Nvidia: DownhillNVDA has completed the green wave (X) and started descending toward our blue Target Zone between $91.30 and $76.02, which should mark the joint low of waves (Z) in green and A in beige. From this range, the beige five-wave downward move should continue, layawaying along the boundaries of our pink triangular trend channel to finish the large wave (IV) in blue. This final overarching low should take the form of a truncation, i.e., a shortened correction, and initiate a new uptrend above $137.32. However, it is 30% likely that the blue wave alt.(IV) has already concluded, which would result in a direct breakout above the $137.32 mark.
Waveanalyses
Travelers: One last climbWe expect Travelers to continue its corrective rise in the form of the magenta wave (B) to just below resistance at $232.75 before a significant sell-off sets in. If, on the other hand, the price were to decline earlier and slip below the support at $200.40, our alternative scenario will come into play (35% likely). In this case, we will expect a lower low of the magenta-colored wave alt.(A).
Chainlink: Take-off! LINK shot upward last week and was thus able to leave our turquoise Target Zone (between $8.20 and $10.90). We expect the turquoise wave 3 to lead above the resistance at $20.85. However, a renewed dive into our Zone within the internal substructure is quite conceivable in the short term, which is why we continue to keep it active.
Apple: Near the summitApple should be on the last meters of the turquoise wave B. As soon as the high is established, we expect a final sell-off. For the end of the corrective movement, we have added a magenta-colored Target Zone (between $192.02 and $172.34) to the chart. Investors could establish long positions there, with stops placed around 1% below the lower edge. With the low in place, we expect a rise above the resistance at $254.30. Should this level be broken earlier, our alternative scenario (34%) will come into play. This wave count sees the last local low as the low of the magenta wave alt.(2).
Bitcoin: Hello Again Bitcoin surged back above $60,000 yesterday evening and is thus trading at a price level that it has been trying to overcome for two weeks now. We primarily expect another setback into our green Target Zone (between $47,012 and $58,655) so that the low of the green wave 4 can be established there. Following this, the price should then turn around sustainably and rise above the all-time high of $73,808.
Fantom: Come Back!We primarily expect a return into our orange Target Zone (between $0.3220 and $0.1866) before the orange wave v and thus the green wave comes to an end. After that, a sustained rise above the resistance at $0.54 should occur. However, as the price had already approached the range, the technical minimum requirement for the correction low has already have been met. Should we now see a rise above the resistance at $0.54 (33% likely), we will thus have to see the price in the orange-colored wave alt.i.
Avalanche: Recovery!AVAX recovered last week and rallied within our turquoise Target Zone (between $17.48 and $29.30). We now expect the price to be carried out of the Zone by the turquoise wave 3 and above the resistance at $41.78. However, we still have to keep our alternative scenario (40% likely) in mind. This option calls for a lower low of the turquoise wave alt.2 below the range.
Solana: Reconsideration?According to our primary expectation, Solana should now sell off even more strongly and head for our blue Target Zone ($109 – $51.20), where we expect the low of the same-colored wave (ii). Traders could open long positions within this range, placing stops about 1% below the lower edge. With the low in place, a move back above the resistance at $210.03 is on the cards. However, with the price narrowly missing the Zone in the past, we must also consider the option that the low has already been established. This scenario (37% likely) will come into play on a break of resistance at $210.03.
WTI: Knock, knock…WTI recently rejected the lower edge of the turquoise Target Zone between $79.67 and $85.86. We expect a further advance into this range before the high of turquoise wave B can be established. The price should then turn around and sell off with the last leg of the green wave (2) into our same-colored Target Zone between $49.85 and $27.93.
Nio: Close Call!We continue to see NIO in the blue wave (iii), which should lead to an increase above the resistance at $7.02. Subsequently, we expect a small correction before a further rise completes the magenta wave (1). Should the share fail to hold the $3.61 mark, which we consider to be 48% likely, we will see it in the beige-colored wave alt. II.
Fiserv: At the crossroadsWe primarily expect Fiserv to drop into magenta Target Zone between $134.54 and $120 as part of the same-colored wave (2). Investors could then open long positions there, with stops placed around 1% below the lower edge. Subsequently, we expect a rise above the resistance at $165.28. We consider an earlier break of this level to be 37% likely. In this case, however, it would only be the magenta-colored wave alt. (1).
Booking Holdings: Trend Reversal! The sharpness of the correction and the current structure lead us to consider the last high at $4147 as the end of the major wave (I) in blue. We now expect a countermovement in the green wave (II), which should end below the resistance at $4147. Following this corrective counter-move, we expect further declines. That being said, our alternative scenario (33%) calls for further record highs. In this case, we will still have to place the price in the blue wave alt. (I).
Chainlink: Let’s go!LINK dropped significantly in the last seven days and even briefly undercut our turquoise Target Zone (between $8.20 and $10.90). However, as it was able to turn around quickly and only undercut the range by less than 1%, our count remains intact. We now see the turquoise wave 2 as completed and expect an upward push above the resistance at $20.85 in the further course. Investors could open long positions within our Target Zone. Stops could be placed around 1% below the lower edge. Should the bears push the price significantly below the Zone (37% likely), we will have to anticipate a lower low of the turquoise wave alt.2
Uber: Turning PointUber has retreated deeper into our magenta Target Zone (coordinates: $68.19 - $52.89). Primarily, the same-colored wave (iv) correction should be in its final stretch. In order to convince us of a low, the price needs to develop a clear impulse to the upside. The entire range can be used to open long positions. As a hedge, a stop could be placed around 1% below our Zone. Following the correction, we primarily assume that the magenta-colored five-wave move should be completed above the resistance at $81.87 which should also mark the end of the turquoise-colored wave 3.
Solana: SlumpedSOL retreated quite a bit last week. However, our primary scenario remains unaffected by this development. We continue to see the price in the final stage of the blue wave (i), in the context of which we expect a rise well above the resistance at $210.03. However, we must also keep an eye on our 25% likely alternative scenario, which will be activated by a slide below the $118.89 support level. This option sees the coin already in the blue wave alt.(ii) and would ensure a sell-off into our blue Target Zone (between $109 and $51.20).
Palantir: Resistance Palantir has fallen back below the previously broken resistance at $27.50. Despite the current difficulties with this level, the rally should continue soon with the green impulse wave being expanded further north.
#GBPUSD begining of a 3wave corrective moveAs can be seen, the price appears to be completing a 5th wave of 5, indicating the end of a bullish impulsive move that reached the upper channel line. Now, we could expect a bearish move in the form of an ABC correction or a reversal.
To open a position, we should wait for a bullish corrective move, which could be either wave B or 2, and then try to catch wave C or 3.
Let me know if you would like me to publish an analysis in a lower timeframe on this chart to take advantage of this rally.