Bitcoin Chart Analysis – May 31, 2025We are the SeoVereign Trading Team.
With sharp insight and precise analysis, we regularly share trading ideas on Bitcoin and other major assets—always guided by structure, sentiment, and momentum.
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Bitcoin’s Technical Rebound Potential Increases… Time to Consider a Short-Term Long Position
Recently, Bitcoin has continued its short-term downtrend amid remarks from former President Trump and global macroeconomic uncertainty. In particular, after falling to around $103,000, bearish sentiment has spread across the market. However, from a technical perspective, this zone appears to be one worth noting from a buying standpoint.
At present, this zone aligns with the completion of a classic Bat pattern, which suggests the potential for a rebound. This pattern, one of the harmonic patterns, is considered relatively reliable due to its clear Fibonacci-based structure. Furthermore, considering that the decline unfolded in an impulsive wave and has since undergone sufficient correction, this can be interpreted as an appropriate time to enter a long position with expectations of a rebound.
Technically, a strong support reaction has been confirmed near the 103K level, which overlaps with a historical support zone and the 1.414 Fibonacci extension. This confluence is significant as it may signal the end of the selling pressure and the start of a shift in market balance.
Long Position Strategy Suggestion
In the short to mid-term, the following target prices can be set, and a staggered take-profit strategy appears effective.
First target: 106,000 — A short-term resistance level overlapping with the previous day's high
Second target: 106,900 — A midpoint that could indicate a potential breakout from the downtrend line
Third target: 107,800 — An additional expansion target if the previous high is broken
Supplementary Analysis of Market Conditions
Currently, the weekend market has begun. Historically, trading volumes tend to drop during weekends, and the market often moves sideways. This implies a period of reduced volatility and potentially unclear direction. As a result, this weekend may see a slowdown in the downtrend and the development of a sideways consolidation or bottoming structure.
In this context, rather than interpreting the ongoing downtrend as a further short opportunity, it may be more advantageous to shift toward viewing this as a long-entry opportunity. If a rebound follows the current short-term correction, and both market sentiment and technical structure align, the upward movement could unfold rather quickly — making proactive positioning essential.
Wave Analysis
Make Up Your Mind Already, PSEi!Since 2020, the PSEi has been trading within a range between 5,700 and 7,600. I have been tracking the 5-year consolidation via various 3-wave corrective waves. If the count is correct, we should be close to a capitulation of sorts before the next big move.
After what I count as the completion of both Wave b circle and Wave (i) of the larger Wave c circle, I think we are a couple of months away from the completion of Wave (ii) (refer to shaded square area). If this is indeed a Wave (ii), then what follows after its completion is a convincing decline that will likely pierce through the 5-year support level of 5,700. Such price action will signal the start of a mediium-term bear market for the Philippine market.
Furthermore, chart pattern-wise, you can see in the Weekly Chart a possible Double Top forming by considering the 2022 and 2024 highs (7,500+) as the corresponding tops.
Although it is less probable, the alternative move would be for the PSEi to break above the current consolidation (shaded square area). More price action is needed to determine whether this alternative move will signal the start of a more sustainable bullish move. Too early to say; hence, I believe this move to be the less probable scenario.
Therefore, I continue to watch the PSEi; especially as it moves closer to the 5,700 area. The bearish scenario continues to be my personal bias since the current market consolidation (shaded square area) remains to be nearer to the low-end of the 5-year range.
SPX/USDTKey Level Zone: 0.9650 - 0.9950
HMT v8.1 detected. The setup looks promising, supported by a previous upward/downward trend with increasing volume and momentum, presenting an excellent reward-to-risk opportunity.
HMT (High Momentum Trending):
HMT is based on trend, momentum, volume, and market structure across multiple timeframes. It highlights setups with strong potential for upward movement and higher rewards.
Whenever I spot a signal for my own trading, I’ll share it. Please note that conducting a comprehensive analysis on a single timeframe chart can be quite challenging and sometimes confusing. I appreciate your understanding of the effort involved.
Important Note :
Role of Key Levels:
- These zones are critical for analyzing price trends. If the key level zone holds, the price may continue trending in the expected direction. However, momentum may increase or decrease based on subsequent patterns.
