Fresnillo: Bearish Success 💪🐻The Fresnillo-bears can announce a first success: Finally, the share has arrived at the support at GBP 610! Next, our furry friends should push Fresnillo below this mark to gather further downward momentum. Then, the share should also pass the support at GBP 456.60 to develop wave C in turquoise. However, there still remains a 20% chance that Fresnillo could change direction and climb above the resistance at GBP 997. In that case, we would expect the share to place the new top of wave alt.B in turquoise in the turquoise zone between GBP 1086 and GBP 1292 before turning downward again.
Waveanalyses
Dow Jones: Breather 😮💨Dow Jones is taking a breather near the resistance at 34 363 points, showing (again) a distinct response to this mark. Soon, though, the index should resume the ascent to develop the top of wave (i) in blue, which should then initiate a prominent downward movement. However, there is a 30% chance that Dow Jones could drop below the support at 32 246 points, plunging into the orange zone between 31 675 and 29 939 points to already expand wave alt.(ii) in blue. From this low, the index would then start a fresh upward movement.
T-Mobile US: Answer the Call! 📞Slowly but surely, T-Mobile US is answering the call of our dark green target zone between $161.69 and $168.80, heading further upwards. To finally pick up the receiver and complete wave B in dark green, the share should develop a three part upwards movement consisting of waves a, b and c in magenta, which should carry it above the resistance at $154.38. However, there is a 33% chance that T-Mobile US could have already hung up wave alt.B in dark green and thus drop below the support at $124.92.
Ripple: Rollercoaster 🎢After the exciting rollercoaster ride during the past few weeks, Ripple has lately been showing more interest in following our primary scenario. We expect the altcoin to resume the downwards movement, heading for the support at $0.2874. Soon, our crypto friend should drop below this mark to finish wave (c) in magenta and then turn upwards again. However, there is a 40% chance that Ripple could have already finished wave alt.(c) in magenta and thus climb directly above the resistance at $0.5847 to develop wave alt.i in orange.
Get to the copper! 🐻🚁The industrial metals market often goes unnoticed by many traders, although some excellent trading opportunities are often to be found here. And with that, we say, "Get to the copper!" For things should get moving here quite soon. The completion of wave (ii) in magenta should be imminent here, the copper price should therefore initiate a bearish trend reversal in our target zone (highlighted in blue) and then indulge in extended sell-offs. Thus, depositing short positions between $3.89 and 3.96 should present an excellent opportunity to profit from the lift-off of the bearish chopper - which is, of course, headed south. We anticipate a significant sell-off before wave (iii) in magenta will at some later point be completed, at which point the bulls are expected to report back.
Tilray: Finally arrived 🧳Two weeks ago, Tilray took heart and jumped into the turquoise zone between $1.46 and $2.27, leaving a visible gap on its way. Near the bottom of this zone, the share could establish the low of wave II in white by now, meaning that soon, the bulls should take over. We expect Tilray to develop enough upwards momentum to leave the turquoise zone on the northern side via wave (1) in magenta, taking a first step in the direction of the resistance at $5.12.
Booking Holdings: Reservation confirmed 🏨Booking Holdings has booked a room in our dark green target zone between $2939 and $3096 and should reach this destination via wave b in gray. During its stay, the share should establish the distinctive top of the current movement and then leave its dark green lodging on the southern side, heading for the support at $2456. However, there is a 30% chance that wave alt.b in gray could have already checked out and that Booking Holdings could start its journey below $2456 earlier. In that case, the dark green hotel room would remain vacated.
Ethereum: On the green ⛳️Ethereum is on the green or rather in the green zone between $1754 and $1457, still hesitating to advance further. Technically, the requirements for completing the current movement are thus fulfilled. However, we expect the cryptocurrency to ideally hole wave 2 in green around the middle of the green zone. This done, Ethereum should turn upwards, aiming for the resistance at $2138, which should be conquered in due time.
