Microsoft: Progress!The Microsoft stock has now successfully completed wave B in turquoise at $444.95. So, now we locate the price in the subsequent wave C, which is set to finalize the overarching three-part wave in dark green. This suggests further declines, with an ideal low just below $400. Following the low of the overarching wave , Microsoft should initiate a new upward impulse. While there’s a 25% chance that wave alt. in dark green has already hit its low, this alternative scenario will only be confirmed if the stock breaks above $469.55.
Waveanalyses
Amazon: Significant Breakout!The resistance at $189.76 has recently been a major hurdle for the AMZN stock. Since April, the price has essentially been moving sideways along this level, with each breakout attempt being sold off. As envisioned by our primary wave count, the stock has now managed a breakout above $189.76, developing a first impulsive move toward a new all-time high. We expect a more substantial correction only after the larger beige wave III has found its top at a higher level. An earlier sell-off remains possible as part of our 30% likely alternative scenario: this alternative count suggests that the recent peak was the top of the beige alt. b wave, which would lead to a pullback below $145.86 and a fresh low of the overarching blue wave alt. (IV).
Zscaler: Wave (2) Correction! After a rapid rise in early September, the ZS stock managed to reach the highs from August, but there was no significant acceptance at this level. Structurally, the upward movement isn't sufficient for us to consider wave (2) as completed. So far, the bullish signals lack a clear impulsive character, and we expect new lows during the magenta wave (2), which should primarily end above the support at $84.93. Once a trend reversal has been initiated, the subsequent wave (3) should push through the resistance at $251.45. According to our 33% likely alternative scenario, this could also happen directly.
S&P500: More Upward Potential!We still ascribe more upward potential to the S&P’s turquoise wave B – up to the resistance at 6088 points. At this level, we expect a transition into the same-colored wave C, which should push the index down into our green Target Zone between 5110 and 4921 points. Within this Zone, the larger wave should find its final low, which should provide potential entry points for long positions. A stop-loss can be set 1% below this Zone for risk management. However, if the index surpasses the 6088 points mark directly, our alternative scenario (probability: 38%) will come into play: it suggests that the wave low is already in place.
Tesla: Wave [iii] Impulsive Move!Over the past two weeks, Tesla’s stock saw a sharp uptrend followed by a sell-off. We consider the low of the magenta wave as settled and now anticipate a five-part impulsive movement during the magenta wave . Regarding the subwave count, there is more room on the downside for the blue wave (ii), before the subsequent wave (iii) should surpass the resistance at $271. However, in our 30% likely alternative scenario, renewed selling pressure could push the stock below the $167.41 mark and thus toward a new low of the blue wave alt.(II).
Fetch: Low set!We now view Fetch in the same-colored wave 3, which should lead it above the $1.73 resistance. With the Target Zone deactivated, investors could move stop-losses closer to the entry price. Stops could protect against our alternative scenario (33% likely), which implies a lower low of green wave alt.2.
HBAR: New Cycle Low?Since HBAR has managed to hold above the low of the orange wave ii and the support at $0.035, we maintain our primary assumption. However, we now need clear bullish signals to confirm this stance. The orange wave iii should eventually reach above the resistance at $0.098. If the price slips below the support at $0.035 (37% probability), we will have to anticipate a deeper low of the magenta wave alt.(2) first. In this alternative scenario, we will then introduce a Target Zone for long entries, which we are currently withholding due to the prevailing downtrend pressure.
Bitcoin: Next Try? Bitcoin continued to gain yesterday. In our alternative scenario, we expect a direct break above the resistance at $73,808. However, in our primary outlook, we anticipate a further downward move. Ideally, the orange wave iv should reach its low near the 50% retracement level, around $47,000.
Cardano: FlatlandsCardano showed little volatility last week, moving mostly sideways. We still expect it to rise in magenta wave (iii), surpassing the resistance level at $0.81. Only our 38% probable alternative scenario could disrupt this plan. This alternative scenario will come into play if the price drops below the support level at $0.22, implying a deeper low for green wave alt.(2)
Polygon: Gain Momentum!In the Polygon chart, we primarily expect an imminent lower low of the magenta wave (2) within our magenta Target Zone (between $0.4711 and $0.3058) before a trend reversal occurs. Afterward, a significant uptrend should begin, starting with the turquoise wave 1, which should break through the resistance level at $0.60. You can use our zone to establish long positions, with stop-losses placed 1% below the low or directly at the support level of $0.31 to minimize downside risk. If the coin breaks downward out of our Zone (42% likely), we will have to expect a further drop with the green wave alt.(2).