- Breakouts: If the key level zone breaks, it signals a stop-out. For reversal traders, this presents an opportunity to consider switching direction, as the price often retests these zones, which may act as strong support-turned-resistance (or vice versa).
My Trading Rules
Risk Management
- Maximum risk per trade: 2.5%.
- Leverage: 5x.
Exit Strategy
Profit-Taking:
- Sell at least 70% on the 3rd wave up (LTF Wave 5).
- Typically, sell 50% during a high-volume spike.
- Adjust stop-loss to breakeven once the trade achieves a 1.5:1 reward-to-risk ratio.
- If the market shows signs of losing momentum or divergence, ill will exit at breakeven.
The market is highly dynamic and constantly changing. HMT signals and target profit (TP) levels are based on the current price and movement, but market conditions can shift instantly, so it is crucial to remain adaptable and follow the market's movement.
If you find this signal/analysis meaningful, kindly like and share it.
Thank you for your support~
Sharing this with love!
HMT v2.0:
- Major update to the Momentum indicator
- Reduced false signals from inaccurate momentum detection
- New screener with improved accuracy and fewer signals
HMT v3.0:
- Added liquidity factor to enhance trend continuation
- Improved potential for momentum-based plays
- Increased winning probability by reducing entries during peaks
HMT v3.1:
- Enhanced entry confirmation for improved reward-to-risk ratios
HMT v4.0:
- Incorporated buying and selling pressure in lower timeframes to enhance the probability of trending moves while optimizing entry timing and scaling
HMT v4.1:
- Enhanced take-profit (TP) target by incorporating market structure analysis
HMT v5 :
Date: 23/01/2025
- Refined wave analysis for trending conditions
- Incorporated lower timeframe (LTF) momentum to strengthen trend reliability
- Re-aligned and re-balanced entry conditions for improved accuracy
HMT v6 :
Date : 15/02/2025
- Integrated strong accumulation activity into in-depth wave analysis
HMT v7 :
Date : 20/03/2025
- Refined wave analysis along with accumulation and market sentiment
HMT v8 :
Date : 16/04/2025
- Fully restructured strategy logic
HMT v8.1 :
Date : 18/04/2025
- Refined Take Profit (TP) logic to be more conservative for improved win consistency
WULF / 30mLet's zoom in on this 30m frame, NASDAQ:WULF may have completed a leading diagonal as the first subdivision of the anticipated correction in Minute-degree wave b (circled) down. The diagonal pattern indicates that a relatively deep retracement is underway as well.
Now as depicted on the chart above,10% advance in corrective wave (b) is expected to follow over the next week.
#CryptoStocks #WULF #BTCMining #Bitcoin #BTC
forecast 02/06/2025XAUUSD Forecast | VSA & Trend Line Analysis | Gold Price Prediction
In this video, I share my detailed forecast for XAUUSD (Gold vs. USD) using Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) and trend line strategies. Watch as I break down the market structure, identify key levels, and explain the logic behind potential moves in gold.
CLSK / 2hNASDAQ:CLSK well continued to decline by 23% since the May high >> 11.04.
It would be considered just as an initial development of correcting down in Minute degree wave ii (circled).
Wave Analysis >> 23% continuous decline, exceeding and closing the week under the boundary line of the leading diagonal all highly confirms that the correction in wave ii (circled) is quite well underway. It should be a relatively deep retracement and will take the coming few weeks.
The first retracement target >> 7.93
The next target >> 7.24
#CryptoStocks #CLSK #BTCMining #Bitcoin #BTC
CLSK / 4hNASDAQ:CLSK well continued to decline by 23% since the May high >> 11.04.
It would be considered just as an initial development of correcting down in Minute degree wave ii (circled).
Wave Analysis >> 23% continuous decline, exceeding and closing the week under the boundary line of the leading diagonal all highly confirms that the correction in wave ii (circled) is quite well underway. It should be a relatively deep retracement and will take the coming few weeks.
The first retracement target >> 7.93
The next target >> 7.24
#CryptoStocks #CLSK #BTCMining #Bitcoin #BTC
WULF / 2hNASDAQ:WULF continued to decline by 3% today and 17% since the May high.
The Minute degree wave b (circled) is well in progress, and a further decline of 17.77% is expected to follow over the coming few weeks.