Platinum: How low will you go? 🤔Platinum is on its way downwards to develop wave Y in light green and still has got room to expand. Indeed, there is a 30% chance that the price could even drop into the green zone between $758 and $659, establishing the low of wave Alt.Y in light green instead. Primarily, though, we expect platinum to turn upwards before reaching the green zone.
Snowflake: Gone with the Wind… 🌬(Un-)fortunately, we won’t rehash the story of Scarlett and Rhett, which took director Victor Fleming nearly 4 hours to recount. We will rather talk about Snowflake, which currently seems to be struggling though a snowstorm, fighting on toward the resistance at $203.62. We expect the share to gust above this mark to expand wave x in magenta before a counter movement should take hold. However, there is a 40% chance that wave alt.x in magenta could be finished by now. In that case, Snowflake would waft below the support at $110.27 to develop wave alt.2 in turquoise already, whose low should then be followed by a fresh upwards movement.
GDX: Will you make it? 💪This is what we ask GDX regarding our primary scenario. The ETF has shown momentum in both directions: upward and downward. However, we expect the bulls to win this fight, pushing GDX above the resistance at $32.58 and into the turquoise zone between $33.93 and $35.57. There it should finish wave ii in turquoise and turn southward again, heading back below $32.58. However, our secondary scenario shouldn’t be disregarded! There is a 40% chance for the bears to triumph. In that case, we would have to wait for wave alt.(5) in yellow to expand first, which would then include a new low.
Nasdaq: Taking a Break… 😮💨Currently, Nasdaq is taking a break from the exhausting ascent it has realized from the low of wave iv in turquoise. However, we expect the index to activate some more upwards momentum, expanding wave v in turquoise so that a higher top of wave i in orange can be reached. This done, Nasdaq should turn downwards and drop below the support at 13 566 points to develop wave ii in orange. There is a 40% chance, though, that the index could bounce off this mark, finishing wave alt.iv in turquoise instead. In that case, we would expect a delayed expansion of wave alt.ii in orange and thus a delayed drop below the mentioned support line.
OIH: Rebound 🏐Impulsively, OIH has bounced off the resistance at $276.85, which now marks the top of wave iv in magenta. Next, the ETF should continue the downward trend below the support at $250.69 to complete the magenta-colored three-part movement and thus expand wave 3 in turquoise. However, a 35% chance remains that OIH could take a northbound detour, climbing above the resistance at $276.85 to develop a new top in the form of wave alt.2 in turquoise first before turning southwards again.
Barrick: Barrick Bears 🏉Ever heard of the Barrick Bears? They are a great team, which should help to push our primary scenario for Barrick. Currently, they have to fight against a little bullish counter reaction, but soon they should drag the share below the support at $12.65 and into the yellow zone between $11.97 and $6.32. There, wave (2) in yellow should end and therefore a fresh upwards movement should start. However, there is still a 25% chance for the Barrick Bulls to intervene. They could urge the share above the resistance at $22.80 and thus trigger further ascent.
Uniswap: You’ve still got work to do…! ☝️Uniswap is chilling in a sidewards movement, although it still has got work to do! So far, the altcoin seems hesitant to reach for our red target zone between $3.99 and $0.88, moving closer only gradually. However, our crypto-friend should take heart soon! We expect it to dive into the red zone pluckily to complete wave b in red. This done, Uniswap should turn upwards and head for its next destination: the northern turquoise zone between $13.03 and $16.03, where wave 4 in turquoise should end.
Mercedes-Benz Group: Parking 🚘Mercedes is about to park wave (2) in magenta in our green target zone between €67.31 and €77.90. Once this top is placed, the share should continue the overarching downward trend, dropping below the support at €60.72 and (after a short countermovement) further southwards. There is a 30% chance, though, that Mercedes could leave the green zone on the northern side and thus climb above the resistance at €77.90. In that case, we would expect the share to develop a higher top first before heading downwards. Wave alt.B in green would then expand into the magenta-colored zone between €84.44 and €89.37.
