Wave Analysis
BTCUSDT.. single supporting area , holds or not ??#BTCUSDT.. so market just reached at his most important area is around 81400 to 81600
And that is our in-between range area actually so keep close it and if market hold that area then again buying expected towards range upper line.
Note: below 81400 we will go for CUT n reverse on confirmation.
Good luck
Trade wisely
USDT.D & BTC Price Action Understanding the Market Move: USDT.D, BTC.D, and BTC Price Action
Currently, USDT Dominance (USDT.D) is approaching a key level, sweeping its previous high. This indicates that traders are moving funds into stablecoins, usually a sign of risk aversion. Due to its inverse correlation with Bitcoin (BTC), this movement suggests that BTC may experience further downside in the short term.
However, once Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) completes its retest of the previous high, a major shift is expected. If BTC.D starts to decline sharply, it means capital is flowing back into altcoins and BTC itself. Historically, this pattern has led to strong bullish momentum for Bitcoin, potentially triggering a major rally.
This dynamic between USDT.D, BTC.D, and BTC price action is crucial for traders to anticipate market movements. Keeping a close watch on these metrics can provide valuable insights into the next big move in the crypto market.
EURUSD Is Very Bullish! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 1.079.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 1.109 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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#DEGO/USDT#DEGO
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame and is expected to continue lower.
We have a trend to stabilize below the 100 moving average once again.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that supports the upward move with a breakout.
We have a resistance area at the upper limit of the channel at 1.823.
Entry price: 1.803
First target: 1.77
Second target: 1.74
Third target: 1.700
#ZETA/USDT#ZETA
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame and is expected to continue lower.
We have a trend to stabilize below the 100 moving average once again.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator, supporting the upward move with a breakout.
We have a resistance area at the upper limit of the channel at 0.3088.
Entry price: 0.3022
First target: 0.2924
Second target: 0.2858
Third target: 0.2780
Gold Rejects Channel Highs — Retracement to $3,000 Before HigherGold has printed another clean rejection at the upper boundary of a short-term ascending channel on the 6H timeframe. This latest rejection adds further validity to the structure, suggesting that we may now see a healthy technical pullback toward the equilibrium line of the channel — and potentially down to the lower support boundary near the $3,000 psychological level.
Technical Outlook:
Another rejection from channel resistance confirms structural validity.
1:4 risk-to-reward short opportunity with clear invalidation and confluence.
Targets:
– TP1: $3,005 — channel midline + psychological level
– TP2: $2,955 — previous swing high + dynamic quarterly support
$3,000 psychological levels are often retested before continuation.
Fundamentals & Geopolitical Context (as of April 1, 2025):
Gold's Macro Bull Trend Remains Intact
Despite this short-term setup, the broader macro backdrop continues to support gold:
– Central banks accumulating gold amid global de-dollarization
– Real yields remain negative across key regions
– Oil trading above $100 fuels inflationary pressure
Geopolitical Flashpoints Supporting Volatility
– Russia-Ukraine war shows no signs of easing
– Middle East tensions rising (Israel–Hezbollah conflict)
– Taiwan-U.S.-China escalation continues post-military exercises
Bitcoin Weakness = Gold Rotation Potential
– BTC struggling at $70K, showing early signs of distribution
– Miner pressure increasing ahead of halving
– Targeting possible correction to $50K = capital rotation into gold
Conclusion:
Technical rejection at resistance aligns with macro expectations of a short-term pullback.
$3,000 key psychological level likely to be retested before further upside.
Gold remains in a macro bull market; this move is likely corrective within a larger expansion leg.
Long Term Gold Bull Target $4,200:
Previous Long (Target hit and closed at $3,100):
Previous Intra Long (Target hit and closed at $3,100):
Gold Blows Past 50-Year Channel — New Supercycle Target $4200Original post + 75,000 pips see below
Intra trade idea + 46,000 pips see below
Gold has officially broken out of its long-term rising channel, confirming a macro expansion phase. With geopolitical tensions (Russia-Ukraine, Middle East, Taiwan), central bank buying at record levels, and Bitcoin showing signs of a breakdown, gold is being revalued as the ultimate safe-haven.
