USDJPY Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 145.162.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 142.359 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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Wave Analysis
GOLD Is Going Up! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for GOLD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 3,301.19.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 3,325.39 level soon.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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SUI/USDT spot (Buy Signal - Daily)📌 SUI/USDT (1D) Summary
Trend: Starting to turn bullish after a long downtrend
Buy Zone: Around 3.49 USDT
Targets (TP):
TP1: 3.68 USDT
TP2: 4.80 – 5.08 USDT
Stop Loss (SL): Below 3.05 USDT
Potential Profit: Up to +37%
Potential Loss: Around -12%
✅ Bullish Signs:
Price bounced from buy zone
Strong volume
⚠️ Risk:
Trend may fail if price breaks below 3.20
GOLD LONG FROM SUPPORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 3,281.17
Target Level: 3,348.67
Stop Loss: 3,236.17
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 7h
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USD/CAD SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are going short on the USD/CAD with the target of 1.375 level, because the pair is overbought and will soon hit the resistance line above. We deduced the overbought condition from the price being near to the upper BB band. However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is green and gives us a counter-signal.
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USD/CHF BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are now examining the USD/CHF pair and we can see that the pair is going up locally while also being in a uptrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB upper band being nearby, indicating that the pair is overbought so we can go short from the resistance line above and a target at 0.817 level.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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XAU/USD 29 May 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 22 May 2025.
In my analysis from 12 May 2025, I noted that price had yet to target the weak internal high, including on the H4 timeframe. This aligns with the ongoing corrective bearish pullback across higher timeframes, so a bearish internal Break of Structure (iBOS) was a likely outcome.
As anticipated, price targeted strong internal low, confirming a bearish iBOS.
Price has remained within the internal range for an extended period and has yet to target the weak internal low. A contributing factor could be the bullish nature of the H4 timeframe's internal range, which has reacted from a discounted level at 50% of the internal equilibrium (EQ).
Intraday Expectation:
Technically price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,120.765.
Alternative scenario:
Price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance and persistent geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
ETH/USDT Trade Setup: Bullish Trend, Entry Zone & More🚀 ETH/USDT Trade Setup 💸📊
Keeping a close eye on Ethereum paired with USDT right now. 🔍📈
ETH has been holding a solid bullish trend, with healthy pullbacks into value zones that have repeatedly offered discounted long entries. 🛒⚡
I’m bullish overall, looking to trade with the trend. Looking for ETH to dip into my preferred entry zone. 🎯
🛡️ Stop-loss to go just beneath the most recent swing low to keep risk tight and controlled.
In this video, I cover:
🔹 How I apply Fibonacci tools to dial in my entry points and targets
🔹 My full ETH game plan, including the zones I'm watching and how I’m managing this setup
⚠️ Not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence and risk management.
💬 Are you trading ETH right now? What are your thoughts? Let me know in the comments below! 👇🔥
PTL LONG TRADEPTL was in downtrend since its inception in PSX. It then formed and inverted H&S Pattern on 1W TF. It broke out of this pattern and formed a Bullish OB. It then went into Re-Accumulation Zone. It has now performed a retest after the Breakout at the bottom of 1W Breaker Block. It has started its upward reversal.
🚨 TECHNICAL BUY CALL –PTL🚨
🎯BUY1: Rs. 38-40
📈 TP1 : Rs. 44.4
📈 TP2 : Rs. 54
🛑 STOP LOSS: BELOW Rs. 33 (Daily Close)
📊 RISK-REWARD: 1:2.85
Caution: Please buy on levels. Close at least 50% position size at TP1 and then trail SL to avoid losing incurred profits in case of unforeseen market conditions.
PLEASE BOOST AND SHARE THE IDEA IF YOU FIND IT HELPFUL.
USD/JPY confirming a bullish shift in market structure.y Smart Money Concepts Highlighted:
🔄 Break of Structure (BOS):
BOS is marked near the top (~147.5), confirming a bullish shift in market structure.