Gold: Splish Splash 💦🫧Splish splash, I was taking a bath,
Long about a Saturday night, yeah.
A rub dub, just relaxing in the tub,
Thinking everything was alright.
Like Bobby Darlin in his song, gold should also take a refreshing bath in the turquoise zone between $1840 and $1713 soon. Therefore, it must drop below the support at $1936 to gain further downwards momentum. Thus refreshed, the precious metal should leave the turquoise zone on the southern side and continue the descent until the low of wave (4) in yellow is established. However, there is a 30% chance that gold could finish wave alt.2 in turquoise instead and subsequently rise from the turquoise zone to start an upwards movement, which should carry it back above $1936.
Solana: Check! ✔️✏️As planned, Solana has worked its way through the turquoise zone between $22.45 and $17.82 and completed wave 2 in green. Now that this to-do is checked off, our crypto-friend should gather some upwards momentum, which should propel it out of the turquoise zone and further northwards to finish wave 3 in green. However, there is a 20% chance that Solana might not be able to activate the necessary drive and thus slips below the support at $16.01. In that case, we would expect the altcoin to develop a new low in the form of wave alt.ii in orange first before heading upwards.
Merck: Water slide 🛝The pool-season is about to start, and Merck has already secured its place on the water slide, which should take it further downwards below the support at $110.66. However, there is still a 35% chance that the share might catch a bubbling fountain which could push it above the resistance at $119.65. In that case, we would expect Merck to develop a new top in the form of wave alt.B in green in the green zone between $119.87 and $123.79 first before turning downwards again.
Waste Management: No Time Wasted 🕰From the top of wave D in turquoise, which was commendably paced in our target zone, Waste Management has wasted no time and has briskly started the expected downwards movement. This trend should lead Waste Management into the magenta-colored zone between $154.00 and $146.56 just below the pink trend channel, where the share should conclude wave E in turquoise as well as wave (4) in magenta. Once this low is placed, Waste Management should turn upwards, leaving the trend channel on the northern side and heading for the resistance at $175.98. A 34% chance remains, though, that the share might stop the descent earlier, complete wave alt.2 in turquoise instead and vault above $175.98 from there. In that case, wave alt.(4) would be finished already.
Copper: Like a Lead Weight ⚖️No worries – we didn’t confuse our metals! However, like a lead weight, copper should continue to sink further, heading for the green zone between $3.08 and $2.59 in the south. Already the price has broken free from the recent sidewards movement and has developed a new low, showing more and more downwards momentum. Once copper has arrived in the green zone, it should complete wave 2 in green, marking a distinctive low, which should then introduce a strong upwards movement.
Mastercard: Master the Hurdle! 🚧Mastercard should activate more upwards momentum to make it above the resistance at $390 – a feat in which it has succeeded already, albeit temporarily. Once above this mark, the share should vault into the green zone between $429.57 and $453.90 to complete wave B in green before returning below $390 again. However, we must keep in mind our alternative scenario with a probability of 33%: Mastercard might drop below the support at $340.21 to develop a new low first before heading further upwards. We would then expect this new low in the form of wave alt.(X) in magenta in the magenta-colored zone between $319.74 and $289.16.
Sell wheat everyday 🐻🍞Who sells wheat everyday? It’s the price-reducing wheat bears who want to provide us all with a cheap basic supply of food. "Affordable wheat for all," chant they, offering reduced-price bushels of wheat to anyone who comes their way. At the moment, they are not to be restrained in their sell-off ecstasy, however, we already see the low of the blue wave (v) lying shortly before us, which means that this sell-off should soon come to its end. The wheat price is already in our green target zone here (between USX 662 and USX 472), where we expect a trend reversal. The bulls should therefore report back before too long and point to the need for higher wheat prices. It should be noted that with the end of said blue (v) wave, an overarching and relatively long-lasting correction should also come to its end. Therefore, our green highlighted target zone can serve as an excellent entry opportunity for speculations on the long side.