Fibonacci extensions from past cycles point to a third major all-time high between $4,270 and $4,600. We remain long and expect continued institutional rotation from crypto to gold as macro risks intensify. This move appears to be part of a larger historical pattern where each major gold bull market has topped at the -1.414 Fibonacci extension — a level that aligns closely with $4,270.
BTC, meanwhile, is showing early signs of correction due to extreme mining difficulty, potential miner capitulation post-halving, and rising macro uncertainty — suggesting capital is flowing back into more traditional hard assets.
We’ll monitor how the April open plays out, but with the technicals, fundamentals, and macro narratives all aligning, gold’s breakout seems far from over.
📍Gold has printed one of its most aggressive quarterly candles in history, currently trading around $3,117 — a full breakout above the long-standing macro trend channel, confirming a decisive phase shift in the market.
📍This breakout is not a wick or deviation — Gold has broken clean through the upper boundary of its decades-long rising channel, invalidating the idea of a return to mean and instead pointing to an acceleration phase.
📍Previous all-time highs in Gold have aligned closely with the -1.414 Fibonacci extensions of major bull runs. The first major top (1980) and the second (2011) respected this exact Fib level. Projecting that logic forward, the current structure suggests a third ATH around $4,270 (-1.414), with further upside possible toward $4,608 (-1.618).
📍The March 2025 candle is extremely strong — nearly a vertical move — and while a small short-term pullback is possible depending on April’s open, the longer-term picture remains undeniably bullish.
📊 Technical Outlook:
✅ Breakout above long-term macro channel = structural shift. Re-entry into the channel is highly unlikely at this point.
✅ Major Fib levels ahead: $3,582 (-1.0), $4,270 (-1.414), $4,608 (-1.618).
✅ Gold is showing repeating expansion behavior from prior cycles, with historical confluence at Fibonacci projections.
📍Key Support Levels:
❗ $2,948 – Now flipped to support (-0.618 Fib)
❗ $2,609 – Deeper support (-0.414 Fib), unlikely to be retested unless macro conditions shift
📍Key Resistance Levels:
🎯 $3,582 – Next technical barrier (-1.0 Fib)
🎯 $4,270 – Targeted 3rd ATH (-1.414)
🎯 $4,608 – Macro extension (-1.618), likely terminal point of current cycle
🌍 Fundamental & Geopolitical Context (as of March 2025):
🛑 1. Rising Global Tensions Fueling Safe-Haven Demand
The Russia-Ukraine war shows no sign of de-escalation, with new reports indicating increased mobilization on both sides.
Simultaneously, conflict between Israel and Hezbollah has intensified, spilling over into broader regional instability in the Middle East.
U.S.-China tensions have also resurfaced after Taiwan conducted military exercises and received advanced weaponry from Western allies, provoking responses from Beijing.
Trump's renewed political presence and rhetoric on “America First” policies, combined with potential NATO withdrawal, have created uncertainty about future global order.
All of this is driving institutions, central banks, and retail investors alike into hard assets like gold — the original safe haven.
📈 2. Central Banks Are Buying Gold at Record Levels
2024 saw the largest central bank gold purchases in history, led by China, Russia, and emerging markets seeking to de-dollarize.
The trend has continued into Q1 2025, with multiple central banks publicly declaring increased gold reserves.
This structural shift in reserves policy underpins gold demand even during minor pullbacks.
📉 3. Bitcoin Facing Pressure – Gold Poised to Outperform?
Bitcoin mining difficulty is at an all-time high as we approach the April 2025 halving. Margins for miners are shrinking rapidly.
Many publicly listed mining firms are capitulating or reducing operations — hash rate divergence suggests instability.
With interest rates still elevated and risk assets under pressure, Bitcoin is struggling to maintain its highs.
Technicals on BTC suggest a correction from current ~$70K levels down to $50K, potentially driven by miner distribution, ETF rotation, and lack of momentum.
This has caused a relative rotation from crypto risk assets back into traditional inflation hedges like gold.
🛢 4. Inflation, Oil, and Economic Instability
Oil has broken above $100 again amid Middle East instability, feeding back into global inflation concerns.
The U.S. economy is showing signs of stagflation: stubborn inflation with weakening job growth.
The Fed remains hawkish due to CPI persistence, making liquidity tighter — typically gold-positive.
