BTC to new high...It seems that BTC to be at the beginning of wave c:B. price is supported in green zone that it includes fibonacci 1.618 of wave W and fibonacci 0.5 of wave a:B and fibonacci 1.272 wave X. I expect that price to rise to red zone that it includes fibonacci 1.38 and fibonacci 1.23 of wave A and fibonacci 1 of wave a:B.
after that price completes the extended flat pattern in red zone, I expect the price to decline below the end of wave A and probably below 80,000.
Waveanalyses
Amazon: Volatile!The Amazon stock has shown significant volatility recently but managed to recover its temporary losses of over 7% just as quickly. We still position the stock within the turquoise wave 3, which should have additional upside potential. Once this high is established—something that may have already occurred—we anticipate a wave 4 pullback before wave 5 completes the larger magenta wave (3) further to the upside. As you can see in the daily chart, this magenta wave (3) acts as a subwave of the green wave , which in turn should lead to the peak of the even larger beige wave III. Following this, we expect a more pronounced wave IV correction before another round of impulsive rallies drives the stock to new highs.
SUI: Further DownSui has sold off sharply in recent days, losing around 35% of its value since the top of the turquoise wave B at the resistance near $5.36. In the short term, this decline should continue until the price reaches the anticipated low of the magenta corrective wave (4) within the same-colored Target Zone between $3.23 and $2.70. From there, we expect an impulsive rise with the magenta wave (5), allowing Sui to break well above the $5.36 resistance and establish the high of the larger green wave . A premature breakout beyond $5.36 has a 30% probability according to our primary scenario.
Uber: ConsolidationThe rally that began at the turn of the year has recently transitioned into a phase of consolidation, leaving our primary outlook unchanged for now. During the magenta wave , we anticipate another pullback toward the support at $53.26, where the subsequent wave should begin. This wave should eventually propel the price beyond the resistance at $87, where we also expect the high of the broader turquoise wave 3. A premature breakout is also conceivable, given the extent of the current pullback. However, for this 30% likely alternative scenario to be confirmed, the stock would need to decisively breach the $87 mark.
Procter & Gamble: Target Zone Ahead!Wave in dark green has been successfully completed, creating a new support level at $157.47 with its low. PG is currently working on the countermovement of wave , and we have outlined a Target Zone for the expected top (between $171.66 and $177.84). This price range could be an opportunity to take profits from long trades or establish new short positions. However, our alternative scenario, which allows for a breakout to the upside, holds a 34% probability. If the stock manages to climb above the resistance at $180.43, this will suggest that the broader uptrend continues. In this case, the low observed would not correspond to wave in dark green, but rather to wave alt.(IV) in blue. So, potential short positions could be secured with a stop-loss set 1% above the upper boundary of our Target Zone.
Apple: As Expected…Apple has made progress as part of our primary scenario, gradually edging lower toward our magenta Target Zone between $209.57 and $196.05. In this price range, we anticipate the low of the magenta wave (2) and, subsequently, a reversal to the upside. On the other hand, we consider it 37% (previously 40%) likely that AAPL will stage an immediate breakout above the resistance at $260.10 without first reaching our Target Zone.
Decentraland: WeakSince the low of the blue wave (ii), Decentraland’s MANA has been dragging itself through a sideways consolidation just above the support at $0.41. Soon, however, new buying pressure should arise and push the price well above the resistance at $0.85 during the current impulsive wave (iii) in blue. If MANA instead drops below the support at $0.41, the magenta correction wave alt. will reach a new low, and the blue upward five-wave movement will only start thereafter (35% likely).
Nvidia: FluctuationOver the past two weeks, NVDA has exhibited increased fluctuation within the boundaries of the current key levels: the resistance at $152.89 and the support at $126.34. Initially, the price seemed to favor our alternative scenario, but it managed to reverse just in time. Following a dip to $129, the stock rebounded swiftly. Our primary assumption remains that the beige wave III should eventually break above the $152.89 resistance. However, there is still a 33% chance that the expected rises will be delayed by a new low of the blue wave alt.(IV). This alternative scenario will prevail if the stock falls below the $126.34 support level.
Take-Two: Target Zone in Focus!Although a slight downward tendency has been observed in TTWO’s sideways phase, the stock has recently shown new motivation on the upside. While short-term pullbacks cannot be ruled out, we still expect the beige b-wave to extend into our beige Target Zone (coordinates: $241.59 – $257.87), where we anticipate a significant trend reversal. This outlook remains intact as long as the support at $135.62 holds fast. An early sell-off below this level would trigger our alternative scenario of a premature correction low within our blue Target Zone between $107.47 and $46 (33% probability).
Electronic Arts: Heading DownwardWe assume that EA’s recent high at $169.82 marked the completion of a prominent wave in green. This top stands out because it represents a typical corrective pattern where a seemingly new uptrend is simulated. Unlike a standard B wave, an overshooting B wave can significantly exceed the prior peak – in EA’s case, the last major high of July 2018. We primarily locate the stock in an extended correction, whereby a magenta downward impulse should push the price below the support at $108.62. However, if EA breaks decisively above the $169.82 resistance in the near term, we will switch to our 33% likely alternative scenario and reckon with further rises.
