Wave2
BTCUSD - Elliott wave – update - monitoring wave5 down
wave 4 over - motive wave down in 5 waves should follow to wave 5
motive wave ((1)) ended at 28800 area
corrective wave ((2)) unfolding in a zigzag - target 36630/38730 area
ALT: wave 4 is not over
monitoring price evolution
critical price area
previus daily close 33509
PP 32570 up
USOIL - Elliott wave – minuette wave (i) is over
minuette wave (i) is over (nine waves sequences third wave extension)
corrective wave (ii) should follow in three waves
FIB: 63.38 – 64.78
ALT: minuette wave (i) is not over – iv of wave (i) unfolding in an expanding flat wxy
FIB: 67,78
critical price area
previus daily close 69.38
PP 69.60 DW
FIB: 63.38 – 64.78 - 67,78
static S/R : 68.17 - 67.42
USOIL - elliott wave - long term wave 5 of intermediete (C)
long term wave 5 of intermediete (C) - target critical static resistence 77.11
if wave (i) of ((iii)) is over
then wave (ii) of (iii) should follow in corrective mode - three wave - probably zigzag - target 64.58
critical area
PP: 68.20
critical support - wave iv: 67.41
FIBRET wave (ii) : 64.58
EURUSD - Elliott wave – micro wave ((2)) is over ?wave wave ((2)) is over – wave (1) of ((3)) of iii is running.
test area 1.2217: flat fib projection wave 4 - fib ret. 0.382 wave 3
ALT: wave ((2)) still running in flat wave – (a)(b)(c) fib exten area 1.2160
critical price area
previus daily close 1.2227
PP 1.2210
FIB: 1.2217 - 1.2160
static S/R 1.2245 – 1.2238 - 1.2210 – 1.2187
volatility D 1.2182-1.2283
EURUSD - Elliott wave – monitoring wave (ii) evolution prevailing scenario
wave (ii) maybe over in abc subminuette correction
monitor prices evolution in an impulsive mode
ALT: continuation of wave (ii) either in a simple or complex correction
critical price area
previus daily close 1.2077
PP/FIB 1.2080 PP / 1.2131-1.2153 (fib 0.618 – 0,786)
static S/R 1.2106 key – 1.2153 critical
volatility D 1.2058-1.2156
Trend expectations for alts - entering wave II going to the pumpI think short term we will see a little retracement Wave II. This will be a good time to take a little profit and buy back in once we see it bounce back moving into Wave III. I love using STOCHS RSI to see these waves. The shorter waves are pointing downwards while long term wave is only beginning to move upwards. To is confirmation for my trading analysis we are in a Wave II retracement and prepping for a big move up, as Wave III is always the strongest wave up. Be patient and buckle up! Expect the first two weeks of May.
Wave 2/Bearish Gartley/AB=CD Harmonic Pattern/TRZ !!!First, I have to say that we passed Running Flat correction , even we passed Main Wave 1 .
Now, we are on Main Wave 2 ( Zig zag corrective & AB=CD Harmonic Pattern ), probably end of micro wave b of Main wave 2.
I can see another Bearish Gartley on wave 2, and maybe this is end of micro wave b of Main wave 2 (You can open SHORT position if you see sign of revers on TRZ&PRZ).
End of wave 2 can be around 56125$ until 51500$ , we need time to know that where is end of Main wave 2 ?!(You can open LONG position on end of Main wave 2 )
Please spend time for chart.( I spent lot :) )
Please follow your strategy , this is just my idea , and I will be glad to see your ideas on this post.
Please do not forget 'like' button :), Thanks and Trade safe.
Good luck.
Bitcoin: Looking forward to these next couple of months!Morning Traders,
Locally, bitcoin seems to be in the process of completing wave 2 of 3 before the next leg up to $13.16k.
Bitcoin regained and sucessfully retested major weekly support above $10.2k.
I suspect fireworks if we can just get a HTF close above $11655 (monthly resistance) and print a HH above $12k.
Looking for B of a larger corrective cycle to complete at $15.5-16k.
My macro count:
Bitcoin: Bullish Engulfing Candle Establishes New Long Setup.1. We focus on price action, levels and probabilities. News, drama, and other non order flow related information carries little weight in our decision making process. I have been explaining that the probability of this overall location favors bullish reversals which is why we did not exit our swing trade long in the face of bearish order flow (see 7275 to 5464 support zone).
2. I made this point in my previous article: "Can Bitcoin test lower prices? Anything can happen, BUT price would have to close below 6850 in order to prompt a retest of the 6550 reversal zone boundary. Any bullish reversal pattern in these areas would offer compelling swing trade and position trade opportunities based on the criteria of our strategies." Yesterday's bearish candle was NOISE and nothing more than a lure for short liquidity.
