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Waveanalyses

VeChain: Let’s go! Last week, VET managed to move further away from our blue Target Zone (between $0.0179 and $0.0292). As a result, we now consider the low of the same-colored wave (ii) as established. In the short term, the substructure of the blue wave (iii) could prompt a temporary return into our Zone, which is why we are keeping it active for now. However, the primary trajectory remains upward. Once the blue wave (iii) concludes clearly above the resistance at $0.055, a brief interim correction should follow before another upward move completes the magenta wave (i).
BINANCE:VETUSDLong
by MarketIntel
AVAX: Gathering StrengthThe AVAX coin has taken a brief pause in recent days, which we attribute to the substructure of the orange wave (iii). In the short term, the price could revisit our turquoise Target Zone (between $29.30 and $17.48), so we are keeping this range active for now. However, the primary trend remains upward, as wave (iii) should extend significantly higher. Following this wave, we anticipate an interim correction, paving the way for another rally to complete the overarching blue wave (i).
BINANCE:AVAXUSD
by MarketIntel
Qualcomm: Target Zone Ahead!While many tech-sector stocks are aiming for new highs, QCOM remains locked in a narrow range around the $170 level. Last week, the stock initially reacted to the 23.60% retracement and now hovers near the edge of our blue Target Zone (coordinates: $159.57 to $121.52). Our primary expectation is for the blue wave (IV) to extend further below the support at $151.39, where we anticipate its low point. Technically, a direct breakout to the upside is also possible, as our Target Zone – and thus the minimum correction threshold – has already been reached. If the price decisively breaks above the resistance levels at $193.84, an overarching alternative wave count will come into play (probability: 33%).
NASDAQ:QCOM
by MarketIntel
Boeing: Long Opportunities!As expected, Boeing has recently moved down into our green Target Zone between $146.35 and $113.35. Within this price range, we anticipate the low of the green wave . Once this low is established, we expect the stock to resume its upward trajectory, as the subsequent green wave should have significant potential, targeting levels well above the resistance at $267.54. Our Target Zone can thus serve as an entry point for long positions. To manage risk, traders could place a stop-loss 1% below the lower boundary of the Zone.
NYSE:BA
by MarketIntel
Cardano: In Wave [v]From the low of the orange wave on November 4 to the peak of the subsequent orange wave last Sunday, ADA surged by more than 100%. The brief pullback in the orange wave was caught by our now grayed-out Target Zone. Currently, the orange wave should be underway, potentially pushing the price well beyond the $0.65 resistance level. However, there remains a 33% chance for a bearish short-term alternative scenario. In this case, an imminent sell-off into our green Target Zone between $0.44 and $0.35 would occur. This would imply that ADA completed its orange five-wave upward structure at the $0.65 resistance and has already entered the subsequent corrective green wave alt.2.
BINANCE:ADAUSD
by MarketIntel
Polygon: Shaken UpFollowing an impressive 60% rally from the low of the green wave on November 5, POL has seen a sharp pullback since Tuesday, shedding about 20% of its value. The price remains stuck within our blue Target Zone between $0.30 and $0.47. However, it should exit this range during the ongoing blue upward wave (i) to surpass the August 21 high at $0.60. However, if the price instead falls below the support at $0.28, the green wave alt. will mark a new low. This would delay the development of the blue five-wave upward structure – a scenario we rate with a 37% probability.
CRYPTOCOM:POLUSD
by MarketIntel
Google: At the Resistance!Driven by bullish momentum in the tech sector, Google’s stock has recently gained as expected. The resistance at $181.61 has presented a key hurdle in recent weeks. However, our primary wave count indicates that this level will be surpassed next during the ongoing magenta wave . This bullish impulse should conclude significantly higher in the chart, thereby setting a new all-time high. Conversely, there’s a 38% chance for our alternative scenario, which suggests an extended wave alt. correction.
NASDAQ:GOOGL
by MarketIntel
Broadcom: Bullish Comeback!The downtrend that began in early October was recently broken as AVGO surged by 10% at the start of the month. We still see the stock in an overarching corrective movement, with the last cycle top marked in June 2024 by the peak of the blue wave I. Primarily, we anticipate a three-wave structure to unfold in the ongoing blue wave II. The beige wave B should have sufficient upward momentum to push up to the resistance level at $211.94. Afterward, the final sell-off of wave C should unfold. Our 30% likely alternative scenario, however, suggests a different wave count and a premature downward move below $126.04. In either case, we expect a new low of the blue wave II.