Indicates the market took out a prior swing high, confirming demand is in control temporarily.
💧 Liquidity Sweep:
The term "Liquidity Sweeps" appears in the indicator (LuxAlgo).
The downward wicks before the rally likely indicate stop hunts/liquidity grabs below support.
🟩 Fair Value Gap (FVG):
A zone highlighted during the drop (~144–145), suggesting an inefficiency in price that institutional traders may want to rebalance.
FVGs often act as magnets for price and potential reversal or continuation zones.
🟦 Order Block (OB):
OB marked after the FVG zone—used as a potential demand zone.
Price previously reacted to it and now may revisit before further moves.
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🧱 Support & Resistance Zones:
Support Zone: Clearly marked near 141.5–142, where price bounced.
Resistance/Target Zone: Large green box from 147 to ~151.2, implying a bullish target zone.
---
🎯 Trade Idea or Forecast (Implied):
Price has bounced off the support.
Expectation: A move back into the OB/FVG zone, followed by a potential bullish breakout toward 151+
Stop Loss Zone (in red): Below 143.123 – protecting against invalidation of the bullish setup.
Projected Take Profit Zone (in green): Between 147 and 151.268, based on supply zones and market imbalance fills.
---
📈 Entry Concept (Implied Strategy):
Bullish bias after structure break.
Entry zone: Around current price or after minor pullback.
SL (Stop Loss): Below last structural low.
TP (Take Profit): 147–151.26 (targeting mitigation of prior inefficiencies or liquidity)
---
✅ Summary Like a Pro:
> "The USD/JPY 4H chart shows a liquidity-driven bullish setup following a confirmed BOS. After sweeping liquidity below support, price has reacted from a demand zone aligning with a fair value gap and order block. The setup suggests a long opportunity targeting the 147–151.26 resistance zone, with stop placement below 143.12 for optimal risk-reward. This aligns with Smart Money behavior and institutional order flow."
Golden 4-hour level wave count: The Wave of the KingThis time, we will continue to track the view of the wave counting of the daily chart level on May 15: I said in the early stage that gold has corrected 3 waves from 3500-3120 to end. The color level here has changed and should be the end of the wave correction of the green level. 3120 began to rise to 3365 for purple 1 wave, and from Monday to today, three waves were purple 2nd wave, yellow ABC correction has ended. The third purple wave rise is welcomed behind.
SPX: This is what I see happening...This will be a roller coaster ride for the next year or two. I am seeing 3 waves structures everywhere....a ginormous ending diagonal finish that may take SPX to 7500 to 8k. What comes next will be anyone's guess! For now, need to stay vigilant and manage money with caution.
Spy Monthly Close $595-$602📈 May is on track to close bullish with projected levels of $595–$602.
This move is backed by the AlphaPulse™ Trading System:
– Momentum signals confirm multi-timeframe strength
– Anchored VWAP reclaimed from April highs
– MACD bull cross + RSI holding strong (60–70 zone)
– Price above SMA50/200 with elevated volume
– Fibonacci 1.618 aligns with $602 target
When anchored VWAP, MACD, RSI, volume, fibs, and AlphaPulse all align bullishly — and price structure supports clean higher lows — the probability of a May close between $595 and $602 becomes statistically favorable.
📈 Thesis Probability and Conditional Breakdown
🔷 Bullish Probability Estimate (May Close $595–$602):
📊 68% Probability of bullish continuation into $595–$602
Based on:
Multi-timeframe confluence (MACD, RSI, AVWAP)
No bearish divergences
Volume + smart money alignment (AlphaPulse Bot)
✅ Bull Case (If $580 Holds):
If price continues holding above $580, expect:
Continuation wave toward $595 (local fib target)
Acceleration into $602 (1.618 extension) if breakout holds above $596
Supported by:
AVWAP control staying bullish
MACD histogram expanding
RSI maintaining >60 zone
AlphaPulse breakout signal staying green
🎯 Target: $595–$602
📆 Timeframe: By May 30 close
🎯 Optional overshoot: $608 wick zone if volume spikes
⚠️ Bear Case Trigger (If $580 Breaks)
If $580 fails on high volume or with RSI divergence, the setup shifts:
Condition Bearish Implication
Break below $580 Invalidates current higher low base
MACD flips negative Signals momentum exhaustion
RSI < 50 Enters bearish zone
AlphaPulse Signal flips red Confirms structural breakdown
🔻 Downside Risk:
If $580 fails, probability of bearish retrace to $567 = 75%
$567 is the last demand support zone
Also aligns with prior consolidation + rising SMA50
Below this, momentum cracks completely, and macro selling may accelerate
🧠 Final Note:
“Above $580 = control remains with bulls.