Coinbase: Wave (v) of [iii]!At $241, Coinbase recently reached a new local low, after which the price surged an impressive 17% at its peak. Thus, we now consider the blue wave (iv) as complete and locate the stock in the blue wave (v), which should push to new all-time highs to complete the larger wave of the ongoing magenta upward impulse. However, this upward trajectory will be postponed if COIN encounters selling pressure and falls below the support at $224. We assign a 33% probability to this alternative scenario.
Fetch.ai: Lower Once More?So far, Fetch.ai has remained just above the upper edge of our blue Target Zone between $1.09 and $0.81. However, we primarily expect the coin to dive deeper into this price range to complete the blue correction wave (ii). On the other hand, if this intermediate correction has already been completed with the low on December 20, FET will bypass our Zone and rise directly above the two resistances at $1.54 and $2.19 during the blue wave alt. (iii) directly (37% likely).
AMD: Wave (3) of [3]As anticipated, AMD has realized strong sell-offs, breaking below the support at $121.82. We primarily expect the magenta wave (3) to conclude further south, followed by a corrective rise in the subsequent wave (4). Below $121.82, however, the stock should resume the magenta downward impulse and, thus, start wave (5).
Adobe: In Our Target Zone!The ADBE stock has continued its downward movement, heading directly toward the center of our beige Target Zone (coordinates: $449.61 – $331.93). With this range now reached, the minimum requirement for the ongoing correction has been met. However, our primary expectation remains that the price will engage more extensively within our Zone, as we anticipate the bottom of the beige wave x to form deeper within it. Once the low is established, we expect the subsequent wave y to resume the upward trend and surpass the resistance at $640. There, the larger blue wave (b) should be completed as well.
Cronos: Dive!Cronos has dived into our beige Target Zone between $0.1322 and $0.0884 and should soon reach the projected low of the green wave . In our Zone, the coin should succeed in a bullish reversal, and the following impulsive wave should propel the price significantly above the resistance at $0.23. As CRO has fulfilled the minimum requirements for the wave correction by entering our Zone, it might even head above the $0.23 mark immediately.
Tesla: More Room for Wave [iv]We place Tesla in a magenta upward impulse, imminently allowing wave more room on the downside. While the current extension suggests that this wave might already be complete, the necessary confirming signals are missing. Still, wave should primarily settle its low with a sufficient distance above the support at $271. A sell-off below this level, however, is 33% likely in the context of our alternative scenario. In this case, the stock would still be working on the broader correction of the blue wave alt. (II), with the gains since April 2024 considered corrective. To render this alternative scenario irrelevant, TSLA needs to stage a decisive rally above the resistance at $488.50.
Palo Alto Networks: Top Established!PANW reached a new peak at $207.24 on December 16. Although the price briefly moved above the significant $200 threshold, it failed to gain traction at higher levels. Thus, we now consider the top of the beige wave B as established and position the stock in the third and final stage of the larger wave (II) correction. From the wave B peak, the stock has already seen a pullback of approximately 20%. We anticipate that this downward movement will continue and ultimately reach our blue Target Zone between $104.74 and $55.73, where the ongoing downtrend should find its bottom. In our alternative scenario, we assign a 30% probability to an immediate breach of the resistance at $207.24. In this case, we would have to reckon with a new high of the blue wave alt.(I).
Oracle: Correction Started!Although ORCL is currently still trading above the $147.50 support level, we believe the green wave has reached its peak. This implies that the overall upward trend has concluded, and we anticipate a significant correction moving forward. This correction should unfold in five parts, with the beige wave I extending well below the $147.50 level. Afterward, we foresee a corrective counter-movement back above $147.50 during wave II before the price resumes its downward trajectory.
eBay: Bearish Resolution AnticipatedThe EBAY stock has entered a consolidation phase below the resistance level at $67.79. This resistance currently serves as a trigger for our 33% likely alternative scenario, which would entail a new high of the beige wave alt. b. Primarily, however, we expect this level to remain unbroken as the price continues its current downward movement of the green wave , which should find its low below the support levels at $46.03 and $40.16.
Ripple: Another Dip Ahead?In the opening hours of the new year, XRP made a solid effort to recover from the minor weakness of the past two weeks. While the price surged over 25% between December 30 and the following five days, we classify this brief rally as a temporary counter-move, which should shortly transition into the final sell-off of the corrective magenta wave (4). Once the wave (4) low has been settled, the magenta impulsive wave (5) should break above the resistance at $3.28. However, if the price fails to sustain its next upward move and retreats significantly from this green line, the magenta wave alt. (4) will form another low before paving the way for the next upward impulse. This alternative scenario carries a 35% probability.
BlackRock: Top Confirmed!Just shy of the lower edge of our Target Zone, BlackRock recently established its high at $1,082.45, completing the beige wave b. The Target Zone has since been deactivated. With this milestone reached, we now anticipate a prolonged decline as part of the beige wave c. This development aligns with the overarching correction of the blue wave (II), which began in November 2021 and is defined by a subordinate abc-structure. From the $1,082.45 high, we primarily expect a sustained price decline. However, this level now serves as a critical resistance. In the context of our 36% likely alternative scenario, we must allow for the possibility of a new wave alt.b high above this mark.