ExxonMobil: PullbackXOM stock has experienced a setback over the past two weeks. However, we maintain our view that turquoise wave 3 is still in progress and has further upside potential. Once a top is established, we expect a corrective movement before another rally completes the larger green wave (1). The recent decline brings our 35% alternative scenario into focus, which places the stock in green wave alt.(2). This scenario will activate if the price falls below the support level at $95.77.
Ripple: ConsolidationXRP is currently moving within a sideways range and remains between our two scenarios. Primarily, we expect a drop below the support level at $0.2874 before the magenta wave (C) is completed. After establishing this low, the price should rise over the long-term. However, if the price rises imminently and breaks the resistance level at $0.9479 (probability: 45%), we will already consider the price in the alternative magenta wave alt.(D).
Polkadot: Low Set!After Polkadot showed its first signs of an uptrend last week, we now consider the green wave (ii) complete. The same-colored wave (iii) should push the price above the resistance at $4.92. However, if the price slips below the support level at $3.61 (35% probability), we would need to place the price in the magenta wave alt.(ii), anticipating a decline into the orange Target Zone between $2.98 and $1.67.
Apple: Upside Potential! Currently, we are dealing with the final part of the turquoise wave B and expect a high just below the resistance level at $254.30. Afterward, we anticipate a pullback that will bring the price down with the turquoise wave C into our magenta Target Zone (coordinates: $192.02 – $172.34), where the larger wave (2) is expected to complete. This Target Zone offers another opportunity for long positions, as the bullish trend should continue from there. We assign a 34% probability that the magenta wave alt.(2) has already completed, leading to a direct break above the $254.30 resistance without entering our Target Zone.
Polygon: Bottom Formation? POL recently moved sideways within our magenta-colored Target Zone (between $0.4711 and $0.3058). From a technical perspective, this development could be the start of a bottom formation. However, we primarily expect a deeper low of the magenta wave (2). Afterward, the turquoise wave 1 should drive the price above the resistance level at $0.60. Within our Target Zone, long positions can be opened, with stops set about 1% below the lower boundary or at the support level of $0.31. If the price falls below this mark (42% probability), we will have to place the coin in the green wave alt.(2).
Netflix: Upside Potential!About a year ago, in October 2023, NFLX stock hit a low of $345.87. The uptrend that startet then remains intact and has gained momentum since August this year. After surpassing its record high of $700.99 from November 2021 two months ago, the stock continued to climb and has recently stabilized above the $700 mark. While significant progress has already been made with the turquoise wave 3, we expect a further expansion beyond the $800 hurdle. In the subsequent wave 4, the $700 level should be tested again before the final leg of the larger wave (1) in magenta kicks in. Our alternative scenario (20%), however, anticipates a new low of the turquoise wave alt. 2 below the $345.87 mark.
Meta: Top Placed!In line with our primary assumption, META recently reached the resistance line at $600.27. The upward movement paused at this level, and we now expect a short-term wave C decline, pushing the price below the support at $399. However, we also see an increased likelihood (39%) of a higher high for the green wave alt.(1). This alternative scenario will be quickly triggered if the price breaks above the $600.27 mark
Fiserv: Trading Opportunities!Recently, the FI stock surged directly into our green Target Zone (coordinates: $186.40 – $207.40). This year alone, it has gained over 40%. With the recent arrival in our Zone, the time is now ripe for an overarching trend reversal. Because: by hitting our Zone, the price has reached the absolute minimum target for the green wave . From a technical perspective, an immediate trend reversal and a transition into wave II are now possible. At the moment, we place Fiserv in the turquoise wave 3, which should be followed by another dip below our Target Zone. Ultimately, the entire turquoise upward impulse should complete the overarching uptrend of the beige wave I. Thus, our Zone can be used to take profits from existing long positions or to initiate new short trades. Such potential short positions can be hedged with a stop 1% above the 78.60% retracement level (at $207.40).
NVIDIA"S Four-Hour Target 137's Good morning traders
The market planned out into what our thesis originally was from ages ago ie we are hitting 137 range -138 max then seeing a correction of some sort or we blow through this level up and keep going to 150's
In this video I am most certainly long and feel lets look for a correction at the 137's between 8-12 dollars.
If this doesn't happen dont fret then we will be reanalyzing the market to 150's and possibly beyond....
Thanks for watching, if you like the video, hate it or have another thesis share away in the comments section below
Happy trading and lets keep riding those waves
MB Trader
POL: Consolidation POL recently moved sideways within our magenta-colored Target Zone (between $0.4711 and $0.3058). We expect a drop below the previous low within this range before the price should place the low of the magenta-colored wave (2). Following this, it should rise above the resistance at $0.60 with the turquoise wave 1. Therefore, traders can open long positions within this range, placing any stops 1% below the lower boundary. If the price falls significantly below the $0.31 mark (42% likely), our alternative scenario will come into play, which anticipates an even lower wave alt.(2) in green.