The retracement targets >> 2.94 >> 2.90
#CryptoStocks #WULF #BTCMining #Bitcoin #BTC
RIOT / 2hNASDAQ:RIOT continued to decline by 17% since the May high >> 9.52, as anticipated.
Trend Analysis >> Respecting the wave structure of the leading diagonal in which the 5th wave has revealed an ending diagonal and 17% continuous decline, all quite well indicate that the anticipated correcting down should be a relatively deep retracement. And it will take a few weeks ahead.
The first Fib-retracement target >> 7.68
The next targets >> 7.30 >> 6.79
#CryptoStocks #RIOT #BTCMining #Bitcoin #BTC
Vumanchu swing free//@version=5
indicator("Vumanchu Swing Free - تقليد مفتوح", overlay=false)
// إعدادات الـ WaveTrend
n1 = input.int(10, title="Channel Length")
n2 = input.int(21, title="Average Length")
obLevel = input.int(60, title="Overbought Level")
osLevel = input.int(-60, title="Oversold Level")
ap = hlc3
esa = ta.ema(ap, n1)
d = ta.ema(math.abs(ap - esa), n1)
ci = (ap - esa) / (0.015 * d)
tci = ta.ema(ci, n2)
wt1 = tci
wt2 = ta.sma(wt1, 4)
// إشارات الشراء والبيع
buySignal = ta.crossover(wt1, wt2) and wt1 < osLevel
sellSignal = ta.crossunder(wt1, wt2) and wt1 > obLevel
plot(wt1, title="WT1", color=color.green)
plot(wt2, title="WT2", color=color.red)
hline(obLevel, "Overbought", color=color.gray)
hline(osLevel, "Oversold", color=color.gray)
plotshape(buySignal, title="Buy Signal", location=location.belowbar, color=color.green, style=shape.labelup, text="BUY")
plotshape(sellSignal, title="Sell Signal", location=location.abovebar, color=color.red, style=shape.labeldown, text="SELL")
BOND MARKET ZN1! 4 HR. VALIDATES BULLISH RISK ASSETS NEXT!1). Wave one North in progress on a 5-wave sequence! 2). US Government is buying bonds! 3). Volume has petered out on the drop! 4). Banks are also Buying.5). Bond Yields drop, which is good for Risk-Assets! 6). US$ continues to weaken on Tariffs!
June Gameplan Rough Estimation Dow Jones Island ReversalThis is just my rough draft estimation on what I am thinking Dow Jones will do in June.
I am going to sit out the first week to gather data and let the market show its hand to me first.
I have two key levels marked using the weekly candle of April 7th.
The 80% retracement and the candle open.
I am thinking the first week of June to be a sideways candle of sorts to have four choppy weeks up high. Then two consecutive weeks of dump down into 37,500 followed by another monster bull candle to engulf forming the W pattern
Vistry Group, Rolling Stock Quote | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Notes On Session
# Vistry Group, Rolling Stock Quote
- Double Formation
* (Target Entry Or Gap Fill)) | Completed Survey
* Wave Feature - *Ongoing Wave 3 | Subdivision 1
- Triple Formation
* Retracement Area 2x 0.5 & 0 | Subdivision 2
* (TP1) | Subdivision 3
* Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition
- (Hypothesis On Entry Bias)) | Regular Settings
- Position On A 1.5RR
* Stop Loss At 445.00 GBP
* Entry At 635.00 GBP
* Take Profit At 920.00 GBP
* (Uptrend Argument)) & No Pattern Confirmation
* Ongoing Entry & (Neutral Area))
Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
European-Session(Upwards) - East Coast-Session(Downwards) - Asian-Session(Ranging)
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand;
Overall Consensus | Buy
USD-CHF Growth Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
USD-CHF is approaching a
Key horizontal support area
Around 0.8189 which is a
Strong level so after the retest
A local bullish correction
And a move up are to be expected
Buy!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Alt season ahead?Everyone shares their ideas, and here’s mine.
I’m not a very talkative person, but to summarize, I believe we have a potential alt season ahead. A strong cup and handle pattern is forming, and the candle has broken out of the handle, currently in its pullback phase. I think this might be the last good entry opportunity unless the trendline gets broken.
P.S. Just my personal observation, not financial advice.