Below $580 = structure breaks, and $567 becomes the likely magnet.”
AS always SafeTrades And JoeWtrades
RIOT: Should go down a bit more...RIOT has pulled back with quite a picture perfect 3 waves. But this may be only the first leg of the correction. BTC is also looking primed to take a dip towards 100k-95k area. If that happens, I would look RIO to come back towards the golden zone are and close the gap along the way. There is also a head and shoulders pattern that might play out. If price gets towards $7.2 area, that would be the true test of the bull market. Price needs to hold the $7.3 - $7.2 area and get a sharp reversal to provide any confidence for the wave 3 move up. All eyes will be on BTC and how the correction plays out there. If BTC is making a long-term top here, then RIOT will be in a lot of trouble. I will, however, start accumulating this dip in accordance to the wave count. I am going to wait a bit longer to see if price comes down a bit more. On the other hand, if this is the end of correction right here and both RIOT and BTC starts to take off, then just need to hold the nose and dive in. Money management will be key to success.
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for May 29, 2025 🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for May 29, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
🚫 U.S. Trade Court Blocks Tariffs
A federal trade court struck down key sections of President Trump’s steel and aluminum tariffs, sending U.S. stock futures sharply higher as investors anticipate reduced input costs for industrials and manufacturers
🌐 Markets Drift on Lack of Fresh Catalysts
Global equity markets showed muted moves today—stocks dipped and bond yields rose—as traders awaited new drivers of direction, with Nvidia’s ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) mixed earnings doing little to spark a decisive trend
📈 Bond Yields Climb, Pressuring Equities
The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield pushed above 4.6%, its highest in a month, on concerns over federal borrowing and fading rate-cut expectations, dragging the S&P 500 down more than 1% by midday
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Thursday, May 29:
8:30 AM ET: Advance Q1 GDP
Provides the first estimate of U.S. economic growth in Q1, a critical gauge of recession risk and Fed policy direction.
8:30 AM ET: Personal Income & Spending (April)
Tracks household earnings and outlays, offering insight into consumer resilience amid rising living costs.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
May 29, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunitySummary:
Late yesterday, price broke below 3279, showing signs of bearish momentum.
👉 Today’s main plan: SELL on pullbacks to resistance if they hold.
Watch the 3295–3305 zone closely.
If price breaks above 3305, bulls may regain control — switch to buying pullbacks.
If 3295 holds, stay with the original plan — short on pullbacks to resistance.
It’s okay to leave a small runner and wait for NY session data releases.
🔍 Key Levels:
Resistance: 3323 / 3315 / 3305 / 3295
Support: 3285 / 3276 / 3265 / 3250
📉 Macro Strategy:
SELL if price breaks below 3276 → watch 3273, then 3265, 3260, 3250
BUY if price holds above 3305 → target 3310, 3315, 3325, 3332
⚠️ I won’t be able to post real-time updates today due to other commitments. This is the pre-market plan — I’ll post further strategy updates later if possible.
Stay tuned & trade safe!
👍 Like if this helps — your support keeps me going!
USDCHF: A SHORT BUY OPPORTUNITY IS POSSIBLEThis satisfy all the elements of my trade system, I'm buying because I'll like see price push higher. A break of structure to the upside and an engineered liquidity before price broke structure. Price has returned to grab liquidity, we should see it push to our target.