed and now a upside or breakout from wedge pattern can be considered.
Queries in comment section.
AXTA When in doubt what is Warren Buffet looking at?Found this play off Warren Buffets play list. Looked juicy here. It is repeating a move that pops upwards in a huge way in previous moves that shared the same KeyCode as this one. I found about 3-4 and all popped upwards.
I made a key code of the price action then found an exact match to this move in the past.... one that matched at lease 95% or better. That way if the move is that close to the same shape we have now it must mean the sentiment of the market was the same at that time. Therefore, the outcome should be the same coming out of the move. I then used PTP which is Past Trend Prediction by tracing the trend it made after this move in the past and projecting it forward on to the current move.
Then I took the same move on the Daily which is a different Time frame then the first..and found the same move with out a key and traced its path and projected it forward as well.
Sometimes I use about 5 other Price Action tricks I have have developed over the last 10 months or chart out the Curve and what Stage it is in. The Curve is my own brain child and I compare that to Wycoff method. Taking all of these into account You have several different approaches to confirming direction and intent of the institutional buyers and where Retail resides during this move.
If you would like to have more information or videos on Any of the ways I chart pls comment below. Like, follow, Subscribe...share.
Thank you,
iCantw84it
06.11.2021