📉 Bearish Scenario:
❌ Only a breakdown below $2,948 would indicate failed structure.
This would put gold back inside the channel, negating the breakout — but with current macro tailwinds, this appears extremely unlikely.
⚡ Summary & Alignment:
🔹 Technicals: Massive breakout above channel + historical Fib extensions imply $4,270–$4,600 targets.
🔹 Fundamentals: War, inflation, de-dollarization, and central bank demand all reinforce gold’s bullish case.
🔹 Bitcoin Weakness: Mining costs + halving + macro pressures = BTC to $50K risk, leading capital rotation into gold.
🔹 Geopolitics: Global uncertainty at multi-decade highs — gold thrives on instability.
📈 Outlook: Extremely Bullish for Gold
As fiat volatility, geopolitical instability, and crypto fragility intensify, gold continues to assert its role as the ultimate store of value. Technically and fundamentally, it is aligned for a macro push toward $4,270–$4,600 over the coming quarters.
Original idea:
Intra idea:
Tags:
gold, XAUUSD, commodities, forex, technicalanalysis, fibonacci, breakout, macro, geopolitics, safehaven, bitcoin, goldpriceforecast
BUY CADJPY for bearish trend reversal STOP LOSS : 103.53 BUY CADJPY for bearish trend reversal
STOP LOSS : 103.53
Regular Bullish Divergence
In case of Regular Bullish Divergence:
* The Indicator shows Higher Lows
* Actual Market Price shows Lower Lows
We can see a strong divergence on the MACD already and There is a strong trend reversal on the daily time frame chart.....
The daily time frame is showing strength of trend reversal from this strong level of Support so we are looking for the trend reversal and correction push from here .....
TAKE PROFIT : take profit will be when the trend comes to an end, feel from to send me a direct DM if you have any question about take profit or anything
Remember to risk only what you are comfortable with…….trading with the trend, patient and good risk management is the key to success here
BUY EURJPY for bearish trend reversal STOP LOSS : 160.78 BUY EURJPY for bearish trend reversal
STOP LOSS : 160.78
Regular Bullish Divergence
In case of Regular Bullish Divergence:
* The Indicator shows Higher Lows
* Actual Market Price shows Lower Lows
We can see a strong divergence on the MACD already and There is a strong trend reversal on the daily time frame chart.....
The daily time frame is showing strength of trend reversal from this strong level of Support so we are looking for the trend reversal and correction push from here .....
TAKE PROFIT : take profit will be when the trend comes to an end, feel from to send me a direct DM if you have any question about take profit or anything
Remember to risk only what you are comfortable with…….trading with the trend, patient and good risk management is the key to success here
Gold Analysis: Potential Top FormationGold may have completed a five-wave impulse to the upside, indicating a potential peak forming today. If confirmed, we expect a reversal and a corrective decline to follow.
Traders should remain cautious and watch for signs of weakness, as this could mark the beginning of a strong downturn.
GOLD BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,132.31
Target Level: 3,059.08
Stop Loss: 3,180.97
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 5h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GOLD-SELL strategy 3 hourly chart regression channelGOLD remains moving higher, and as mentioned a few times, its all about trade wars tug-and-war activities. However, this is initial fear, and this will become lesser and lesser overtime. It is extremely overbought currently and RSI is at level that are not falling under normal categories. There correction is needed to release the pressures.
SZtrategy SELL or ADD SELL @ $ 3,130-3,160 and take profit in steps (since we are short already) @ $ 3,057 and $ 2,978 for now.
BITCOIN - Long Idea Trade Update - Let's Talk About It...In this video, I break down the current trade setup and explain how every wave fits into a larger, predictable structure. If you don’t understand where we are within that structure, you won’t be able to take advantage of the waves ahead.
Now is the perfect time to learn AriasWave, and I’m offering it for free when you sign up with Phemex—visit my website for details. Understanding these patterns is crucial because it will benefit you in the long run. It doesn’t matter which crypto exchange you use if you keep losing money. The goal is to trade independently without relying on anyone else.
Right now, we’re on the verge of massive gains, so get ready to see it unfold. You can either capitalize on these opportunities or simply watch the moves happen—it's your choice. Don't miss out on learning how these markets work and making the most of them!