Hang Seng Index: Motivated! 💪The bulls were able to push the Hang Seng Index significantly higher on Friday, moving it further away from the yellow trading range between 17,424 and 15,571. However, we still expect the price to return to this area as part of the magenta wave (2) to make a lower low before the reversal occurs. That said, given the price action so far, we have to increase the probability of our alternative to 41%. In this case, the low of the magenta wave alt.(2) would already be in place and this scenario would come into play on a rise above the resistance at 18,898. However, it should be noted that our long-term expectation has already been fulfilled with the completion of the trading range. In both cases, there is considerable upside potential in the medium to long term. The price should clearly overcome the resistance at 20,899.
Waveanalyses
S&P 500: Bulls at the Helm 📈🐂The S&P 500 has risen significantly since yesterday and has broken through resistance at 4294. We must now assume that the low of wave in magenta was already established a few days ago, on October 27th. Going forward, we can expect a continuation of the rally that has now begun, which should also continue above the resistance at 4634 in the course of the magenta wave .
Bitcoin: The Calm before the Storm? 🌪After the impulsive spike to the upside about a week ago, the bitcoin bulls have understandably calmed down a bit. Accordingly, the price has moved mostly sideways over the past few days. Our primary assumption is that this consolidation phase will soon be resolved to the upside, as we still grant the current wave (iii) in turquoise some room to go higher.
AirBNB: Arriving 🛬 🌴Due to the recent sell-off, the price of AirBNB has now reached our magenta target zone between $116.53 and $96.73. This means that the minimum requirements of the magenta wave (2) have been met, implying that the price could theoretically complete its reversal. However, we still expect a drop to the 61.80% retracement first, in order to make the low there. Wave (3) should then take the price clearly higher.
Cocoa: The next step 🪜After a minor consolidation phase in which the price of cocoa stagnated just below the pink trend line, the next step of the magenta wave (5) was completed: a clear breakout above this line. We now expect a larger upward expansion until the magenta five-wave move and thus the superior white wave (B) is completed. After this top, the price should go down again - first with the magenta wave back towards the trendline.
Apple: Trend-setting battle 🔥📈📉The bears have once again pushed Apple down to the lower border of the green target zone between $170.89 and $185. We continue to believe that the stock is in an overriding uptrend, but for that to be the case, it now needs to climb higher. In this scenario, the white wave (III) is expected to end well above the resistance at $198.23. However, it is important to note that our alternative now has a relatively high probability of 41%. If the price were to fall below $167.62, the first task would be the grey wave (IV).
Geely: Bears are back 🍯🐻The bears have now pushed Geely stock back below its March low. This confirms our primary scenario that the stock is in the final phase of the overarching gray wave II from the high of the magenta wave (B). This move should now be advanced to the green target zone between HK$7.80 and HK$4.12. With the low placed, the price should then move significantly higher.
Bitcoin in sensitive location!!!!Any break under 24800 with 12 days correction will lead BTC to 18000 and maybe to new lows! while any break over 26450 with 2-3 days correction will lead BTC to break 32000 and to 48000. I will keep you updated regarding any change in analysis shape of the wave !
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Copper: Jump off! 👟The copper price has reached the lower edge of the pink trend channel within the turquoise target zone between $3.59 and $3.51 and has already shown a reaction to this line. Now, a far-reaching rise should occur, beyond the resistance at $4.19. There, the magenta wave (B) should then be finished and it should transition into sustained descents to the green target zone between $3.08 and $2.59.
NatGas: Dived in 🤿 🌊The price of NatGas has now reached the turquoise target zone between $2.98 and $2.77. Here we expect a turning point with the low of the turquoise wave (ii), ideally at the 78.60% retracement of the zone. From there, the price should move higher in large steps until it completes the orange wave (iii) at $4.60.
Curaleaf: Setback for a Comeback 🌪️The price of Curaleaf has set back significantly since its impressive rise in September. Soon, however, it should continue, as the price has now reached the green target zone between CAD 5.50 and CAD 4.33, where we locate the low of the green wave 2. Following the low, there should then be significant gains again with the further green five-wave move, reaching CAD 12.
Sugar: Knock Knock🚪The sugar price has now reached the upper border of the pink trend channel. It should now break through this line, as it should continue to rise significantly with the yellow wave b. We expect the high to be in the green target zone between USX 28.72 and USX 30.84, which will then allow for new declines.