NASDAQ:AVGO
by MarketIntel
Microsoft: Progress!The Microsoft stock has now successfully completed wave B in turquoise at $444.95. So, now we locate the price in the subsequent wave C, which is set to finalize the overarching three-part wave in dark green. This suggests further declines, with an ideal low just below $400. Following the low of the overarching wave , Microsoft should initiate a new upward impulse. While there’s a 25% chance that wave alt. in dark green has already hit its low, this alternative scenario will only be confirmed if the stock breaks above $469.55.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by MarketIntel
Amazon: Significant Breakout!The resistance at $189.76 has recently been a major hurdle for the AMZN stock. Since April, the price has essentially been moving sideways along this level, with each breakout attempt being sold off. As envisioned by our primary wave count, the stock has now managed a breakout above $189.76, developing a first impulsive move toward a new all-time high. We expect a more substantial correction only after the larger beige wave III has found its top at a higher level. An earlier sell-off remains possible as part of our 30% likely alternative scenario: this alternative count suggests that the recent peak was the top of the beige alt. b wave, which would lead to a pullback below $145.86 and a fresh low of the overarching blue wave alt. (IV).
NASDAQ:AMZN
by MarketIntel
Zscaler: Wave (2) Correction! After a rapid rise in early September, the ZS stock managed to reach the highs from August, but there was no significant acceptance at this level. Structurally, the upward movement isn't sufficient for us to consider wave (2) as completed. So far, the bullish signals lack a clear impulsive character, and we expect new lows during the magenta wave (2), which should primarily end above the support at $84.93. Once a trend reversal has been initiated, the subsequent wave (3) should push through the resistance at $251.45. According to our 33% likely alternative scenario, this could also happen directly.
NASDAQ:ZS
by MarketIntel
1
S&P500: More Upward Potential!We still ascribe more upward potential to the S&P’s turquoise wave B – up to the resistance at 6088 points. At this level, we expect a transition into the same-colored wave C, which should push the index down into our green Target Zone between 5110 and 4921 points. Within this Zone, the larger wave should find its final low, which should provide potential entry points for long positions. A stop-loss can be set 1% below this Zone for risk management. However, if the index surpasses the 6088 points mark directly, our alternative scenario (probability: 38%) will come into play: it suggests that the wave low is already in place.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by MarketIntel
1
Tesla: Wave [iii] Impulsive Move!Over the past two weeks, Tesla’s stock saw a sharp uptrend followed by a sell-off. We consider the low of the magenta wave as settled and now anticipate a five-part impulsive movement during the magenta wave . Regarding the subwave count, there is more room on the downside for the blue wave (ii), before the subsequent wave (iii) should surpass the resistance at $271. However, in our 30% likely alternative scenario, renewed selling pressure could push the stock below the $167.41 mark and thus toward a new low of the blue wave alt.(II).
NASDAQ:TSLA
by MarketIntel
HBAR: New Cycle Low?Since HBAR has managed to hold above the low of the orange wave ii and the support at $0.035, we maintain our primary assumption. However, we now need clear bullish signals to confirm this stance. The orange wave iii should eventually reach above the resistance at $0.098. If the price slips below the support at $0.035 (37% probability), we will have to anticipate a deeper low of the magenta wave alt.(2) first. In this alternative scenario, we will then introduce a Target Zone for long entries, which we are currently withholding due to the prevailing downtrend pressure.
BINANCE:HBARUSD
by MarketIntel
1
Polygon: Gain Momentum!In the Polygon chart, we primarily expect an imminent lower low of the magenta wave (2) within our magenta Target Zone (between $0.4711 and $0.3058) before a trend reversal occurs. Afterward, a significant uptrend should begin, starting with the turquoise wave 1, which should break through the resistance level at $0.60. You can use our zone to establish long positions, with stop-losses placed 1% below the low or directly at the support level of $0.31 to minimize downside risk. If the coin breaks downward out of our Zone (42% likely), we will have to expect a further drop with the green wave alt.(2).
CRYPTOCOM:POLUSDLong
by MarketIntel
ExxonMobil: PullbackXOM stock has experienced a setback over the past two weeks. However, we maintain our view that turquoise wave 3 is still in progress and has further upside potential. Once a top is established, we expect a corrective movement before another rally completes the larger green wave (1). The recent decline brings our 35% alternative scenario into focus, which places the stock in green wave alt.(2). This scenario will activate if the price falls below the support level at $95.77.
NYSE:XOMLong
by MarketIntel