3. The bullish outside bar (engulfing candle) establishes a HIGHER LOW formation off of the 6900 level. This can be the very beginning of a broad Wave 3 IF 6450 is not compromised again. Higher lows often lead to higher highs.
4. Within the 7275 to 5464 support zone, there is now an inverted head and shoulders formation. This is a large magnitude reversal pattern that has developed within a location that favors BULLISH patterns.
5. In order to see momentum follow through, price needs to close above 8K. IF such an event unfolds, 8500 and the low 9Ks are likely to be tested with hours or days (with the help of all the small time frame short margin liquidations).
We are maintaining our swing trade long and patiently WAITING for price to reach our proportional targets (mid 7Ks, mid 8Ks and low 9Ks). We focus on price action as it relates to levels and probabilities, nothing else. I hope you found this update helpful for your own analytical process. My goal is to provide market context, perspective and an idea on how we manage our trades in this environment.
Bitcoin: Short Squeeze Pattern, 8500 Next Resistance?Bitcoin has established a higher low off the 6800 level which we interpret as a sign of strength, especially within the context of the 7275 broader support level. As long as the 7K level holds, price is likely to break higher and into the low 9ks at minimum. Timing is less about "predicting" and more about about letting the market prove itself by demonstrating strength or weakness as an expression of order flow.
On Friday, our swing trade strategy generated a new buy signal and we are long from 7550. In this article, I will highlight the price action possibilities that will prompt us to take further action, or not.
1. A break and decisive close above 7900 can take price into the mid 8Ks or even 9Ks because of the amount of short covering or forced liquidations that follow. This is our ideal situation and requires no further action since both of our targets are within the 9 to 10K area (higher low often leads to higher high).
2. A decisive close below 6800 can lead price back to the 6550 reversal zone boundary (we will be stopped out by this point). The 6550 area is the next high probability location to look for long setups IF price gets there.
3. 8500 is the next minor resistance level. IF price action turns here (bearish pin bar) we will most likely close half of our swing trade in order to reduce risk and allow the market to breath.
4. 7275 and 5464 is still a high probability reversal zone for POSITION trades. IF price revisits this area, and shows patterns of stability again, we will add to our inventory (which is a separate strategy from our current swing trade).
5. We continue to categorize the structure between the 14K peak and 6800 low as a "corrective consolidation" or Wave 2. We will consider patterns and short term price action (candle sticks) within the context of a range bound market, NOT a trend.
6. If price takes out 10,500 and follows through (meaning no fake outs), then Wave 3 is likely in play which can lead price back to 20K. UNTIL this break out occurs, projecting outrageous price targets is unreasonable and unjustified. There is no way to tell from a chart WHEN such an event will take place.
Many get caught up in the fundamentals, hype, and drama that surrounds this market but none of it will help in terms of timing (especially over the short term). Sentiment drives price, NOT logic. Charts do provide actionable information because of 3 key ideas: markets trend, price is a discounting mechanism and history repeats itself. Learn what these actually mean and you will be less distracted by noise and more in tune with the probabilities of order flow.
SP500 wave 2 ??"october is crash month"
"we're in a recession"
"head for the hills"
"load up on puts" - put call ratio above 1.2!!
In the midst of all this cacophony, sp500 is sporting a classic ABC pattern which points to more upside in the months ahead and possibly all the way into the 2020 election.
Dow 40,000 ?? by nov 2020 ?? Hard to believe but that's what Elliott wave points out.
Take your time with your ABC, BTCAnd allow the alts to pump while you (BTC) tiptoe down to where you're headed/0.618
Just to blast off to your next destination and leaving alts behind as peeps sell-off to jump on for a temp ride (or so they think) then, as ppl jump back into their alts as BTC takes a short break only to blast higher unexpectedly, smashing through top of the channel causing FOMO with everyone dumping their bags at a loss to get in as if they haven't learned a thing about how EVERYTHING moves......in waves.
Or not
SIdeways/Down next 6-8 months; Then rideGIS Im loving this set up in General Mills, look for it to move mostly sideways/down the remainder of the year and start of 2020. I will start accumulating around the 48 area if this hold true, because it appears to most likely be Wave 2 (aka Right shoulder of Inverted H&S) and at the very least ride back up to the decision point. In my opinion, this is at least a $70 stock by 2021. Takes patience, but for long term portfolios this is fast approaching perhaps the last great entry point for some years to come. Keep from chasing. Happy hunting anfd GLTA!!