3M: Not far now! 🦅The 3M stock was able to undershoot the support at $92.38 in the past weeks. Now it is not far to the green target zone between $83.82 and $74.28, where we expect the low of the white wave (II). To capitalize on the expected change in direction, long positions can be opened within the zone. Stops should be placed about 1% below the zone, as a 36% likely alternative would still see a lower white wave alt.(II) low.
Booking Holdings: Southern Vacation? 🌴The price of Booking Holding has been heading south in recent days. It has now come very close to support at $2934. As long as this level is not breached, we believe that the price should continue to rise above the resistance at $3251 with the turquoise wave 5. However, if the support is breached, which we see as 33% probable, the price would still make a lower low of the grey wave alt.(II).
Berkshire Hathaway: Step by Step 👣Although the last few days have been volatile, the price of Berkshire has now backed the low of the magenta wave (1) and is currently in an uptrend. The same colored wave (2) should reach $360 before a reversal takes place. The 37% probability alternative scenario is for the price to rise further, which would come into play on a break of the resistance at $373.34.
Nasdaq: Taken off 🚀The Nasdaq has now rallied strongly and has left its green target zone between 15 292 and 14 431 points. The next target is now the resistance at 16 062 points and a further rise to around 17 500 points, where we expect the high of the orange wave i. It is important to note, however, that it is also possible that the high was already set in July. This alternative scenario, to which we assign a 40% probability, would come into play in the event of a drop below the zone. The low of the orange wave alt.ii would then have to be in the orange target zone between 13 934 and 12 717 points.
Hang Seng Index: High-flyer 🌟The Hang Seng Index is currently in a strong rise. As the yellow trading range between 17 424 and 15 571 points has already been approached, it is quite possible that the low of the magenta wave alt.(2) has already been set. We give this scenario a 40% probability and it would become our primary scenario if the resistance at 18 898 points is broken. Until then, however, we must continue to expect that there will be another fall deeper into the trading range before the turnaround takes place.
Porsche Holding: Bottom formation 🔄The Porsche Holding share price is approaching the 78.60% retracement of the magenta target zone between €56.44 and €36.61. Here, we expect the low of the magenta wave 2, which has been dragging on since 2021. With the low formed, a reversal should then take place, and the price should rise well above the resistance at 60.18€.
DAX: Already done? 📌🤔Since last Wednesday, the German stock index DAX has been rising again. In theory, the low of the turquoise wave alt.4 could already be in place. However, this scenario would require a rise above the resistance at 15 647, which we consider to be 33% probable. Until then, we maintain our primary expectation that the turquoise target zone between 14 866 and 14 555 points should be targeted for the low.
Now what will be the goal of Gold, see our analysisWe saw that on Friday, when the NFP news came, the market was running at 1820. After that, the market went down and reached 1811.
The market went up to 1835, after which it went down a little. On Friday, the market closed at 1832, and when the market opened today, it opened with a gap, and at that time it was running until 1852.
If the market breaks 1846, then our next target is 1830, which is also support; if the market breaks 1830, then our next targets are 1816 and 1799; and on the other hand, if the market breaks the resistance of 1857, then our next targets are 1870 and 1880.
Due to the war between Palestine and Israel, the whole market is not stable. We request that you monitor the market again and again and use your stop-loss
Rheinmetall: Locked and Loaded 💥After briefly dipping below the turquoise target range of €245.60 to €228.40, Rheinmetall's stock price has rebounded into this zone. We now believe it has set the low for the magenta wave (iv at this point. Consequently, a substantial increase to €320 is anticipated.
S&P 500: Ready for takeoff 🛫Yesterday, the S&P 500 climbed back into our magenta Target Zone, which was important for our primary scenario to remain intact. In the next step, the index should now succeed in surmounting the resistances at 4365 and 4634 in order to establish the high of the magenta wave (v) above these marks. So, for now, it is essential for S&P to push the rise further and to sustainably distance itself from the low of the magenta wave (iv).
Latest Gold Idea Next Target is?We have seen that since yesterday, the market has been moving between 1830 and 1816.
It has not been able to break the support at 1816, and neither has it been able to break the resistance at 1830, because 1830 is a strong resistance and 1816 is a strong support.
If the current market is running at 1822, then the market may go up a little.
From 1830, the market may come back, or if it breaks the resistance of 1830, then our next resistance is 1835, and we think that breaking 1835 is very difficult, and from there, the market will come down again, and our next target is if the market breaks the support at 1816, then our final target is 1809 or 1790.